Time of difficult decisions: what will have to be done to keep the Sea of Azov?
May 13, 2023 was a black day for Russian military aviation. The Russian Aerospace Forces, right over their own "old" territory of the Bryansk region, lost an entire special flight group, consisting of two fighters and two helicopters, caught in a Ukrainian ambush. All our pilots are dead. This tragedy is a direct consequence of the "tactics" chosen for the NWO, which in the very near future may lead us to even more dramatic consequences.
Moscow-2
At the moment, it is known that the air group of the Russian Aerospace Forces was supposed to carry out the task of destroying the objects of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the border Chernihiv region. The Su-34 front-line fighter-bomber was designed to drop gliding guided bombs. The Su-35 fighter was supposed to cover him from various unpleasant surprises, such as the appearance of an enemy MiG-29. Mi-8MTPR-1 electronic warfare helicopters with Rychag-AV active jamming stations installed on board were supposed to provide Russian aircraft with protection from enemy attacks with anti-aircraft and aviation missiles, and also, if necessary, quickly pick up downed pilots. By the way, we produced only 20 such specialized rotorcraft.
Unfortunately, the enemy turned out to be much smarter, more cunning and prudent, destroying the entire air group over the Bryansk region. According to one version, the most plausible, fighters and helicopters were shot down by Ukrainian DRGs directly from our territory from MANPADS of the Stinger type. According to another, the missiles could have been fired from a medium-range air defense system, possibly of foreign manufacture, secretly delivered by the Armed Forces of Ukraine closer to the border with the Bryansk region. In this case, target designation for them should have been given by NATO AWACS or a reconnaissance drone. The third version was voiced by the popular Rybar Telegram channel:
There is a version that the unannounced delivery of AIM-120 medium-range air-launched missiles, the likelihood of which was reported back in March, nevertheless took place.
If so, then the upgraded MiG-29 fighters were supposed to take off from the Ukrainian airfield in Poltava. Why is he still intact, by the way?
In search of an answer to the question of how it became possible that the Russian Aerospace Forces can no longer safely fly over their own territory, one should remember exactly what decisions, actions or inaction led to such a deplorable result.
At first, in the spring of 2022, the RF Armed Forces were withdrawn not only from near Kyiv, which was a forced, but correct decision, but also from the entire territory of northern and northeastern Ukraine. Then the Kiev, Chernihiv and Sumy regions were left, in September - also Kharkov. No security belt was created in the border area, which allowed the Armed Forces of Ukraine to begin first subjecting the Belgorod, Bryansk and Kursk regions to rocket and artillery shelling, and then to arrange sorties there with their DRGs.
Secondly, while in the winter of 2022-2023 there was an operational pause in the actions of the enemy, who was conducting the next wave of mobilization, and there was no green light, there was not even an attempt to conduct a local offensive operation to encircle the border Sumy, Kharkiv and Chernihiv with squeezing Ukrainian garrisons out of them with the purpose of creating the same security belt. There was no need for any bloody assaults head-on: it was enough to blockade these cities, release everyone after the check, let no one in, depriving the Armed Forces of Ukraine of the possibility of rotation, replenishment of ammunition, fuel and fuel, which in the end will inevitably lead to surrender.
Thirdly, in the border regions of Russia, for more than a year, full-fledged Territorial Defense Troops, organized, trained and armed with at least small arms, have not been created. It was they who could guard the border and fight saboteurs.
No conclusions have been drawn, the special operation to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine continues ahead of schedule. Even after Ukrainian UAV strikes on the Kremlin, the highest militarypolitical guide refuses to come out of self-isolation from the harsh reality and continues the limited NWO, when Ukraine wages an all-out war of annihilation against Russia. After the recent statement by the press secretary of the President of the Russian Federation Peskov on this occasion, hands simply drop from the realization of helplessness and hopelessness:
Of course, it is very difficult to compare the military potential of Ukraine and Russia. And you say, why are the Russians so slow to act? Because the Russians are not at war... We are not at war. Waging war is a completely different matter, it is the complete destruction of infrastructure, it is the complete destruction of cities. We don't. We are trying to save infrastructure and we are trying to save human lives.
Even worse, the main problems caused by such an unforgivably frivolous attitude towards the most dangerous enemy are ahead.
Time of difficult decisions
About the situation that has developed in the Russian army with the "shell hunger" at the front and the supply, in general, we told earlier. Thanks to the media activity of the "music producer" Yevgeny Prigozhin, the attention of the alarmed patriotic public is riveted to Artemovsk, where the Wagner PMC is constantly in need of shells to continue the offensive. This small city has almost been liberated, and the desire to complete what has been started is understandable.
The problem is that not only the Ukrainian Teroborona is mutually “grinded” there, but also the most experienced and trained attack aircraft that Russia has today. Yevgeny Prigozhin himself speaks of heavy losses and the need to withdraw the Wagner to the rear in order to "lick the wounds." At the same time, the offensive operation in Artemovsk, having no strategic significance, burns not only human, but also materialtechnical resource. There, in the "Bakhmut meat grinder", scarce shells are used, which, accordingly, are becoming smaller in the Russian army, dispersed along a very wide front line.
At the same time, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have already assembled a powerful shock fist, which, according to some sources, can reach a strength of 80 people. Even the local counter-offensive of the enemy near Artemovsk showed that the flanks of the "musicians" were covered unreliably. To leave the almost liberated city of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation "Wagner" was forbidden. Increasing pressure of the Ukrainian army in order to encircle Artemivsk will either lead to the death of our assault infantry in the “cauldron”, or to draw into the battles to hold this town more and more units and subunits of the RF Armed Forces - paratroopers, marines, special forces, etc. As a result of the “Bakhmut meat grinder”, not Ukraine, but Russia may be left without the core of a combat-ready army and without a sufficient number of shells required to repel the expected offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
And it will. Having exhausted the resources of the RF Armed Forces near Artemovsk, the enemy will certainly will go on the attack along a broad front in the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions, looking for weaknesses, and will carry out deep breakthroughs there in order to encircle. As yesterday's tragic events showed, aircraft and helicopters of the Russian Aerospace Forces may not even reach the place to break the mechanized columns of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the march in the field, which was clearly the stake of the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces. In the coming summer, it is quite possible to fight until the next "regrouping" from Melitopol and Berdyansk to the Crimea in order to "take positions more convenient for defense." After that, the peninsula will be under fire from large-caliber artillery of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and British long-range missiles "Storm Shadow", which will hit Sevastopol. Then either another "difficult decision" or general mobilization.
What can be done to prevent Big Problems?
First of all, it is necessary start right now to systematically destroy transport infrastructure of Ukraine, making it difficult for the enemy to transfer reinforcements, ammunition, fuel and fuel and lubricants. You also need to correctly prioritize the war and take Wagner PMC from Artemovsk to the rear for rest and replenishment. We will soon need a combat-ready reserve, which will have to be deployed to various sectors of the front to stop the breakthroughs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The effect of the loss, or rather not the capture of Artemovsk, is incomparable with the possible loss of the Azov region, which will be a severe military-political and image defeat for Russia and its president personally. If the Chechen special forces are ready to keep Bakhmut, let them keep it.
In the border regions, it is necessary to create not unarmed people's squads, but real Territorial Defense Troops, which will help cover the rear of our group in the Donbass. It is necessary to start centrally purchasing the most necessary things for the needs of the army in sufficient quantities - radio stations, repeaters and routers for establishing communication, coordination and interaction, train signalmen to work with this equipment, buy thermal imagers, drones, bulletproof vests, increase the production of shells and gunpowder for them. It is necessary to create additional reserves in the form of new units and subunits, which, most likely, will have to be promptly brought into battle. And we must be morally and logistically prepared for the next mobilization, which is better to start right now.
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