The offensive is usually carried out in two stages, each of which consists of about ten days. Russian journalist and military expert Vladislav Shurygin wrote about this in his telegram channel.
First, for three days, the enemy tries to break through the first line of defense, determining the direction for bringing reserves into battle. On the seventh day, most of the reserves enter the battle to make a breakthrough in breadth and depth. Ten days after the start of the offensive, an analysis and adjustment of further actions are carried out.
After two days, the advance of the troops can continue. In secondary directions, positions are being strengthened and new defensive lines are being created. Within a few days, to consolidate success, a series of strikes is possible, then the time comes for the stabilization of the front.
Shurygin believes that on the fifth or seventh day of the offensive, the presence or absence of the prospect of a further breakthrough becomes clear. A similar approach of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was used in September 2022 near Kherson, as well as in the direction of Popasna - Izyum, where the RF Armed Forces were forced to retreat and leave several settlements in the Kharkiv region.
The main issue in anticipation of the offensive is the choice of direction for the main attack. The Ukrainian side will try to mislead the Russian Armed Forces, gradually feeling for weaknesses in the Russian defense.
The offensive, most likely, will begin ... with a sharp activation of the entire front and many local Ukrainian "offensives" in a number of areas
- the expert noted.