When peace will be made between Japan and Russia: expert opinion

On November 14, 2018, a meeting was held between President of Russia Vladimir Putin and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe in Singapore during the ASEAN Summit (Association of Southeast Asian Nations). After that, in both countries they started talking about the possibility of concluding a peace treaty; therefore, the opinion of the famous Japanese political scientist, expert and diplomat Kazuhiko Togo is of real interest.



It must be clarified that Kazuhiko Togo is already known to the Russians. It was he, as the head of the Department of Europe and Asia, the Japanese Foreign Ministry, who was preparing the meeting between President Vladimir Putin and Prime Minister Yoshiro Mori in 2001 in Irkutsk. And before that, he headed the USSR Department of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan. So this person is very authoritative, competent and does not deal with “concussion” of air.

According to the forecast of Kazuhiko Togo, Moscow and Tokyo may conclude a peace treaty as early as June 2019. This is the fastest scenario. Negotiations between the parties are still preliminarily held in January 2019, and if they are successful, the agreement will be signed in the summer of that year, during Putin’s visit to Japan at the GXNUMX summit. Then in the fall will be the ratification of the peace treaty in parliaments.

But there are a number of difficult issues that the parties must resolve. Therefore, the process of concluding a peace treaty may take place a little later. In this case, and this is the latest deadline, the signing of this important document will take place at the 2020 Olympics in Tokyo. But he wants this event to happen earlier. After 70 years have passed, it's time to finally negotiate.

It should be recalled that following the meeting on November 14, 2018 between Putin and Abe, the parties agreed to speed up the negotiation process on the basis of the 1956 Joint Soviet-Japanese Declaration. Then the USSR agreed to transfer to Japan a group of Habomai islands and the island of Shikotan. The document was even ratified, but later Japan, under US pressure, refused to implement it and began to insist on the return of Kunashir and Iturup.

When peace will be made between Japan and Russia: expert opinion

The thing is that the group of Habomai islands and the Shikotan island are located on the eastern side of the Kuril ridge and their presence in Japan would still not allow U.S. warships and submarines to freely enter the Sea of ​​Okhotsk to prevent the deployment of the surface and submarine fleet of the USSR. It is with this that all the hysteria about the “northern territories” is connected. The United States needed Japan to own Kunashir and Iturup. So soon we will find out whether Japan will agree to the proposal that the USSR made to it in 1956. It’s not so long to wait. By the way, on this occasion, there has already been a surge of indignation in the nationalist environment of both countries.
  • Used photos: http://www.kremlin.ru/
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  1. elenagromova Offline elenagromova
    elenagromova (Elena Gromova) 16 November 2018 17: 57
    +1
    God grant that this treaty never happens
  2. gorenina91 Offline gorenina91
    gorenina91 (Irina) 16 November 2018 20: 38
    +1
    -It is completely incomprehensible ... -What is prompting Russia to conclude a peace treaty with Japan., In which the transfer of Russian islands is a necessary condition ...?
    -Who hurries and drives Russia to this ..? -Who can influence Russia and accelerate similar procedures on the Russian side .. who and what can dictate such a decision to Russia ...?
    -On the contrary ...- Japan today is in a very unfavorable economic situation ... -Japanese capital has begun to fail ... -Large national leading Japanese companies are starting to stagnate ... -No economic leap and boom is expected in Japan. ..
    - Not only do the Japanese desperately need Russian markets today ...- so they also need to serve the islands ... -Everything looks pretty impudent ...
    - Why does Russia need such a "peace treaty" with Japan ..? -Yes, let them "want and hope" for at least 200 years ... -It's not harmful to want ...
    -And Russia has nowhere to rush ...
    -
  3. gorbunov.vladisl (Vlad Dudnik) 17 November 2018 06: 29
    +2
    When will peace be concluded between Japan and Russia ...

    When Japan becomes an independent and independent country.
    And with the US colony I do not see the point of concluding a treaty.

    The United States needed Japan to own Kunashir and Iturup.

    From a dead donkey ears, not islands. lol
    1. Oleg9999 Offline Oleg9999
      Oleg9999 (Oleg) 22 November 2018 15: 45
      0
      Exactly, we don’t sign a contract without your acceptance :) I suppose you are also writing a text to Peskov, or so far only to the Foreign Ministry press service?
  4. gorenina91 Offline gorenina91
    gorenina91 (Irina) 17 November 2018 09: 13
    +2
    -Eh .., for Russia all this is alarming .., painful and bad ...

    -Russia is like ... like ... a little unprotected lonely girl ... who is constantly on the lookout for and stays with her one on one adult ..., a "purposeful" and very, very experienced and patient oriental pedophile ...
    -His intentions are more than understandable ... -And who will stand up for Russia once and for all .., so much so that this pedophile is forever behind her ..?
    -Here only categorical harsh radical methods are needed ... -And something is not visible ...
    -Eh ... -Sorry for the girl ...
    1. Oleg9999 Offline Oleg9999
      Oleg9999 (Oleg) 22 November 2018 15: 48
      0
      Well, you can advise the girl to twist less and wear a genuine skirt, otherwise it will soon be visible from under her ...
  5. kriten Offline kriten
    kriten (Vladimir) 17 November 2018 14: 46
    +1
    If Putin does not want to put Russia under attack with a rake stick, which he himself wants to step on, then never. True, the rake is somehow attractive, everyone is eager to come: Gorbachev and Yeltsin stood up, Medvedev and Putin himself with the Minsk agreements. only on the forehead they are not, but Russia receives. And the excuses are all the same - painfully the promises were good ...
    1. Oleg9999 Offline Oleg9999
      Oleg9999 (Oleg) 22 November 2018 15: 50
      0
      Do not go near them, it will not fly, otherwise it will soon become a living place on the forehead of gullibility.