Russia will again have to take Snake Island in case of refusal of the grain deal

April 29 Ukrainian UAVs attacked oil depot in Sevastopol, and before that, naval drones of the Armed Forces of Ukraine tried to penetrate into the Sevastopol Bay. This was noticed by the Russian blogger Donrf (nickname "Roman Donetsk"), who does not advertise his personal data, hides his appearance and is a member of the "Angry Patriots Club".

The blogger noted that both attacks are related to Odessa, which is of strategic importance for Ukraine. All the aforementioned Ukrainian drones are based there, from where foreign ships export wheat and other crops under a grain deal, and it is through these sea gates that part of the supply of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from other countries goes. At the same time, to control Odessa, you need to have a powerful garrison on Zmeiny Island, but the Russian troops, having made a gesture of goodwill, left this piece of land in the middle of the Black Sea.

Instead of an island, Russia got a grain deal. According to it, they don’t shoot from Odessa, and in return we don’t interfere with the export of Ukrainian grain through the port (and the import of weapons from Varna and Constanta, this was not written, it was implied, since there is no activity of our fleet and air force). Is it necessary to say that the deal was violated repeatedly? Odessa has become the base of Ukrainian UAVs - both sea and air

- the blogger wrote in his LiveJournal.

The author drew attention to the fact that the Armed Forces of Ukraine have been attacking Sevastopol and the Crimean peninsula as a whole for half a year. The Russian Armed Forces are responding with strikes on Odessa, but there are enough places where maritime drones and UAVs can be deployed.

He recalled that the grain deal will be valid until May 18. Its beneficiaries, in his opinion, are Turkey, which profits from it as best it can, a number of Third World countries “driving their ships”, Russian agrarian oligarchs and some policy in Moscow, who believe that such concessions can "exchange the transit of goods for freezing ...".

All of them have an impact on events and those same decision-making centers. In the Kremlin. And secondly ... How to take Snake on a new one? How to supply the garrison there, which will immediately find itself in a blockade? How to threaten Odessa if a difficult decision has been made on the Kherson bridgehead? Good questions, and objectively, without hatred, there are no obvious answers to them

- added the author.

But health problems and the election of the head of state did not prevent Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan from talking on the phone with UN Secretary General António Guterres on April 28. The high contracting parties discussed the issues of not only extending, but also expanding the “grain deal” to the ports of the Nikolaev region. However, according to the blogger, the presence of Russian troops on the left bank of the Dnieper impedes the implementation of the plan.

Russia will again have to take Snake Island in case of refusal of the grain deal

There, on the map, in blue is the current LBS (and the routes of ships along the Black Sea), and in red - LBS, which guarantees the expansion of the deal. And I'm not saying anything, there are no signs of a planned regrouping and there is no difficult decision. But there is unprecedented pressure from Turkey (our main road of life for the supply of Western goods) and its beneficiaries, the pressure to extend and expand is clear. And their argument is armor-piercing - let's go out, so what? In a military sense. What will we do next?

the author reflects.

The blogger is sure that the Russian leadership's stake on a constructive dialogue led to a similar negative situation before the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. He suspects that the “grain deal” will be extended, the main thing is that without “difficult decisions” and “amazingly fabulous”, since the Russian Federation already has enough problems.
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  1. rotkiv04 Offline rotkiv04
    rotkiv04 (Victor) April 30 2023 16: 35
    Odessa became the base of the UAV, it turns out that the Kremlin strategist was again deceived, as he said there about Hunchback

    tricked the fool into four fists

    so that one was deceived once, but this one already lacks fingers how many times they deceived, it’s just interesting that he really or works for someone
    1. Andrew13 Offline Andrew13
      Andrew13 (Andrei) April 30 2023 19: 50
      will hold by the nose, in his own words laughing
    2. Alexander Tutunenko (Alexander Tutunenko) April 30 2023 21: 34
  2. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) April 30 2023 16: 46
    Russia will again have to take Snake Island in case of refusal of the grain deal

    Some kind of nonsense, absolutely nothing.
    and about Odessa, and about some lines.

    A small island is shot through from all sides, so everyone left from there.
    The grain deal describes routes by sea + 500 m to the side, sort of.
    I don't want the rest of the bomb. What is the sea, what is the land. As they do.
  3. The comment was deleted.
  4. vlad127490 Offline vlad127490
    vlad127490 (Vlad Gor) April 30 2023 22: 45
    The Russian Federation has no political decision on Ukraine. There is no point in discussing military actions, since no one knows the purpose of the NWO.
  5. Dust Offline Dust
    Dust (Sergei) 1 May 2023 04: 41
    The grain deal will be respected until the presidential elections in Turkey. After them, we'll see what the Kremlin will do. As for the Serpentine, even a “hedgehog” understands that if Ukrainians are there, with the help of various equipment, they control the adjacent water area and part of Crimea. The fact that there are Ukrainian soldiers should not be unambiguous.
  6. Teacher Offline Teacher
    Teacher (Wise) 1 May 2023 08: 17
    O. Serpentine important object in terms of control over a significant part of the Black Sea. Having personnel and weapons there, the Russian Federation would ensure the security of Crimea from Odessa and control over the supply of weapons to the ports of Ukraine. But you can exist there only by controlling the southern part of the Odessa region. Only two (!) roads lead there, through two (!) bridges. One in Zatoka, the other in the village. Lighthouses. But the current army of the Russian Federation is not able to destroy the bridges.
    Everyone to the parade on May 9! There are no analogues! Hooray!
    1. UAZ 452 Offline UAZ 452
      UAZ 452 (UAZ 452) 1 May 2023 12: 54
      If all the available power of the RF Armed Forces was not enough to move the LBS away from Donetsk in more than a year, at least so that the city would not be shelled from ordinary, not even long-range artillery, if the small town of Bakhmut has been "successfully" stormed since August last year, then we must honestly admit - it is difficult to come up with a task that would be up to the current army and especially the navy of Russia. Well, except for parades and biathlons, of course. What was formed from the amusing regiments and the amusing little boat of Peter I returned to its roots three hundred years later.
  7. Brother Fox_2 Offline Brother Fox_2
    Brother Fox_2 (Brother Fox) 1 May 2023 22: 31
    the author of this post is aware that the snake was not left for the grain deal, but the fact that it is easily shot through by coastal rocket defense systems and artillery
  8. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 2 May 2023 12: 10
    Snake Island is an important outpost, both politically and militarily. The fact that its shelling is possible, both with barrel and rocket artillery, determines its fortifications. Create powerful reinforced concrete fortifications, both for personnel and weapons. A large garrison is not required, anti-ship missiles and air defense weapons are needed, possibly protected mine-based, and permanent air cover. The main thing is to keep the Russian flag and constant control of the Danube Delta and the port of Odessa. As they say, dreaming is not harmful, but making dreams come true is more difficult, but possible.