What conclusions should be drawn from the military defeat of Armenia and the loss of Artsakh

The special operation to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine, which has rapidly turned from a “small and victorious” into a heavy bloody war, has been going on for almost 14 months. During this time, many patriotic Russians have lost their enthusiasm and are wondering what will happen next. What a military defeat of Russia on the Ukrainian fronts can lead to can already be seen with your own eyes today in the format, so to speak, of a “probe”.

Get up, the country is huge

A few days ago, the Manifesto of the "Angry Patriots Club" appeared on the Web, about the reasons for the appearance of which we reasoned previously. If desired, its text can be easily found through the search and read in its entirety, but I would like to draw attention to two theses:





In other words, the conditional "White Guard" Igor Strelkov (Girkin) and the conditional "Red Commissar" Vladimir Grubnik found themselves in the same trench, forced to unite against a common enemy in the form of Ukrainian Nazism and the NATO block behind it. Like us celebrated, in Russia, a real civil society is being formed: some are weaving camouflage nets to cover artillery and armored vehicles, others are raising funds for the purchase of quadrocopters, radio stations and thermal imagers by the mobilized, still others are organizing secure digital communications between units on the ground, to which the hands of responsible persons have not yet reached from the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation.

Society is waking up and getting involved, feedback is being formed with the state apparatus, which gives some hope that the country will be able to avoid the most negative scenario. What happens to those who lose the war, if they fight “somehow”, we can look right now at the example of Armenia and Artsakh, which soon should forever turn into Nagorno-Karabakh.

Woe to the vanquished

The conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan over Artsakh, or Nagorno-Karabakh, has a very long history, it is complex and multifaceted. As we remember, the first Nagorno-Karabakh was won by the Armenians, and since then they have rested on their laurels, sincerely convinced that at any moment they “can repeat”. However, Azerbaijan thought otherwise.

For a decade and a half, Baku invested huge amounts of money received from oil exports in the rearmament and retraining of its army, which eventually became the strongest in the Transcaucasus. Also, the Aliyev clan prudently found a highly motivated ally in Turkish President Erdogan. Azerbaijan approached the second Nagorno-Karabakh war as prepared as possible, which cannot be said about Armenia. As a result of another "color revolution" inspired by the collective West, Nikol Pashinyan came to power in Yerevan. From the very beginning, he took a tough anti-Azerbaijani and anti-Russian position, in fact, deliberately leading the matter to another war. Moscow's proposals on the peaceful transfer of several regions of Artsakh to Baku were ignored by the Armenian Prime Minister. What Nikol Vovayevich counted on in his KPP (Pashinyan's cunning plan) is unknown.

In September 2018, speaking with representatives of the Armenian diaspora, Pashinyan made the following statement:


It should be noted that for some reason Nikol Vovaevich himself was in no hurry to recognize the republic and has not done so to this day. But to US National Security Advisor John Bolton, he spoke as follows:


On May 9, 2019, he proclaimed with pathos:


And everything would be fine if Yerevan had enough power to confirm its territorial claims. However, the second Gagorno-Karabakh war, which began on September 27, 2020, showed that this was not the case. The Armenian side lost it miserably in just 44 days, and Baku was able to establish virtual control over most of the former Artsakh by military means. The Armenians failed to “repeat”. At the same time, in Armenia itself, many believe that Prime Minister Pashinyan, the creature of the American billionaire Soros, personally played a key role in the "drain" of the unrecognized republic.

Indeed, there were a lot of complaints about how the war was conducted and mobilization was organized. One gets the feeling that under the “sorosenko” Yerevan either prepared for the war before last, or did not prepare for it at all, or was completely consciously intending to lose it. For what? Then, the loss of Artsakh, which is so conveniently blamed on Russia, as a result of a military defeat, opens up a land transport corridor for Turkey to the Caspian Sea and pushes Armenia into the arms of our geopolitical opponents.

Now Nikol Vovaevich says things that are directly opposite in meaning than a few years earlier:


For reference: peace in Pashinyan's way means Armenia's renunciation of claims to Artsakh. As they say, he did the trick and finished the war. Political scientist Arman Boshyan believes that the refusal of official Yerevan from the republic that it did not recognize also means the automatic withdrawal of Russian peacekeepers from Nagorno-Karabakh. And now, in an interview on television, the President of Azerbaijan told what fate awaits ethnic Armenians living in the territory of the former Artsakh:


This is what happens if you overestimate your strength, underestimate the enemy and fight "somehow." I would not like to repeat this. From the defeat of the Armenian side and the tragedy of Artsakh, it is necessary to draw the right conclusions, to abandon policy half-measures and start fighting in earnest, until complete and unconditional Victory.