Military expert revealed the possible tactics of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the upcoming counteroffensive

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The gradual drying of the soil will allow the Armed Forces of Ukraine to soon launch the previously repeatedly announced counter-offensive against Russian forces. However, the tactics that the Ukrainian command may use have received little attention from the paramilitary community, so any predictions deserve attention.

So, according to a Russian military expert, an analyst at the Center political freedom, a veteran of military operations in Afghanistan and Chechnya Boris Dzherelievsky, expressed in an interview with the publication URA.RU, inexorably approaching offensive operations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine against the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will be carried out in at least three attacking waves (stages).

The first is mobilized infantry, poorly trained, with a minimum of cover. She attacks along the entire front, from Vasilievka to Marinka. If somewhere they find a weak link, somewhere they manage to push through at least the front defense, they immediately throw a second wave there. These are light Western armored vehicles and pickup trucks with machine guns. They have prepared up to 2 thousand such vehicles. If they manage to expand and secure this breakthrough, Leopard tanks, heavy armored vehicles such as Bradley, Stryker and infantry trained in the West will already move there. They should expand and deepen this breakthrough as much as possible.

Dzherelievsky suggests.

The expert believes that the level of preparation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine for a large-scale military operation, a major counteroffensive, is still weak. Moreover, the Ukrainian command focuses on the number of soldiers, and not on providing them with armored vehicles, which turns the mobilized into "cannon fodder" and will certainly lead to monstrous losses if the operation starts in the near future.

He is sure that even if we theoretically assume that the soldiers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will find a weakness somewhere in the Russian defense and begin to seep beyond the first line, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will simply not give them the opportunity to build on their success by transferring reinforcements to this sector. The Ukrainian army does not yet have sufficient reserves to push through the Russian borders. It is not known whether they will continue to accumulate strength or go on the attack.

Of the 12 brigades that the Armed Forces of Ukraine now have and are preparing for a counteroffensive, 11 are not yet ready. That is, somewhere in 6 brigades there is not enough equipment, weapons, equipment, and 5 brigades have not yet begun training

– explained the expert, summing up his reasoning.
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  1. Vladimir Tuzakov
    Vladimir Tuzakov
    +2
    April 16 2023 18: 28
    The expert uses the old methods of action, but the main planners are NATO, and they will certainly use the new ones. There was a statement about hundreds of shock komikaze drones, high-precision weapons for all targets, right down to the rear, (from tanks, technical equipment to warehouses). They will silence communications and intelligence, massively hit equipment and reserves, this is a more likely scenario. NATO members are not our staff officers with permanent stamps without breakthroughs in new methods and means. NATO members will try to apply the latest achievements of high-precision weapons, because the Armed Forces of Ukraine will not have the necessary preponderance of forces.
    1. Alexey Lan
      Alexey Lan
      +2
      April 16 2023 21: 53
      The standard NATO approach in the offensive: a strike on communications, headquarters, warehouses, known concentrations of troops and equipment, and only then the offensive.
  2. Siegfried
    Siegfried
    -2
    April 16 2023 18: 54
    there is a very high probability that NATO will demonstrate its capabilities in electronic warfare in full force. If UAVs cannot fly, communication will disappear completely, it will not be easy.

    But on the other hand, Russia has already warned that lawlessness is punishable by lawlessness - satellites will be shot down, possibly in batches.
    1. Alexey Lan
      Alexey Lan
      0
      April 16 2023 21: 57
      Well, packs of satellites are a conversation. But jamming is real. Our GPS began to jam even during the Iraq war. I hope this technique has progressed further.
  3. sH, arK
    sH, arK
    +3
    April 16 2023 21: 25
    I wonder how "light" infantry will run to machine guns and artillery ?! It is certainly, one can recall the brave warriors from the "elite" divisions near Moscow, who ran so that their heels sparkled after the first shots, which abandoned the latest tanks, ammo, drones in their original packaging! These "brave" warriors were defended, as you remember, by the National Guard - they fought with only machine guns in their hands!
    But now?! Hope for the same "elite" fighters?! What if there are ordinary men there? They will crumble VSUk like cabbage!
  4. Artificial Intelligence
    Artificial Intelligence
    0
    April 16 2023 21: 53
    nonsense. this is some kind of barbaric approach - to run from everywhere, and then we'll see where it works out better.
    the APU does not have such reserves in manpower and equipment to once again spend resources everywhere on reconnaissance in force. surely they are relying on a carefully crafted plan to move into a predetermined territory. although, of course, there may be some distracting maneuvers, such as pressing on one side, depicting something on the other, and then really hitting from the third .. but the main direction of the strike is probably clearly defined in advance. in principle, they have an idea where it will be easier to move and where more difficult, because these conditions have already been almost openly set by the Russian Federation itself: in the southern direction, the land corridor is well defended, with two lines of defense and other fortified structures in the depths. near Donetsk, they also cannot afford to take risks, because there will be combat-capable units there. and where there is bakhmut and above, there is only one line of defense without deep fortifications. The Russian Federation itself offers to break through there. there is nothing fundamentally important, there is a deep rear. because he knows in advance between what he will have to choose, where it will be easier or harder. it is easier to break through in the Lugansk region, but there is nothing strategically important near the front, therefore, even with some advancement, they can get bogged down without really achieving anything. stepping on Donetsk or the south is more desirable for them, but it is more difficult there.
    and what exactly they will do FIG knows. it is somewhat intriguing that Ukrainian propagandists like Arrestovich are so confident that the offensive will be successful that it is not even clear why such confidence can be. is there some kind of cunning plan, a new miracle, a trick or an agreement.
    it is important that the command of the Russian Federation choose a method of defense in which no unpleasant surprises will play a decisive role.
  5. Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev
    -1
    April 16 2023 23: 57
    In general, 2 times they announced "the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is about to", but no, zilch.
    Now the 3rd time, already 3 weeks "just about", But the deadline was extended. here until autumn...
  6. Valera75
    Valera75
    -1
    April 17 2023 08: 04
    It is difficult to make a prediction where the enemy will hit, maybe not hit at all. All sorts of Podolyaks and other experts promise a month that an attack is coming soon. believe? In this offensive, if there is, they will throw only those who are being trained and who are on the defensive, they will not go anywhere, unless there is a crisis somewhere and they are partially removed from the defense lines. Let's see, we've been waiting all winter for our offensive, now it's time to wait for Khokhlyatsky for six months :-)
  7. Yaroslav the Wise
    Yaroslav the Wise
    0
    April 17 2023 17: 27
    Of course, banderlogs will suffer big losses. But, if we take into account the fact that the UGIL militants will carry out artillery preparation before the offensive, as well as launch a hundred other kamikaze drones, then there will be no less losses in the Russian troops. And the very concept of *Pushing through the enemy's defenses in depth and width* means that the defenders of these defensive lines, at best, will be wounded and sent to the rear. About the worst outcome, I think it's not worth talking about
  8. Jstas
    Jstas
    0
    April 18 2023 12: 54
    Everything described is possible if the entire General Staff is AWOL during the NATO offensive. Well, there, in a brothel, they will test new folding beds with a new brothel staff, or something else ...