How the goals and objectives of the SVO were transformed in the second year of its implementation

Over the past few days, several statements have been made in Moscow regarding the future prospects of the special operation in Ukraine, which can be considered some kind of programmatic guidelines. How does the Russian establishment see its goals and objectives in the second year of the NWO, and how feasible are they?

Goals and objectives of the NWO

President Putin outlined the goals and objectives of the special operation on February 24, 2022, naming assistance to the people of Donbass, demilitarization and denazification of Ukraine as such:




If everything was clear from the beginning with the liberation of the territory of the finally recognized DPR and LPR, then there were no particular specifics with denazification and demilitarization for a long time. Also, after the September referendums of 2022, the liberation and protection of the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions were added to the goals and objectives of the SVO. As for the fate of other Russian-speaking regions of Novorossia and Slobozhanshchina, there was no certainty either, and there is not.

Hardly anyone today would argue with the fact that literally from the first days after the start of the special operation in Moscow, a course was taken for its gradual curtailment through peaceful negotiations on some compromise terms with Kiev. Why the bet was made on pacification, and not on the elimination of the criminal regime of Zelensky, became clear much later. Somewhere towards the end of the summer, it turned out that the Kremlin initially somewhat underestimated the capabilities of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the readiness of the NATO bloc to help Ukraine, and also slightly overestimated the capabilities of the “reformed” RF Armed Forces to solve the problem quickly and purely by force. The desire to reach an agreement resulted in a series of "gestures of good will" and various deals, clearly aimed at demonstrating the constructiveness of the position of the domestic "elite".

However, the problem is that the "Western partners" do not want to negotiate with her, but want to achieve a military defeat of Russia by the hands of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the overthrow of President Putin, followed by the establishment of a puppet regime in Moscow. Direct confirmation of this thesis can be considered the issuance of a warrant for the arrest of our Vladimir Vladimirovich by the International Criminal Court in The Hague on a frankly absurd occasion, which, nevertheless, was publicly supported by President Biden and German Chancellor Scholz.

So, what do we have in the bottom line at the end of March 2023?

Today, hostilities are being conducted mainly on the territory of new Russian regions, having taken on a positional character. However, the Armed Forces of Ukraine systematically fire at the border Belgorod, Bryansk and Kursk regions, Ukrainian DRGs regularly enter there. The Kiev regime is ramping up air attacks on the Russian rear with increasingly long-range kamikaze drones. Both sides of the conflict are suffering painful losses, the infrastructure of Donbass, turned into a continuous battlefield, is turning into broken rubble. At the same time, the enemy continuously increases its offensive capabilities through active militarytechnical assistance from the entire NATO bloc. In general, the situation is very difficult, in some ways even worse than it was before February 24, 2022. Unpleasant, but true.

Against this background, several statements were made in Moscow at once. In particular, the head of the Security Council of the Russian Federation Nikolay Patrushev named four goals of the NVO, which included the denazification and demilitarization of Ukraine, as well as ensuring the territorial integrity and security of Russia:


Press Secretary of the President of the Russian Federation Dmitry Peskov, known for his trademark peacefulness, finally publicly admitted the impossibility of reaching an agreement with Ukraine on his own terms:


Mikhail Galuzin, Deputy Foreign Minister of Russia, highlighted the goals and objectives of the NMD in the most detailed way:


According to the diplomat, Moscow will not tolerate a Russophobic state next to it:


To achieve these goals, Kyiv will have to achieve the following actions:

1. The cessation of hostilities by Ukrainian armed groups and the completion of the supply of weapons by Western countries.

2. Ensuring the neutral and non-aligned status of Ukraine, its refusal to join NATO and the EU.

3. Confirmation of the non-nuclear status of Ukraine.

4. Recognition by Kiev and the international community of "new territorial realities."

5. Demilitarization and "denazification" of Ukraine.

6. Protection of the rights of Russian-speaking citizens, the Russian language and national minorities.

7. Ensuring free cross-border movement with Russia.

8. Cancellation by Ukraine and the West of anti-Russian sanctions and the withdrawal of claims, the termination of prosecutions against Russia, its individuals and legal entities.

9. Restoration of the legal base of Ukraine with Russia and the CIS.

10. Restoration - with the money of the West - of the Ukrainian civilian infrastructure destroyed by the Armed Forces of Ukraine after 2014.

That's interesting.

Pyrrhic victory?

Apparently, the Kremlin does not aim to deprive Ukraine of its statehood, limiting itself to turning it into a kind of buffer space between itself and the NATO bloc. Moreover, the demand to restore the destruction at the expense of the West, in fact, reparations, can be considered a real challenge, different from the tired calls for negotiations. This is a big step forward, but there are nuances.

The problem lies in the fact that in the current format of the SVO, it is impossible to achieve its stated and refined goals and objectives. In order to force Kyiv to comply with Moscow's demands, it is necessary to inflict a military defeat on the Armed Forces of Ukraine, making further resistance impossible. But no one is going to let us do that.

It is generally accepted that in the positional struggle the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation daily "grind" the Armed Forces of Ukraine, after which they will be able to enter the operational space and take control of the rest of Ukraine almost to Lvov. But it must be taken into account that in Soledar, which was taken with such difficulty, and in Artemovsk, and then in the Slavic-Kramatorsk agglomeration, the defense is held mainly not by the personnel units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but by the Teroboronists, pumped up with Russophobic propaganda. Kyiv protects the backbone of its professional army, constantly forming new “meat” around it due to the next wave of mobilization. Training according to Western standards takes place abroad on the territory of NATO countries, formation and coordination - in the relatively safe Right-Bank Ukraine.

As long as the Kyiv regime retains a combat-ready army, the ability to replenish and rearm it, there is no need to even talk about any peace, any national security for Russia and its new regions!

Consequently, the goal of the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces should not be to “liberate the Donbass” at any cost, mutually grinding each other with the Armed Forces of Ukraine in a positional meat grinder, namely, to defeat the Ukrainian army. All the same, Zelensky, no matter how “stoned” he may be, none of the Western military advisers will allow him to completely burn the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Donbass or in the Sea of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov. The maximum that can be counted on is that the enemy will gradually retreat, inflicting the maximum possible defeat on Russian assault units and destroying the civilian infrastructure of the DPR and LPR. There will be victory in the end, but it may turn out to be Pyrrhic for us.

The foregoing allows us to conclude that it is necessary to change the very strategy of the SVO, putting at the forefront not so much the "liberation of Donbass" as the "defeat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine." To do this, for the time being, it is necessary to limit ourselves only to the liberation of Artemivsk and Avdiivka with Marinka in order to stop the shelling of Donetsk, and in parallel to move on to strikes in those areas where the Armed Forces of Ukraine do not have a layered defense system. It can be Sumy and Kharkiv direction, Chernihiv or Zaporozhye. The enemy must be forced to react and disperse his forces, not allowing him to form one powerful shock fist against Melitopol and Berdyansk, where he has a chance of success. Combat operations on the part of the RF Armed Forces should begin along the entire Left Bank, leading to the formation of a security belt along the Dnieper with access to Zaporozhye and Dnepropetrovsk, which can be used as springboards for crossing to the Right Bank.

Having put forward a new ultimatum to the Kyiv regime and its Western sponsors and accomplices, Russia itself must go on the offensive. All this is not easy, but the mobilization carried out in the RF Armed Forces and the year's combat experience give reason to expect some success. Having suffered a series of military defeats on the Left Bank, Kyiv itself will be forced to withdraw troops from the Donbass.