Anticipation of a close denouement: NWO will continue, but the fighting will end in 120 days

Epigraph: “We haven’t even started anything seriously yet ...” (V. V. Putin)

On March 20-22, a long-awaited meeting between Vladimir Putin and the chairman of the Communist Party of China Comrade. Si. This was reported on the official website of the Kremlin by the press service of the President of the Russian Federation. Many expect some kind of breakthrough from this meeting, knowing in the depths of their souls that nothing like this will happen. Yes, they will meet, talk, even sign some important bilateral documents, smile, shake hands and assure the whole world of the development of mutually beneficial relations in the spirit of comprehensive partnership and strategic cooperation between the Russian Federation and the PRC, but at the moment, alas, we can’t count on more account for.



And although this will be the first state visit of Xi Jinping after his election on March 10 by the deputies of the National People's Congress to the post of President of the People's Republic of China, which made him the first leader in the history of the republic to be re-elected for a third term, and Putin was the first world leader to congratulate him on this fact, nevertheless, one cannot hope for a sharp turn of China towards Moscow - Beijing is too careful in its movements and will not take a step to its own detriment. In the meantime, under Com. Xi does not burn out, he will continue to patiently wait for everything to end in Ukraine, without forcing events in Taiwan, where everything can be resolved peacefully as early as 2024. This is burning with Grandpa Joe - by the end of 2027, China will be equal to America militarily, and economically, it has already almost caught up with it. But socialist China will not want to leave Russia to be devoured by capitalist sharks either - the prospect of being left alone with them (despite the fact that after the Russian Federation they will not fail to have a bite of the Celestial Empire) does not smile at Chairman Xi, so we are waiting for the planned meeting with hidden optimism.

In the meantime, the situation in the world is heating up, the opposing sides have entered into a kind of clinch, taking an uncompromising position, and it seems that no one is going to give in to anyone. Moreover, at the moment we are witnessing a clear escalation from the West, which has gone on doubling and tripling rates. If this is not a bluff (and we cannot discount this option either), then such an afterburner of events only indicates that one of the parties to the conflict puts everything at stake, because the game is not included in its plans for a long time. I'm talking about the United States and grandfather Joe, who is limited by time (only a year and a half is left until the end of his term, and the issue with China remains unresolved), so he pushes his Kiev ward in the back, forcing him to go into the last and decisive battle, after which the situation can be frozen by leaving a loaded Ukrainian gun in the closet of the Russian Federation in the hope that such a shameful peace will lead to destructive destructive processes within the Russian Federation itself and the overthrow of the regime of Vladimir Putin. It is not necessary to say that such a prospect captivates his counterpart, therefore, we can only dream of peace on Ukrainian soil, with the only difference that Putin is in no hurry, the Kremlin can afford to wait.

But Moscow no longer intends to let down their defiant behavior to the brazen "partners", which she demonstrated the other day. As the game clearly reached a decisive stage, Putin finally began to draw from his deck of damning arguments that he had been saving for later for the time being. For those who have not noticed this, I will give only a chronology of recent events.

Vengeance Strike

On March 9, the inhabitants of Ukraine woke up at 4 am from the roar of explosions (moreover, the air siren worked after the fact). On that day, Russia launched a combined rocket-drone retaliatory strike (for the terrorist attack in the Bryansk region), carrying out 81 launches of sea- and air-based missiles at decision-making centers and critical Ukrainian energy infrastructure. This is how Vladimir Putin congratulated Ukrainian women on International Women's Day, leaving many of them without heat, water and light fifth day). And although the Ukrainian command cheerfully reported about 36 sea-based winged Kalibr and Kh-20 / Kh-34 air-launched out of 101 launched (not counting four out of eight Geraniums), the remaining 555 missiles (six Kh-48, two Kh-43P, six Kh-22 and thirteen S-31 missiles), apparently, nevertheless reached the target, thereby completing the task (although I have big doubts about the Russian ownership of thirteen S-59 missiles - why, more here).

But this time, I was surprised by the presence among other launched missiles of six famous hypersonic "Daggers" X-47, which Russia used for the first time since March 18 last year. Then the Kinzhal missile hit a Soviet-built bunker in the Ivano-Frankivsk region (capable of withstanding a plane crash and a nuclear weapon), where at a depth of 70 meters the non-brothers were hiding something very secret. That the damned Russians bombed this especially secret this time, the Ukrainian command did not report, but the fact that Moscow would not waste its expensive “Daggers” (from which no one has yet come up with salvation) was clear and so. Only rumors leaked to the press that this missile attack cost Russia half a yard of "greenery", which, given the cost of "Daggers" of 10 million per unit (total 60 million per launch), is a clear attempt to wishful thinking (our "Caliber ”And“ X ”with all due respect to them, believe me, they don’t cost so much!).

But the fact that the Russians covered something especially valuable became clear after a couple of days from the reaction of our sworn "partners". Apparently, this time, along with the facilities of the critical energy structure, machine rooms of hydroelectric power plants, thermal power plants, thermal power plants, distribution and draft substations and workshops of the Dnieper Yuzhmash plant, several high-ranking Western advisers with big stars, who carry out general management of the process from deeply hidden underground "offices". Apparently, the "Daggers" got them there too (most likely, at "Yuzhmash"), and by this Vladimir Putin showed Grandpa Joe that from now on this will be the case with every foreign citizen.

The last time this happened in Vinnitsa on July 14 last year, when Russia, with a salvo of three sea-based Calibers from the Black Sea, destroyed the entire color of the Ukrainian Air Force, which had gathered in the garrison House of Officers, together with its Western curators, to discuss the supply of aircraft to the Kiev regime. Then Grandpa Joe attributed this loss to the poor work of Ukrainian intelligence, which overslept the Russian raid and leaked information about the gathering place for Western expats. But this time, the Russians got the expats out of the ground, and this can no longer be attributed to poor intelligence work. It's just a shame that Moscow again tried to disguise such actions under some acts of retribution. What does retribution for Bryansk have to do with it?! Why doesn't Donetsk deserve retribution? And Belgorod, and Engels-2, and Diaghilevo?! Why should the routine work of our Aerospace Forces and the Navy be dressed up in some kind of retaliation, I don’t understand. Another puncture of Konashenkov's service! It must be admitted that in this component of the war we are mediocrely losing the confrontation with our enemy.

Imitation of a missile and bomb attack on St. Petersburg

The fact that my suspicions about NATO officers who fell under the batch of our "Daggers" were not unfounded became clear already on March 12, when the US Air Force B-52H Stratofortress strategic bomber with the call sign NOBLE61, as part of joint maneuvers with the Polish Air Force, carried out a training missile attack on our northern capital, being 200 km away from it on the beam of the Swedish island of Gogland. Apparently, Grandpa Joe's wounded vanity craved revenge, and he took revenge in such a stupid way.

I would just like to know what the United States would do if such an attack was carried out by our Tu-160 strategic missile carrier while somewhere in Cuban airspace? How fast would they shoot him down? And who knows what kind of attack he makes - training or combat? If combat, then in the White House then not everyone would have had time to run even to the toilet, let alone to the bunker. B-52 is an old trough and an excellent target for our air defense, its dimensions shine perfectly on our radars, and if we wanted to shoot it down, then no Polish fighters would have saved it (for reference: 200 km is the maximum reach of our S- 400).

After this demarche, it became obvious that the opposing sides (and I’m not talking about Kiev at all here), biting the bit, are moving at an accelerated pace towards the Third World War in the hope that someone else will not stand it first and turn away. Putin has already spoken on this subject, if Grandpa Joe has a bad memory, then I can remind you:


For those who are not fully aware of the reality of what is happening, I would only like to remind you that the Third World War, unlike the war that is now being waged in the Ukrainian theater of war, will last not a year or two, but at most 5-10 hours, after which the world familiar to you will disappear from the face of the Earth along with several countries such as Britain, Japan, Poland and the USA. And forever! At the same time, part of the planet will plunge into nuclear winter, part will disappear in the abyss of the sea, and the survivors, if they are lucky not to die from radiation sickness, will re-learn how to make fire and master the bow and arrow (their smartphones will become the most unnecessary thing for them). I would just like to ask the still alive supporters of the armed resolution of the conflict in Ukraine - do you need it?! Is Ukraine worth it? It is necessary to understand a fact that is obvious even to the feeble-minded grandfather Joe - a nuclear power, which is the Russian Federation, will never be able to lose a non-nuclear war !! Russia stands at the line that you yourself drew for it, and Putin will go to the end!

Maneuvering victim. What about the UAV? He drowned

The fact that the jokes were over became clear a day after the visit of the American strategist to the borders of the Leningrad region and the imitation of a missile and bomb strike. If Biden decided to double the stakes in such a way, then Putin supported him and quadrupled them. Further I quote the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation:


The situation is painfully reminiscent of the events of 23 years ago: “What about the submarine? She drowned!" What about the drone? He drowned! However, there are no comments as to why this happened. Probably tired. Another victim of bad maneuvering. Well, what are you going to do here? Force majeure technical problems.

The American side, without waiting for an adequate explanation from the Russians of what happened, a day later, having endured the Mkhatov pause put in such cases, swallowing saliva from the anticipation of an international scandal, published a video of the incident over the Black Sea, filmed allegedly by the on-board camera of the injured UAV, where it is clearly visible that " defenseless lamb" MQ-9 Reaper is subjected to an act of aerial terrorism by a pair of Russian "Kite" Su-27, expressed in pouring kerosene from the nozzle of a "Dry" flying over it and dangerous maneuvering of another Russian interceptor, which led to the destruction of the main rotor of an American drone causing it to lose control and crash into the sea.

And everyone seemed to have already agreed with the presented fact of undisguised aerial terrorism, they just did not repent of their deed, embarrassedly looking away, but joyfully rubbing their hands, muttering the duty man in his defense: “What did you want? The zone of a special military operation - it was not good to stick around! And I, perhaps, would have been among them, if not for the opinion of the famous Russian test pilot, Hero of Russia, Major General Magomed Tolboev, who, on the YouTube channel "Zauglom" Andrei Uglanov, said that our multi-purpose heavy and light fighters - interceptors of the Sukhoi family and the MiG corporation are not even structurally equipped technical the possibility of draining fuel in the air, because they do not need it due to their functional tasks. Su-24 and Su-34 bombers can dump fuel in the air to lighten the load, but fighters cannot.

From the point of view of our air ace, who has mastered all types of domestic aircraft, the American MQ-9 Reaper would have had enough airflow created by a Russian fighter with a pressure of several tons to crash, if it flew dangerously close to the UAV. It’s not just that the screw would have twisted it, it could have torn off the wings, in the afterburner, due to the pressure drop, such a turbulent eddy is formed that the roofs of the houses are torn off. And then some flimsy American drone! The skill of the pilots, according to the test pilot, and no fraud (it’s not for nothing that Shoigu has already presented them for government awards). And after that, who will you order to believe? I now believe Major General Tolboev more. And you can watch American movies, they will show something else there.

Extension of the grain deal

But the events did not end there. On March 18, the deadline for our next disgrace, this time for grain, expired. We were once again scammed with ammonia and mineral fertilizers, which fell victim to international intrigues with their insurance and the withdrawal of money through authorized banks. Once again we were convinced of the unscrupulousness of our "partners", and all our speakers assured us that this time we would definitely not continue this deal. And then, like a bolt from the blue - a message that the deal will continue for another 60 days. Many of you again hung with your mouths open: “How so?! How long are we going to put up with this?! And then the Ukrainian side adds fuel to the fire, declaring through its Deputy Prime Minister that the deal will be continued not for 60, but for the prescribed 120 days. Here, all the Russians' head just went around - we have all and sundry, even the Ukrainians!

Some explanation is required here. May 14 in Turkey - presidential elections, our "friend" Erdogan is trying to be re-elected for another term, and this is also in our interests (we have recently put too many eggs in the Turkish basket). The arrival of any other in his place can lead to fatal consequences for us (there is a gas hub, and a nuclear power plant in Akkuyu, and parallel imports, and the Turkish straits, and the Montreux Convention, and much more, in which we depend on our temporary Turkish ally ). The Americans are playing the Changing of the Guard in Ankara. It's in our best interest to prevent this! And the grain deal is just the smallest thing we can do for our "friend" Recep. 60 days expire on May 18th.

The denouement is near. The end of the war will be this year

Why is it absolutely not important for us how long this deal will be extended? Even 120 days change nothing for us. The thing is that the situation is nearing completion. The denouement is near. The countdown time has turned on - 60-day timing. I have to disappoint everyone who planned to fight for another 5-10 years, the war, at least its hot phase, will end this year. The parties entered into a clinch, no one has the strength and money to continue the war.

For reference: a couple of days ago, PJSC Gazprom summed up the results of the past year and reported a decrease in profit in 2022 compared to 2021 from 2,7 trillion rubles to 747 billion rubles (as a result, in 2022 this figure fell by more than 3,6, XNUMX times!). It got to the point that this year Russia was already forced to unpack the NWF (National Welfare Fund), as the deputy of the State Duma of the Russian Federation said economic expert Mikhail Delyagin, "print out coffin money."

All wars end in peace when one of the parties achieves its goals or when funding runs out. We have the second case of the two. Neither we nor the Ukrainians have achieved their goals and cannot achieve them due to objective reasons (the Ukrainian cap turned out to be not for Senka, why this happened requires a separate analysis - not this time). External sponsors of Ukraine have their own reasons for curtailing the database, I already wrote about Grandpa Joe (he fixes profits and writes off losses, leaving the Ukrainian project, hoping to hang it on Putin or Europe, but there are no fools either there or there). Europe generally sleeps and sees how it would die from this beggar. The fate of Ukraine does not bother anyone at all. Indeed, why should Putin or the Europeans have a headache for Ukraine if its drug-addicted president does not have a headache about it. He has already driven her into such debts that not only the children of her current defenders, but even their grandchildren and great-grandchildren will not be able to pay them off (but Zelensky provided for his own children and grandchildren for the rest of their lives!).

War is an expensive thing, many cannot afford it. Even for the Americans, it costs a pretty penny (since the beginning of the NWO, they have already spent $113 billion on Ukraine). For the fiscal year 2023, Congress provided $44 billion for these needs (moreover, Ukraine itself will receive only 13 yards of this money, the rest will remain in America, going to the needs of the American military-industrial complex). The US fiscal year ends on September 1st. For the next fiscal year 2024, which starts on September 1, 2023, only $6 billion is provided to support Ukraine (and those Republicans can still block). The world of capital is a cruel thing. There is private property. Not a single private owner of military defense plants will begin to revive production that was stopped 30 years ago, hire new employees, restore their lost competencies, and even more so expand production, if they are not sure that this production will be loaded with orders for the next 5-10 years. Break-even and high profitability can only be reached on large orders, small-scale production is unprofitable - the game is not worth the candle, a unit of product turns out to be too expensive. Who will give guarantees to private capital that the war in Ukraine will continue for another 5-10 years? There was all hope for Putin, but he did not justify it.

It is for this reason that Biden is forcing events, pushing his drug-addicted ward in the back. This last and decisive battle will become Zelensky's demobilization chord. He will either defeat Putin (which is impossible in itself!), or he will kill himself against the Russian wall prepared for him. Putin has been waiting for it for a long time, without launching his own offensive. Everything should start soon, literally one of these days (April-May is the deadline), they are just waiting for the right weather, when everything dries up. In Ukraine this year, spring is early and warm - in the south, where the main battles are expected, it is already dry. When I say that everything will be decided within 60 days, I am not far from the truth. No one is counting on long military campaigns. The entire defensive-offensive operation of the RF Armed Forces will be within this period. In a week or two, the main forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be crushed, which their command will throw on the offensive (the direction of the main attack will be on Melitopol, distracting - on Svatovo-Kremennaya), after which, on the backs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the Russian troops will go where they can reach so as not to break the logistics chains (at least Zaporozhye and the Dnieper may be in the zone of the Russian counteroffensive). Where units of the RF Armed Forces will stop will depend solely on the plans of the command and on the degree of demoralization of the enemy.

After that, the number of supporters of a peaceful resolution of the Ukrainian-Russian conflict in the world will increase many times over. It is not for me to judge whether Putin will reciprocate them. I would continue the offensive on the northern Black Sea coast with access to Nikolaev-Odessa with the deblockade of Transnistria. And for this it will be necessary to use the amphibious assault, which means the end of the grain deal. After cutting off Nezalezhnaya from the sea (and this, if everything goes well, will not happen until late autumn), it will be possible to sit down with Zaluzhny at the negotiating table (it will not be Putin, but Gerasimov, Putin will not talk to Zelensky or Zaluzhny about what). They did not take advantage at the time (in March 2022) of Moscow’s peace proposals, when a team of gopniks in tracksuits led by Arakhamia was close to signing the Istanbul agreements with the Medinsky group (on March 31, the agreements were already initialed, when on April 4 unexpectedly Boris Johnson came running for everyone and broke everything). "Istanbul-2" will be signed already on much worse terms than "Istanbul-1". Putin is true to himself, and each subsequent proposal is always worse than the previous one. After that, it will be possible to sit down on the shore and wait for this inter-witted space to be covered with a copper basin under the weight of insoluble economic problems that have fallen on it (and the fact that Kiev will have to rake them alone is not to go to a fortuneteller).

No visit to Comrade. Xi will not be able to change anything in this regard. And tov. Xi knows about it. Because three months ago (namely, in December 2022), the Chinese Academy of Military Sciences completed the simulation of the Ukrainian conflict by conducting computer simulations of the processes taking place inside and around it. As a result, a paradoxical conclusion for many of you was made.


- the Japanese Nikkei Asia told its readers about this.

The reason why the Chinese made such a conclusion is as banal as doors: both the Russian and Ukrainian economies will be too exhausted to continue the armed conflict by that time (and this, I remind you, will be the beginning of autumn 2023). This conclusion was made by Chinese experts from the Military Academy on the basis of computer simulations of the situation. Believe them or not, it's up to you to decide, at least it won't be long before this version is confirmed.

And the fact that Ukraine alone will sort out the problems that have fallen on it and no one will come to its aid is evidenced by a series of bankruptcies that began in US financial institutions two weeks ago. One after another, three American systemic banks burst at once - Silvergate Bank, Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, which led to their liquidation, and the American authorities were forced to urgently take urgent measures to save the financial system, injecting 300 billion dollars from the Fed's reserves to maintain investor confidence and minimize panic. In order not to be unfounded, I will simply give an assessment of the situation by a group of independent American financial experts who have posted their research in the public domain on the Social Science Research Network:


they say.

In their opinion, currently 186 US credit institutions are at risk. The Wall Street Journal recalls that Silicon Valley Bank went under when its assets fell in price due to rising rates. Bank depositors began to massively close uninsured deposits. As a result, a panic arose, which the credit institution was no longer able to cope with. It is the actions of the US Federal Reserve, which, with the stubbornness of an idiot for many years, continued to raise rates, analysts of the Social Science Research Network call the main reason for the bankruptcy of Silicon Valley Bank. In Europe, in this sense, too, not all ice - for a long time breathing heavily, experiencing financial difficulties, such financial giants as Deutsche Bank AG and Credit Suisse Group AG - and these are the largest financial organizations in Germany and Switzerland. Which of them is the first to be bent is not fundamental for us, we are under sanctions, these circles on the water will not reach us (at least some benefit from sanctions!). But they will cover Ukraine with their heads.

The end of the movie: Putin is an international criminal

And the last thing I have to say. The International Criminal Court headquartered in The Hague (not to be confused with the Hague International Tribunal at the UN), which issued a warrant for the arrest of Russian President Vladimir Putin as a war criminal on March 18, hastened to Xi Jinping’s visit to Moscow, of course, made a lot of noise. The fact that this act was prepared for a long time is understandable. This was part of Grandpa Joe's plans to desacralize and delegitimize the Russian leader, giving him the image of an unshakeable international villain and outcast, because Washington's ultimate goal is not to defeat Russia in its war with Ukraine, but to provoke internal unrest in the Russian Federation, which will result from the conclusion of a shameful peace and which will have to end with the demolition (perhaps by force) of the political leadership existing in Russia (a task that is practically impossible!). And the obedient puppet of Washington, Zelensky, was talking about this when he set the condition that he would negotiate with anyone, but not with Vladimir Putin (having formalized this decision in the form of a corresponding decree of the National Security and Defense Council prohibiting negotiations with the current head of the Russian Federation).

The fact that for Russia, which has not signed the Rome Statute, the decision of the ICC does not carry any legal force is understandable (even without Maria Zakharova's explanations). Dmitry Medvedev's proposal to use these pieces of paper for their intended purpose in the local water closet is also a test (although the paper there is tough, not every sleek European ass will be able to accept it). Dmitry Peskov’s remark that even “we consider the very posing of the question outrageous and unacceptable, Russia, like a number of states, does not recognize the jurisdiction of the ICC, and, accordingly, any decisions of this kind are null and void for the Russian Federation from the point of view of law”, also in cash . I am personally struck by something else - the Rome Statute was not signed (or signed, but not ratified) by the United States, Ukraine, India, China, Israel, or 65 other states. Why do they consider it possible for themselves to spit on the decisions of the ICC, while demanding that Russia implement them? The question, of course, is rhetorical, you can not answer.

But the main thing here is the following. In a similar decision by the ICC, sanctioned by Washington, Grandpa Joe is driving Putin over the flags, depriving him of the possibility of getting out of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict by any other way than military. I’m not sure that Biden watched “Prisoner of the Caucasus”, but the situation is reminiscent of the one that the hero of Vladimir Etush got into: “Either I take her to the registry office, or she takes me to the prosecutor!” (With). Biden raises the stakes as much as possible by outlawing Putin. After that, Putin has no other way but to reach the end. Until the end of Ukraine and until the end of Grandpa Joe (I think his physical end is just around the corner, he definitely won’t survive the second cadence). There can only be one winner in this conflict. And now I can say with confidence that it will not be the USA! Putin simply has nowhere to retreat - the road to a shameful draw was cut off by the decision of the ICC. 120 days will be enough for him to complete the task, after which the West will admit defeat and crawl away, leaving Zelensky to deal with his own problems.

That's all I have on this topic. We are waiting, we are watching. Your Mr. Z