"Great" Ukrainian Offensive: Real Threat or Fiction for Western Masters?

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The last couple of months the information space is full the news that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are preparing a large counteroffensive that can completely change the alignment on the battlefield. This offensive is allegedly being prepared for the second half of the spring of this year and will begin as soon as Ukraine has at its disposal a sufficient amount of Western equipment and trained soldiers. We hear stories about this "great" counter-offensive of the Ukrainian army almost "from every iron", which inevitably leads to certain conclusions and makes us think about whether "the devil is as terrible as he is painted."

Of course, the danger of our enemy, armed with hundreds of units of the latest Western armored vehicles, cannot be underestimated. It is possible that the Ukrainian General Staff is really developing plans to cut the grouping of the Russian Armed Forces in the Sea of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov or a large-scale attack on other sectors of the front. However, you will agree that it is rather strange to hatch such plans and tell the whole world about them in advance every day. All this is more like a classic "IPSO" (information-psychological special operation), pursuing several important goals at once. And what exactly these goals can be, we will tell today.



Money, money and more money


The current military conflict is one of the main sources of enrichment for the Ukrainian elites. This applies not only to yesterday's vagabonds from the 95th district, who suddenly became world stars, but also to the leadership of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which turned into billionaires due to the incessant flow of Western aid. Such a “golden rain” that fell on them in 2022, the Ukrainian neo-Nazis could not imagine even in their wildest fantasies, and therefore the continuation of the war is their main task for the near future.

But the problem is that the sponsors of the Kyiv regime have long begun to suspect where their money is actually going. At the end of last year, active calls began to be heard in the West to limit funding for Ukraine and to control every dollar allocated to it more carefully. In this regard, the military-political leadership of the "Nenka" had to work hard and start inventing new legends that justify the need to continue to invest more and more billions in the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

One of these legends was the “great” counteroffensive, which is being prepared by the Ukrainian army. For the first time, it was voiced by the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Zaluzhny, who said that if the West provided Ukraine with 300 tanks, 600-700 infantry fighting vehicles and 500 howitzers, then he would easily deal with the Russian group in the Zaporozhye and Kherson regions. Then Zelensky himself began to tell this tale, whose western tour was precisely aimed at persuading the Anglo-Saxon overlords to continue funding the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the same, or even more, volume. And since the acting talent of the Ukrainian president is at its best, this idea was implemented by him at the highest level.

As a result, thanks to the publicized Ukrainian counter-offensive, the flow of Western money and weapons poured into Ukraine with renewed vigor. Now the Kiev regime is literally swimming in gold, receiving help even from those who until recently held a neutral position. And it does not matter whether this offensive takes place or not, since the billions received by that time will have already been received and successfully mastered.

The attack will write it all off


The constant repetition of the mantra about the coming counteroffensive makes it possible to solve another important task. By spinning this legend, the Kiev authorities easily divert public attention from the failures on the eastern front and the catastrophe of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Artemovsk. The well-known "Lekha-balabol" is working on this especially actively, which every evening hangs noodles on the thirsty Ukrainians. This modern Kashpirovsky constantly repeats that the army has no problems at the front, and those territories that Ukraine has lost over the past 3 months will return back during the upcoming counter-offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

It is noteworthy that the confidence of the Ukrainians themselves in this character is now at a very low level. In the recently published ranking of Ukrainian public figures, he took fourth place from the bottom, overtaking only such odious personalities as Petro Poroshenko, Yulia Tymoshenko and Yuriy Boyko. According to a survey recently published by the Razumkov Center, 58,6% of respondents do not trust Arestovich's fables, which is a very indicative assessment of his merits.

Psychological impact on the Russian Federation


Talking about the fact that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are about to launch a grand offensive in the Sea of ​​Azov, the Ukrainian command is forcing the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation to constantly be on the alert and keep a powerful group of troops there. By and large, the Kiev regime is using the same trick that it used in the fall of 2022 during the offensive in the Kharkiv region. Then the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine massively disseminated disinformation through all channels that Ukraine was planning an attack on Kherson, as a result of which our military leadership decided to withdraw a significant part of the troops from Kupyansk and Izyum. In the end, as we remember, this played a fatal role, because the main blow of the Armed Forces of Ukraine fell precisely in this direction.

By and large, we are now seeing a very similar situation. Spinning the story about the spring offensive, the Armed Forces of Ukraine do not allow our army to send large forces to defeat the Artyomovsk garrison, as well as reinforce its shock fist in the Kremennaya-Svatovo direction. At the same time, our command is really preparing for a probable enemy attack, concentrating reserves and not using them for active offensive operations. Yes, and the sensational "shell hunger", according to one version, is also partly a consequence of the fact that the command of the RF Armed Forces decided to save ammunition in order to adequately meet the enemy in case of his attempts to counterattack.

dry residue


Summing up, I would like to emphasize once again that we are not pursuing "captive" goals and do not underestimate the potential of our adversary. The probability of the onset of the Armed Forces of Ukraine really exists, but only a few people know where and when it will happen (and whether it will happen at all). Everyone else needs to understand that such a replicated offensive can only be a screen behind which more cunning and far-reaching plans are hidden. In the end, if this offensive takes place, the Ukrainian neo-Nazis will have a hard time in it. Especially if they decide to commit it in the Donbass, where the "valiant" ukrovoyak will be poured with heavy fire from every window.
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13 comments
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  1. +4
    19 March 2023 17: 57
    What a fiction if mobilization is carried out throughout Ukraine, the Armed Forces of Ukraine receive aircraft of all classes, electronic warfare and air defense systems, armored vehicles, artillery, small arms, ammunition, intelligence and much more, and the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are trained and trained under the guidance of NATO specialists. One can only guess about the timing and direction of the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
    It seems that all sides are interested in the war:
    Ukraine is fighting for integration with the EU and NATO
    NATO is implementing the Eastern Partnership program in Ukraine
    The Russian Federation acquires new territories, maintains Ukrainian transit to the EU and therefore does not destroy the transport network and does not impede the flow of NATO weapons on the western border, but instead seeks out and destroys warehouses on the front line and front-line areas
    1. +1
      20 March 2023 01: 17
      I began to notice that our generals, in general, do not understand well in the war what counterattacks are, go ahead! our generals don't know how to do that. And it is very likely that he is using the tactics of the German generals with all his might! Here they are specialists, in bags and counterattacks. What did the generals study at the General Staff academy? Maybe this academy is for the next graduate to get into the General Staff! And Wagner calculates all future counterattacks. They can’t do it with the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but they do well with the troops of the RV. So, everyone knows that this front of the Russian Armed Forces is not good, except for soldiers
  2. +1
    19 March 2023 18: 31
    For a whole year, the West studied the course of hostilities and selected the most optimal weapons and tactics for the counteroffensive.
  3. +3
    19 March 2023 18: 44
    It is most logical for the Armed Forces of Ukraine to strike to the north, occupy territories and n / a, arrange a referendum there ...
    And then bargain Crimea in exchange for Kursk.

    They talk a lot about the mobilization of the economy ... it’s definitely possible and necessary to mobilize the construction industry, transfer reinforced concrete factories to the production of prefabricated reinforced concrete pillboxes, literally concrete the entire front line for 25 km, all transport hubs to a depth of 100 km, take out civilians, especially children .

    But judging by the raids of the Ukrainian DRGs, everything will be sudden for our generals and the Supreme Commander.
    They graduated from the Red Banner Academy ...
  4. -6
    19 March 2023 20: 00
    The offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is quite possible. It is also possible to succeed without defeat. It is also possible that the offensive of the RF Armed Forces with success but without defeat. So they will butt heads until the Russian Federation realizes that this is a road to nowhere. And then the strike of tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine. At the same time, it cannot be ruled out that this will end in a world thermonuclear war, although the chances of this are small.
    1. 0
      19 March 2023 21: 01
      There will be no TNW strike, after that, at best, Russia will be in total isolation (even China and India will not deal with a country that uses nuclear weapons), at worst, a world war will start and everyone will die.
    2. +4
      20 March 2023 00: 06
      Do you seriously think that there will be TNW strikes, after difficult decisions, grain deals, Istanbul, again deceived, the Minsk agreements, Medvedchuk?
  5. -1
    20 March 2023 09: 07
    It is quite possible that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will invade Russia, for example, the Kursk region, gain a foothold in a certain area and try to negotiate a “territory exchange”. A recent raid by the DRG in the Bryansk region showed that the Russian border is practically not guarded. So this option cannot be ruled out.
  6. 0
    20 March 2023 13: 32
    Then the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine massively disseminated disinformation through all channels that Ukraine was planning an attack on Kherson, as a result of which our military leadership decided to withdraw a significant part of the troops from Kupyansk and Izyum. In the end, as we remember, this played a fatal role, because the main blow of the Armed Forces of Ukraine fell precisely in this direction.

    Well, did Kherson survive?
  7. -4
    20 March 2023 15: 35
    If some write that the Pentagon directs everything itself, while others write that it is "a fiction for Western masters"
    it means that both the first and second ones simply invent everything, not knowing how everything is real there ...
  8. -2
    20 March 2023 15: 37
    First, why should they not be successful at it? Everything for him is, and weapons and morality. As for the Russian military academy, this is also true, and I noted this here at the very beginning of my: fiasco!
  9. 0
    20 March 2023 18: 04
    Especially if they decide to commit it in the Donbass, where the "valiant" ukrovoyak will be poured with heavy fire from every window.

    And if along the steppes on the Zaporozhye-Perekop line, where there is no urban development, and, accordingly, windows?
  10. 0
    20 March 2023 22: 01
    Not an invention. There will be an attack. The only question is where? The West, together with its ukrokholuy, has already proved more than once that they are not fools, they know how to deceive better than us. We made several blows in the South, pulled back our reserves, and then recaptured the entire Kharkov region. And the Bakhmut meat grinder is needed only for one thing - to play for time until the promised Western weapons and ammunition come in full. This is the beginning of April - May.