In the past few weeks, the information space has been actively talking about the planned counterattack of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Bakhmut (Artemovsk) against the Wagner PMC. Moreover, the Ukrainian side became the "pioneer" of the topic in the media. Now everyone is talking about this, and the number of scenarios for the further development of events is growing.
Particularly stands out is the version of the future offensive of 10 brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from Chasov Yar. The Russian blogger "Donetsky" drew attention to this. In his opinion, there are no 10 brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in this town, since over 30 thousand military personnel and hundreds of units will be deployed there. equipment simply nowhere.
However, it is possible to deploy the mentioned amount of forces and means, and even more troops than indicated, in a decent group of settlements, except for one Chasov Yar: Konstantinovka, Druzhkovka, Kramatorsk and others nearby. Then the Armed Forces of Ukraine would be able to strike at the Russian troops in the Bakhmut direction from the flanks.
And a wide arc strike is possible. Along the flanks, which are held not by the "orchestra", but by the army team. In the end, both their and our generals studied from the same textbooks and in the same schools. And these textbooks were based on the operations of the Great Patriotic War
– says the blogger.
One of the studied operations was the Stalingrad defensive and offensive operation. The author clarified that the Red Army exhausted the Wehrmacht in heavy urban battles, and then launched sudden blows from the flanks, which ended in the encirclement of the 6th Army, Field Marshal Friedrich Paulus and a large-scale retreat of the troops of the Third Reich.
It is tempting for Kyiv to repeat such a move. The prize in case of success will be huge, and it is difficult to overestimate the moral value. Yes, and such a move suggests itself, taking into account the disagreements between the "orchestra" and the Moscow Region. Another question is that if we are ready, then all this will turn into a huge mousetrap for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, in which the reserves prepared during the winter will burn out, which will cast doubt on the summer offensive. Because 1000 AFVs, 300 tanks, and up to 50 enemy planes are good, but not as many as needed. Plus, Artemovsk has never been Stalingrad. This is not a steppe, there is a dense building. And their generals are never Vasilevskys, not Zhukovs and not Antonovs
- he specified.
According to the blogger, there is not a single reasonable reason why the units holding the flanks, subordinate to the Russian Ministry of Defense, could not calm down the offensive impulse of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in this direction.
Moreover, starting the main battle of the spring in a completely destroyed region instead of the untouched South is FAVORABLE for us. For many reasons. Including economic. There should be enough troops there, resources too, but for Kyiv, even having advanced 10-20 km, it will be difficult to explain why the flow of coffins intensified even more sharply, although it seemed - where would it be? But all this on the condition that the public is higher than the departmental, and both parts of the Russian power are ready and able to cooperate effectively. Well, provided that these constant injections are not a distraction from the South in order to tear apart our reserves before hitting the Crimea
added the blogger.
However, as the author suspects, the Ukrainian command may inflict a distracting deceptive blow near Bakhmut. Collect old equipment, hand it over to the newly mobilized and launch an attack, publicizing it loudly in the media. After that, Kyiv will wait until the transfer of Russian reserves from other directions begins, and strike in several other places, it will have enough forces and means. For example, in Avdeevsky and Ugledarsky directions.
The next time will show. Spring is already... The winter campaign is over. Follow the enemy
– summed up the frequenter of social networks from the Donbass.
We remind you that there are others options counter-offensives of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which practically do not provide for the assault by the Ukrainian army of Donbass, which is oversaturated with Russian troops.