No matter how incompetently we conducted our SVO, no matter how we accused of it, who is the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, who is the highest political leadership, who is the insidious malicious grandfather Joe, who is the devil, who is the liberal neighbor, who is a drug addict with Bankova, but everyone somehow asks one simple question - what will happen next and how will it all end? Today I will try to answer this painful question for all of us. Answer honestly and sincerely. And as much as we all would not like it to be different, it will be exactly as I say. Because such is celebrity vie, and this, alas, is an objective reality given to us as a result of past events.
I love our plans huge!
Let's honestly admit to ourselves that the NWO did not go at all the way we imagined it and how it was originally planned in the Kremlin. When the Kremlin realized this, they tried immediately (as early as three days after the start of the NWO) to curtail the operation and agree with Kiev on its completion on some compromise terms. And Medinsky's team almost succeeded - at the end of March in Istanbul, they came to some compromise with a gang of gopniks and drug addicts in tracksuits, outfitted by Kiev for negotiations. The compromise envisaged freezing the conflict on the terms of the neutral status of Ukraine, the withdrawal of our troops from the territory of the Sumy, Chernihiv and Kiev regions, the lifting of the water blockade from the Donbass and the withdrawal of the Crimean issue from the negotiations for the next 5-10 years. But on April 4, Johnson unexpectedly ran to Kyiv and broke everything. And the SVO continued not as a maneuverable, but as a protracted positional war, when we began to break through the fortifications of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Donbass with our own heads.
And the longer this went on, the more questions arose from the Russians to their top political leadership. And even now, a year later, there are no answers to many of them. Where are we going, what's our plan? What is Kyiv's plan? Where are Zelensky's allies pushing him? I’m telling you, our plan is to freeze the conflict, because at the moment we don’t have the strength to continue it in a conventional way (so as not to bring matters to a general mobilization and re-profiling of the entire economics Russian Federation on military rails under the motto: “Everything for the front! All for victory! ”, which will lead to an overstrain of all the forces of the Russian Federation, after which you yourself will be the first to howl, not wanting to change oil for guns!). The funny thing is that the West (and Zelensky, as his puppet) faced the same problems. It became obvious that at this stage everyone needs peace, but each of the parties involved in the conflict hopes to achieve it on its own terms, which are impossible for the other side to achieve in advance. And as long as the opposing sides have the strength and resources to continue hostilities, no compromise can be reached. Therefore, now the West is pushing Zelensky into the last and decisive battle in order to win a stronger negotiating position from Russia on the battlefield in future peace / truce negotiations according to the Korean scenario. We know this too, and we are preparing to meet Zelensky with all the force of our weapons, I hope he will break his teeth on him.
The situation is further complicated by the fact that the parties behind the backs of the main actors in the conflict have their own plans for ending it, which do not quite coincide (or not at all) with the plans of the main actors. Moreover, the list of interested parties is not limited to only 52 countries of the anti-Russian coalition that supported Ukraine. Behind Russia there are also forces pursuing their own goals in this conflict, the main of which is to prevent it from escalating into the Third World War. We are talking, first of all, about China and the global South, which also need peace (moreover, each has its own interests there - China needs the EU market, the global South needs grain and Russian mineral fertilizers), which is why they incline the opposing sides to negotiations.
But what will happen after the negotiations? We must admit to ourselves that the task we originally planned to change the political leadership in Kyiv for the year of the database was not completed, the Zelensky regime will be preserved. The territory on which he will remain at the same time is absolutely not important for us. Wherever this Nazi regime remains (and Zelensky will not go anywhere and is going to rule for at least another 10 years under the banner of the return of the lost territories, and it was we who gave this political loser such an opportunity when we started our operation), he will become an outpost of the West to contain Russia and binding/depletion of its resources. If this ends with the collapse of the Russian Federation due to the inevitable internal crisis, so much the better (as happened in Tsarist Russia after its defeat in the Russo-Japanese War). This is the ultimate goal of the West, no one has canceled it.
At the same time, Peskov says that the goals of the special operation will be achieved. And we remember the goals of the SVO - this is the denazification, demilitarization and liberation of Donbass, now also with the territories newly admitted to the Russian Federation. Those. the war / NWO with the aim of changing the Kyiv political leadership turned into a war / NWO over the territory in a year. Since the tasks of the NMD are impossible without a change in political leadership, we will have to absorb Ukrainian territories in order to fulfill them. And it doesn't work any other way. Those. without territorial expansion we can no longer solve the tasks set. How long will this expansion last? We remember that Biden threatened to help Ukraine as much as needed. Are we ready to fight another 10 years? Biden is ready (I hope he won’t live that long), Zelensky is also ready (this one will just live if he is not helped to leave for another world earlier). Airplanes and long-range missiles will be given to Kyiv, there will be enough cannon fodder for two more wars. Are you sure you are ready to fight for another 10 years?
The funny thing is that everyone except us and Zelensky needs peace, even Biden, who is ready to participate in the conflict only with his weapons. There is no contradiction with what was said earlier, Biden is quite satisfied with maintaining the smoldering conflict, which can flare up with renewed vigor on the first command from Washington. The task of tying Russia and its resources has already been successfully solved, and other great things are waiting for Grandpa Joe in other theaters of military operations (in particular, in Southeast Asia). Zelensky needs a war, because only it keeps him hopeful of financing his regime and, under its pretext, allows him to keep the local plebs in check, who, in the event of a truce, will begin to rage and demand bread (already without circuses, at least bread!). We need a war, because we can no longer leave this abscess in its current form, because the task set by the curators for the state of Ukraine (or rather, for those who are now hiding under this sign) is an overstrain of Russia's forces and resources. this implies banal conclusion - Leaving this territorial entity in any capacity under the control of external forces hostile to Russia will sooner or later lead to war, and therefore contradicts the fundamentals of the security of the Russian Federation.
But at the moment we are forced to take a break and freeze the conflict (for the reasons stated above). Hoping that some events will occur in the world (in Europe or in the USA) during this time (collapse, recession, financial crisis, default, civil war, internal unrest, tsunami, earthquake, landing of Martians, etc.) is stupid and recklessly, because we cannot make ourselves dependent on external forces that we cannot influence, anyway we will have to solve this problem ourselves.
Therefore, let's think about what will happen in the territories of the fragments of Ukraine left behind by the Kyiv regime after the signing of a possible truce? Political life will inevitably resume there, which will proceed under the banner of revanchism, the return of lost territories (including, of course, Crimea), and political parties will compete with each other only in a degree of hatred for Russia. No pro-Russian parties will arise there in the next 50 years, not because there will not be a similar request from society, but because this will be severely suppressed by the repressive apparatus that exists there. By the way, there will be no similar request in society either, and we can only blame ourselves for this - after what happened on February 24, 2022, 98% of the local population there fiercely hate Russia, Russians and personally V.V. Putin (especially the latter! ), which is the result of the successful work of the enemy IPOC, nothing can be done about it - here they have a complete consensus.
The only thing we can count on is that the parties of a conditional cold peace with the Russian Federation (on the principles of not choosing a neighbor) will fight the war party there, and Zelensky’s party, if he wants to remain in the political space, will be among the last . He will no longer be able to usurp power, as in open hostilities, but he will be able to maintain it only under the banner of a campaign to the East and the return of lost territories. The war with the Russian Federation will become the meaning of his flawed life and a source of external funding. And this hero was going to rule until the territories were completely liberated, which, in fact, he repeatedly stated.
Who will cover the cash gap?
And now let's think about who will finance this mediocre state, who will cover its cash gap, because with the loss of territory and part of the industry, it has already become economically unprofitable, expenses are twice as high as income, who will fill the pension fund, pay social programs, maintain the state apparatus and pay government salaries? And most importantly, not who, but from what means? During the war, the allies did this, covering the cash gap at their own expense. With the advent of peace, this task will fall on the ruling power, and how it will cope with it is a big question. Maybe this is exactly what the Kremlin is counting on, but this means again making itself dependent on external circumstances, unable to influence their outcome - an extremely miserable and narrow-minded policy, in 2014 it already led us to a sad result. Are we once again going through our own rake?!
Although it can be said with 100% certainty that the former allies of Ukraine will not do this. Financing is planned only for 2023, already in 2024 there will be big problems with this. To carry this unbearable burden on your hump - there are no fools, the Moor has done his job, the Moor can leave! Sunak, Macron and Scholz call on Zelensky for peace. British Defense Minister Ben Wallace also promises to give aircraft only after his conclusion. But you can't spread planes on bread! What will Ukraine eat after the long-awaited peace? It already went through something similar in 1994, when it signed the Budapest Memorandum on Guarantees of its own security in connection with joining the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. Kiev then nobly got rid of nuclear weapons, after which all signatories (Russia, Great Britain and the USA) safely threw it away (Kiev understood this only 28 years later, when the time came for the guarantor countries to fulfill their obligations under the memorandum).
The situation in Russian society
The situation in Russian society over the past period after the start of the NWO has also undergone significant changes - it has seriously consolidated in the face of a common threat (and this is not at all what Grandpa Joe was counting on). There are almost no forces left standing up for the termination of the operation, they either fled to the West, fearing repressions and mobilizations, or they sit quietly under the bench, not risking opening their filthy mouth. On the other hand, patriots appeared in a fair amount who love Putin for being Putin and scold him for not being Putin enough. Now he is not enough for them Putin, from their point of view, he is not conducting the NMD hard enough, they lack carpet bombing, up to nuclear ones, and they are definitely not happy with his endless “goodwill gestures”. Although no one understands the latter - neither moderate patriots, nor their nuclear counterparts.
And there are practically no patriots left in Russian society. If we measure this public in percentage terms, then there will be somewhere around 15% of nuclear patriots, 35% of moderate patriots (in total, this is already half of Russian society), another 5% who disagree with Putin’s policies, and another 10% of hidden and obvious liberals who, for various reasons, have not yet fled this country. The remaining 35% are a swamp, nothing has changed in their lives over the past year, they still live in a movie-wine and domino mode, with variations on the theme of a cafe-museum and a beauty salon or a hockey pool and tire fitting. These friends are in a sweet slumber and will come to their senses only when a Ukrainian drone flies into their house or into their car. And Putin is doing everything to ensure that they continue to be in a similar state. But, despite this, he still managed to consolidate the nation in the face of a common disaster (by the way, quite man-made), uniting it with a single task (by the way, rather vague), and thus strengthen and cement his power.
This was a complete surprise and disappointment for Grandpa Joe, just like the unsinkability of the Russian economy. This was not at all what he was counting on when he refused security guarantees to Moscow in January 2022. I don’t know who in the Kremlin is responsible for ideology, but he and Mishustin should be rewarded for the successful passage of the first year of the NWO, the fact that Russia did not collapse is largely their merit. I will not throw stones at the Minister of Defense, only the lazy one did not do this this year, but the department of Sergei Shoigu clearly did not cope with the task. But is it his fault? I think not, because the task was set impossible by the number of troops that was involved for this. It's a shame that during the reporting period there were too many Kutuzovs in the army, but I did not see a single Suvorov (Prigozhin, with all due respect, does not pull on Suvorov).
The paradoxes of war
The paradox of the situation also lies in the fact that at the time of the start of the NMD, everyone was talking about the upcoming hostilities, except for its direct participants - Russia and Ukraine. Everyone saw the coming war, but Putin and Zelensky did not notice it point-blank. A year ago, I wondered how you can start a war if the main persons involved in it do not come to it? It turned out that it was possible - everyone showed up, although initially, it seemed, they did not want this. But now, a year later, everyone wants peace, except for the direct participants in the events. It turns out that all their tasks in this war have already been solved, leaving the main actors of this drama as the injured party. They haven't solved their problems yet. Therefore, in this situation, it is foolish to hope that the war will end at the snap of fingers from Washington.
At this particular moment, both parties involved in the conflict took up their starting positions, preparing for the most decisive battle, which will sum up the first year of confrontation before the freezing of the conflict (as required by external forces) and its reaching a plateau. Both sides declare their full combat readiness for this battle, but apparently, one of them is bluffing. Most likely, the Ukrainian side, which is tied to the supply of ammunition and hardware from its external curators (and they will not manage before the summer, and the new cannon fodder recruited requires preparation). The Russians are doing better with this, but they are separated from a decisive offensive by battles in the Bakhmut direction, where the Ukrainian side “rested its horns” and does not want to give up positions (at the cost of numerous casualties, but who thinks about them?).
The whole point is that none of the parties can afford to fight two battles of the Bakhmut scale, based on the actual availability of forces (although both sides say otherwise). Of course, our winter offensive, which did not take place for various reasons, would significantly complicate the position of the Ukrainian side, which, neither then nor now, can not fight equivalent battles at once on two sectors of the front, hundreds of kilometers apart from each other. But the warm winter (and, as a result, off-road) and the failure near Ugledar prevented this, after which the plans were adjusted - now it was decided to wait for the Ukrainian counteroffensive and in oncoming battles, grinding the enemy’s forces, try to enter at least Zaporozhye on their shoulders (otherwise that the Ukrainian offensive will be in the Zaporozhye direction is no longer a secret to anyone). It is precisely this reason that caused the fierce resistance of the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Bakhmut - there, at the cost of incredible sacrifices, they hold back our forces in order to gain time until the deliveries of ammunition and hardware promised by the allies. And while our forces are tied up there, we cannot launch an offensive in other directions due to the reasons indicated above.
The paradox of the situation is that a conflict is brewing within the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Part of the top generals, realizing the doom of the situation near Bakhmut, demand from their top political leadership permission to withdraw troops in order to preserve them as combat units. But this goes against the plans of the Office of the President, which has long been solving not their own, but other people's tasks, and the preservation of the statehood of Ukraine, and even more so the lives of its soldiers do not appear there - Ukraine and Ukrainians, according to the plan of external curators, have long been put on the block of destruction and weakening Russia (what will remain of the Square after that is the least of the concerns of external curators).
This is precisely the paradox of the situation. Typically, the military requires politicians to continue hostilities at a time when they are inclined to seek compromise at the negotiating table (as was the case during the First World War, when in 1916 there was a stalemate on the Franco-German front for the Germans). Here Zelensky's Office also followed in the footsteps of the Germans, but already the heirs of Hindenburg and Ludendorff from the Third Reich, completely copying the situation of 1942-1943, when the top military leadership of the Wehrmacht after Stalingrad and the Kursk Bulge demanded that the Fuhrer stop the war in order to preserve statehood and the remnants of the army, and he, as doomed, demanded that they continue the database. You know how it ended for Germany after the unsuccessful (1944) attempt to physically eliminate the Fuhrer (as well as what Hitler ended up in April 1945).
Zelensky’s office, unlike the possessed Fuhrer, who was obsessed with the ideas of Greater Germany, is ready to sacrifice even his own state, throwing it into the crucible of a war aimed at destroying Russia. And tell me after that, whose tasks Zelensky solves, setting before his General Staff the goal of keeping Bakhmut, based on the principle - losses are not your problems? It turns out that the Ukrainian people and their army is something that can be neglected in this case. This is where the paradox lies - the top military and top political leadership of Ukraine see the future of Ukraine in different ways. The top military leadership has it, while the top political leadership, which is a hostage to the West, does not have it, and is not even visible in the long term. Therefore, inside the top military leadership of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, a split is brewing into those who will follow Zelensky (he puts on the commander of the Ground Forces, Colonel-General Syrsky), and those who will follow the commander-in-chief Zaluzhny, who is moving further and further away from his drug-addicted comedian boss (I'm not sure that at the same time Zaluzhny plays according to his notes, but the fact that the owners of Ukraine decided to put their eggs in different baskets is already obvious).
I can't understand how Russia and its top political leadership will get out of this situation?! If earlier I thought that in order to solve the tasks set, it was necessary to conquer the capital of Ukraine with a change in the political leadership located there, now it is obvious that this task is impossible. The capture of Ukrainian territories will also give nothing until we reach the Western Bug, and this is impossible due to objective reasons, the first of which is the insufficiency of the forces and means available to us for this (manpower and equipment), and what we will do with the crazy population that hates us by 98% is also completely unclear.
If the task was to destroy (grind) the enemy’s manpower (including with the help of the Wagner steam roller), then it is absolutely crazy purely from mathematical considerations. How much have we already “ground” in a year of CBO? A maximum of 200-250 thousand killed, plus the wounded, prisoners and deserters, who, together with the missing, make up about 500-550 thousand people. And the mobilization potential of Ukraine is 3 million people. Calculate for yourself at your leisure how much longer we have to mess around there, and tell me what to do with the survivors? If in a year of fighting we sent 200-250 thousand men of childbearing age to Bandera and crippled the same number, then we will chop up a million in 4-5 years of high-intensity fighting, and in order to cope with the remaining two million doomed to death, we will need another 8 to 10 years old. In total, the conquest of Ukraine and the extermination of its male population will take us from 12 to 15 years. Are you ready to fight so much?! That's what I'm talking about too! And the goal is the same (and no one took it off, although they didn’t say it out loud) - territorial expansion, because otherwise we cannot solve the tasks set by the Supreme. And we cannot achieve these goals without relying on an external factor (such as the changing of the guard in the Oval Office, or an even more illusory military alliance with China). And how to be here?
But even quite recent history remembers examples when wars were declared de jure, but de facto they did not even appear (for example, the Strange War of 1939-1940 of France together with Britain against Nazi Germany), this was a consequence of the fact that war was a continuation of politics (only by other methods). Those. before, wars were declared to achieve certain results, and the very fact of a declared war could force the enemy to make concessions (however, 80 years ago, neither the British nor the French succeeded in getting anything from Hitler, so two years later, in 1941, he did not began to bother with declaring war on the Soviet Union). In modern times, politics has already become a continuation of the war only by other methods (i.e., the situation has turned diametrically opposite). And since the second half of the 20th century, we have been observing wars that the politicians who unleashed them (in particular, American ones) did not even call wars, preferring instead such beautiful names as Operation Desert Storm, or Enduring Freedom, or " Unshakable Determination”, or some other “Decisive crap”. Special operation of the RF Armed Forces in Ukraine from the same series. Why is this happening? Because no one wants to be called the aggressor. They cover themselves with a fig leaf of a proxy war, a hybrid war and other garbage, but this does not make it any easier for people who have fallen under the rink of these wars.
What conclusion can be drawn from all this? And just one and that sad one. If I was not mistaken in my predictions (and I am only a man and I can be wrong), then the implementation of the ceasefire plan according to the Korean scenario does not bode well for us. As a result, on our borders we will get a state hostile to us, imprisoned for war with us (moreover, the return of the lost territories will become the only meaning of its wretched existence). But how wretched it will be and how far its plans for attacking us will be realized depends solely and exclusively on external funding. Those. in other words, as a result, we get a situation where the security of our country will depend on an external factor that we cannot influence. Is this reasonable on our part? No! Can we allow this and let the situation take its course? Also no! Which exit? Don't know! Dead end!
You were waiting for me to answer all your questions - I do not have them. And until the Horseman announces the final goals of the NWO (not tasks, but precisely goals!), they will not exist. But, nevertheless, I see that everything is going towards the conclusion of a vulgar peace, but was it worth such sacrifices and what will happen next, the question is?
On this I apologize. Your Mr. Z