Russia will not be able to repel a US nuclear strike if it leaves the INF Treaty

According to expert Alexei Arbatov, if the United States really withdraws from the Treaty on the Elimination of Intermediate and Short-Range Missiles, Russia will greatly lose from this. He expressed this point of view in an interview with the Russian weekly Zvezda.

An active member of the Russian Academy of Sciences, the head of the Center for International Security believes that in this case Moscow will have to face enormous expenses in order to defend itself against the weapons of a potential adversary - first of all, the Pershing.

Arbatov does not agree with the position of those experts who believe that Russia will even benefit from the US withdrawal from the INF Treaty and that this agreement itself was in the hands of the United States at the time of its conclusion. He noted that the United States, according to this document, destroyed missiles that could reach the USSR. At the same time, the USSR eliminated those missiles that could hardly reach the United States. Having concluded the treaty, the Soviet Union averted the real threat from itself.

Now, if the INF Treaty is terminated, US missiles will be a thousand kilometers closer to the central regions of Russia. And in case of war, Russian missiles will be able to get the enemy only from Chukotka. Moreover, they "cover" only Alaska, without hitting the continental parts of the United States. Of course, for Washington this will be a nuisance, but not too big.

In the event that American medium-range missiles appear in Poland, Romania and the Baltic states, this, according to the expert, will smash the entire Russian retaliatory strike system.

Arbatov said that the Russian "Topol" will not be effective enough in such a confrontation:

We have “poplars” in bulk. By “poplars” we will not surprise anyone. The new Sarmat heavy missile is, of course, unpleasant for the Americans, but unlike the same Pershing that may appear in the Baltic states, it doesn’t change anything qualitatively

The interlocutor of Zvezda concluded that Russia would have to find enormous resources for defense. However, he emphasized that this “can be done”, but it’s better to try to agree on the preservation of the INF Treaty in order to avoid an arms race and the costs of it.

Since the interview with him was published before it became known that full-length negotiations between Vladimir Putin and Donald trump will not be, Arbatov expressed hope that politicians will be able to arrange a meeting in Paris. At the same time, he noted that Trump can still "turn in one direction or another."
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  1. zenion Offline zenion
    zenion (zinovy) 6 November 2018 16: 28
    It will be enough to call an American volcano so that it wakes up. And such academics were full before the Great Patriotic War. They whined all the way — a war would have been faster and surrendered. But Stalin did not allow it.
  2. Yuri Mikhailovsky (Yuri Mikhailovsky) 6 November 2018 17: 45
    Well, they found an expert
  3. Shelest2000 Offline Shelest2000
    Shelest2000 6 November 2018 18: 54
    The smart Government of Russia, in the case of an attempt to deploy Amerov INF, it doesn’t matter with which warhead, would say that the attempt to deploy these missiles is regarded by Russia as Casus belli, as a declaration of war without any restrictions and that if these missiles are deployed in Romania, the Baltic States, Poland will receive a preventive nuclear strike at these locations.
    Then these European mongrels startled, turned pale, covered with cold, smell bad then and start to think - or maybe they all the same. These missiles, live a hottz.
    But this is a smart government, not greedy, as it is now.
  4. oracul Offline oracul
    oracul (leonid) 7 November 2018 07: 43
    Better or worse, is that the question? A time has passed long enough to understand that the means of warfare have not remained the same, but have fundamentally changed. And, most importantly, they make it possible, in addition to Europe, to inflict direct damage on the United States and its territory, which is unacceptable for them with their way of life. The thought creeps in that expert Arbatov is unduly worried about the cost problem on our part. Of course, they will grow, but, if wisely, it is not at all mirrored. And I would draw attention to the opinion of expert Kedmi, who constantly holds the idea that the United States should be aware that, unlike the past, it is not Europe, but they themselves will be goal No. 1. And then they used to sit out over the oceans.
  5. Sleep Offline Sleep
    Sleep 8 November 2018 09: 47
    Russia has never had enough nuclear weapons comparable to the American and their allied ones.
    But! Russia promised a guaranteed answer. Despite everything ....
    1. DeGreen Offline DeGreen
      DeGreen 8 November 2018 21: 33
      Also an alarmist, like this humpbacked one?
    2. gorbunov.vladisl (Vlad Dudnik) 14 November 2018 17: 07
      Russia has never had enough nuclear weapons comparable to the American and their allied ones.

      What? crying
      And before this stupidity to blur, it was weak to use the Internet? After all, now any infa is at hand.
      So ...
      The United States reached its maximum in nuclear warheads in 1967 - 31225 warheads. And they never had more of this amount.
      The USSR reached its maximum in 1975 - 46 warheads. At that time, it was more than all other nuclear countries combined. Including the USA, of course. hi
  6. DeGreen Offline DeGreen
    DeGreen 8 November 2018 21: 32
    And who is this Oleksey Gorbatov? Something I have not heard about such an expert. Another .....
    Who believes that one should prostrate oneself in front of the USA and repent before Ukraine? Give everything to the Baltic states?
  7. Alexander-Petrovich Zorin 10 December 2018 01: 08
    Or maybe Russia should do what Israel does in relation to Iranian bases in Syria and Lebanon? What is the Dagger designed for? Is it so that in the former Soviet republics of the Baltic states, in Poland and Romania there are American bases that threaten Russia? Destroy everything that threatens our state now. Do not wait when they start to do this first and we, due to time limit, will not be able to either repel the attack or respond. If we destroy their nearest bases, what will the US start a war with us? And what difference will they start it now or the day after tomorrow. What will we wait for them to prepare and deliver a preemptive strike, and we, as in 1941, will not be ready again!
    I do not think that Europe will want to turn into nuclear ashes, and the United States and even more so.
    1. Osiris Offline Osiris
      Osiris (Osiris) 18 December 2018 15: 23
      Yes, what a war ..... ours and so will surrender everything. Not military, so politicians.
  8. Alexander-Petrovich Zorin 10 December 2018 01: 23
    ... if the United States really withdraws from the Treaty on the Elimination of Intermediate and Short-Range Missiles, Russia will greatly lose from this ...

    And who or what will prevent them from withdrawing from this Treaty? Maybe the ABM Treaty does not play any role for Russia and it has not lost anything? No counter-bullet will save the pistol attached to the temple, and not even a fool. The United States sneezes on the Treaties and establishes missile defense and stockpiles of cruise missiles with nuclear warheads, which in 7 minutes will be in the area of ​​St. Basil's Cathedral.
    I don’t want the Americans to die, I want them to go to heaven.