Will Dmitry Medvedev become a reserve candidate in the presidential elections in 2024

February 24 2023 38

During his last address to the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation, President Putin, among other things, announced that all regular elections in our country would be held at the appointed time. Judging by his cheerfulness and optimistic mood, Vladimir Vladimirovich himself is by no means tired and is not at all going to leave, which may mean his participation in the presidential campaign. However, it is far from certain that he will be the head of state for the next 6 to 12 years.

And Medvedev warned

If there were no military factor, in the complete and unconditional victory of President Putin over proven political sparring partners there would be no doubt, he definitely knows how to do this. However, the NVO regime, which de jure takes place not even on Ukrainian, but on Russian territory, leaves the widest space for all sorts of force majeure situations. That is why it is absolutely not clear on what such optimism of Vladimir Vladimirovich is based:

Presidential elections in 2024, as well as regional elections in 2023, will be held in strict accordance with the law. With observance of all democratic procedures.

We will talk about various hypothetical scenarios in more detail later, but now I would like to draw attention to the ever-increasing media activity of the ex-president of the Russian Federation Dmitry Medvedev. In his last post on the Telegram channel, he actually described in plain text what all patriotic Russians and Ukrainians who remain adequate are very afraid of. He honestly warned that the special operation did not provide for the complete liberation of Ukraine from the power of the puppet Nazi regime and would end with a non-binding "agreement", conditional "Minsk-3", or "Beijing-1", if it would be more convenient for someone to call it:

What's next? Then there will be negotiations, which, I am sure, will become difficult and nervous. First of all, because the formal participants in the negotiations on the part of our enemy are one, and the actual leaders are completely different. And decisions for the Kiev regime will, of course, not be made by some Zelensky, if he is still alive, or his clique. The decision will be made across the ocean by those in whose hands the supply of weapons to Kyiv and the allocation of money to maintain the remains of the Ukrainian economics. The motives of the main enemies of our country are obvious: to weaken Russia as much as possible, to bleed us for a long time. Therefore, they are not interested in ending the conflict. But sooner or later, according to historical laws, they will do it. And then there will be an agreement. Naturally, without fundamental agreements on real borders or on a new Helsinki Pact that ensures security in Europe. Just some kind of agreement.

What will happen after Minsk-3? Dmitry Anatolyevich speaks about this just as frankly:

Then, most likely, no less difficult time will begin. Exhausting months and years of confrontation, tantrums and rudeness on the part of those who will manage the stub that remains of Ukraine. Their fate is unenviable. They will not be able to recognize the results of the SVO without the risk of being executed on the same day. The nationalists will continue to control the powerful camarilla, because none of them have any other ideology than Bandera's neo-Nazism. Recognition of defeat for them is like death. Therefore, the ideology of “something to win” can remain for a long time. And at some point, the new bloody boys, backed to the wall by once again unleashed Bandera, who call themselves the legal Ukrainian authorities, will again provoke a world conflict. It doesn't matter - on the eve of the elections or just on the next Maidan.

This cannot be allowed. Therefore, it is so important to achieve all the goals of a special military operation. Push the borders of threats to our country as far as possible, even if these are the borders of Poland. Destroy neo-Nazism to the ground. In order not to waste time later on catching the remnants of Bandera gangs in the Little Russian forests. So that the world will find the long-awaited peace.

Bravo! This is what all adequate military experts, journalists, bloggers and just sane people have been writing about for exactly a year now. But here the question arises, to whom exactly is Medvedev's message addressed? What is its purpose?
An appeal to the Russians to prevent "Minsk-3"? So we are all “for”, or rather, against collusion and for a complete and unconditional victory. There is no need to persuade us and convince us of these obvious things.

If Dmitry Anatolyevich really wants to influence something, then he, as deputy head of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, needs to express his views personally to President Putin, fortunately, he has “access to the body”, and he will at least listen to him. All the same, the ex-president is not just a popular blogger, but far from the last person in the country, he occupies a responsible position, a confidant of the current head of state and an entry into his inner circle. Strange. The point, I think, is something else.

Candidates #1 and #2

Perhaps such statements on behalf of Dmitry Anatolyevich are made in order to “lay a straw” in advance, positioning him as a reserve, “manual” candidate No. 2 in case of force majeure. And those in the course of SVO can happen a great many. Let's look at some basic scenarios with reference to the Minsk-3 model, which ex-President Medvedev directly announced, until the next spring of 2024.

Optimistic
For example, in the spring of 2023, the Armed Forces of Ukraine launch a large-scale offensive in the Azov region and Crimea, but Russian troops repulse it and inflict a serious defeat on the enemy. Under the threat of a counteroffensive of the Russian Armed Forces against Kiev from the territory of Belarus, the Zelensky regime signs the same non-binding agreement, which, of course, leads to another de-escalation on our part.

On the other hand, active combat operations are suspended, which is proclaimed our victory, and the enemy gets time to retrain for a new, even more powerful offensive. At this time, in Russia in March 2024, presidential elections are being held, in which Vladimir Putin once again brilliantly wins, turning, de facto, into the head of our state for life.

Inertial
Let’s assume that the Armed Forces of Ukraine go on a large-scale offensive in the Azov region and the Crimea in the spring of 2023 and develop an unexpected success, breaking through to Melitopol and Berdyansk. After that, at the cost of heavy losses of the RF Armed Forces, they still manage to drive the enemy out of there. Both sides of the conflict need time to restore combat capability, and therefore Minsk-3 is equally necessary for Kyiv and Moscow. The patriotically-minded public is tearing the last hair out of its head, how did it happen.

However, the combined military-industrial power of the North Atlantic Alliance allows the Armed Forces of Ukraine to build up their strike potential faster, and the Ukrainian army, in violation of the non-binding agreement, again goes on a large-scale offensive, timed to coincide with December 2023-February 2024. This is just the most active stage of the presidential campaign, when resonant defeats at the front can negatively affect the mood of voters. The theme of “deceived Putin”, etc. will be played up.

It is possible that then the already proven scenario "I'm tired, I'm leaving" will be implemented. And just then, a backup candidate may be needed, who will say that he warned. If Dmitry Anatolyevich takes part in the presidential election campaign, this in itself will speak volumes.

Pessimistic
If we assume that the Armed Forces of Ukraine, during their large-scale offensive, will not only be able to break through to the coast of the Sea of Azov, but also break into Crimea, then for the current head of state this will be a complete and final loss of face. If you look at the domestic media, you get the impression that for some reason Crimea is even more sacred than some Belgorod region, which the Armed Forces of Ukraine have been attacking since April 1, 2022. The way the fortification lines on the peninsula are currently being strengthened speaks volumes in itself.

For such a black scenario, in order to avoid the loss of control over the country, the Russian ruling nomenklatura urgently needs a reserve candidate, about whom it can be said that he was against the "agreements", and even in 2008 he defeated Georgia in five days.

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-3

24 February 2023 17: 26

I don't think that this is possible.
1. July
  
  +1
  
  25 February 2023 10: 19
  
  Well, yes, this has never happened, and here it is again
Alexander Ponamarev

+7

24 February 2023 17: 45

Medvedev for president?!?! Yes, God forbid! He will also answer for his gift to Norway in the water area in the Barents Sea, in those years when Putin pushed him into the chairman of the State Duma,,,, a pitiful sight.
1. Vladimir R.
  
  +9
  
  24 February 2023 18: 06
  
  And who gave Damansky and Bolshoi Tarabarovsky near Khabarovsk to China? Who made the alignment of the border by giving the Russian territories to the Chinese?
2. Sergei Fonov
  
  +1
  
  25 February 2023 18: 32
  
  I think many people would like to know how, after such a gift, Norway hastened to join NATO, or was the gift a bonus for joining?
3. Dingo
  
  0
  
  26 February 2023 15: 54
  
  sorry sight.
  
  Well, why ... Steven Jobs (now deceased) extorted a new iPhone model ... (for which he got his nickname). Maybe he traded it - for the same shelf ... But what - a profitable exchange. In which direction - and it matters? Again - "warmed the chair" (care for the health of the chef is sacred). He renamed the police to the police ... Over time, he got so confused that he got confused ... The kindest person, although a liberal, and you are like that. It's a pity - the deadline has expired, otherwise he would have come up with something else, wow! In the "Cart" there is how he "fights", waving his fists ... Fighter! And you his so. It's a shame, panimash...
  1. ALGEN
    
    -1
    
    16 March 2023 10: 39
    
    That's for sure! our "iPhone" will ruin the country at once! God forbid, the current supreme leader does not give up slack and gouge to hell with Kyiv, with all of their fascist rulers that are bunching up there. And there is no need to sing songs about civilians! War is war!...
Constantine N

+4

24 February 2023 17: 52

will not, otherwise Russia will definitely end.
Afinogen

+2

24 February 2023 17: 53
During his last address to the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation, President Putin,

This is where he fell asleep, sitting in the front row. Well, if you're not interested in what the president says, sit in the middle and sleep (you can't see it there)
Vladimir R.

-7

24 February 2023 18: 00

Putin for a new term? Yes, God forbid! Medvedev for President of Russia!
1. Vladimir Tuzakov
  
  +9
  
  24 February 2023 20: 11
  
  (Vladimir R.) Well, D. Medvedev is the left hand of V. Putin, the heater of the presidential chair for V.V.P. , an awl for a weaker soap will be a replacement.
Hiker

+9

24 February 2023 18: 05

Neither one nor the other should be even close.
They both sat down at the poker table with the West and lost everything....
Vladimir1155

+1

24 February 2023 18: 08

dear author, wants to be a prophet? , firstly, it is necessary to understand that the language was given to a diplomat in order to hide his thoughts, this also applies to the speech of respected Vladimir Putin and the peace initiatives of respected China, and the speech of respected Dmitry Medvedev. By office, only Medvedev saves the situation (because he is the least responsible of them), and at least explains something to the people and does it certainly not in spite of Putin and Patrushev, but with their tacit consent, it is clear that we are all for friendship for peace and against wars and annexations, but dear D.A. clearly said that it’s useless to negotiate with the Nazis, and you need to reach the Polish border .... in general, the patriots calmed down ... but as for who and how will get out, they will choose the one they need, they won’t ask us and the elections, as in all countries of the so-called democracy, will go in such a way that they choose the one who was designated (appointed) by those who rule the country. , such decisions are made in a narrow circle and not in advance ... so rather than guessing on the coffee grounds, it’s better to honestly say “I don’t know”
1. Vladimir1155
  
  +2
  
  24 February 2023 18: 32
  
  in general, some elements of our internal policy irritate me to the whole people (how exalted I and the whole people!) are irritated by some elements of our internal policy, and only Medvedev explains to the people, and even then with bird language and hints, but the PEOPLE wants to know! On the other hand, there are no active actions to stop the extortionate actions of officials, as if they are deliberately annoying the people, illegally and massively evacuate cars, do not find justice for traffic cops in court (and Putin said that our courts are good), and even invent new fines, punishment for passage on yellow? what is this for? just to annoy people? housing and communal services prices are rising, businesses are going bankrupt under the pressure of extortionists from supervision, and the incomes of workers are not growing, uncertainty causes hidden aggression against the authorities, the first especially nervous ones are already attacking, and today a certain Khachikyan from Shushar attacked the authorities armed. with two sawn-off shotguns and two bombs on Nevsky Prospekt, these Shushary 50 thousand inhabitants, for some reason, officials forbid leaving Shushary to the Ring Road, to other roads too, they just mock the people, they promise a school, a kindergarten, a clinic, but they are not there, but there is money for Skolkovo, there is money for Turkey. buys nabiulin yuan in reserve, . https://spb.tsargrad.tv/news/uzbek-tigran-hachikjan-napal-na-russkogo-kto-vystrelil-v-sotrudnika-omona-v-centre-peterburga_731021 but this shows the irritation of the people, we thought that now we they will give freedom, the damned Americans no longer rule us, we are the winners ... but in fact, the SVO is dragging on for unknown reasons (felt betrayal, felts weakness) in the economy is deaf, a drop in production, Gref Siluanov Nabiulina rules, but the liberals already hate Putin and never fall in love, so why offend the patriots? after all, they, too, can be offended and overthrow the government, and this will be worse than liberals if the deep people rise up. Putin may find himself in the position of Danton, who rejected both the left and right parts, and died .. Putin sees paid flatterers and believes that the people love him, love him, but he can fall out of love, from love to hate is one step, for example, draining the NWO is this step ... ...
Obstacle

0

24 February 2023 18: 35

If only the Necronomicon was dug up...
Vasya 225

+10

24 February 2023 18: 38

Medvedev's option is worse than the worst. That's when exactly the country skiff. True, and now somehow everything is not very good.
Vladimir1155

+7

24 February 2023 19: 37

in general, the SVO reminds me of the RYAV, the same betrayal, the same deliberate non-commissioning of the most combat-ready units into battle, unmotivated retreat, the murders of the most patriotic commanders, Admiral Makarov, General Kondratenko, Mozgovoy Motorola, the total betrayal of the country by the highest military ranks (Rozhdestvensky intentionally destroyed the entire Navy with everything crews) and irresponsibility, and no one answered for the loss of Moscow, no one answered for the complete collapse of the fleet, the absence of minesweepers, it is not justice that rules, but only bureaucratic subordination, this subordination ruined the Republic of Ingushetia, will ruin the Russian Federation ..
let's imagine a certain conditional person, let's call him Khachikyan, he lived in a small town and had a dacha apartment job, sat with his neighbors on a bench, and so Chubais Gref came and ruined his plant, the town was empty, there was no work, and Chubais got himself to feed nanotechnologists buys a yacht for himself, like a cruiser, Khachikyan went to St. Petersburg and lived in rented apartments, but then he got into debt, his grandmother died, he finally bought his own housing by the age of 40, somewhere in Kudrovo, in Murino on Parnassus or Shushary. I bought it so that I can pay the mortgage all my life and the apartment is a small studio 20 meters away ... there he, the wife is a child, in order to leave Shushary, you need to stand in traffic every day for an hour, otherwise there is no way and the officials of the highway forbade the Shusharians to travel to the Ring Road invented some norms ( as it turned out, these norms were simply invented), they actually made a separate exit for themselves just opposite Shushar. they also forbade the Murins. they drove 40 thousand residents along the field passage of the Bugry state farm for tractors and combines, but there Drozdenko put pressure on the federal highway, and there is a Soviet-era metro in Murino. but he doesn’t press the fugitives, so Khachikyan works 12 hours 7 days a week, and he also goes to work for a couple of hours, he stands in a traffic jam for an hour and travels through the whole city for an hour, there is no clinic in Shushary, they don’t take children to school, in even more so, and then Khachikyan found out that Nabiulina profkuala with Gref and Silyanov 300 billion dollars, received gratitude and a bonus from the authorities for this, she doesn’t know if she will live out her pension, everything is in a fog, how to find a job at 60 64, and even Khachikyan found out that they had left Kherson, that it was not clear why ours were dying there, that Donetsk might also be handed over ... Khachikyan became sad, he took two sawn-off shotguns, two bombs and went to Nevsky Prospekt to kill the authorities, inspired by the feat of another Armenian who killed two extortionate bailiffs in Sochi, those that, by decision of officials, were going to take away his house and garage from him ... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VVeN5KjVjsE abdication in favor of Medvedev will not help Putin, just as abdication in favor of his brother did not help Nicholas II , here you need officials sa reap so that the people do not offend, learn from Stalin, who died at an advanced age in his bed, or from Franco, who answered the question "I have no enemies, I killed them all" and also died in power and in his bed at a very late age, beloved by the people and revered by the honest people not thieves
Jacques sekavar

+3

24 February 2023 19: 46

The elections will be held, but whether Vladimir Putin will take part in them is a big question. First, age. As people in the know say, his worker is in full swing long after midnight, and health and working capacity do not increase in old age.
Secondly, the pleasure is not pleasant at the end of a career to be in the position of a “lame duck”.
Third - regardless of the state of affairs at the front, he can take the post of Secretary General of the ruling party, in the creation of which he was directly involved, and through the Duma majority control the president, regardless of who specifically takes this position, the government and hold the reins in his hands.

The Chinese 12 ceasefire points do not provide for the loss of statehood by Ukraine, which means D.A. Medvedev is right when he says that “an equally difficult time will begin. Exhausting months and years of confrontation, tantrums and rudeness on the part of those who will manage the stub that remains of Ukraine. They will not be able to recognize the results of the SVO and will continue to control the imperious camarilla, because none of them have any other ideology than Bandera neo-Nazism.”

The most important thing is the state structure of the Russian Federation itself, because the fundamental goal of business capitalism is to strive for maximum profit, as it was during the NEP, when money was invested in quickly paying off industries - trade, food, light industry and no one invested in heavy industry and production of means of production. Therefore, I.V. Stalin was forced to take tough measures and put at the forefront not profit, but state planning and the physical production of industry and agriculture under budget financing.

It is impossible to repeat the Soviet experience of industrialization in the modern conditions of the Russian Federation without endangering the integrity of the state, because there is no ideology and dictatorship of the proletariat that cements all nations and peoples, as it was in the USSR and today is the case in China.
1. Dimy4
  
  +1
  
  25 February 2023 21: 36
  
  The elections will be held, but whether Vladimir Putin will take part in them is a big question.
  
  A little differently, the elections will take place, but whether the people will take part in them, in my opinion, is a rhetorical question.
2. trampoline instructor
  
  0
  
  27 February 2023 23: 05
  
  as it was during the time of the NEP, when money was invested in industries that quickly paid off - trade, food, light industry, and no one invested in heavy industry and the production of means of production.
  
  This was only because these key areas remained with the state. This was the main condition of the NEP - private traders received only domestic trade, services and various small things.
  1. wladimirjankov
    
    0
    
    1 March 2023 18: 32
    
    This was the main condition of the NEP - private traders received only domestic trade, services and various small things.
    
    This is what Gorbachev should have done. NEP and not a murderous "perestroika". After all, nothing had to be invented and turned back. Everything has already been tested by Lenin in 19. China used the same NEP for itself. And in both cases it worked. And the USSR would certainly not have collapsed then. Indeed, in essence, the union fell apart due to the fact that the monopoly state system could not properly feed and clothe the people. The NEP would have dealt with it. And then there would be no reason for the collapse of a great country. And there were no wars on its territory, incl. and last. The people would be united and millions of people would not perish. But it seems that Gorbachev had a different task. How could you do this to your country and homeland? After all, he was born on this earth and grew up.
Vladimir Tuzakov

0

24 February 2023 20: 02

An attempt to sound out about D. Medvedev by the president gives clear answers - a weather vane in someone's hands cannot be a responsible president. The answer is unequivocal - no, and the voters will not elect.
1. Vladimir80
  
  +3
  
  25 February 2023 00: 39
  
  And if electronic voting allows you to draw any result ???
  1. Accidentally
    
    0
    
    4 March 2023 08: 46
    
    My childhood friend warned me in 1995 that I didn’t go to the polls and I live in peace ... otherwise you are right
Vox Populi

+4

24 February 2023 20: 56

Just a few classics:

Grandee

G.R. Derzhavin

An idol put to shame
Meaningless mob seduces;
But if artists look in him
Does not feel direct beauties, -
Behold the image of false rumors,
Behold a block of mud sweetened!
And you, without spiritual goodness,
Not all, nobles, are these?

Not Persian Pearls on You
And not Brazilian stars are clear;
For lovers of truth
Only virtues are beautiful
They are mortal praise.
Caligula! your horse in the Senate
Could not shine, shining in gold!
Good deeds shine.

The donkey will remain a donkey
While screeching it with stars;
Where the mind must act,
He only claps his ears.
ABOUT! in vain happiness hand
Against the natural rank,
Madman disguises himself in lord
Or into the hype of a fool
Sergey Latyshev

+3

24 February 2023 22: 14

That is why it is absolutely not clear on what such optimism of Vladimir Vladimirovich is based: ...

Yes, everything is clear to everyone.

Mironov seems to have already stated that his party will not nominate anything so that the GDP collects more votes.
It looks like everything has already been decided.
There is no opposition, they will poke a finger at least at Medvedev, at least at anyone, and that's it, remotely 50-70% of the votes will be. Well, GDP will be calculated more. 70-80, so as not to repeat the mistakes of the father
1_2

+8

24 February 2023 23: 46

Berezovsky also said that he could even make a monkey the president of the Russian Federation, since then the election technology has changed little, except that they began to install magic boxes of KOIBs, you don’t need to throw anything in them, the necessary zeros of the numbers will be remotely entered into the final results and ballots. if Govorun wants to appoint a non-Dimon, then there will be castling again)) and if he wants to crown his daughter, we will have an "empress" to rule, but we already had a couple of Tanya Yeltsin and Chubais, they managed so that Hitler would envy them
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ustal51

+4

25 February 2023 06: 33

God save us from such a candidate!
unc-2

+3

25 February 2023 08: 13

There are doubts about whether there will be elections at all. Mironov's statement not to nominate a candidate from his party speaks volumes. The same position was taken by the Liberal Democratic Party. Perhaps there will be an election of one candidate, and perhaps not at all.
Potapov

+4

25 February 2023 09: 02

Vile games of pseudo-democracy ... Only power, impunity, general servility, beggarly serfs, cheerful pans ... Slightly capitalism, a little feudalism, a lot of senselessness and slavery ...
Kuramori Reika

+4

25 February 2023 09: 36

This is impossible. We are really tired of Putin's team. He could confidently win only if a large number of candidates were thrown in the elections, who would pit the opposition electorate against each other. And so, if Medvedev and Prigozhin or his protege participate, the latter will win by a huge margin. But the arrival of Prigozhin immediately marks the mass executions among officials and thieves of the General Staff. Therefore, Prigozhin will first have to enlist the support of military generals by throwing out the parquet reindeer herders.
1. Uncle Borya
  
  +3
  
  25 February 2023 11: 33
  
  Prigozhin will never be allowed to become president, just as they did not give Pavel Grudinin, for whom the majority of voters would vote.
  Even at the stage of the election race against Grudinin, persecution from the tax authorities began, foreign accounts surfaced (as if other pro-government officials did not have them), organized a raider seizure of his property, including with the participation of his ex-wife, who, of course, acted on orders enemies of Grudinin, but not of their own free will.
  This also includes the co-operation of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation in terms of protecting their candidate, and the head of the party - in the first place. He has already leaked one election, when Yeltsin was elected for a second term, and in fact Zyuganov won, but this was hidden from the people. And this time he, too, remained silent cowardly. And why should he climb somewhere, he already got a good job.
  So Prigozhin will be ostracized if he simply thinks about the presidency, not to mention running for office, because those in power are well aware that the people will vote for him by a majority.
2. Human_79
  
  +1
  
  26 February 2023 14: 27
  
  I think that the closer to the elections, the more slop will be poured out on different opponents of Putin.
  (Both positive and negative "heroes". It has always been, is and will be in all countries during various elections.)
  Only "dummies", insignificant figures and a representative of the West (or maybe more than one) will remain.
Nikolaevich I

+6

25 February 2023 18: 47

Dimona to "kingdom"? God forbid ! Lord, have pity on Russia! He already "reigned" at one time in Russia! And during this period, he did a lot of harm to the country! Shh! Shit, darkness!
radvas

+4

26 February 2023 10: 05

Save the Lord from the unclean!
lord-palladore-11045

0

26 February 2023 14: 00

2024! I hope Putin does not shine, Medvedev, I hope, also does not shine. And we will not rewrite the constitution? That's right, the Flying Baltic is needed here!
Human_79

+1

26 February 2023 14: 20

Well, him .......... away!
Yes, and his explosives should not be "pulled out of the deck" again.
The map is already lit up and showed itself poorly.
1. wladimirjankov
  
  0
  
  1 March 2023 18: 44
  
  Yes, he has no one standing in his deck, so he will drag this iPhone lover again. Judging by the fact that he has recently started up and began to make various statements, he has already been given the command to get ready.
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