Beijing agreements: is peace between Russia and Ukraine possible?

19

Recently to news Quite a lot of comments have appeared on analytical articles calling for a speedy conclusion of some kind of peace agreement with Ukraine, which supposedly should protect Russia from a complete and final military defeat. They say that a bad peace is better than a good war, but a truce is also acceptable in order to better prepare for the resumption of hostilities against the Kyiv regime. What can the Kremlin's possible bet on a "peaceful settlement" lead to?

Beijing Accords


It is noteworthy that exactly on the anniversary of the beginning of the NWO in Ukraine, the Chinese Foreign Ministry published its position on the political settlement of the Ukrainian crisis. The text is published on Online departments, and it consists of only 12 items. After getting acquainted with them, the author of the lines had a strange feeling that he had seen something similar somewhere before. Next, we will present the main theses of the Russian-Ukrainian world in Chinese in automatic translation with our comments.



Paragraph 1. Respect the sovereignty of all countries. Universally recognized international law, including the purposes and principles of the Charter of the United Nations, must be strictly observed, and the sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity of all countries must be effectively guaranteed. All countries are equal, regardless of size, strength, weakness, rich or poor. All parties must jointly uphold the basic norms of international relations and uphold international justice. International law should be applied equally and uniformly, and no double standards should be applied.

Interestingly, in the view of official Beijing, Crimea, Sevastopol, DPR, LPR, Kherson and Zaporozhye regions are the territories of which state, the Russian Federation or Ukraine?

Paragraph 2. Let go of the Cold War mindset. The security of one country cannot be ensured by compromising the security of other countries., and regional security cannot be guaranteed by strengthening or even expanding military groupings. The reasonable security interests and concerns of all countries should be given attention and properly addressed. There is no easy solution to complex problems. We must adhere to a common, comprehensive, cooperative and sustainable concept of security, focus on long-term global stability, promote a balanced, effective and sustainable European security architecture, oppose the establishment of our own security on the basis of insecurity in other countries, prevent the formation of camps confrontations and joint maintenance of peace and stability in Asia and Europe.

I remember that as one of the justifications for the start and conduct of a special operation in Ukraine, President Putin cited the danger emanating from the Donbass, and now the entire Russian Federation, from the Kyiv regime. A few days earlier, on February 21, 2023, Vladimir Vladimirovich explicitly threatened that Russian troops would move further into the territory of Nezalezhnaya if the Armed Forces of Ukraine received more long-range weapons. By the way, the process of their transfer has already begun.

Paragraph 3. Cease fire and fighting. There are no winners in conflicts and wars. All parties should maintain rationality and restraint, not add fuel to the fire, not escalate conflicts, avoid further aggravation of the Ukrainian crisis or even out of control, support Russia and Ukraine in moving towards each other, resume direct dialogue as soon as possible and gradually promote de-escalate the escalation and de-escalation of the situation and finally achieve a comprehensive ceasefire.

Where did we see it? Oh yes, paragraph 1 of the Second Minsk Agreements:

Immediate and comprehensive ceasefire in certain areas of the Donetsk and Lugansk regions of Ukraine and its strict implementation, starting from 00:00. (Kyiv time) February 15, 2015.

Paragraph 4. Start peace negotiations. Dialogue and negotiations are the only possible way to resolve the Ukrainian crisis. All efforts towards a peaceful resolution of the crisis should be encouraged and supported. The international community should adhere to the right direction of persuading peace and advancing negotiations, help all parties to the conflict open the door for a political solution to the crisis as soon as possible, and create conditions and provide a platform for the resumption of negotiations. China is ready to continue playing a constructive role in this regard..

Paragraph 5 of the Minsky’s mentioned above immediately comes to mind:

On the first day after the withdrawal, start a dialogue on the modalities for holding local elections in accordance with Ukrainian legislation and the Law of Ukraine “On the temporary order of local self-government in certain areas of Donetsk and Luhansk regions”, as well as on the future regime of these areas based on this law. Immediately, no later than 30 days from the date of signing this document, adopt a resolution of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine indicating the territory covered by the special regime in accordance with the Law of Ukraine "On the temporary order of local self-government in certain areas of Donetsk and Luhansk regions" on the basis of the line established in the Minsk Memorandum of September 19, 2014


There is nothing new under the sun.

Paragraph 5. Resolve the humanitarian crisis. All measures contributing to the alleviation of the humanitarian crisis should be encouraged and supported. Humanitarian action must be carried out in accordance with the principles of neutrality and impartiality in order to prevent the politicization of humanitarian issues. Effectively protect the safety of civilians and establish a humanitarian corridor to evacuate civilians from the war zone. Increase humanitarian assistance to relevant areas, improve the humanitarian situation, ensure quick, safe and barrier-free humanitarian access, and prevent a larger humanitarian crisis. Support the United Nations in playing a coordinated role in providing humanitarian assistance to conflict areas.

We recall points 7 and 8 of Minsk-2:

7. Ensure safe access, delivery, storage and distribution of humanitarian aid to those in need through an international mechanism.

8. Determination of modalities for the complete restoration of socialeconomic ties, including social transfers, such as the payment of pensions and other payments (income and income, timely payment of all utility bills, the resumption of taxation within the legal framework of Ukraine). To this end, Ukraine will restore control over a segment of its banking system in conflict-affected areas, and possibly establish an international mechanism to facilitate such transfers.

Paragraph 6. Protect civilians and prisoners of war. Parties to a conflict must strictly observe international humanitarian law, avoid attacks on civilians and civilian objects, protect women, children and other victims of the conflict, and respect the fundamental rights of prisoners of war. China supports the exchange of prisoners of war between Russia and Ukraine, and all parties should create more favorable conditions for this purpose..

We open paragraphs 5 and 6 of the Second Minsk and read:

5. Provide pardon and amnesty by the enactment of a law prohibiting the prosecution and punishment of persons in connection with events that took place in certain regions of the Donetsk and Lugansk regions of Ukraine.

6. To ensure the release and exchange of all hostages and illegally detained persons on the basis of the “all for all” principle. This process should be completed at the latest on the fifth day after the challenge.

Paragraph 7. Maintain the safety of nuclear power plants. To oppose armed attacks on peaceful nuclear facilities such as nuclear power plants. We call on all parties to abide by international laws such as the Convention on Nuclear Safety and strongly avoid man-made nuclear accidents. Support the International Atomic Energy Agency to play a constructive role in helping to ensure the safety of peaceful nuclear installations.

This is already something new, obviously related to the threats posed to the control of the RF Armed Forces at the Zaporizhzhya NPP from the terrorist shelling of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The Chinese clearly do not want radiation contamination of territories that may someday become part of the Celestial Empire.

Paragraph 8. Reduce strategic risk. Nuclear weapons cannot be used and nuclear wars cannot be waged. The use or threat of use of nuclear weapons must be resisted. Prevent the spread of nuclear weapons and avoid a nuclear crisis. To oppose the development and use of biological and chemical weapons by any country under any circumstances.

Beijing's position on this issue is obvious: Comrade Xi is also categorically against the use of nuclear weapons by Russia, which will inevitably lead to the receipt of nuclear weapons by Kiev, which is guaranteed to use them on Russian territory.

Paragraph 9. Guarantee the shipment of grain abroad. All parties should implement the Black Sea Food Transportation Agreement signed by Russia, Turkey, Ukraine and the United Nations in a balanced, comprehensive and effective manner, and support the United Nations in playing an important role in this regard. China's International Food Security Cooperation Initiative provides a real solution to the global food crisis.

Obviously, there will be a grain deal. Too many in both the West and the East were interested in Ukraine retaining control over Odessa and other Black Sea ports.

Paragraph 10. Stop unilateral sanctions. Unilateral sanctions and extreme pressure will not only not solve the problem, but will create new problems. Oppose any unilateral sanctions that are not authorized by the Security Council. The countries concerned must stop abusing unilateral sanctions and "long-arm jurisdiction" against other countries, play their part in cooling the Ukrainian crisis, and create conditions for developing countries to develop their economies and improve people's living conditions.

And here is the "carrot" that can be used to reassure and entice the Russian nomenklatura, promising in return for their constructiveness in negotiations with Kiev the lifting of part of the sanctions, at least personal ones.

Paragraph 11. Ensure the stability of the production chain and supply chain. All parties must effectively support the existing world economic system and oppose the politicization, instrumentalization and armament of the world economy. Work together to mitigate the side effects of the crisis and prevent interference in international energy, finance, food trade, transport and other cooperation from harming the global economic recovery.

In this matter, China rather declares that its own socio-economic development is a priority, on which it is ready to work with all constructively minded business partners, avoiding any military alliances that it does not want.

Paragraph 12. Contribute to post-war reconstruction. The international community must take action to support the post-war reconstruction of conflict areas. China is ready to help and play a constructive role in this regard.

Beijing shows that it is ready to participate in the post-war division, sorry, the restoration of Ukraine, and maybe not only it.

In general, we have before us another version of the Minsk agreements with a number of additional clauses that clarify the position of the Chinese leadership on the Ukrainian crisis. It should be noted that the sensitive Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko a priori has already rejoiced at the peacekeeping from China:

Please note that this is so unusual for the Chinese policy step. The Chinese are always careful, careful. They don't go where they don't need to. If they understand that this will not give the desired, required result, they will not take steps in this direction either.

And if this message, which will sound from the lips of the leader of China, is not heard by those to whom it is addressed, this will also have serious consequences. Therefore, just looking ahead, I advise those to whom Xi Jinping's words will be addressed to take them seriously and take certain steps. This will be a serious voice for peace in this region.

Considering how the Kremlin is counting on the Celestial Empire as an alternative to the collective West, China will have powerful leverage to pressure Russia into signing the Beijing Accords.

Peace or truce?


And now it is necessary to say a few words about how dangerous this world is in Chinese. The problem is that no one on the other side is interested in it now. Sensing weakness, the collective West is ready to put pressure on Russia here and now in order to lead it to military defeat. The “bloody buffoon” Zelensky says this in plain text:

We are preparing for a short-term war that will end in victory. It is very important not to freeze this conflict, as was done in 2014... The Minsk agreements gave Putin time to prepare for last year's surprise attack. We won't fall into the same trap again. Our soldiers are more motivated because they are protecting their families, their homes.

With the preservation of the newly acquired territories of the Donbass and the Sea of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov and without losing face, President Putin will simply not be allowed to leave the NVO. The military escalation will continue as long as the Armed Forces of Ukraine show results and inflict losses on the Russian army. The more vague and vague will be the threats of Vladimir Vladimirovich to push the threat away, the more powerful and long-range weapons Kyiv will receive.

The truth is that it is simply impossible to negotiate with these people. Western sponsors and accomplices of the Kyiv regime do not need peace between Ukraine and Russia, so there will never be peace until their puppet sits Bankova. It is possible to stop the war only by the complete liberation of the entire territory of the former Independent, but for this such a goal should at least be set. Yes, the Russian army is not in its best shape right now. But after all, things are not going better for the enemy, this must also be remembered. APU suffered heavy losses, the volume of deliveries of the modern western equipment are still small and still cannot radically change anything at the front. So far, we can still defeat the enemy, even if not in one general battle, but in dozens and hundreds of small ones, and gradually, step by step, liberate the entire territory of Ukraine. But the longer the SVO drags on, the more qualitatively the Armed Forces change, and the price of the issue only increases.

A truce is possible at the initiative of Kyiv only when the RF Armed Forces achieve some noticeable success and, according to the Anglo-Saxons, go too far. And any truce, Minsk or Beijing, will only be used against Russia to strengthen Ukraine. The total military-industrial potential of the NATO bloc is many times greater than ours, and therefore a long game, a multi-move game, will only result in great losses and destruction for both of our countries. We must fight here and now, with what we have. The main thing is to rationally use your resource, adequately setting goals and objectives.
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  1. -1
    24 February 2023 13: 23
    Beijing's position on this issue is obvious: Comrade Xi is also categorically against the use of nuclear weapons by Russia, which will inevitably entail the receipt of nuclear weapons by Kiev, which is guaranteed to use it on Russian territory

    Sorry, but this is not "guaranteed", but a very controversial statement. Firstly, there is a non-proliferation regime for nuclear weapons, and secondly, if the Armed Forces of Ukraine had it, then in what quantity (?) and using nuclear weapons, what will they count on - a disarming strike or a guaranteed powerful response from us ?? ?
    1. +1
      24 February 2023 13: 32
      One of the reasons for Russia's withdrawal from START is precisely the violation by the States of the clause on the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons. And they've been breaking it for a long time.
      1. +1
        24 February 2023 20: 46
        Unfortunately, you do not own the situation:

        The Federation Council unanimously approved the law on suspension Russia's participation in the Treaty on the Reduction and Limitation of Strategic Offensive Arms (START III)
        1. 0
          25 February 2023 08: 02
          No need to quibble over words. Your ignorance of the situation is more significant. The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty is being violated by Western countries.
          I would advise you to carefully read the texts of the START and NPT treaties. And also read what the bilateral agreements on the "joint use of nuclear weapons" mean. At the moment, negotiations are underway on the deployment of US nuclear weapons on the territory of Poland, Japan and South Korea. It is also located in several European countries.
          The exit (I specifically use this word) of Russia from START is due to numerous violations by the States of the terms of this Treaty. In addition, he threatens the security of Russia in the light of the NWO. No one mentions this moment. Apparently, the text of the Treaty itself is still unknown to many.
  2. +2
    24 February 2023 13: 25
    Merkel, Hollande, Poroshenko said that the agreements were signed to prepare for war. Zelensky said that he was not going to comply with the Minsk agreements. With whom to sign "peace agreements"?

    The Chinese project does not provide for guarantees and control over all these, certainly good, points. Russia's security guarantees can only be ensured by the disarmament of the Ukrainian army and the creation of Russian bases on the western border of Ukraine. Destruction of missile defense bases in Poland and Romania, withdrawal of NATO troops from the Baltic states and Poland. Russia in this case can minimize its forces in Kaliningrad to the level of necessary defense.

    The presence of Crimea, Donbass, Kherson and Zaporozhye within Russia is no longer discussed.

    Moscow will not agree to the Chinese proposals, Kyiv will not agree to these proposals. Washington will not agree to these agreements.
    Conclusion: China has declared itself as a peacekeeper. All this was read, applauded and ... forgotten. Russia's victory lies in the destruction of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and causing unacceptable damage to the EU economy. And there is another, no less important goal of the SVO. This is a reformatting of the Russian economy and a way out of the colonial trough of the West. By the way, this internal task is much more important than the declared goals of the NWO.
    1. 0
      25 February 2023 15: 24
      Russia's security guarantees can only be ensured by the disarmament of the Ukrainian army and the creation of Russian bases on the western border of Ukraine. Destruction of missile defense bases in Poland and Romania, withdrawal of NATO troops from the Baltic states and Poland

      And you believe in the reality of your words after everything that happened??? If this is sincere, then I feel sorry for you...

      Russia's victory lies in the destruction of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and causing unacceptable damage to the EU economy. And there is another, no less important goal of the SVO. This is the reformatting of the Russian economy and the exit from the state of the colonial trough of the West

      I will answer with a verse from the song:

      Words, words, again words, just words,
      Only words.
      Beautiful words, happy dreams
      The time has passed, the time has passed
      ...
      In vain, in vain, in vain
      You repeat to me in vain
      Words that I don’t argue are beautiful
      All this, understand, in vain,
      Cause I'm so tired of the words
      Better shut up
      1. 0
        25 February 2023 16: 27
        I don't just believe it. I'm sure of it. And don't feel sorry for me. What's happened? China has rolled out its vision of a settlement. Why don't you look at the whole package of Chinese proposals?
        Security guarantees must be mutual. This is what I wrote about.
  3. +2
    24 February 2023 13: 36
    Chinese verbiage, undisguised PR. As for Russia's non-use of nuclear weapons, it's simply ridiculous. Who will decide to transfer nuclear weapons to Ukraine if he himself risks becoming the object of Moscow's nuclear response? The advantages of the Chinese initiative can only be attributed to its rejection by all parties to the conflict)
  4. +1
    24 February 2023 13: 44
    The Chinese need a situation where "And we offered you for a long time" ....... Taking into account the situation around Taiwan. It will be like "You rejected our offer, so don't mess with us with yours" !!!!
  5. +1
    24 February 2023 15: 14
    The author raised a very difficult topic. There is nothing to wag, before we depended on the West, now on China. Apparently, China is considering Ukraine according to the documents of 1991. And most countries consider it this way. The initiative comes from the leader of China. And he will be very offended if something does not work out here. There will also be consequences. Here, or before Xi's visit, it is necessary to move as far as possible in order for the negotiations to be more successful. We ourselves have created blockages in the past. And now it is very difficult, and maybe unbearable to rake.
  6. +1
    24 February 2023 16: 42
    Nothing initiative. And China understands this very well, it just wants a plus in diplomacy. Like the Turks and others.

    As before all wars, NWO is fought over territories. What kind of king and boyars will rule there and "ensure peace and security."
    And as before, whoever runs out of steam earlier will blow it out.
    Prigozhin just announced hundreds of thousands of dead "commoners", in contrast to the VIA officials
  7. -2
    24 February 2023 16: 58
    The PRC’s plan does not provide for the deprivation of Ukraine’s statehood, which means a postponed war and eventually its entry into the EU, which is almost 100% NATO members, and the declared goal of NATO is the decolonization of the Russian Federation through victory on the battlefield.
    If a state entity with a population of 1,4 billion people, an economy of $30 billion. in terms of purchasing power against $ 25 billion from the United States, the highest economic growth rates, a huge solvent domestic market and global political economy plans offer something - the rest of the world is forced to listen to this and draw conclusions based on the fundamental goal of capitalism - maximum profit. The PRC market can easily not only replace the US market, but also free it from overseas oppression, which will contribute to the formation of a multipolar world and the EU as one of the three world centers after China and the USA.
  8. -1
    24 February 2023 20: 49
    in general, both the author and commentators and the respected D.A. Medvedev and the respected V.V. Putin came to a consensus that diplomatic words, no matter who they come from China or the West, remain fluctuations in the air, which was publicly confirmed by Merkel and Macron. So you need to fight to the border with Poland ... why did you expect from China, well, for example, imagine what Wise Xi would say, throw an atomic bomb on the lions and do it harder, destroy Ukraine, take all of its teitria for yourself and drive the Nazis out to Poland, and give me part of it, .... imagine what the diplomatic reaction of the "world community" will be, promoted by the snn, and the Reitars agent .... so it's easy for China to say the right things, especially since they are not going to take away Taiwan, they are peaceful there and Taiwan, not Ukraine, but an integral part of China, which I personally and Putin and Lavrov confirm. I would like to joyfully conclude that China’s decision is correct, the main thing is that having said common truths in favor of the poor, China does not even offer mediation, that is, in fact, it simply does not climb into the NWO in any way wisely in Chinese sitting on the river bank ..... and that’s good.
    1. -1
      24 February 2023 20: 57
      on the other hand, this is a strong move by China, he declared himself as a world hegemon, this is a message to the whole world, he, and not the United States, offers ways and directions .... and not with military bases around the world, not with aggression and marines, but with the wisdom of a boa constrictor and quietly like an Asian tiger (cat), all countries of the world should see that the American king is naked, squandered, can’t do anything, but there is a reliable Chinese wall, ready to quietly and wisely rule the world for the sake of prosperity and peacefully ..... how !
      1. 0
        24 February 2023 21: 24
        Wise Xi already once said something to Macron, but he perverted and called, so wise Xi had to publicly scold macron like a boy, and even more so, public statements are always diplomatic and in general about nothing, the language is given to a diplomat to hide his thoughts
  9. -1
    25 February 2023 15: 41
    The truce perhaps on the initiative of Kyiv only when the RF Armed Forces achieve some noticeable success and, according to the Anglo-Saxons, go too far

    Yes, but a truce inevitably in the event that the initiative of the PRC is supported by the West (primarily the United States) ...
    1. 0
      25 February 2023 18: 48
      The truce inevitably if Russia agrees to it. There will be no truce without security guarantees.
      Too much honor for the West (primarily the US).
  10. +2
    25 February 2023 20: 52
    any truce, Minsk or Beijing, will only be used against Russia to strengthen Ukraine. The cumulative military-industrial potential of the NATO bloc is many times greater than ours, and therefore a long game, a multi-move game, will only result in great sacrifices

    You might think that this very industrial potential of NATO works only during the period of the truce ...
    It can also work in the same way during the period of hostilities. And the more successes the RF Armed Forces have, the more obvious the need for new deliveries will be.

    volumes of deliveries of modern Western equipment are still small

    So, it’s not great because the successes of the RF Armed Forces are modest ... but as soon as you start moving forward vigorously, supplies will increase.

    Considering how the Kremlin is counting on the Celestial Empire as an alternative to the collective West, China will have powerful leverage to pressure Russia into signing the Beijing Accords.

    That's it!
    Here you see the root.
    Economically, the Russian Federation is becoming heavily dependent on China. With all the ensuing consequences.
  11. 0
    26 February 2023 12: 11
    Forgive traitors?