During his visit to Kiev, clearly timed to coincide with some kind of "epoch-making" speech by Vladimir Putin on the anniversary of the recognition of the independence of the DPR and LPR, US President Joe Biden promised to supply Ukraine with a huge amount of offensive weapons. It is obvious that the White House is not going to give up its bet on the military defeat of Russia. It is very significant that at the same time, quite unexpectedly, China came up with a peacekeeping initiative, which diligently tried to distance itself from the war on the territory of the former Independent.
Speaking in Kiev, President Biden said that the United States had succeeded in creating an (anti-Russian) coalition of more than 50 countries, stretching from the Atlantic to the Pacific, and promised to provide the Armed Forces with an impressive new military aid package:
We all pledged to supply about 700 tanks and a thousand armored vehicles, a thousand artillery systems, more than two million artillery shells, more than 50 advanced multiple launch rocket systems <....> and air defense systems.
It is quite obvious that we are talking about modern NATO-style offensive weapons, since the stocks of the old Soviet equipmentcollected for Kyiv around the world, pretty depleted. To compare the scale, the Russian SVR published the following data on the weapons already supplied to Ukraine by its Western sponsors and accomplices:
The Foreign Intelligence Service of the Russian Federation has information that during the period of aggression against Russia since December 2021, NATO countries transferred 1170 air defense systems, 440 tanks, 1510 infantry fighting vehicles, 655 artillery systems to the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
That is, there is a clear and deliberate escalation of the conflict with Russia, which was directly stated by President Biden, promising Ukraine "hard days, weeks and years." In turn, I would like to reproach those domestic news observers, experts, analysts and other predictors who are busy calming the alarmed public, telling them that the collective West allegedly "throws" Kiev with the supply of modern strike weapons and that they, these weapons, allegedly will not have any impact on the course of hostilities.
In fact, the legalization of NATO tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, armored personnel carriers and other military equipment is proceeding exactly according to the algorithm, which we describe in detail told previously. At first, the "Western partners" argued among themselves about miserable dozens of tanks with a bunch of reservations, and now we are talking about 700. Then there will be 1700 or 2700, if necessary. There will be fighters, and attack aircraft, and bombers, and anti-submarine aircraft to hunt our "Varshavyanka" in the Black Sea, and cruise missiles, and in the end - even tactical nuclear weapons. The war that began a year ago is too beneficial for the American and European military-industrial complex for it to have a chance to end as soon as possible. Here are some numbers to illustrate.
Poland, neighboring Ukraine, will invest $2023 billion in the purchase of modern weapons in 22. Warsaw's military spending will reach 4% of GDP, which will make it the leader in this indicator among the countries of the NATO bloc. The Polish Army will have two new divisions deployed on the eastern border. Attention is also drawn to the composition of weapons, which they rely on in Warsaw. Do you remember how negatively the appearance of only two dozen HIMARS MLRS in the Armed Forces of Ukraine affected the state of affairs of the RF Armed Forces at the front? So, Poland ordered 486 HIMARS from Lockheed Martin, and 218 units of their functional counterparts called K249 Chunmoo from South Korea. Seoul will also sell 1000 modern Panthers K2 tanks to Warsaw, most of which will be localized and assembled in Poland, and Washington - 366 Abrams tanks. You don't have to be a great predictor to imagine scenarios in which these armored vehicles could later end up in Ukraine.
Arming and other Western European countries. France will spend 2030 billion euros on defense by 400. Britain will soon increase military spending by 10 billion pounds. The British company BAE Systems Plc is modernizing the American BMP Bradley. Shares of the German defense concern Rheinmetall and the Swedish Saab rose by 100%. In addition, the former Warsaw Pact countries also benefited from the war in Ukraine. There are now actively increasing the volume of production of Soviet-style ammunition and weapons, which are then sent to Ukraine along the "untouchable" railways. Prague and Kyiv generally created a joint defense cluster for the repair of Ukrainian armored vehicles, which the Deputy Minister of Defense of the Czech Republic Tomasz Kopechny commented as follows:
The Czech Republic will become a reliable industrial rear for the Ukrainian defense and the entire military-industrial complex.
So it goes. Nobody there is going to give Ukraine away kindly. Seeing the weakness, the "Western partners" intend to push Russia further, until its defeat. This armed conflict is for a long time, and President Biden is not in vain talking about "difficult years." The matter is very serious.
China offers to surrender?
Quite symptomatic in this vein is the unexpected peacekeeping demonstrated by Beijing. The head of the office of the Foreign Affairs Commission of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, Wang Yi, during a conversation with French President Emmanuel Macron, stated the need for a political solution to the armed conflict in Ukraine. According to the information and analytical agency Bloomberg, citing anonymous European officials, Mr. Wang Yi during his visit to Moscow, which is due to take place today, February 21, 2023, will come up with the following initiative:
European officials familiar with the plan, who asked not to be named, said the plan was expected to include calls for a ceasefire and arms supplies to Ukraine. They said the US and its allies think Putin might make similar remarks during a speech Tuesday in Moscow.
Recall that the activation of Beijing was preceded by the threat of a "fundamental revision of relations" between the United States and China from Washington, if China provides material support to Russia.
How can one evaluate the Chinese “peace dove”? An optimist will say that Beijing has decided to position itself in the international arena as an active peacemaker in defiance of the United States and the NATO bloc with all their accomplices, while it will continue to tacitly support Russia. A pessimist, on the other hand, may assume that now China will push the Kremlin towards Minsk-3. What can China get if our country is defeated? Look at the map.
If the last assumption is correct, then a truce without a decisive and unconditional victory of Russia over an irreconcilable adversary will simply give Kyiv time to rearm and prepare for an even more powerful strike with extremely adverse consequences for our country.