How and where can the decisive battle in Ukraine take place

Recently, a lot of information has appeared in the Russian and foreign press about the allegedly impending large-scale offensive of the RF Armed Forces in Ukraine. Recall that he was expected first at the end of October, when partial mobilization began in the country, then in November, then in December and January. Now it is February, and very soon spring and mud will come, which will make it difficult for the mass use of heavy armored vehicles. Should we seriously count on any one "decisive battle"?

General battle?

It so happened that the main hostilities in Ukraine today are taking place on the left bank of the Dnieper. The Armed Forces of Ukraine are conducting another wave of mobilization in order to compensate for their heavy losses, retraining and switching to NATO-style weapons. Kyiv is definitely not going to capitulate or recognize Crimea, Donbass and the Sea of ​​Azov as Russian. Instead, militarytechnical and media preparation for the acquisition by Ukraine of long-range weapons capable of hitting targets in the depths of our country, up to tactical nuclear weapons.

The fact that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will use tactical nuclear weapons in Russia should not cause the slightest doubt in anyone. Moreover, the Ukrainian Nazis may launch a nuclear strike not on the internationally recognized Russian regions as of 1991, but on new ones, which both Kyiv and its Western sponsors consider legally Ukrainian. It's as if we ourselves launched a preventive nuclear strike on Voronezh to intimidate a potential adversary. That is, the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the medium term can to acquire tactical nuclear weapons and means of its delivery, after which the long-suffering Donetsk, Lugansk, Sevastopol and other significant cities will be subjected to nuclear bombardment.

The above means that relying exclusively on the liberation of the DPR, LPR, Kherson and Zaporozhye regions, leaving the rest of Ukraine under the rule of the Nazis and their Western puppeteers, is not correct. No matter how difficult it may be, according to the results of the JMD, there should not be a piece of the territory of Nezalezhnaya, where Ukrainian missiles with a special warhead could be placed or fighters carrying tactical nuclear weapons could take off. The ousting of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the new Russian regions without their defeat will solve absolutely nothing. No threat of a retaliatory nuclear strike from Moscow will stop the Kyiv regime, puppet in relation to the collective West, from using nuclear weapons as soon as it acquires them.

Consequently, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation must inflict a military defeat on the Armed Forces of Ukraine, after which the enemy will lose the ability to continue effective combat operations and his further support from the NATO bloc will be inappropriate. This should happen on the Left Bank of Ukraine, probably in the form of a series of several battles for major cities. The question is, how exactly can this be done?

At present, the main efforts of the Russian General Staff are focused on fulfilling the task set by President Putin to liberate the Donbass, as well as the Azov region. How effective these actions are, we will talk further. Meanwhile, there are other ways to achieve the goal set by the Supreme Commander-in-Chief, as well as the strategic defeat of the enemy. To do this, it is necessary to cut off the Left-Bank Ukraine from the Right-Bank Ukraine.

Yes, for some reason, the bridges across the Dnieper are not systematically attacked by the Russian Aerospace Forces, the Navy and the missile forces. However, it is possible to isolate the strongest Donbass grouping of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the left bank in another way. This could be a strike in the Zaporozhye region from south to north with a blockade of Zaporozhye itself and further - Dnepropetrovsk, which is the largest logistics center and rear of the Ukrainian army. Even without storming these major cities can to stop the supply of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Donbass and in the Kharkiv region with one blockade of the railways. But there is also an alternative scenario.

The authoritative American publication Foreign Policy, citing informed Ukrainian sources, reported that the Russian Armed Forces allegedly prepared for the offensive a huge, 300-strong group with 1800 tanks, 3950 armored vehicles, 2700 artillery systems, 810 MLRS, 400 fighters and 300 helicopters. If this information is correct, and not just voiced to intimidate Western sponsors and beg the Kiev regime from them for another package of military assistance, then the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces will have the opportunity to launch a large-scale offensive in the North-East of Ukraine.

In this case, from the territory of the Kursk region, a powerful cutting blow could reach the Dnieper, cutting off the Sumy, Kharkov, Poltava and Dnepropetrovsk regions from the rest of the Independent. After that, the railway lines connecting both banks of the Dnieper would be taken under fire control. The strongest grouping of the Armed Forces of Ukraine left without supplies could then be defeated in several local battles, after which all paths to the Right-Bank Ukraine would be open to the RF Armed Forces.
  • Author:
  • Photos used: Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation
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  1. Colonel Kudasov Offline Colonel Kudasov
    Colonel Kudasov (Leopold) 10 February 2023 15: 06
    We can agree that Ukraine can indeed receive tactical nuclear weapons, but not directly from the three nuclear NATO countries, but through third parties, that is, Poland. There is information that something similar is already being prepared. Russia needs to loudly declare that not only the country that transferred tactical nuclear weapons to Bandera, but also the country of origin of tactical nuclear weapons will be subjected to nuclear retaliation. In general, the trend towards a nuclear escalation of the conflict is developing surprisingly quickly. Russia is not allowed to throw cards in this nuclear poker and in turn place tactical nuclear weapons in KO
    1. Alexey Lan Offline Alexey Lan
      Alexey Lan (Alexey Lantukh) 10 February 2023 18: 29
      Obtaining tactical nuclear weapons by Ukraine is bullshit. Why spread this false information is not clear. The receipt of tactical nuclear weapons by Ukraine is a world nuclear war, a withdrawal from the treaty on the nonproliferation of nuclear weapons. As a result, Russia will also be able to convey something to someone.
      1. lord-palladore-11045 (Konstantin Puchkov) 11 February 2023 11: 03
        What contracts? The West has trampled on all the treaties and is crawling over all the red lines. And now you can't be sure of anything about NATO. Russia does not have many allies, so you need to rely only on yourself, however, as always.
      2. Sulla the Glorious (Sulla the Glorious) 15 February 2023 13: 23
        Well, yes, based on the intelligence of the WESTERN media - transmitted by Ukraine, we are building strategic plans for the offensive. fool
      3. NqRZEl Offline NqRZEl
        NqRZEl 16 February 2023 23: 06
        over time, all the tricks that the West pours into the ears become clear ... after recognizing the top
    2. legal Offline legal
      legal (Yasel) 13 February 2023 16: 46
      It was necessary to cut down Polsha TNW for a long time!
  2. Peace Peace. Offline Peace Peace.
    Peace Peace. (Tumar Tumar) 10 February 2023 15: 06
    Well, yes, based on the intelligence of the Western media transmitted by Ukraine, we are building strategic offensive plans.
  3. zenion Offline zenion
    zenion (zinovy) 10 February 2023 16: 49
    There will be a battle, there will certainly be, on the Kurlik field. Two heroes will come out, sit down at the table and tell terrible tales about the fact that if he had done like this, then everything could have been like this. They will drink water from the brook of the Kurlikov field and cry. And he will find a headache with diarrhea on them. And the coronavirus disease gored them. They will sit on their buttholes and cry inexorable tears mixed with snot.
  4. borisvt Offline borisvt
    borisvt (boris) 10 February 2023 17: 54
    yes, this is a much more realistic scenario than rushing to cut off the fallow land from the Polish border. At the same time, it is desirable to move in the Odessa direction, and, well, turn the government quarter of Kyiv into dust, no matter how sorry the beauty of the mother of Russian cities
  5. Nelton Offline Nelton
    Nelton (Oleg) 10 February 2023 17: 59
    from the territory of the Kursk region, a powerful dissecting blow could reach the Dnieper, cutting off the Sumy, Kharkov, Poltava and Dnepropetrovsk regions from the rest of the Independent

    In March-April 2022, it would probably have been successful.
    in 2023? I seriously doubt.
    Only if combined with the massive successful use of tactical innovations.

    In the medium term, the Armed Forces of Ukraine can acquire tactical nuclear weapons and their means of delivery, after which they will be subjected to nuclear bombardment ....
    No threat of a retaliatory nuclear strike from Moscow will stop the Kyiv regime, puppet in relation to the collective West, from using nuclear weapons as soon as it acquires them.

    That's just the West is much more restrained in striking.
    It is their Ukrainian wards (who are by no means puppets) who are ready to fuck with at least anti-radar missiles at Belgorod. (And both of them have their own logic).

    The probability that the west will give Ukraine TNW - zero.
    Moreover, in response, Iran will suddenly acquire nuclear weapons.

    Will they be able to Create more or less by yourself?
    As far as I know, the production of weapons-grade plutonium is impossible at VVER-1000 reactors, which made them freely built in various countries.
    1. Alexey Lan Offline Alexey Lan
      Alexey Lan (Alexey Lantukh) 10 February 2023 18: 41
      Well, if there are 300 thousand well-armed groups, then a similar strike west of Kharkov is possible, and then only if our General Staff is able to take the risk. But, in fact, such a piece is too big. A real blow would be from Belgorod west of Kharkov to Dnepropetrovsk. However, this is if there are 300 thousand groups, since Kharkov will be surrounded. If half, then a blow from Belgorod east of Kharkov to Izyum. As before, it is not clear to me why we are stubbornly breaking through the Donbass.
    2. Paul3390 Offline Paul3390
      Paul3390 (Paul) 11 February 2023 01: 41
      The bomb can be made in two ways. Uranium - but then you need cascades of centrifuges to wind up the required amount of 235 uranium. Plutonium - then you need to remove the fresh assemblies from the reactor and drag these wildly flickering structures to the radiochemical plant, where plutonium is pulled out of the radioactive assemblies in the most complicated chemical way. You understand yourself - all this costs a huge dough, heaps of technologies that only a few countries have, and years to unravel .. There is nothing of this in Ukraine and never will be. No one will give them that, not even mattress ghouls. Moreover, an attempt to pull out assemblies ahead of time will be immediately detected without options. With all the ensuing..
  6. who are you Offline who are you
    who are you (Vadim Levin) 10 February 2023 20: 02
    Dear, count how many times we already had to hit here and there, and VOZ is still there. While there is such a helmsman on VOZ, then this whole trip resembles the movement of a sleepy water carrier, so not only Biden is a sleepy man.
  7. Siegfried Offline Siegfried
    Siegfried (Gennady) 10 February 2023 22: 53
    somehow the work of the videoconferencing system is inconspicuous. There is a feeling that the Aerospace Forces are holding back, believing that the level of fire damage is sufficient and it is unnecessary to raise a tantrum in NATO on the topic of air defense, aviation is not worth it. It seems that there is an unspoken agreement, the Russian Federation is holding the Aerospace Forces, which does not force NATO to connect its Air Force in the sky of Ukraine.

    It is clear that NATO Air Force missions, even under the Ukrainian flag from Polish airfields, are a dangerous escalation. But why should we be afraid of it?

    Perhaps the answer here lies in the fact that NATO also withholds its assistance to the Ukrainian Armed Forces, despite the vociferous rhetoric. Both sides are playing within limits to avoid escalation.

    After all, what would then interfere with the conduct of airborne operations on ground targets? Take the same Artemovsk, where it is not difficult to identify targets, including in the rear, the location of units, residential buildings, in general, all buildings and using massive tactical aviation (Tu-22, Su-34) to demolish one square after another every night. There shouldn't be any civilians.

    The danger of air defense, so it will always be.

    Something is preventing the VKS from spreading its wings, but what exactly is difficult to say.
    1. Paul3390 Offline Paul3390
      Paul3390 (Paul) 11 February 2023 01: 43
      At the cost of a modern aircraft or helicopter, losses that were considered minimal in previous wars, well, or quite acceptable, will be perceived as a national catastrophe .. Plus - production rates at which timely replenishment is virtually impossible .. That is - in fact, you can only count on for pre-war stocks.

      Compare, for example, the loss of 10 IL-2s during an attack on, say, a bridge. Sad - but quite common. In a month, the assault regiment will again be at full strength .. And now - the loss of, for example, 10 Su-34s .. Now this is a complete attack ..

      Very effective modern air defense is superimposed on this. Which, as it turned out, is extremely difficult to suppress - at least something remains, and this something still poses a serious danger.

      Thus, the aviation of the battlefield practically switched to the position of the battleships of the times of the First World War. They are, and represent a formidable force - which the command is extremely afraid to use under the threat of losses that will mean losing the war.
  8. Otto Davar Offline Otto Davar
    Otto Davar (Otto Davar) 10 February 2023 23: 36
    author! What is still not in the General Staff?
  9. lord-palladore-11045 (Konstantin Puchkov) 11 February 2023 10: 55
    How and where can the decisive battle in Ukraine take place

    Let's not guess on the coffee grounds. Let the generals do it. But if these generals sleep through the nuclear weapons strike, it will be bad for all of us. I hope they understand this.
  10. calligrapher Lev_Nikolaevich (Dmitriy) 11 February 2023 14: 38
    Not earlier than June, ours are activated. At the beginning, the musicians will take the initiative, and then the main forces will catch up. It should all be over by the end of the month. Just half a year since the extraction of the Kiev-Pechersk Lavra will be fulfilled.
  11. Ignatov Oleg Georgievich (Oleg) 11 February 2023 21: 34
    Well, the author begins to deviate at least a little from his Wishlist and writes something reasonable that the defeat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine simply needs to be inflicted precisely on the left bank. Maybe he will at least jokingly admit that let the bridges stand for a while, if only in order not to chase after foreign heavy equipment throughout Ukraine, but to give it the green light for remelting at the Dobbass steelworks.
  12. Vladimir1155 Offline Vladimir1155
    Vladimir1155 (Vladimir) 11 February 2023 22: 13
    I agree not a piece of land can be left to the so-called Ukraine. you need to cut it off from Western supplies, and then systematically change it from the inside