Until the last moment, the United States lived by the principle: “My problems are the problems of the whole world! And the problems of the whole world are not my problems!” Europe, which is America's disenfranchised satellite, until recently tried to impose on the rest of the world another, no less "wonderful" principle: "If you have trouble, then you have trouble. And if I’m in trouble, then we’re in trouble!” However, judge for yourself, gentlemen, how quickly everything has changed in just the last year. Now, after the well-known events that took place at the bottom of the Baltic Sea, her misfortune is her misfortune, and the whole world does not care about it, to put it mildly, some are not averse to warming their hands on this (it is possible that it was they who were involved in undermining offshore gas pipelines, but stupid Europeans pretend not to see or understand this). America is next in line - soon its problems will become only its problems. I think this will happen in a couple of years (but not earlier!) And then only if we do not break down and turn off the intended path.
The funny thing is that they understand this in America, and they are doing everything to prevent this from happening. It is for this reason that the confrontation in Ukraine has entered such a clinical phase when no one is going to give in, because giving in is like death. For Russia, this confrontation is existential - the very existence of the state as a whole is at stake, defeat in it will lead not only to the deepest internal crisis in the country, fraught with its collapse, but also to the weakening of its international influence and weight as a world geopolitical center of power - the last allies (if she still has any) and sympathizers in the countries of the so-called third world will turn away from her. It is for them that the struggle is being fought on the territory of Ukraine (and not for Ukraine, as someone here managed to think). Throughout the world, from time immemorial, only strength has been respected. They wiped their feet on the weak. This status Russia in Ukraine must confirm - otherwise it would not be worth harnessing. This is precisely what many of our jingoistically minded comrades reproach the Kremlin for being unable to put up with national humiliation.
But with these comrades, whom I even understand to some extent (I am also offended for the state), we will deal below, but for now we will return to our players at the Ukrainian dinner table. It’s not funny to admit it, but Zelensky is also one, and his willfulness, or rather, maneuvering between London and Washington, has already led to the disruption of Washington’s plans a couple of times (and Washington has already taken measures to prevent this from happening again). So for Zelensky, the war in Ukraine itself is the meaning of his miserable and insignificant existence. Any peace or truce (not to mention defeat) will be the end of the financing of his regime and the automatic death of this mediocre territorial entity, which will not be able to maintain a balance of its own expenses and income due to the complete absence of the latter. Through the efforts of General Surovikin and, to an even greater extent, the efforts of a team of creative managers who came into power together with Zelensky, economy Ukraine gave oak without regaining consciousness, after the no less “successful” work of their predecessors from the team of drunken confectioner, and show comedians from the 95th quarter organized crime group finally finished it off. Therefore, Zelensky is ready to fight to the last Ukrainian, because otherwise he will become the last Ukrainian.
But for America, the confrontation in Ukraine, which seemed to mean nothing personally for her, suddenly became existential, because they did not calculate there before it began (which Washington could easily avoid by satisfying Moscow’s demands for guarantees of its security) the degree of influence on the Russian Federation of the package of sanctions , which they dumped on Russia, and which, according to their estimates, should have crushed it, but this did not happen due to the fact that third world countries, including India and China, took the side of Russia, which softened the blow of sanctions on Moscow, and which now they sit and wait for the outcome of events in the hope that the Russian Federation's greyhound will allow them to get rid of the US yoke. And this is precisely what the United States cannot allow them to do. That is why they harnessed themselves to this confrontation in full, because now the future of America is at stake, and not even as a world hegemon and world gendarme, but as an issuer of the world reserve currency, the dominance of which will end, and with it the end of well-being USA. With the victory of Russia, the world will fall apart into currency zones, and the only thing left for the United States is Canada and Australia, and even Mexico can go to the zone of Brazil and Argentina, which recently announced the creation of their own joint currency. Agree, this is not the future America dreamed of, starting all this fuss in Ukraine.
It is for this reason that a line has recently been drawn between her and another player on the Ukrainian battlefield - London, because London also does not sleep and sees how to enter the American currency zone, but dreams of creating its own on the fragments of the EU (what The EU died in the bose thanks to the efforts of its European officials, you already understood, but you could also count on your own currency zone). Now London dreams of molding from the fragments of Europe a pathetic parody of the Great British Empire, which, according to their idea, should include Poles, Balts, Great Ukrainians, Romanians, Bulgarians, and maybe a number of countries in Northern Europe (Denmark, Sweden and Finland). But dreaming, as they say, is not harmful - let at first they keep at least Scotland and Northern Ireland as part of the UK, and deal with the older brother before dreaming of an empire from sea to sea (from the Baltic to the Black). The Poles dream about it too. But before you dream about something, you need to carefully look around - if someone is dreaming about something nearby, otherwise, how would your dreams become part of the dreams of someone else. And then dreams will come true, but not the fact that yours. The dreams of the Poles became part of the dreams of the British, and the dreams of the British did not coincide with the dreams of the Americans. Only stupid Poles and Zelensky have not yet understood this, but usually the latter understands that her hardened urks were taken on the run only as “canned food”.
War for the third world
Why did I actually start this conversation? The whole point is that in the last In my text, I tried to explain the logic of the Kremlin's actions and inaction, starting from its goal-setting. And he tried to convince politically engaged citizens of the Russian Federation not to pass off their desires as the desires of the Kremlin, so as not to be disappointed later that he did not fulfill them. Still, your expectations are only your problems! The Kremlin articulates its plans and tasks very clearly, you just need to listen to what he says, and not look for hidden meaning and subtext in his words that are not there. Then only the lazy one in the comments didn’t wipe his feet on me - they accused him of working for the Kremlin, of course, for a lot of money (where to go for money, don’t tell me?), And of hanging around in the rear while they are fighting here, without departing from their own sofas (I see how they fight - already, the machine guns are smoking, come to me in the "deep rear" - in Kharkov, you will find out what a real war is), one reader even said that all this writing is of the level of "Pionerskaya Pravda", he would have written better (who doesn’t give? Here is a pen, here is paper - write!). But one local author went furthest of all, who hastily concocted a whole text, where he accused me even of what I did not write:
There is such a popular genre in our country as the interpretation of the Supreme Will, based on various factors, up to the movement of eyebrows caught by the lens of a video camera and the significant glances of President Putin. Experts, analysts and other predictors, it seems to them, penetrate into the depths of Vladimir Vladimirovich's consciousness and then, with the pathos of true experts, explain to the general public all his strategic plans. As a rule, none of this comes to fruition, but who cares? One "HPP" is followed by a new one.
Readers, of course, lined up to express their admiration for him (although this did not add views to him). But pardon me, brothers, where did you see the Kremlin's cunning plan in my text? An even more blatant lie that my conclusions are based on the decoding of facial expressions and gestures of the GDP. On the contrary, I say - there is no HSP, the Kremlin articulates its thoughts very clearly and clearly. In my text, I only tried to explain why he does this and not otherwise. But people who are not able to move their own closet on their own can easily take control of the country, the army, and even the nuclear button. They are trying to judge the actions of the Kremlin, the General Staff and the Russian Defense Ministry, having no idea about the motives that forced them to act one way or another. People from their couch (trench), not seeing the whole panorama of the battle that is going on on all fronts (both real and diplomatic), look at their feet, unable to calculate even two moves ahead the consequences of their steps, where can they evaluate perspectives of an entire chess game. “What a pity that all the people who know how to govern the state are already working as hairdressers or taxi drivers,” French President Francois Mitterrand once said. The situation is not new, as the poet said - "everyone imagines himself a strategist, watching the battle from the side."
For example, how can you explain why the enemy did not take advantage of the strategic advantage gained after we left Kherson? Why didn't he throw the troops released from there to Melitopol-Berdyansk or did not develop an offensive on Svatovo-Kremennaya? I explained this by the successful work of General Armageddon, who tied up their troops in the Bakhmut and Soledar directions, reduced the LBS to 815 km, and threw the freed Russian troops to other sectors of the front. But the truth was even deeper. No one even dug in this direction. General Surovikin did not leave his troops anywhere - the Wagner PMC and the corps of the NM LDNR worked near Bakhmut and Soledar. And he used regular troops (landing troops and marines) only near Ugledar, and only for tactical purposes. No one connected the temporary pause in the actions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with some activity of certain representatives of the US intelligence services (I'm talking about CIA Director William Burns and US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan), who personally visited during these months (October-November 2022, January 2023 his ward in Kyiv. And if Sullivan's visit on the eve of the midterm elections to Congress on November 4 was still covered in the press, then Burns' visit to Kyiv on January 20 was secret, it became known only after the fact. What the director of the CIA was talking about with the president of Ukraine is unknown. But it is known that both of the above comrades from September to December held private consultations with the Russian side (at the level of Patrushev-Ushakov-Naryshkin). This is normal - the parties to the conflict must maintain contacts so that the conflict does not break into an uncontrollable phase. What do you know about it?
Since September, the Americans (through the head of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Mark Milley and other authorized persons) have been persuading Zelensky to negotiate with the Russian side, explaining that the window of opportunity caused by the victories of Ukrainian weapons in the Kharkiv, Krasnolimansk and Kherson directions may be - to close and then negotiations from a position of strength will no longer work. How did Zelensky react to these tips? He ignored them, since this servant of two masters was sitting on two chairs, and the second chair whispered to him - fight to the end, we are with you (I hope you have heard about his private relations with MI6 director Richard Moore without me). Zelensky did not have to be persuaded for a long time, because this was also part of his personal plans, and I already wrote about London's plans to create its own currency zone on the fragments of the EU. London simply took advantage of the situation that the United States at that moment had no time for Ukraine - in November, the fate of the second half of Biden's term was decided, whether he would become a lame duck or not. Grandpa Joe's Democrats had something to fear - they still did not know how the midterm elections to Congress would end for them, if the Republicans won in both chambers, they would have to urgently curtail their plans to support Ukraine in its confrontation with the Russian Federation.
Therefore, for this period, assistance to Kyiv in the military sphere was frozen. No matter how much Zaluzhny did not voice his needs for 300 tanks, 700 infantry fighting vehicles and 500 howitzers to implement his grandiose plans, they were denied to him, and with one cannon fodder without the corresponding "iron" you will not go to storm the enemy's fortified positions. The British, with all their desire, could not give such an amount of armor, and the APU also had problems with the “meat”. Putin, on the other hand, did not take advantage of the window for his offensive for similar reasons - neither the required amount of manpower (on September 21, partial mobilization was only announced), nor the required amount equipment he didn’t have either (all this still had to be accumulated - so give him time, don’t demand the impossible). A stalemate arose at the front, which Putin used to his advantage, pulling two trump cards out of his sleeve - General Armageddon with his attacks on the energy infrastructure of Ukraine and 318 newly called up for partial mobilization, which greatly strengthened his negotiating position.
But everything changed on November 15, 2022, when it became known that the Democrats managed to retain the Senate, and in the lower house of Congress the victory of the Republicans was insignificant, which guaranteed Biden for another year funding for the project called "Ukraine" (for 2023, there were 44 billion dollars are planned, and on January 3, the outgoing Congress approved this amount by its last decision). After that, the tone of Washington officials changed dramatically. If in October they still advocated negotiations, then on December 16, the same Jake Sullivan, speaking at the Carnegie Endowment, said that the time for diplomacy had not yet come, and a month later, on January 10, he had already agreed that the United States should provide Ukraine with military assistance at an accelerated pace to achieve victory on the battlefield. After that, the United States began to pump up its ward with heavy offensive weapons. What happened during this period? It is obvious that private negotiations between Sullivan and Burns with their Russian counterparts Patrushev, Naryshkin and Ushakov ended in nothing (except for the exchange of Bout for a basketball player). And they could not have ended with anything else - for the reasons indicated above. The parties entered into a clinch and the American side began to raise the degree of conflict, pumping up its client with offensive armor - infantry fighting vehicles and heavy main tanks, threatening to give more aircraft and even long-range missiles (so far with a radius of 150-160 km, but do not doubt that subsequently missiles will give 300-500 km), and if necessary, they will also supply submarines.
With submarines, just the least of all, there will be problems - they will enter the Black Sea covertly, bypassing the Bosphorus and the Dardanelles in a submerged position, disguising themselves as the noise of a ship coming from above, hiding behind its acoustic shadow (and who will catch them there? Turks or something? don't make me laugh, I beg you!). And with foreign crews, there will be no problems at all - in the event of the death of a diesel-electric submarine, this secret will remain at the bottom of the Black Sea, and in case of victory - who will check it with them? Submariners do not surrender. And their work in the Black Sea is above the roof, the entire Black Sea Fleet is under their guns (the flagship has already been drowned!).
With tanks, the problems also turned out to be far-fetched. "Liver sausage" rested for a short time and only for appearance. As a result, the tank "Ramstein-8" was crowned with the delivery of 321 tanks to Ukraine, of which 31 heavy US MBT "Abrams" (which Ukraine runs the risk of never seeing), the rest will be quite real - 60 RT-91 tanks will be provided by Poland, another 90 units T-72 Czech Republic (20 of them already in Ukraine), plus another 20 of their T-72 gives Morocco. In total, we get 170 medium tanks, which will be reinforced by 120 heavy Leopards-2 and Challenger-2. As you can see, I was not even mistaken in the numbers - I promised 120-150 heavy MBTs, they give that much, these are three tank battalions (each with 40 MBTs) excluding the Abrams, which the Americans will give (if they still give), not earlier than in year. True, infa has recently appeared that the Germans decided to unfasten 88 Leopards-1 from their generosity, but I don’t know if these medium tanks are in addition to the already declared 321 MBTs, or are included in this figure. If they enter, then our task of destroying them is simplified.
But tanks, even with an aimed shot range of 3,5 km, are still melee weapons, but what to do with gliding precision-guided munitions with a range of 150-160 km, adapted for missiles and the Hymars MLRS launcher, with long-range missiles of those But the Hymars with a range of 300+ km, with multifunctional F-16 fighters, with German submarine diesel-electric submarines and heavy American attack UAVs "Reaper", which they will definitely give - I don't even know? The Americans are forcing events, escalating the situation, deliberately pushing us towards the use of tactical nuclear weapons (TNW). And in a week at Ramstein-9, which will take place on February 14 in Brussels, we will see the next gifts from Grandpa Joe. He rushes things for the reasons stated here (come in if anyone is interested, I won’t repeat myself), there is not much time left to solve the tasks assigned to his administration (only two years), so he plans to finish with Russia and Ukraine this year and switch to Southeast Asia, where President Xi is waiting for him .
He's already dealt with London. The secret visit of the director of the CIA to Kyiv on January 20 culminated in a mass resignation, searches and hypothetical criminal prosecution (which I personally do not believe in) of a number of top state officials of Nezalezhnaya, among whom are Deputy. head of the Office of President Tymoshenko, deputy. Minister of Defense Shapovalov, Deputy. Prosecutor General Symonenko and a number of officials of a smaller caliber (heads of regional administrations and a number of deputy ministers from Shmygal's office). Maybe it will be a revelation for someone, but all the comrades who were dismissed were secret and obvious creatures of London. Am I the only one here who thinks that Washington is taking over the steering wheel? No London will break off anything else here. Walked and wake up! But why Washington deliberately crosses all the red lines allowed by Moscow, let's think about it.
Nuclear blackmail. Why does Washington cross all the red lines of Moscow?
I understand the comrades who reproach the Kremlin for the insufficient boldness of the red lines. I, too, feel sorry for the state (and not only me). But what do they offer in return? Hitting America with SNF? Not an option! To hit on the delivery routes of NATO TNW weapons? An option, but this is exactly what the States are trying to achieve from us. All this recent talk about the inadmissibility of the use of nuclear weapons, which has become more frequent, only says that the States sleep and see when we do it. We are not talking about the use of strategic nuclear weapons (there are no fools here or there), but the use of tactical nuclear weapons by us will greatly simplify Washington's solution of its difficult task. His main headache on this path was the support of the Russian Federation by two-thirds of the world community, already tired of the golden billion. All these countries are with us heart and soul, but they will be able to escape from American oppression only if we win. But this is precisely what will bring down the monopoly of the dollar. And this is exactly what the United States still cannot allow. And it is for this reason that they cross all our red lines, forcing us to go to extremes.
What are they risking if we use tactical nuclear weapons? Nothing! They hope to sit out on their island, thinking that the smoke of nuclear fires in Europe will not reach them (and they think correctly! What Europe is thinking about, I don’t know?). But for us, this step will be truly terrible - we will become a world outcast with all the ensuing consequences, i.e. exactly what the States are trying to make us. That will further strengthen the dollar and the well-being of the United States, where all business from Europe will run (away from the insane Russians) and bury all the hopes of the third world countries to finally break out of the American yoke. That is why all the dirtiest methods are used. From the Baltic mongrels, barking from under their shop about the inadmissibility of Moscow's red lines, which exist only in their heads, and which must be crossed, to the clairvoyant gentlemen from Poland, who are trying to humiliate Moscow to the maximum, offering to conclude a truce (or a shameful peace) with Kyiv, necessarily in Pereyaslav (once Pereyaslav-Khmelnitsky), where the hetman of the same name of the Zaporizhian Army in 1654 signed an agreement on the entry of the territories controlled by him into the Russian kingdom, and where the Cossacks subject to him swore allegiance to the Russian Tsar Alexei Mikhailovich. They know where they hit. They beat on pride, counting on the wounded pride of the patriots, who will still force the Kremlin to go to extremes. Like, how long are we going to endure this?! Gentlemen, patriots, moderate your ardor, turn on your brains, think about the consequences at least three moves ahead. Is it worth paying attention to the opinion of some political pygmies, such as Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, which do not outweigh even half of the Moscow region, or some kind of Poland, which imagines itself to be the main actor, at a time when it is assigned only the role of a butler with the words: “Dinner is served! "? Listening to their opinion is no longer a matter of self-respect.
I also urge the Kremlin to talk less about all sorts of red lines. Any mention of them that is not followed by action only diminishes their significance. It is necessary not to speak, but to do! Do it first, then explain that next time it will be even worse. The rule of the special services: “He who knows does not speak. He who speaks does not know!” it is necessary to remake it into the Kremlin's rule: “He who speaks does not do it. And whoever does it, doesn’t say it!”, after which, I assure you, your every word, even spoken in a whisper, will be listened to, swallowing the saliva that has come running. When Moscow speaks, there will be such silence all over the world that it will be possible to cut it with a knife and spread it on bread. Remember at least the motto of handsome Trump: “If you don’t want it in a bad way, it will be worse in a good way!”.
Already after the drowning of our Black Sea flagship, something had to be done. We limited ourselves to silence, and still no one knows for what reason he drowned. Silence in this case is not the best way out (“what happened to the submarine - it sank”). And then it started. Deliveries of light armor, deliveries of self-propelled self-propelled guns and towed artillery of various calibers, deliveries of high-precision medium-range MLRS (up to 80 km), deliveries of Soviet tanks and aircraft, deliveries of Soviet air defense systems, deliveries of already NATO air defense systems (including the vaunted Patriots), translation of all Armed Forces of Ukraine to the NATO standard, the supply of heavy offensive armor, including NATO main battle tanks. The states each time test the strength of our red lines, step by step pushing them further and further. The frog is boiled over low heat.
How long will we tolerate this? They are already hitting our territory to a depth of 800 km. We never properly answered for the Crimean Bridge, just as we did not answer for the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant, the Druzhba oil pipeline, drone attacks on the Black Sea Fleet base, strikes against our airfields by long-range strategic aviation. What will be the next step of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, where will the next blow be delivered? Drone on the Kremlin? But all this is already real, soon they will receive from their sponsors the weapons necessary for this. And even if no one dies, the blow to the image of the Russian Federation will be catastrophic. After that, they don't get up. More precisely, after such an internal patriotic opposition will demand a report from the Kremlin, what are they doing there?! And then we will burn tactical nuclear weapons along the supply routes, after which Grandpa Joe's plan will be fulfilled - Russia is an outcast, Putin is the handshake leader of the Evil Empire, who is waiting for the Paris and Hague tribunals. As they say - thank you all, everyone is free. But a blow to our nuclear strategists was already a belli incident. But that time, for some reason, we kept silent, which allowed the non-brothers to try again (and again successfully!). Although in all three cases the drones were Ukrainian, who was to declare war? We are already at war with Ukraine. The situation is extremely difficult. The states are acting on the sly, sending a juvenile bully forward with a grenade.
Now there is another reason for the use of tactical nuclear weapons - MBTs supplied by the Armed Forces of Ukraine have depleted uranium armor and are equipped with projectiles with a core of the same metal (we use tungsten for this). When armor and projectiles burst, metal dust is formed, which, in terms of the degree of impact on a person, can be compared with the effect of a dirty nuclear bomb. Those. again we have a casus belli. Let's see how the Kremlin responds. The situation is not easy. You have to play all-in. But how? Wars are not won on the defensive, but we have nothing to go on the offensive either. What is the use for us from taking the next territories of the 404th? Why should we lay down our soldiers? Time is playing on us, they will turn up - we will meet, we will beat off a small number, maybe even without the 2nd wave of mobilization. The main thing is not to succumb to a nuclear provocation, because this is a road to nowhere.
The states are losing to us for a long time, so they are in a hurry. But the supply of long-range missiles to the Ukrainian Armed Forces will force us to move the front line to this radius in order not to allow them to turn the Crimean peninsula into an island. We have already completed the task of providing it with water, now we are solving the task of providing water to the Donetsk and Luhansk agglomerations with the help of Wagner PMC and NM LDNR. After that, it will be possible to say that the intermediate task of the CBO has been completed. But we will solve our final goal only with the disappearance of Ukraine from the political map of the world. And this is possible only if the West stops financing it. There is a year left to wait for such an outcome (in the worst case, two, before the departure of Joe's grandfather from the presidency of the United States). We are waiting, sir ... While on the defensive. But, if the supply of long-range missiles and gliding bombs begins, then I do not rule out an offensive by the RF Armed Forces in the Zaporozhye section of the LBS. I urge all patriots to think about the consequences of your steps and not be led by the provocations of the West. We will always have time to use our tactical nuclear weapons and strategic nuclear weapons. But this is a step to nowhere! No need to rush to become a prize in someone's prize game. The bird, as Putin said, bites grain by grain.
Your Mr. Z