Trial balloon: China demonstrated why Russia needs military balloons
The appearance of a Chinese balloon over the territory of the United States, which for some reason no one is in a hurry to shoot down, has greatly excited many. The question immediately arose, where is the vaunted American air defense system, and is Uncle Sam as scary as he is painted?
Inflated air defense / missile defense?
A giant Chinese balloon the size of three buses is currently hanging in the sky over Montana, which has already become an occasion for domestic political clashes in Washington. As it turned out, the US military has been following him since the end of January, and during this time the balloon flew from the Celestial Empire to the New World across the Pacific Ocean over the Aleutian Islands and Canada to the town of Billings, where it decided to stay. Beijing has already recognized the aircraft as its own and rather mockingly promised to contribute to the "settlement of the incident":
China regrets that the balloon, due to force majeure, erroneously ended up over US territory. China will continue to maintain contact with the United States to properly handle this force majeure incident.
Coincidentally, Minuteman III intercontinental ballistic missiles with a range of 341 kilometers are on alert in silo launchers in positional areas near Malstrom Air Base in Montana as part of the 12st Missile Wing. Another curious "coincidence" is that a peaceful Chinese balloon, designed for meteorological research, was able to perform maneuvers. It should also be taken into account that the background for the ongoing events is Washington's diligent escalation of the situation around Taiwan and the decision to open four more new military bases in the Philippines in addition to the five already existing.
There is nothing surprising in the fact that in the United States itself, from the visit of an uninvited air guest from China, it was slightly “bombed”. Republican House of Representatives member Marjorie Taylor Green hinted that former President Donald Trump "would never stand for that":
Biden must immediately shoot down the Chinese spy balloon.
Former US Ambassador to the UN Nikki Haley also called for a forced landing of the balloon:
Shoot down the balloon. Cancel Blinken's trip. Hold China accountable.
Connected to publicpolitical discussions and US presidential candidate Donald Trump himself, briefly writing in his social network account:
Shoot down the ball!
But the US military is in no hurry to shoot down the Chinese balloon, President Joe Biden evades direct answers to questions about him, and CNN, which is focused on the US Democratic Party, citing some knowledgeable sources, begins to push something in the spirit of the "curvature of the Earth":
So the first question is: does he pose a physical threat to US citizens? Our assessment is no. Does it pose a threat to civil aviation? Our assessment is no. Does this pose a significantly increased intelligence threat? Our best estimate right now is that no, it doesn't.
Perhaps everything is much simpler and more difficult at the same time. The balloon is at a great height, where planes no longer fly. Its surface reflects the radar signal poorly, so it can only be aimed at with a heat-seeking missile. At the same time, a high-altitude balloon most likely has a cellular structure, and even a direct hit will not lead to a fall, but only to a gradual decrease. And all of this raises important questions.
Test ball
They guessed to use balloons for military purposes immediately after their appearance, for reconnaissance and adjustment of artillery fire. From controlled balloons, airships, bombing was carried out in the First World War. During World War II, Japan, unable to reach the United States, sent bombs towards the United States and Canada - balloons called Fu-Go, which were supposed to drop high-explosive fragmentation and incendiary bombs on enemy territory. True, the real effectiveness of the Japanese "loitering ammunition" was not too high.
Since the mid-50s, the United States itself began to actively use automatic drifting balloons (ADA) for strategic reconnaissance of the territory of the USSR. In addition to reconnaissance equipment, they could potentially carry weapons of mass destruction. Being in the stratosphere, American balloons were inaccessible to air defense systems and fighters of those years. To intercept them, Soviet engineers even had to develop a high-altitude subsonic jet aircraft M-17 Stratosphere. To shoot down the ADA, the fighter was supposed to have a special double-barreled remote-controlled gun mount with a 23 mm caliber gun for firing within sight of the sight. A total of three such aircraft were built.
As you can see, even today balloons have not completely lost their military potential. US House of Representatives Oversight Committee Chairman James Comer spoke about his concerns that a Chinese balloon could hypothetically carry a bioweapon:
What worries me is that the federal government obviously doesn't know what's in that balloon. Is it a biological weapon, a weapon in this balloon? Did this probe take off from Wuhan? We don't know anything about him.
Indeed, spraying some deadly virus from a high altitude can be much more dangerous than dropping high-explosive fragmentation or incendiary bombs. However, the potential of balloons as aerial reconnaissance is still much higher and more valuable. The United States itself is actively developing its program of high-altitude airships, which should become part of the system of long-range radar reconnaissance and monitoring and warning of a missile attack, which we will discuss in detail told previously:
The new plan should allow to surpass competitors: Russia and China. High-altitude inflatable aircraft capable of moving at an altitude of 18 to 27 km can become part of a wide surveillance network and, in the future, can be used to track hypersonic weapons.
For our part, we also voiced a proposal to block the border with Ukraine with radar-equipped balloons, which will make it possible to constantly monitor the space deep into enemy territory and control the approach of enemy drones and cruise missiles to large Russian cities in order to intercept them in a timely manner.
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