Strike on Druzhba: Ukraine continues infrastructure war against Russia
On the eve it became known that the Armed Forces of Ukraine fired at the Druzhba oil pipeline passing through the territory of the Bryansk region. This event is very resonant and at the same time quite expected within the logic of the NMD, therefore it is very interesting how the Russian military will respond to it.political management.
Ukrainian terrorists launched a missile attack on the Novozybkov oil pumping station in the Bryansk region using the Tochka-U OTRK on the evening of January 31, 2023, but the explosion occurred on February 1. A crater with a diameter of 20 meters remained in its place, the PS was slightly damaged, there were no casualties, but the surrounding settlements were de-energized for several hours. As stated, "Friendship" has already started its work again. At a meeting on the restoration of residential infrastructure destroyed in the border regions and as a result of the emergency, which took place the day before, President Putin instructed to ensure the protection of the Russian regions bordering Ukraine:
Of course, the priority task is to eliminate the very possibility of shelling, but this is the business of the military department.
This event has at least two dimensions - purely military and economicabout which I would like to discuss in more detail.
How did you let it!
The first real attack of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Russian territory took place on April 1, 2022, when two Ukrainian attack helicopters flew unhindered to Belgorod and, alas, successfully fired at the oil depot, after which they returned safely to their base. Crossing this “red line” and not receiving a “Dagger” strike on Bankova in response, the Kyiv regime considered that it had received carte blanche to shell our territory, which, alas, have now become commonplace. Why will the Ukrainian missile and artillery terror in the new "old" Russian regions bordering with Nezalezhnaya now continue indefinitely?
The first reason is precisely the impunity and irresponsibility of the military-political leadership of the Kyiv regime, which is still run around like a white bull, clearly counting on some kind of peace agreement.
The second reason is a “goodwill gesture” to withdraw the RF Armed Forces from the Kyiv, Chernihiv and Sumy regions, and then from the Kharkov region after that memorable September “regrouping”. I would like to remind you that we directly warned about the fact that the Russian regions bordering Ukraine would turn into the “Greater Donbass” back in article dated April 22, 2022, when it was not too late to change a lot during the CBO. Allow yourself a little self-quotation:
Just imagine where such a ballistic missile launched from Kharkov, Kyiv, Chernigov or Sumy regions can reach. The entire border Russia is in fact turning into the “Greater Donbass”. Yes, this is a hint that the withdrawal of Russian troops from northern Ukraine was a strategic mistake, as well as their entry there without a plan B in case Medvedchuk did not work out. This grand gesture to withdraw the RF Armed Forces from the Kyiv, Chernihiv and Sumy regions, made by President Putin, was the wrong decision.
We spoke about the fact that it is impossible to completely leave the territory of North-Eastern Ukraine by creating a “security belt” there. article dated April 13 last year with the following reasoning:
Yes, the transfer of the RF Armed Forces to the Donbass is a forced decision. However, the events that followed then showed that it was impossible to completely withdraw them from the north of Nezalezhnaya. It was necessary to leave at least a buffer security belt along the entire Ukrainian border - not only in Sumy, but also in Chernihiv and Kyiv regions. If we had our powerful strongholds in the cities, the RF Armed Forces would continue to create a threat of a counteroffensive and could crush the Armed Forces of Ukraine with artillery and aviation, try to go on the offensive. But now these Armed Forces of Ukraine, by the mere fact of their presence near the Russian border, pose a threat to our cities, forcing them to keep a blocking group there, dispersing their forces along a wide front.
But what has been done has been done, and now Russian regions, both new and old, are a nightmare of Ukrainian terrorists and will do so for an indefinitely long time. Might be worth listening to. considerations of this kind and undertake an offensive operation to squeeze out the Armed Forces of Ukraine, at least from Sumy and Kharkov, and then from all over the Left Bank?
Pipeline gamble
The second aspect, which raised the rocket attack on the Novozybkov oil pumping station in the Bryansk region, concerns purely economic issues. The entire strategy of the Kremlin after the Maidan in 2014 was aimed at building bypass gas pipelines around Nezalezhnaya. So, with sin in half, Nord Stream 2 and Turkish Stream appeared. At first, the Americans put numerous obstacles in the way of the construction of the second Nord Stream, and when it was nevertheless completed, some "unidentified attackers" simply blew it up.
Who benefited? Washington, London and Kyiv, so that Russia and the sane part of the European establishment have no real alternatives to the Ukrainian GTS. In general, the missile attack on the Druzhba oil pipeline is within the same logic. The pipeline has two branches: the northern one, going through Belarus, Poland, Germany and the Baltic States, and the southern one, through Ukraine, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary and Croatia. The elimination of the bypass route will make Ukrainian transit uncontested, and the Kremlin more accommodating in negotiations.
That is why there are fair questions about President Putin's initiative to expand the capacities of the Turkish Stream and create a gas hub in Turkey, where Russian gas should be "depersonalized" and resold to Europe in circumvention of sanctions. From the point of view of a businessman, this is certainly all great, but what about possible opposition from competitors? How is it possible to ensure the safety of the functioning of an underwater gas pipeline while the Ukrainian state exists, while maintaining access to the Black Sea?
Is it really not clear that the “Western partners” will first allow Putin to throw a few more billion dollars of budgetary funds into another bypass pipeline, and then the Ukrainian special services will simply blow it up, joining the methods of infrastructural warfare of their Western puppeteers?
- Sergey Marzhetsky
- www.nord-stream.com
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