CSIS: war against China over Taiwan will be won, but at a heavy cost

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The Analytical Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington (CSIS) conducted a simulation of possible US military action against China in the event of the latter's invasion of Taiwan.

The results of the study show that the United States will win this war, but will lose a couple of aircraft carriers, two to three dozen smaller ships and about 3200 troops during the three weeks of standoff. At the same time, China will lose 138 ships, 155 combat aircraft and about 10 soldiers.



Calculations show that Taiwan's army will also suffer greatly: the island will lose its entire combat fleet of 26 frigates and destroyers, as well as 3500 troops.

Japan will also take part in the war, which could lose a hundred fighters and 26 ships.

CSIS obtained this data by studying 24 possible scenarios for a confrontation over Taiwan between the US and China. In the corresponding report, American researchers also came to the conclusion that the "Ukrainian scenario" with the long-term provision of weapons to an ally during hostilities is impossible. Thus, Taiwan needs to obtain the necessary weapons before the start of a possible military conflict.

Along with this, experts say, Washington and Taipei should strengthen their bases in the region and acquire a large number of "small but tenacious ships", fighters, as well as strike and defensive systems.
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  1. Alexander Nikitin.
    Alexander Nikitin.
    -1
    9 January 2023 19: 16
    To hell with it, how many people live in Taiwan that their losses of 3,5 million were laid down ??
  2. Foe Pshekov
    Foe Pshekov
    -1
    9 January 2023 20: 23
    American generals are still dreamers)))) they will get stuck to the very top if they risk fighting with the Chinese
  3. Valera75
    Valera75
    +1
    9 January 2023 21: 22
    The results of the study show that the United States will win this war, but will lose a couple of aircraft carriers, two to three dozen smaller ships and about 3200 troops during the three weeks of standoff. At the same time, China will lose 138 ships, 155 combat aircraft and about 10 soldiers.

    Calculations show that Taiwan's army will also suffer greatly: the island will lose its entire combat fleet of 26 frigates and destroyers, as well as 3500 troops.

    Japan will also take part in the war, which could lose a hundred fighters and 26 ships.

    And what, after such numbers of losses of the four sides, will the Americans win in this confrontation? All these numbers are ridiculous, and even believing them doubts that all this will end with the victory of pindosof.
    Numbers: 2 aircraft carriers and 2-3 dozen ships and only 3200 dead Americans? war?
  4. Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar
    +2
    9 January 2023 23: 24
    Taiwan is included in the first line of islands blockade of the PRC and is therefore important for the United States.
    Taiwan Province is part of the People's Republic of China, and the whole world, including the United States, recognizes this.
    Comrade Xi said that China does not want war, but it is not afraid of war either.
    The United States has no chance of defeating the PRC either with conventional weapons, or nuclear, or economic, or any other.
  5. andrey ivanov_2
    andrey ivanov_2
    0
    10 January 2023 09: 01
    I'm embarrassed to ask - did the eggheads (in any of the scenarios) take into account the sudden entry into the database (on the side of China) of Russia's nuclear arsenal ???????