Military expert appreciated the statement of the Armed Forces of Ukraine about the offensive in March

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Military expert Mikhail Onufrienko commented on the statement of the head of military intelligence of Ukraine Kirill Budanov about the transition of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to an “active offensive” in the spring, possibly in March. In an interview with a newspaper "Sight" the specialist considered it rather strange to talk about the spring offensive in early January and bet on the fact that “frosts will grab the ground, and it will be possible to move a heavy equipment».


According to Onufrienko, attempts to attack the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be possible as early as February and, possibly, even earlier.

It can be expected that attempts to attack the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be organized as early as February. Perhaps even earlier, if the frosts that are now starting “seize” the soil 

- shared the opinion of a military expert.

The military analyst noted that today there are a lot of expert assessments of where the Armed Forces of Ukraine can attempt to launch an offensive. Including, the western direction appears in the forecasts, Melitopol - Berdyansk. Breakthroughs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are also predicted in the Zaporozhye region with access to Berdyansk.

A more realistic option is called a tactical offensive in the area where the Armed Forces of Ukraine have previously tried to develop active operations: the Svatovo-Kremennaya direction in the north-east of the LPR

- says the interlocutor of the publication.

On the whole, Onufrienko believes, there is no particular point in making any forecasts for the spring now, since it is not known what plans the Russian General Staff will implement on the forward stretch of more than one thousand kilometers. It is quite obvious that, according to the results of 2022, the goals of the NWO have not been achieved, the expert says, even if we consider only the territories of the LPR and DPR as these goals.

And if we proceed from the fact that, according to the Constitution, the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions are parts of Russian territory, then all the more so we can say that in the coming year, Russian troops will have to intensify offensive operations.

In the coming year, the Russian Armed Forces will have to intensify offensive combat operations - and not be only on the defensive with a partial and local offensive in the Artemovsk region 

- concluded the expert.

Formerly the head of PMC "Wagner" Yevgeny Prigozhin saidthat it is still premature to talk about the breakthrough of the defense lines of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Artemovsk. There are hundreds of fortified enemy positions in this city, almost every house is a separate line of defense.
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  1. VAHOKA Offline VAHOKA
    VAHOKA (VAHOKA) 6 January 2023 14: 55
    +1
    Onufrienko is a mediocre military expert
  2. BoBot Robot - Free Thinking Machine Offline BoBot Robot - Free Thinking Machine
    BoBot Robot - Free Thinking Machine 7 January 2023 13: 38
    0
    offensive attempts by the Armed Forces of Ukraine can be back in february

    ygygygygygygygygyyy, what garbage dump did you learn the Russian language in, iksperd?
  3. Siegfried Offline Siegfried
    Siegfried (Gennady) 7 January 2023 22: 45
    0
    it looks like an ordinary APU is not waiting for an offensive. If earlier he thought that crawling under a flurry of hail, tornadoes, sunshine and 152mm shells is tin, now he will be forced to know that tin has no boundaries.

    The conflict in Ukraine is rising one step of escalation. On the part of NATO, these are deliveries of heavy, Western armored vehicles (deliveries of Leopard 2A4 are a matter of time).

    On the Russian side, this is the beginning of the use of videoconferencing. If until now the Aerospace Forces worked more on individual tips, hunted for equipment and air defense, or disposed of NURSs without much benefit, now we can say that the Aerospace Forces are becoming a factor, coming to the fore. This is primarily the beginning of the use of heavy bombs (500 kg).

    Why was it not used before, as criticized by many observers? Russia joined the NWO with a desire to keep the level of violence as low as possible. From the very beginning, there was no goal to get as many APU officers as possible. But as things progressed, it became clear that the war would be serious.

    The weak use of the aerospace forces did not allow the aerospace forces to become the main military factor in the conflict, which would lead to the need for NATO to do something about it. The topic of closing the sky would sound loud, air defense supplies would be on a different scale.

    But now the situation no longer allows holding the VKS. Perhaps this is due to the fact that there are free-falling bombs in the warehouses. We are unlikely to be able to use these bombs in a possible conflict against NATO, they must be used now. Especially with a range increase upgrade (wings), which reduces the risks from enemy air defenses.

    Many veterans of the Second World War know what a 500 kg bomb is, it cannot be compared with shelling. Modern bombs are even more powerful. Truly terrible times are coming for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, it is even difficult to imagine what will happen to the psyche of those Armed Forces of Ukraine who are lucky enough to survive the winter and spring campaign.

    And the Leopards won't change much. They will burn the same way as in Turkey. For an ordinary APU soldier, this stage of escalation, Western equipment in exchange for bombs on his head, is not the best deal.