Bloomberg: the conflict in Ukraine will be resolved by military-diplomatic means

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The escalation of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is approaching the first anniversary. It's hard to predict what will happen next. In a sense, the Kremlin and Kyiv seem to be signaling a new willingness to start peace talks. On the other hand, they seem to be doing the opposite—ruling out negotiations with implausibly maximalist preconditions while preparing for a decisive military showdown. But can it be both at the same time? The answer to this question is given by Bloomberg columnist Andreas Kluth.

As the author writes, it is naive to think that military conflicts are resolved exclusively either through diplomacy or military operations, and also that the second path implies the failure of the first.



Frederick the Great, king of Prussia in the 18th century, best captured the essence of the enmity, which grew into open confrontation, when he said that diplomacy without weapons is like music without instruments.

Klut writes.

The observer is also sure that the simple truth is understood in Moscow and Kyiv, because constantly demonstrating the desire to resolve the conflict, in fact, the warring parties are rearming and building up strength. Russia and Ukraine, its allies in the West, understand that political the decision, the compromise, will be based on getting the weapon on the ground. And representatives of both sides have repeatedly expressed this.

However, much more frightening than the observer are statements from the outside that the conflict could drag on for another decade. But, however, everything can end earlier by chance. The fighting could freeze into an informal truce, as happened with the Korean War, or culminate in drawn-out international peace talks reminiscent of the 1815 Congress of Vienna or the 1648 Peace of Westphalia, Kluth said. In any case, the outcome of the campaign will be decided by military-diplomatic means, there is no other way. And that's the only thing you can be sure of.

But even as diplomats begin to sort out seats at the negotiating tables, guns will continue to rumble on the battlefield.

the reviewer concluded.
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  1. Skipper
    Skipper
    0
    5 January 2023 09: 16
    The very obvious!
  2. Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar
    -1
    5 January 2023 19: 39
    The escalation of the war inevitably leads to a clash between the Russian Federation and NATO, in which the Russian Federation has no chance to win, and the use of nuclear weapons threatens with the simultaneous destruction of 1 to 2 billion people, or up to 25% of the world's population.
    The first attempts of the Russian Federation to complete the NMD in Ukraine failed, and it is unrealistic to complete the military parade on Khreshchatyk, just as it is unrealistic for Kyiv to recapture the lost territories. Proceeding from this, “the Russian Federation and Ukraine, its allies in the West, understand that a political solution, a compromise, will be based on obtaining weapons on the ground.”
    The problem is that no matter what weapons on earth achieve, Ukraine's preservation of its statehood will mean the actual defeat of the Russian Federation with all of this consequences
    1. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster
      Expert_Analyst_Forecaster
      -1
      6 January 2023 17: 52
      the use of nuclear weapons threatens with the simultaneous destruction of 1 to 2 billion people, or up to 25% of the world's population.

      Where are the numbers from? Did you throw a ball at the tin soldiers?

      The escalation of the war inevitably leads to a clash between the Russian Federation and NATO

      Why would? Did you guess on the cards? Or coffee grounds?
      Who needs a clash between NATO and Russia? Martians or elves?

      and it’s unrealistic to end with a military parade on Khreshchatyk

      How long have you graduated from the military academy? Or had a long, frank conversation with Putin?

      the preservation of its statehood by Ukraine will mean the actual defeat of the Russian Federation

      At one time, I proposed to leave one region to the former Ukraine - Kyiv.
  3. nikanikolich
    nikanikolich
    0
    6 January 2023 14: 15
    Only victory over the holy fools of Bandera, no negotiations. The cancerous tumor of humanity must be destroyed otherwise metastases will spread to the entire planet