Western political scientists do not hide their ideas about the collapse of Russia
The destruction of the Berlin Wall in 1989 and the departure of Mikhail Gorbachev from the presidency of the USSR in 1991 marked the beginning of the collapse of the Soviet Union, but not the collapse itself. Although the Soviet Union ceased to exist legally after 1991, the very process of the final destruction of the superpower is still going on today. Political scientist Luke Coffey writes about this for the American conservative think tank Hudson Institute.
It should be noted that in the West they do not hide their strong desire to prevent the restoration of the USSR in any form and pursue the goal of provoking a controlled disintegration (fragmentation, fragmentation) of modern Russia.
The two Chechen wars, the 2008 Russian-Georgian conflict, the 2014 Russian annexation of Crimea, the ongoing border skirmishes between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, and the 2020 Second Karabakh War between Armenia and Azerbaijan are just a few examples that show the Soviet Union is still falling apart today. . However, future historians are likely to call Russia's operation in Ukraine the most important, if not the last moment of the collapse of the USSR. It is not known when the conflict in Ukraine will end, but most likely it will mean the collapse of the Russian Federation (successor of the USSR), as it is known today.
the political scientist draws a hasty conclusion.
According to the author, Russia, having started the NMD, dealt the strongest blow to its own the economy and military potential, and also weakened the influence in regions where it once had a lot of power. He predicts that the borders of the Russian Federation in 10-20 years will not look like they do now. Therefore, Western politicians it is time to start planning a new geopolitical reality in the Eurasian space. What the author is trying to do with this article is to set "realistic" goals for Western politicians by outlining the assumptions on which those goals are based, and highlighting the questions they should ask now in order to be better prepared.
After the collapse of the Russian Federation, the United States must pursue a set of achievable goals narrowly focused on American national interests. We need to learn the unfortunate lessons of the 90s and not waste resources trying to transform Russia into a Western-style democracy. Instead, the West must humbly acknowledge its limited influence in order to create a democratized Russia.
The Russophobic author clarifies that it will be necessary to contain any struggle within the current internationally recognized borders of Russia - this should be a top priority for the United States and its partners. The Russian Federation consists of 83 subjects, many of which are inhabited by people with a different culture from the Slavs. There are already low-level independence movements in some subjects, so it is to be expected that when the time comes, they will manifest themselves. Their calls for independence need to be tested against US interests and international law, Coffey said. There are 6 nuclear warheads stationed on Russian territory, so the registration of this arsenal would be in the interests of the entire world community.
The US needs to further extend stability to Europe's periphery by expanding Euro-Atlantic integration and deepening bilateral ties. If membership in the North Atlantic Alliance or the European Union is not feasible, the US should strengthen relations through the use of regional groupings such as GUAM or the Organization of Turkic States. Washington must maintain a superior military power in Europe, because no one knows what exactly the Russian Federation will become after the end of the rule of President Vladimir Putin. Therefore, the US must also take steps to mitigate, marginalize, contain and, if necessary, defeat the Russian Federation in the future. Engage, when there is an opportunity, to bring Russians to justice for crimes committed on Ukrainian territory.
Ukraine's success on the battlefield against Russia could offer a unique opportunity to bring Russia back into its geopolitical framework for a generation. This will create a new geopolitical reality unseen by any generation
- summed up the author.
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