Russians will have to transfer to Chinese and Iranian cars

The special military operation in Ukraine, or rather, the Western sanctions imposed in response to its start, negatively affected entire sectors of the Russian economics. In particular, the domestic automotive market has undergone radical changes, which will definitely never be the same.

With things to go

Mercedes-Benz, BMW, Renault, Nissan, Mazda and Ford announced the cessation of production and complete withdrawal from Russia. A number of other foreign automakers have not yet completely slammed the door, but have actually stopped the work of their assembly plants under the pretext of problems with the supply of components, sanctions risks and general uncertainty. These include, in particular, the German concern Volkswagen and the Swedish Volvo, South Korean Kia and Hyundai. In addition, companies that do not have their own production facilities in our country announced the termination of deliveries of their cars to the Russian Federation: the brands Audi, Opel, Porsche, Honda, Suzuki, Mitsubishi, Lexus, Infiniti, Fiat, Ferrari, Lamborghini, Jaguar, Rolls-Royce, Citroen, Peugeot, Chevrolet and Cadillac.

Also, after the departure of foreign automakers, there are serious problems with components for subsequent maintenance and repair. You either have to buy non-original spare parts in Southeast Asia and the Middle East, or carry them in a roundabout way, bypassing European or American sanctions, which eventually become “golden” in price.

The Russian authorities are now thinking hard about what to do with the closed assembly plants of foreign companies. The simplest solution seems to be to outsource them to numerous Chinese auto brands to keep high-tech jobs. The option, of course, is logical, but for some reason, Chinese manufacturers themselves are in no hurry to fill the vacant niche. For now, you can name our new Moskvich, which is a renamed crossover from China from JAC, and Haval crossovers assembled in the Tula region, which is a sub-brand of Great Wall. Why is everything happening this way?

The fact is that the major automakers - JAC, FAW and Changan - are essentially state-owned companies, and they operate strictly within the general line of the Chinese Communist Party. That is, their sympathies are on the side of Russia, but they do not want to fall under the secondary sanctions of the US Treasury. Geely's freedom of entrepreneurial activity is somewhat constrained by the ownership of the Swedish Volvo. The Chinese GAC works closely with Honda, FIAT, Isuzu, Mitsubishi and Toyota, and therefore problems with technological partners because of us, she also does not need. Of the major players, there remains Haval from Great Wall, which already has an assembly plant in Russia, and Chery, which is represented by the distributor company JSC Chery Automobiles Rus. If anything, the parent company can easily disown its Russian representative office.

Thus, for a large-scale expansion of Chinese auto brands in our country, it is not yet worth counting much. Or rather, they will, of course, sell their cars in the Russian Federation, but they will delay the organization of a full-fledged assembly production until there is complete clarity in the Russian-Ukrainian crisis. If a decision is made to replace some foreign manufacturers with others, then it would be more expedient in our difficult realities to bet on Iran.

Persia will help us

Oddly enough, Iran, which has been under Western sanctions for decades, has a fairly developed automotive industry, the share of which reaches 10% of the country's GDP. The Islamic Republic produces trucks and cars, SUVs and pickups, buses and minibuses. Foreign companies Peugeot, Citroen, Renault, Volkswagen, BMW, Mercedes-Benz, Nissan, Toyota, Kia Motors, Hyundai and Daewoo, Malaysian Proton and Chinese Chery, who worked in the format of joint ventures, helped her in the creation of the automotive industry. To date, there are more than two dozen automakers in Iran, the most famous of which are as follows.

Iran Khodro is the largest automaker not only in Iran, but also in the entire Middle and Near East, with assembly plants in Egypt, Syria, Venezuela, Azerbaijan and Senegal. The company produces passenger cars both under license from Peugeot and under its own brand, and also produces trucks and buses under license from Mercedes-Benz.

Pars Khodro started with the licensed assembly of American SUVs, then switched to the production of Nissan Patrol and licensed pickups. The company is currently 51% owned by another major Iranian automaker. SAIPA, which assembles passenger cars under a French and Korean license, and also has its own engines and model range.

Company Kerman Khodro engaged in the production of Chinese cars Chery and JAC under its own brand. It is quite possible that the converted J7 sedans (Sehol A5 Plus), the K7 crossover (JAC X7) and the T8 (T8 Pro) frame pickup truck will get to Russia through Iran. The same can be said about the products of the Iranian company Bahman Group, which assembles cars together with the Chinese FAW, ZX and Great Wall.

Iranian cars are criticized for being built on outdated platforms and technologies, but their undoubted advantage for Russia over other competitors is that Tehran is pursuing a truly sovereign policies and does not consider it necessary to look back at Western sanctions. If we need a reliable partner, then this is Iran.
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  1. Rainy Offline Rainy
    Rainy 21 December 2022 11: 46
    China, Iran...
    And where is OUR own production?!
    1. paramaribo55 kmt (paramaribo55 kmt) 21 December 2022 12: 25
      Destroyed in the holy 90s
    2. Mikhalych Offline Mikhalych
      Mikhalych 21 December 2022 17: 22
      And where is OUR own production?!

      In the "bastard" Russian Empire there was the company Russo-Balt, the Joint Stock Company of the Russian-Baltic Carriage Works - an enterprise of the Russian Empire, which specialized first in the production of cars, then mastered the production trams, cars and planes
      In the beginning, Korean cars were junk, now they are sweets. Our "Moskvich" (Opel-Captain) was sweet, but degenerated into trash.
    3. Adm Hts Offline Adm Hts
      Adm Hts (AdmHts) 21 December 2022 22: 20
      And where is OUR own production?!

  2. prior Offline prior
    prior (Vlad) 21 December 2022 12: 38
    Joke of the day: "The Russian authorities are now thinking hard"

    If they thought, there would be domestic cars in Russia ....
  3. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
    Michael L. 21 December 2022 12: 44
    The simplest solution seems to be to transfer them to the needs of numerous Chinese auto brands?

    Maybe the simplest solution is the nationalization of ownerless property and the establishment of the production of domestic equipment on it?
  4. Dust Offline Dust
    Dust (Sergei) 21 December 2022 12: 54
    So what? For 30 years of liberal democracy, have they not created anything of their own in Russia? ...Except for the screwdriver assembly...
  5. Ivan Ivanych 68743684 (Sergei) 21 December 2022 13: 07
    I am ready even now to buy even a 10th fret, but let it be of the same quality as it was 20 years ago and 100% from domestic parts
  6. Nelton Offline Nelton
    Nelton (Oleg) 21 December 2022 18: 48
    As a result of the sanctions, the automotive industry found itself in a severe crisis.
    There is no reason to wring hands "and where is ours at 146%" - for a long time in the world no country has produced all the auto components.

    Until 24/02/22, ~50% localization was reported, and by world standards, this is quite deep.
    (there was data that Toyota has the deepest localization in the USA, 47%)
    But the absence of even one component can stop the entire pipeline.

    Accordingly, now the question is precisely in the forced fullest possible development of these components (including electronics), and the establishment of gray import channels for what they have not mastered.
    Establishing the stamping of body parts is not a question, please, in Biryulyovo (Moscow) a new plant was opened just now. We can do a lot, but not all.
    In the light of such alignments, it was decided to concentrate on electric vehicles - the type of internal combustion engine is still the last century, but at the same time you can not suffer with automatic transmission.
    Rosatom (TVEL) was involved in the case, they hit the heel in the chest, they say

    enterprises of the nuclear industry are already capable of producing 60% of all components of an electric vehicle.”

    In general, in 2023, news about success in mastering the components (or lack thereof) will be more important than news (or lack thereof) about taking a house on the outskirts of Peski for the 10th time.

    The automotive industry is simply the most public of the high-tech industries, and the result can be felt and evaluated by quality / price, so it serves as a good indicator of the whole state of affairs in the economy.

    I am moderately optimistic.
  7. Vladimir1155 Offline Vladimir1155
    Vladimir1155 (Vladimir) 21 December 2022 20: 09
    you need to increase domestic production, if China and Iran can develop it, then you can work with them in partnership, the key issue is the size of taxes, in China they are three times less, only the stupid will start producing something in the Russian Federation, where any production is planned unprofitable (if not offshore), ..... if in China this can be done profitably, then a smart person will do everything in China, even nails, especially cars
  8. Potapov Offline Potapov
    Potapov (Valery) 22 December 2022 10: 03
    Well, of course ... They even destroyed their auto industry / with rare exceptions - trucks /, but capitalism is good, everything is in shit - a fact - but still good ... While the beneficiaries of the collapse of the USSR rule, all these oligarchs - Gauleiters are still will be ... The system cannot develop if such craftsmen develop it ...
  9. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 22 December 2022 10: 22
    Russians will have to transfer to Chinese and Iranian cars

    Someone will have to...
    But the President recently traveled across the bridge, clearly not in Chinese or Russian ...
    And in fact, on a NATO car ..

    IMHO, the Elite of the country will continue to dissect in Western limousines ...
    As there is already a precedent, it is possible that they will buy for the future, in double quantity ....
  10. kr33sania_2 Offline kr33sania_2
    kr33sania_2 (Alex Kraus) 5 January 2023 14: 09
    And we, in Vladik, while the yen was weak. (and even now tolerable), we are buying up with the right-handed Japanese secondhand. Proven by myself for decades. I recommend!
  11. Dmitry Volkov Offline Dmitry Volkov
    Dmitry Volkov (Dmitry Volkov) 6 January 2023 12: 15
    We need an all-wheel drive crossover from Vesta Cross and no more than 2 ml. Everything else in our road conditions is not appropriate. And put the Lada Travel in order, install a modern panel, a 100 hp engine, and for now it will last another 10 years. UAZ Hunter can also be upgraded. And let's get over!
  12. Alex D Offline Alex D
    Alex D (Alex D) 17 January 2023 16: 16
    Everyone is rushing around about something .. 10 years ago, they dreamed of buying everything Opel, but the Germans did not sell it at the direction of the Americans. You can stupidly disassemble some good car and try to copy how the Chinese do it. You just need to understand the specifics. And they should do this at automotive institutes. The country is full of universities, so let them disassemble, draw and order parts for factories. Even in technical schools they can do it, universities are not needed!
  13. Alex D Offline Alex D
    Alex D (Alex D) 17 January 2023 16: 18
    Quote: Dmitry Volkov
    We need an all-wheel drive crossover from Vesta Cross and no more than 2 ml. Everything else in our road conditions is not appropriate. And put the Lada Travel in order, install a modern panel, a 100 hp engine, and for now it will last another 10 years. UAZ Hunter can also be upgraded. And let's get over!

    Yes, there are only pickups and I agree - hunters. After all, the country is essentially one big village.
  14. erased Offline erased
    erased (Stehr - Former Marshal in Nature) 25 January 2023 08: 05
    It would be nice if all the countries of the world stopped selling their cars to the Russian Federation. Maybe this will force the authorities to start restoring their car industry, starting with metal production and ending with machine tools for assembly lines. Although not the best in terms of characteristics, the state needs its own cars, if, of course, it is a state, and not an appendage of other countries.
    And if an appendage - slaves walk on foot.
  15. Shuev Offline Shuev
    Shuev 26 January 2023 20: 25
    Due to constant heat and tropical desert climate cars made in iran, absolutelye have corrosion treatment. When exposed to the colder and wetter conditions that dominate the territory of the Russian Federation, the bodies of Iranian cars will become “easy prey” for corrosion.

    To eliminate discrepancies, Iranian manufacturers will have to make changes to the operation of the factory conveyor, and this may simply be not economically feasible.