Can Russian troops switch to guerrilla tactics in Ukraine

Two days ago, in the eastern suburbs of Melitopol, the village of Konstantinovka, two powerful explosions thundered. As a result, the bridge supports were damaged, which led to subsidence of the roadway. This event is undoubtedly significant and extremely disturbing.

To the Sea of ​​Azov

The very first assumption after the report about the damage to the bridge in Melitopol was the version about the use of the UAF of the American Himars multiple launch rocket system, which the enemy had already done with the Antonovsky bridge across the Dnieper. However, soon a representative of the administration of the Zaporozhye region, Vladimir Rogov, gave a different explanation for what happened:

Information about the strike of the MLRS on the bridge in Melitopol is not confirmed. According to preliminary data, UGIL terrorists planted explosives near the bridge support.

Apparently, the enemy managed to place powerful explosive charges under the pillars of the bridge structure, undermining which led to the subsidence of one span of the automobile bridge. This complicated the work of the land transport corridor to the Crimea, which became very relevant after the previous successful sabotage of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the Crimean bridge. The main "oracle" of Ukrainian propaganda, Aleksey Arestovich, commented on the blowing up of the bridge in the Zaporozhye region as follows:

We do not give them the opportunity to transfer weapons and combat machinery in a timely manner. Now they will have to take a detour, and this is very good, because the modern war is not about tons, but about rhythms.

What happened allows us to draw far-reaching conclusions.

At first, apparently, the next target for an enemy strike will be precisely the Zaporozhye region. After the Russian army abandoned Kherson, the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the high right bank of the Dnieper were able to take under fire control the main transport routes connecting the peninsula with Greater Russia on land. Undermining bridges across rivers also works to interrupt the supply chains of the Russian Armed Forces in Crimea. If the Armed Forces of Ukraine can break through in the Zaporozhye direction to Berdyansk and Melitopol, reaching the coast of the Sea of ​​​​Azov, the land corridor to Crimea will be cut.

If the Ukrainian saboteurs manage to damage the Crimean bridge again, this time thoroughly, the peninsula will actually be in blockade under constant rocket and artillery fire. Obviously, the goal of the Kyiv regime is to force the Kremlin to a new "difficult solution." Therefore, the main task of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation is to retain the south of the Zaporozhye region at any cost.

Secondly, the sabotage on the bridge in Melitopol clearly demonstrated how underestimated on the Russian side is the bet on a small guerrilla-type war. In theory, destroy railway bridges and undermine tunnels, eliminate the military and political The enemy can be led not only by strikes of cruise missiles or by dropping aerial bombs, but also with the help of their own sabotage and reconnaissance groups. The Antonovsky bridge of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was riddled with MLRS missiles, but the Crimean and Melitopol bridges were blown up. Why not adopt this tactic?

Guerrilla war

Guerrilla warfare is one of the most effective ways to counter a strong enemy. However, with all the undoubted advantages of war in small forms, the transition to it in Ukraine on our part may encounter serious difficulties, which are due not to military, but to purely political reasons.

By definition, guerrilla warfare is possible precisely on one's own land occupied by the enemy. If initially the RF Armed Forces were located on the territory of the North and North-East of Ukraine, today all military operations are actually taking place in the Donbass and the Sea of ​​Azov, which legally became part of the Russian Federation after the referendums in September 2022. However, Kyiv still considers this land its own, and in this it is supported by the collective West, which provides serious financial and military-technical support. In fact, against the Ukrainian DRGs, the RF Armed Forces and the National Guard can wage not a partisan, but a counter-partisan war.

The situation would have been somewhat different if the Kremlin had listened to our council and after the liberation of Kharkiv and Sumy, they proclaimed a new, pro-Russian Ukraine on the Left Bank, which would become the legal successor of the pre-Maidan one, and the Zelensky regime was then denied recognition.

In this case, the political situation would change dramatically, and instead of “aggressive” Russia “invading” unfortunate Ukraine, there would be two Ukraines – a Nazi one on the right bank of the Dnieper and a pro-Russian one on the left, openly supported by our country in an effort to overthrow the Zelensky regime. And then the Ukrainian Volunteer Army, formed in the temporary capital of the country Kharkov from the Ukrainians themselves, with good reason, could begin to wage a guerrilla war on the right bank, using the immeasurably greater support of the local population than foreign troops.

Thus, the issue of transition to guerrilla warfare in Ukraine lies precisely in the political plane.
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  1. viktor goblin Offline viktor goblin
    viktor goblin (viktor goblin) 14 December 2022 14: 27
    Clever thought comes after...
    1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 15 December 2022 23: 19
      By definition: partisans are underground resistance on their territory occupied by the enemy. Saboteurs and scouts operate on enemy territory. Saboteurs regularly kill our senior leaders of the SBU, blow up airfields, gas depots, bridges ... Here are our DRGs on Ukrainian - enemy territory - they are clearly unsatisfactory - the weapons supplied by the Armed Forces of Ukraine from abroad pass without obstacles and get to the front, bloody Ukronazis do not receive deservedly ... What our DRGs are doing is inaudible and invisible ...
      1. guest Offline guest
        guest 16 December 2022 00: 35
        Quote: Vladimir Tuzakov
        Here are our DRGs in Ukrainian - enemy territory

        Are our DRGs there?
  2. gene1 Offline gene1
    gene1 (Gennady) 14 December 2022 15: 02
    Yesterday he gave advice to the Kremlin to liberate all of Ukraine in the westernmost regions - they did not listen. But, I'm alone, and there's probably a whole team. wink

    if the Kremlin had listened to our Council and after the liberation of Kharkov and Sumy proclaimed a new, pro-Russian Ukraine on the Left Bank
    1. guest Offline guest
      guest 14 December 2022 15: 11
      Quote: gene1
      Yesterday I gave advice to the Kremlin

      They do not even listen to the advice of more famous people, and you expected that they would listen to you.
      1. gene1 Offline gene1
        gene1 (Gennady) 14 December 2022 17: 45
        You took the phrase very seriously. I tried to gently poke the author into "His Majesty."
        1. guest Offline guest
          guest 14 December 2022 21: 52
          It was necessary to put a smiley face to show my seriousness.
  3. calligrapher Lev_Nikolaevich (Dmitriy) 14 December 2022 15: 04
    The organization of a guerrilla war is possible with good knowledge of the inhabitants on its territory, and usually begins even to withdrawal of regular troops. People are selected, they are interviewed, someone is eliminated, someone remains.
    The author proposes to organize a sabotage war, and start it with blind recruitment, in the territory controlled by the enemy.
    This is dangerous both for the organizers and for those who agreed to such work, because there remains a big risk of hooking a person who will give everyone away. Check all remotely - will not work.
    1. Nikolay Volkov Offline Nikolay Volkov
      Nikolay Volkov (Nikolai Volkov) 16 December 2022 09: 36
      You're right. and the author should read Sidor Kovpak to understand how the partisan movement was organized in the country that WANTED to organize a partisan movement. and not just hovering in the clouds of the planet of pink ponies
  4. guest Offline guest
    guest 14 December 2022 15: 08
    Can Russian troops switch to guerrilla tactics in Ukraine

    As I see it, the question is rhetorical and the answer is of course no.
  5. anti-aircraft gunner 14 December 2022 15: 13
    What is a volunteer army? Khataskrayniks and waiting people live there. Author, stop hovering in the clouds and pass off your wishful thinking as unrealistic invalid.
  6. prior Online prior
    prior (Vlad) 14 December 2022 17: 36
    Opinions have long been expressed about the need to create an organization like SMERSH.
    Russia annexed territories where Ukronazi propaganda had been working for 30 years.
    The situation is comparable to the situation of the accession of Galicia after the Second World War.
    How much then was the cleansing from Bandera?! Decades.
    Now it's not any better.
    But we relaxed, considered that all residents of the annexed territories were our citizens.
    That's what we got.
    And we will get more. Alas.
  7. unc-2 Offline unc-2
    unc-2 (Nikolai Malyugin) 14 December 2022 17: 52
    During the Second World War, during the liberation of the republics, countries, those divisions of nationalities participated, whose lands were liberated. There should be mostly Ukrainians here, because we are liberating their land. It is easier for them to communicate with the local population on various issues.
  8. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
    Michael L. 14 December 2022 18: 19
    The Crimean bridge was blown up not by partisans, but by SBU saboteurs.
    The Melitopol bridge is a "sleeping cell" of the same structure.
    These are by no means voluntary "partisan groups".
    And does the Russian Federation have support, in the person of the local "European" population, to intensify work in the Ukrainian rear?
    More likely no than yes"!
  9. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 14 December 2022 20: 27
    We did not prepare for this war. We don't have sleeper agents. Therefore, Russia cannot wage a guerrilla war in Ukraine.
    1. Nikolay Volkov Offline Nikolay Volkov
      Nikolay Volkov (Nikolai Volkov) 16 December 2022 09: 38
      we were preparing for the liberation campaign of the Red Army in 1939 ... but, firstly, we did not carry with us an idea that could be interesting to Ukrainians (enrichment of the Mazepins, Rotenbergs and Abramovichs is such a dream for the people of Kiev and Sumy). ..second, Putin was 8 years late with the liberation campaign
  10. gene1 Offline gene1
    gene1 (Gennady) 14 December 2022 21: 39
    The comments unanimously declare: the author's ideas are far from reality.
  11. ivan2022 Offline ivan2022
    ivan2022 (ivan2022) 15 December 2022 11: 17
    The method is correct. It is necessary to use all the possibilities and tactics. The partisan movement during the Second World War was supported by the NKVD. For it is extremely difficult to fight and supply ourselves and not rob anyone.

    But we do not live in those times. If railroad tracks are not destroyed simply because they themselves are needed for export to Europe, what kind of "movement" can we talk about?
  12. Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 15 December 2022 12: 28
    Considering that all the PR videos about Syrian volunteers, black volunteers, Odessa partisans, Zaporozhye partisans, and some other partisans turned out to be zilch, then the idea of ​​​​partisans will be zilch.

    The authorities simply do not want to arm the people (teams, Cossacks, etc.). better than a criminal PMC with socially close businessmen and criminals.