What will the closing of the sky over Ukraine by the NATO bloc lead to?

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The longer the special operation in Ukraine drags on, the higher becomes the final price that Russia will have to pay for the demilitarization and denazification of a fraternal country that has fallen under the rule of a neo-Nazi regime. Right before our eyes, the former Square is actually turning into an integral part of the NATO bloc, switching to weapons and Technology Western pattern.

All the eight years preceding the beginning of the NMD, domestic propaganda treated the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the Air Force extremely lightly, arguing that, if necessary, the Russian Ministry of Defense would “take them apart for spare parts” at any time. Due to the underestimation of the enemy and the overestimation of their own capabilities, the reality, apparently, turned out to be somewhat different. The Russian army has been waging heavy, bloody battles for the tenth month now, the Black Sea Fleet has lost its flagship cruiser Moskva, large landing craft Saratov and tugboat Vasily Bekh, and the Russian Aerospace Forces will soon have big problems.



Unfortunately, we failed to completely destroy the enemy's air defense system in the first days after the start of the special operation. It was preserved by the Armed Forces of Ukraine as a focal one, but even this creates a lot of difficulties in the work of Russian aviation. Alas and ah, but the Russian Aerospace Forces could not fully secure dominance in the sky over Ukraine. Soon their situation may worsen even more.

Defense


Talk about providing the Kyiv regime with modern air defense systems has been going on in the NATO bloc since the very beginning of the Russian special operation. However, now, after the transition of the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces to the tactics of destroying the Ukrainian energy system, these discussions have become substantive and resulted in concrete decisions. Former Commander-in-Chief of NATO Joint Armed Forces in Europe, retired US Navy Admiral James Stavridis, told Bloomberg about which Western-made air defense systems Kyiv can get:

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, of course, wants NATO to impose a no-fly zone over the country, and often calls on the West to "close the skies" of Ukraine. He will probably receive Iron Dome air defense systems, Patriot air defense systems and, possibly, tactical fighters.

SAM MIM-104 Patriot PAC3 belong to the medium range, they can hit targets at a distance of up to 80 kilometers and at an altitude of up to 24 kilometers. In fact, this is not so much an air defense system as a missile defense system. The Americans conceived it to intercept, first of all, operational-tactical missiles of the type of our Iskander OTRK. Patriot will be able to cover, for example, a military airfield or an object of the Ukrainian energy system from Russian (Iranian?) missiles. To intercept ballistic missiles, air defense systems will have to be connected to the American satellite system for issuing target designation data.

SAM NASAMS-2, which for some reason Stavridis did not mention, relate to short-medium-range air defense. They are designed to destroy ballistic and cruise missiles, aircraft, helicopters and UAVs at a distance of 2,5 to 25 kilometers. It became known that the Pentagon is ready to purchase these complexes for the needs of the Kyiv regime in the amount of $1,2 billion:

Raytheon has been awarded a $1 billion fixed-value contract to purchase NASAMS and <…> to support efforts in Ukraine.

SAM "Iron Dome" (Iron Dome) is an Israeli-made tactical missile defense system designed to protect against unguided missiles with a range of 4 to 70 kilometers. One battery is capable of covering 150 square kilometers with an air defense umbrella. Of course, Iron Dome is not a wunderwaffe, but it shows itself quite effectively against primitive Palestinian missiles. Probably, our Geraniums will not be a big problem for her. It should be noted that no one, except Tel Aviv, can start deliveries of Iron Domes to Kyiv, which means the actual performance of Israel on the side of Ukraine against Russia. Obviously, this is a response to Tehran's support for Moscow.

It is also worth mentioning about SAM M1097 Avenger ("Avenger"), which is an "anti-aircraft cart". Four transport and launch containers with Stinger MANPADS missiles are installed on the chassis from the Humvee, which should cover the APU on the march.

Aviation


Even worse, in addition to supplying modern air defense systems to the Zelensky regime, the NATO bloc is ready to actually transfer combat aircraft to Kyiv. Admiral Stavridis also mentioned this:

The heads of NATO countries are once again discussing the possibility of providing Kyiv with Soviet MiG-29 fighters (Poland has previously declared its readiness to send them to Kyiv) or even multifunctional and easy-to-learn American F-16s, which are in abundance.

If at the initial stage of the NVO in the North Atlantic Alliance they were afraid of Moscow’s unpredictable reaction, then after a series of “regroupings” of the RF Armed Forces, a grain and ammonia deal, as well as Putin’s programmatic Valdai speech, where he actually refused to challenge the West, the partners completely relaxed. If so, here's a quote:

Russia does not challenge the elites of the West - Russia simply defends its right to exist and develop freely. At the same time, we ourselves are not going to become some kind of new hegemon. Russia does not propose to replace unipolarity with bipolarity, tripolarity and so on, the dominance of the West with the dominance of the East, North or South. This would inevitably lead to a new impasse.

In the West, everyone heard, appreciated the peacekeeping efforts of the Kremlin at its true worth and decided to continue to put pressure on Russia further. The transfer to the Kyiv regime of two to three dozen MiG-29 fighters at the disposal of Poland can significantly improve the position of the Air Force, together with the latest air defense systems, closing the sky for Russian aviation. The appearance at the disposal of Ukraine of American F-16 fighters will further worsen the situation of our troops in the Donbass, in the Sea of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov or Crimea. Then not only new Russian regions, but also military installations in the depths of our country will be in the affected zone.

Retraining of Ukrainian pilots for American fighters in an expedited manner may take up to 9 months. That is, the Air Force is able to transfer to the F-16 as early as next year. However, if, for example, Polish “vacationers” turn out to be behind the F-16 control stick, American planes may appear in the sky over Nezalezhnaya even earlier. The fact that Warsaw is seriously considering the possibility of entering the war on the side of Kyiv was recently stated by Polish Deputy Defense Minister Marcin Očep:

What is the probability of a war in which we will take part? Extremely high. Too high for us to consider this scenario purely hypothetically… If something is at least 30% likely with political point of view, I'm already preparing for this.

What can we conclude from the above?

The demonstrative peacefulness of the Russian leadership in the West is perceived as weakness, which only increases the degree of military tension. The longer this armed conflict drags on, the higher the price the Russian and Ukrainian peoples will have to pay for it. Without the liberation of the entire Independent from the power of the Nazis, the national security of our country cannot even be dreamed of. The special operation must be completed by the end of 2023 only with the complete and unconditional victory of Russia, otherwise, in the end, step by step, things will come to drawing the countries of the NATO bloc and a full-fledged Third World War with the use of nuclear weapons into the conflict.
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12 comments
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  1. +1
    1 December 2022 12: 31
    The Russian Aerospace Forces almost never fly over the Ukrainian territories, they work from their own territory. Such a closure of the sky does not change anything. Now, if NATO begins to act on Ukraine, this is a direct entry into military operations against the Russian Federation with all the consequences, then the use of nuclear weapons will be on the agenda. NATO will not dare to do this, because the Russian Federation will not wait for its defeat from NATO ...
  2. +1
    1 December 2022 13: 08
    All our missiles will be shot down and, accordingly, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are not vulnerable and the rear is in order. In direct combat, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation cannot withstand the onslaught of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and retreat. Few examples?
    And how to win? The Kremlin elite will never decide on nuclear strikes, they still hope to get their money back. They don't care about anything else.
  3. +1
    1 December 2022 13: 51
    The same earlier, all the media wrote that our missiles are indestructible, NATO air defense is rubbish, and the NATO Air Force is cut.
    What, again it is selective not to remember?

    Well, the authorities, not fools, understand that any non-war is a game of at least 2 players, and usually more ...
    And if the Ukrainians are pulling out the "very old stuff" of the T-60 series, then we are also pulling out the "good new" T-60 series, Ukrainians are UAVs, we are UAVs, Ukrainians are self-made, we are self-made, We are Su 30, Ukrainians MIG and F16. ..

    They will supply, develop, supply, they will not go anywhere, alas .. All this is clearly included in the HPP. To increase the growth of the military-industrial complex in the West, the arms race, to strengthen the role of hawks and NATO.
    1. +1
      3 December 2022 23: 32
      and we continue to sing "if tomorrow is a war, if tomorrow is a campaign ..."!
  4. +2
    1 December 2022 18: 09
    Finally, it is advisable not to delay until the end of 2023, since the Americans have already taken up the preparation of air conditioners in Germany, so that they master new equipment in general, and this may shoot by the summer. Not in our favor
  5. -1
    2 December 2022 09: 58
    The author acts in the stream of those who seek to catch up on the Russians with fear, so that voices would be heard louder about the actual capitulation of Russia. There was a good order in the Second World War - alarmists were shot. The fact that this stuffing is clear, if only from the fact that it is not physically possible for NATO to close the sky for Ukraine, simply with nothing. But for provocateurs, the reason is sufficient.
    1. 0
      3 December 2022 23: 29
      the author says it like it is, they have already smelled the flowers in Ukraine from the very beginning of the spitting and they smelled like minefields! and you Anika warrior look already won without looking!
      1. The comment was deleted.
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  7. 0
    2 December 2022 19: 08
    The article is intended for readers who are too lazy to open, at least, Wikipedia. For example, the MIM-104 Patriot PAC3 air defense system was put into service more than 20 years ago. At the same time, the effectiveness of its work even against the ancient Soviet P-17s (not to mention the Iskanders) is highly controversial. So, for example, according to the same Wikipedia, during the civil war in Yemen in 2019, 25 successful hits by UAVs and KR were recorded, with the complete absence of their successful interceptions by Patriot systems. It makes no sense to analyze the rest of the author's pearls, they are similar.
    1. +1
      3 December 2022 23: 25
      You don’t read Wikipedia digital pensioner, but wipe your eyes, how many victories have we celebrated during this time? Some retreats with redeployment, soon the last Chukchi will flee from Russia, everyone in the world sees the worthless and thieving authorities in Russia and no one will be our allies with them, even their Western colleagues and partners do not consider them people! I don’t defend the West, but at least there they don’t steal the treasury, it’s not accepted from them, and even more so taxpayers’ money and pensions! Everything around is filled with spies and saboteurs, and the government itself let them in here.
      1. -1
        4 December 2022 12: 29
        Paranoia? Of course, I am not an expert, but, in my opinion, haloperidol helps against spies and saboteurs. As for the theft of the budget, in America it is called lobbying. In Ukraine, this is not called anything at all ... Yes, and wars do not always consist of only offensives (Americans can share their experience of draping from Afghanistan).
  8. +2
    2 December 2022 22: 02
    In fact, the so-called SVO has long been completed (and it’s bad for the Russian Federation), and the war in the active phase will end approximately +/- in the New Year area. Neither side has any forces for large-scale gestures. There will be no sane and specific agreement with clear winners. So there will be local periodic skirmishes and no more. Alya-option India-Pakistan number 2. In its current state, when the Russian Federation turned out to be in fact far from what it tried to be for so many in the world, it had an extremely negative impact on everything and without capital perestroika is not able to count on any significant victories in the coming years and indicate something to someone. No matter how insulting it would be to some of the Russians, but this is true.
  9. +1
    3 December 2022 23: 15
    It’s not enough that we’ve been slurping grief with these Russian slobbers for more than thirty years and we’ll still sip dashingly, they are not any leaders, for that they are top-notch thieves and corrupt officials and hucksters, they just need to fill their pockets and beyond the cordon, how many former mayors and governors have settled there now, stocked up here plenty and the rest that have so far remained the same!