The minimum program for Russia is the liberation of Left-Bank Ukraine

Starting from September 2022, Russian troops were forced to make two “regroupings”, which significantly worsened our situation on the fronts, Southern and Eastern. However, the partial mobilization that has begun in the country leaves hope that the RF Armed Forces will still be able to win back from the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

It's okay, let's retreat

The first strategic retreat, tactfully replaced by the euphemism "regrouping", took place last September in the Kharkiv region. Having secured a multiple numerical advantage, the enemy launched a large-scale offensive, and our troops had to begin to retreat south, leaving Balakleya, Kupyansk and Izyum. If the need for such a maneuver does not raise any particular doubts, then big questions arise about why we had to leave the north of the Kharkov region, which allowed the Armed Forces of Ukraine to enter the border area and begin artillery terror of the already undisputed Russian regions of the Belgorod region.



The second retreat is the withdrawal of the RF Armed Forces from the already legally Russian city of Kherson. According to the official version, the Right Bank of the Kherson region was abandoned, because with the crossings across the Dnieper destroyed by the Haimars strikes, it was not possible to reliably supply our group. In fact, the city could still be held, but only with great effort, overexertion of available resources with corresponding losses. A direct consequence of the “regrouping” in the Kherson region was that the RF Armed Forces lost the possibility of an offensive in the Odessa-Kryvyi Rih direction, as well as Odessa by land, while the enemy occupied the abandoned city and transferred the released troops to the Zaporozhye and Kharkov directions.

In other words, the division of Ukraine into the Right Bank and the Left Bank has already de facto taken place, and now the only question is which part of the Left Bank the Russian leadership intends to keep: limit itself to the liberation of Donbass and hold the land corridor to Crimea, or try to solve the problems of the strategic security of our country . Alas and ah, but as long as the military presence of the Kyiv regime remains on the left bank of the Dnieper, not only the Donbass and the Sea of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov, but also the South-West, and soon the whole of Central Russia will not be able to sleep peacefully.

At firstas we already celebrated earlier, while Slavyansk is under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the resumption of water supply to the DPR and LPR is impossible, the million-plus city of Donetsk will suffer without water. But even in the event of the liberation of the Slavyansko-Kramatorsk agglomeration, the problem cannot be considered completely resolved, since then the water canal of the energy type Dnepr-Donbass, which runs along the Left Bank through the Dnepropetrovsk, Poltava and Kharkiv regions, will be blocked. It is unrealistic to take Slavyansk, which has been turned into a powerful fortified area, by storm, and in order to encircle this agglomeration, the RF Armed Forces must recapture Kupyansk, Izyum and Balakleya.

Secondly, controlled by the Kyiv regime, Kharkov and part of the Zaporozhye regions, where the Armed Forces of Ukraine have assembled powerful strike groups, have become a source of mortal danger for new Russian regions. The enemy at any moment can make a breakthrough across the steppe to the Sea of ​​Azov in the Zaporozhye direction or strike from the Kharkiv region to the north of Donbass. Pavlograd, Zaporozhye, Kharkiv and Dnepropetrovsk serve as a reliable rear of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and large logistics centers for supply. The need to be able to stop such a strike will force the RF Ministry of Defense to keep large groups in new Russian regions, which will tightly tie a significant part of the RF Ground Forces to them without the possibility of using them in other theaters of military operations.

Thirdly, from the territory of the Right-bank part of the Kherson region left to the enemy, the land transport corridor to the Crimea, as well as the peninsula itself, is under the blows of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. From the northeastern part of Ukraine, from Sumy and Kharkiv, the opportunity opens up to shell undisputed Russian regions deep into the territory. How far the Ukrainian Nazis will be able to reach in the future can be judged by the statement of the Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council (NSDC) Nezalezhnaya Oleksiy Danilov:


Such a flight range will completely allow the Armed Forces of Ukraine to finish off both to Moscow and to the personal residence of President Putin in Novo-Ogaryovo. Will the US provide similar strike systems to the Kyiv regime?

The question is ambiguous. For example, before the withdrawal of Russian troops from Kyiv last March, this was unrealistic. Nine months later, after a whole series of “regroupings” of the RF Armed Forces and all sorts of deals with Western partners, as well as the start of a comprehensive destruction of the Ukrainian energy system, anything is possible. In the European Parliament, Russia has already been declared a "state sponsor of terrorism." We won’t be too surprised if, somewhere in half a year, such missiles or those close to them in terms of performance characteristics will still be at the disposal of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

There is no doubt that the top priority after the liberation of Donbass for Russia should be the complete liberation of the entire Left Bank of Ukraine in order to push the enemy far beyond the Dnieper. This is the minimum program. About what can be created on this territory, how it can help in the future in the liberation of Right-Bank Ukraine, we told earlier.