The minimum program for Russia is the liberation of Left-Bank Ukraine


Starting from September 2022, Russian troops were forced to make two “regroupings”, which significantly worsened our situation on the fronts, Southern and Eastern. However, the partial mobilization that has begun in the country leaves hope that the RF Armed Forces will still be able to win back from the Armed Forces of Ukraine.


It's okay, let's retreat


The first strategic retreat, tactfully replaced by the euphemism "regrouping", took place last September in the Kharkiv region. Having secured a multiple numerical advantage, the enemy launched a large-scale offensive, and our troops had to begin to retreat south, leaving Balakleya, Kupyansk and Izyum. If the need for such a maneuver does not raise any particular doubts, then big questions arise about why we had to leave the north of the Kharkov region, which allowed the Armed Forces of Ukraine to enter the border area and begin artillery terror of the already undisputed Russian regions of the Belgorod region.

The second retreat is the withdrawal of the RF Armed Forces from the already legally Russian city of Kherson. According to the official version, the Right Bank of the Kherson region was abandoned, because with the crossings across the Dnieper destroyed by the Haimars strikes, it was not possible to reliably supply our group. In fact, the city could still be held, but only with great effort, overexertion of available resources with corresponding losses. A direct consequence of the “regrouping” in the Kherson region was that the RF Armed Forces lost the possibility of an offensive in the Odessa-Kryvyi Rih direction, as well as Odessa by land, while the enemy occupied the abandoned city and transferred the released troops to the Zaporozhye and Kharkov directions.

In other words, the division of Ukraine into the Right Bank and the Left Bank has already de facto taken place, and now the only question is which part of the Left Bank the Russian leadership intends to keep: limit itself to the liberation of Donbass and hold the land corridor to Crimea, or try to solve the problems of the strategic security of our country . Alas and ah, but as long as the military presence of the Kyiv regime remains on the left bank of the Dnieper, not only the Donbass and the Sea of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov, but also the South-West, and soon the whole of Central Russia will not be able to sleep peacefully.

At firstas we already celebrated earlier, while Slavyansk is under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the resumption of water supply to the DPR and LPR is impossible, the million-plus city of Donetsk will suffer without water. But even in the event of the liberation of the Slavyansko-Kramatorsk agglomeration, the problem cannot be considered completely resolved, since then the water canal of the energy type Dnepr-Donbass, which runs along the Left Bank through the Dnepropetrovsk, Poltava and Kharkiv regions, will be blocked. It is unrealistic to take Slavyansk, which has been turned into a powerful fortified area, by storm, and in order to encircle this agglomeration, the RF Armed Forces must recapture Kupyansk, Izyum and Balakleya.

Secondly, controlled by the Kyiv regime, Kharkov and part of the Zaporozhye regions, where the Armed Forces of Ukraine have assembled powerful strike groups, have become a source of mortal danger for new Russian regions. The enemy at any moment can make a breakthrough across the steppe to the Sea of ​​Azov in the Zaporozhye direction or strike from the Kharkiv region to the north of Donbass. Pavlograd, Zaporozhye, Kharkiv and Dnepropetrovsk serve as a reliable rear of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and large logistics centers for supply. The need to be able to stop such a strike will force the RF Ministry of Defense to keep large groups in new Russian regions, which will tightly tie a significant part of the RF Ground Forces to them without the possibility of using them in other theaters of military operations.

Thirdly, from the territory of the Right-bank part of the Kherson region left to the enemy, the land transport corridor to the Crimea, as well as the peninsula itself, is under the blows of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. From the northeastern part of Ukraine, from Sumy and Kharkiv, the opportunity opens up to shell undisputed Russian regions deep into the territory. How far the Ukrainian Nazis will be able to reach in the future can be judged by the statement of the Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council (NSDC) Nezalezhnaya Oleksiy Danilov:

The best and most effective solution to the energy problem for Ukraine is missiles with a range of 800 km or more, which will significantly save on generators.

Such a flight range will completely allow the Armed Forces of Ukraine to finish off both to Moscow and to the personal residence of President Putin in Novo-Ogaryovo. Will the US provide similar strike systems to the Kyiv regime?

The question is ambiguous. For example, before the withdrawal of Russian troops from Kyiv last March, this was unrealistic. Nine months later, after a whole series of “regroupings” of the RF Armed Forces and all sorts of deals with Western partners, as well as the start of a comprehensive destruction of the Ukrainian energy system, anything is possible. In the European Parliament, Russia has already been declared a "state sponsor of terrorism." We won’t be too surprised if, somewhere in half a year, such missiles or those close to them in terms of performance characteristics will still be at the disposal of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

There is no doubt that the top priority after the liberation of Donbass for Russia should be the complete liberation of the entire Left Bank of Ukraine in order to push the enemy far beyond the Dnieper. This is the minimum program. About what can be created on this territory, how it can help in the future in the liberation of Right-Bank Ukraine, we told earlier.
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  1. Sydor Kovpak Offline Sydor Kovpak
    Sydor Kovpak 29 November 2022 17: 05
    +3
    The minimum program for Russia is the liberation of Left-Bank Ukraine

    This is a good program! I hope Russia will fulfill it!!!
  2. Storm_2022 Offline Storm_2022
    Storm_2022 (Storm _2022) 29 November 2022 18: 18
    +1
    The complete liberation of the left-bank Ukraine is the first stage of the NWO, which must be completed under any circumstances.
  3. Vlad Sirs Offline Vlad Sirs
    Vlad Sirs (Sirius NVL) 29 November 2022 18: 33
    0
    It is obvious that the Kremlin will limit itself to the minimum program, that is, keeping the land corridor to Crimea, an attempt to reach the borders of the DPR, then the RF Armed Forces will reasonably go on the defensive in the hope of starting the BS roadmap in the fall of the 23rd.
    It is also obvious that the window of opportunity on the right bank of the Dnieper is completely closed for the Russian Federation. By the fall of the 23rd, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be saturated with all types of high-precision weapons from missiles to drones. Air defense will become much more effective. That is, the defeat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is impossible, a significant expansion of control over the territories on the left bank by the available forces is unrealistic. Well, approximately with this alignment, the parties will come by the fall of the 23rd. Further, apparently, there will be a freezing of the conflict, elections in the Russian Federation and the United States, after they are over, the conclusion of the BS.
  4. Colonel Kudasov Offline Colonel Kudasov
    Colonel Kudasov (Leopold) 29 November 2022 19: 15
    +3
    At least it's more or less realistic.
  5. Vlad Burchilo Offline Vlad Burchilo
    Vlad Burchilo (Vlad) 29 November 2022 20: 45
    +3
    "complete liberation of the Left Bank" is 100 pounds, but there is.
    In the Second World War, the Red Army, when it approached the Dnieper, totaled: 4,5 million people, had an advantage in: tanks and artillery, and there were about 1,5 million Germans, and by the time Kyiv was liberated, about 6 million, an overwhelming superiority: in tanks and artillery. In almost all weapons, we had an advantage in quantity and quality. Publishing house MO 1973, M1988
    Now there are about 620-64000, against 1000 + up to 000 450 "terbats" (Onofrienko's figures) in artillery: parity, in tanks there is some advantage, but they have an advantage in anti-tank weapons.
    Their Hamers are superior to our MLRS, we have a lot of SU: "Acacia", "Carnation", good installations, but "Caesar" is newer ..
    And most importantly: Gerasimov is not Antonov, and Surovikin is not Zhukov and Vatutin.
    1. Nikolay Volkov Offline Nikolay Volkov
      Nikolay Volkov (Nikolai Volkov) 1 December 2022 06: 08
      -1
      Gerasimov is not Antonov and close. and if you remember that Antonov became the Chief of the General Staff only in February 45th, and before that the brilliant Vasilevsky was the Chief of the General Staff, then the comparison is not at all appropriate.
      1. Sergei Fonov Offline Sergei Fonov
        Sergei Fonov (sergey fonov) 4 December 2022 22: 38
        +1
        Vasilevsky was already in the army from the Battle of Stalingrad, planning was done by Antonov, who visited Stalin more than all the military, when he officially became the National Guard, I don’t remember who is interested in watching, but Antonov is the only general who was not a marshal who was awarded the Order of Victory, the initiator of the award was Stalin.
        1. Vlad Burchilo Offline Vlad Burchilo
          Vlad Burchilo (Vlad) 5 December 2022 20: 53
          +1
          In fact, Antonov supervised the work of the General Staff, and Vasilevsky was in the position of "Wedding General." Stalin knew perfectly well who was doing the current work in the General Staff. And naturally talked to him
    2. Nikolay Volkov Offline Nikolay Volkov
      Nikolay Volkov (Nikolai Volkov) 1 December 2022 06: 14
      +1
      Hymers may be superior, but quantitatively Hymers will lose in any case. the art of war boils down to maximizing one's own advantages and minimizing those of the enemy. The T-34 was not better than the latest tigers, but due to the mass character and ease of production, it was the T-34 that became the tank of victory ... on the other hand, it is not reasonable to compare the Soviet mobilized economy and what is simply not in the "long state" .. .maybe the lot of the current state of Poo is the opening of turkey farms and tank biathletes ... sooner or later you will have to come to terms with this and stop dreaming about cues and lions. as well as about straightening Krivoy Rog ... it is impossible to grow a patriotic society on the vans of Urgants and houses-2 ... no matter how rotten Bandera, but it gives its supporters a pivot ... what did the Urgants, Nightingale-Simonyanism give Russia? and Solzhenitsyn's calls to live not by lies led to a completely opposite effect, which even Simonyan is already trying to talk about (although he does not draw conclusions) ...

      in any case, position No. 2 in a certain rating has clearly shaken ... but the degree of depth of the fall is still not clear ... and no one in the West takes seriously the concerns about the red lines of the Kalinka-Malinka department
      1. Vlad Burchilo Offline Vlad Burchilo
        Vlad Burchilo (Vlad) 5 December 2022 21: 19
        0
        "stop dreaming about Kiev" with cash forces of 640 and only dream.
        Take, Zhukov's book: "Memories and Reflections" (I have a 1971 edition) when they took Kyiv, in the Red Army there were 6000 "bayonets" in the Wehrmacht up to 000-1,700. Look for detailed figures in the "scrap".
        We had an advantage in tanks, aviation, artillery and manpower.
        Now? Up to 640 "bayonets" some advantage in tanks, but they have the latest anti-tank weapons, with aviation, some advantage, but they are constantly supplied with air defense systems.
        In the army, even to hell: "Shilka", "Tunguska", and Cheetah is 25 years younger than "Shilka", perhaps, and "Tunguska" and that means a lot.
        Thanks again that Israel sent a forest application for an "iron dome" and America does not give the Patriot. Then, we would have lost the opportunity to use aviation
        According to Marzheritsky, their anti-ship missiles are more perfect than ours, as a result: the fleet is immobilized.
        They have full intelligence about our troops: deployment, replenishment, and how to strike in this case?
  6. Danila Ivanov Offline Danila Ivanov
    Danila Ivanov (Danila Ivanov) 30 November 2022 09: 26
    +1
    We must make the most of our advantage in rocket launchers and missiles. Otherwise, everyone can believe in their exclusivity, and this is absolutely impossible to allow. But, the latest actions of the command really inspire confidence in the imminent completion of ours, that is, the victory of the RF Armed Forces over the Ukrainians
    1. Nikolay Volkov Offline Nikolay Volkov
      Nikolay Volkov (Nikolai Volkov) 1 December 2022 06: 09
      +3
      maybe after all, aviation should finally turn on? the question is rhetorical and is not intended to discredit the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation ...
      1. Vlad Burchilo Offline Vlad Burchilo
        Vlad Burchilo (Vlad) 5 December 2022 21: 29
        0
        You don't know: how much does it cost to train a modern 1st class pilot?
        They have strong air defense systems, + constant supplies
    2. Vlad Burchilo Offline Vlad Burchilo
      Vlad Burchilo (Vlad) 5 December 2022 21: 25
      0
      I have already gone beyond the age when the "adult uncle" said - the truth.
      How many of these "uncles" big and small, I heard! And I DON'T BELIEVE this ALREADY: "you have to joke. Perhaps an optical illusion (c)
  7. cooper Offline cooper
    cooper (Alexander) 30 November 2022 10: 51
    +2
    It is unrealistic to take Slavyansk, turned into a powerful fortified area, by storm in the forehead ...

    Unconvincing. It is very realistic to demolish all the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine here, Russia has more than funds for this .. The only question is the adequacy of the actions of the country's leadership ...
  8. vlad127490 Online vlad127490
    vlad127490 (Vlad Gor) 30 November 2022 12: 59
    +5
    Without victory in the Kremlin, there will be no victory in Ukraine. This is the minimum program.
  9. Sofia Zezina Offline Sofia Zezina
    Sofia Zezina (Sofia Zezina) 3 December 2022 16: 36
    0
    I think Putin will not fulfill the minimum or maximum program. The previously occupied territories will be slowly given up and at the same time undercover negotiations with the West on the end of the NWO will be carried out. The main task now for Putin is to stay in power and not fall under the international court, what the citizens of Russia will say about him in the future, he doesn’t give a damn, the main thing is to hold on, and the propaganda will slowly do its job and soon the discontent will stop. Notice that as soon as things get worse for Putin, high support ratings for the president immediately appear.
  10. Watching Offline Watching
    Watching (Alex) 4 December 2022 10: 23
    0
    Quote: Vlad Burchilo
    "In almost all weapons, we had an advantage in quantity and quality."

    It's you in vain about the "overweight in quality" of Soviet over German weapons. Neither the PPSh nor the T34 were of technical quality, but these rather primitive items were cheap to produce in large quantities. The Eurowehrmacht was crushed not by quality, but by quantity. The same thing is happening in the Russian-NATO war and now.