Russia was convicted of preparing a larger offensive against the Armed Forces of Ukraine

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The other day, American analysts from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) accused Russia of malicious intent towards Ukraine. Allegedly, Moscow needs negotiations with Kyiv for a respite and “working on the mistakes”, after which the carefully prepared RF Armed Forces will launch a larger offensive against the Armed Forces of Ukraine. This attack was commented on in his Telegram channel by a Russian military observer, reserve colonel Mikhail Khodarenok.


The expert noted that the Americans are not at all embarrassed by the behavior of the previous president of Ukraine, Petro Poroshenko, who spoke of the Minsk agreements as a respite necessary for Kyiv to receive support from the West and start the offensive of Ukrainian troops in the Donbass. At the same time, having studied previous publications, he noticed that hysterical notes gradually began to be traced in the rhetoric of the Americans. However, this is understandable, since Washington pretty much "forked up" by standing up for Kyiv.

The Ukraine problem sucks vital resources out of the US. The country is already almost entirely on America's balance sheet, both financially and militarily. At the same time, howling in the swamps (both in the Democratic Party and in the ranks of the Republicans) does not disturb ISW. These gentlemen believe that Ukraine needs to go further, almost to the Crimea

- the expert drew attention.

Khodarenok did not begin to assess the US's ability to balance over the abyss, focusing on diplomatic work, which can be very useful. He expressed regret that the authoritative Henry Kissinger, who could teach a lesson in "shuttle diplomacy" to ISW analysts, does not take part in the settlement of the Ukrainian crisis. According to the expert, this, of course, would not guarantee Kyiv's security, but at least it would lead to an understanding of the situation and a real assessment of its capabilities.

And a few words about the main thing. There is no military or financial potential for an offensive in Ukraine. Everything that's going on right now with some regroupings is only being done because it could be part of a big deal and preparation for peace. If Russia is fooled again, February 23, 2022 will happen again. Only already taking into account all the errors and information collected during this time

- summed up the expert.
  • Photos used: Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation
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  1. The comment was deleted.
  2. Siegfried Offline Siegfried
    Siegfried (Gennady) 19 November 2022 22: 06
    +8
    it's in the logic of events. Now Kyiv (USA) is loudly refusing to negotiate. The next event should be the liberation of the territory of the Russian Federation and a little more .. A major defeat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Action (refusal to negotiate) - consequences (loss of even more territories).

    After Kyiv's refusal to negotiate, Russia's only possible response is an offensive (before, after, or during the collapse of the power grid).

    The energy system of Ukraine is already standing and swaying on the brink of the abyss, it is enough to give a kick and everything will go to hell.

    Looks like it will be hot in winter.

    Although there is a possibility that the United States, demonstrating its readiness to arm Kyiv even more and better, is trying to force Russia to quickly end the Armed Forces of Ukraine through major battles. When Russia could continue to destroy the military potential of Ukraine with the minimum possible losses at home and drag on time.
    1. Vladimir Tuzakov Offline Vladimir Tuzakov
      Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 19 November 2022 23: 14
      +4
      We are talking about the collapse of the statehood of Ukraine. With the destruction of the energy supply (which will take place in the coming months), especially in winter, cities will become uninhabitable places, and this is for more than two tens of millions of inhabitants. The EU, as an ally and organizer of the war with the Russian Federation, will have to cover the costs of everything. Here, the collapse of Ukraine as a state and millions of refugees in the EU is foreseen.
      1. cooper Offline cooper
        cooper (Alexander) 20 November 2022 05: 21
        +13
        The US doesn't give a damn about the EU. Moreover, the US, the EU, deliberately extinguish it.
  3. anyname Offline anyname
    anyname (any name) 19 November 2022 23: 28
    -7
    Rave. What the Russian leadership has shown over the past 8 years is complete detachment from reality, faith in rainbow unicorns. They don't even have a sense of self-preservation.
    1. lord-palladore-11045 Offline lord-palladore-11045
      lord-palladore-11045 (Konstantin Puchkov) 20 November 2022 15: 11
      +2
      A sense of self-preservation, do you mean cowardice? What are you carrying?
  4. mechanic Offline mechanic
    mechanic (Yuri) 19 November 2022 23: 56
    -9
    Of course, the GDP would be glad to attack and show the Ukrainians "Kuzkin's mother." But reality requires exactly the opposite action from him.
    The impulse of surprise is completely exhausted, the NVO is bogged down and marking time, mobilized, consider civilians, they don’t really know how to fight, and they don’t want to.
    Therefore, there will be no breakthrough, but there will be a painful search for a way out of this situation.
    By spring, the situation will become clearer: how tired the US and the EU are from Ukraine, how much they are still ready to help it, how much Ukraine will be able to mobilize its people, its industry.
    The delayed effects on the Russian economy of severe Western sanctions will also manifest themselves. It will be clear how much our industry has been able to adapt to the sanctions. First of all, was she able to solve the problem of supplying raw materials and app. parts, replace them with analogues.
    Based on these factors, some kind of agreement between Russia and Ukraine will crystallize.
    Although, perhaps, something unexpected will radically turn the situation in one direction or another.
    For example, the yellowstone volcano in the United States will explode, demolish a third of America, and then they will definitely not be up to Ukraine.
    They don't get anything at all....
  5. Dust Offline Dust
    Dust (Sergei) 20 November 2022 03: 05
    +10
    it could be part of a big deal and preparation for peace. If Russia is deceived again

    People! Are you not drawn to these deals? How much can you step on the same rake ...
    1. tkot973 Offline tkot973
      tkot973 (Konstantin) 21 November 2022 22: 25
      +1
      The fact of the matter is that the people from these transactions are very "pulled", if not stronger. That's just our power is far from .. to this people.
      ps
      Today I had the opportunity to drive around the western part of the Moscow region - Gorki, Rublyovka, Arkhangelskoye, etc. Since I was not driving, I stared at the surroundings with great attention. Of course, I was not there for the first time, sometimes I drove earlier, bypassing the summer traffic jam on the Moscow Ring Road. And I’ll tell you, that is, the people, about these neighborhoods, about villas, about fenced-off estates, huge areas of pine forest behind high fences, poked with video cameras every twenty meters, about chic, very expensive tops of buildings behind fences - the power is very and is very far from the people, it is fenced off from them by these very huge fences. The people for them are just slaves, meat.
      I am not against those people who make a fortune with their sweat and blood, there are enough of them in Russia, I am proud of them. And, as a rule, they do not forget about those who work for them, their hard workers receive good conditions, attention and money. For such businessmen, the people are not meat, not the electorate, but helpers, without whom it is impossible to make money.
      And our boyars, i.e. power, under the current tsar, they have completely lost their shame, conscience and fear, the feeder for them is generously watered with selected grubs, and such that they have never seen before. And they eat these grubs in three throats. Human blood and suffering are very far away from them, they do not even understand these things. How can meat cry? No, it's meat.
      Forgive me, my dear, if I offended anyone, but I am also a piece of this meat.
  6. cooper Offline cooper
    cooper (Alexander) 20 November 2022 05: 18
    +6
    It is high time. And then we advance .. deep into our territory, ....
  7. maiman61 Offline maiman61
    maiman61 (Yuri) 20 November 2022 09: 55
    +14
    This is absurd. Losing the war, IMPOSSIBLE big deal! This is the same thing that they made a big deal with Hitler on the outskirts of Moscow. It’s just that our elite, for their money, is selling the interests of our country, this is not the first time for them
    1. Ignatov Oleg Georgievich Offline Ignatov Oleg Georgievich
      Ignatov Oleg Georgievich (Oleg) 20 November 2022 10: 42
      -7
      maiman, what interests of our country are the elite selling for their money? can i have a list?
      1. lord-palladore-11045 Offline lord-palladore-11045
        lord-palladore-11045 (Konstantin Puchkov) 20 November 2022 15: 03
        +6
        Do you really not understand, or are you fooling around? Our elite transports their goods for sale to Europe via Ukrainian railways, the same roads that supply the APU with ammunition, European armored vehicles and mercenaries. So you really don’t understand, or are you trying to disguise your inclinations of a traitor with your misunderstanding? So are you a traitor or not?
    2. The comment was deleted.
  8. Potapov Offline Potapov
    Potapov (Valery) 20 November 2022 09: 59
    +1
    A new successful offensive requires a revision of Serdyukov's army formation - a maximum brigade, a return to regiments-divisions-corps ... 8 months of continuous shelling of Donetsk and others have not taught anything ... Serious defense should not be taken, but bypassed ... Use poisonous substances ... Let me remind you that the United States has not destroyed its chemical weapons and is waging a bacteriological war against the whole world ...
  9. lance is gone Offline lance is gone
    lance is gone (lance) 20 November 2022 11: 00
    +3
    we just don’t need a respite, the more Ukronatsiks crawl in, the less they will resist later. so crawl the more the better. and yes, the offensive will be where you don’t expect it.
  10. In passing Offline In passing
    In passing (Galina Rožkova) 20 November 2022 11: 31
    +2
    And what is the purpose of the SVO? Political, economic, social? And what the Americans will write there is the tenth thing. Here, proceeding from the real goal, we must finally let the military act. Or pretend to work.
  11. lord-palladore-11045 Offline lord-palladore-11045
    lord-palladore-11045 (Konstantin Puchkov) 20 November 2022 14: 49
    +7
    The United States has been convicted of everything that can be convicted of anyone. Americans are spoiling everyone and all over the world, and at the same time they dare to convict someone of something! As for Russia, as I think, negotiations with Ukraine are like a dog's fifth leg to us. Strategically, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation must reach the Polish border, for which we need negotiations with Ukraine - I don’t understand.
    1. guest Offline guest
      guest 20 November 2022 15: 34
      +6
      We do not need negotiations, but our fifth column simply needs them.
  12. Understanding Offline Understanding
    Understanding (Alexander) 20 November 2022 15: 58
    -1
    Apparently, this is not about the destruction of the Ukrainian state, but about the destruction of Ukraine itself as a country. As part of the Slavic world. Amazing combination! At the beginning of the war, our scum helped conditional Americans to bring down the economy of Europe. And now we are stupidly depriving the people of Ukraine of the opportunity to live on their own land. Instead of destroying transport communications and thereby stopping military logistics, solely thanks to which the war can continue at all, we are ruining mainly civilian infrastructure and forcing the population to leave the country due to the cold winter. At the same time, the flows of emigrants will further worsen the general situation of Europe. Thus, we help our enemies to destroy both Europeans and Slavs. Weselvul can be proud of himself.
    1. shinobi Offline shinobi
      shinobi (Yuri) 20 November 2022 19: 07
      0
      crying on the wrong site
  13. shinobi Offline shinobi
    shinobi (Yuri) 20 November 2022 19: 06
    -1
    The Yankees are hysterical, in a hurry. They fail to impose “peace talks” before Christmas. And then there will be no “Big Politics” until mid-February. The specifics of their political system.
  14. ocean969 Offline ocean969
    ocean969 (Leonid) 21 November 2022 08: 21
    0
    Khodarenok what, ..., what kind of negotiations, what kind of deception, uncle was born yesterday? Here is a typical representative of the Russian liberda "for peace", on all the talk shows are nonsense.
  15. Jstas Offline Jstas
    Jstas (jstas) 21 November 2022 11: 04
    +1
    The logic of events demanded the introduction of a regular army into battle, mobilized in its place.
    But since the Russian army represents the "Potemkin villages", we have only ceremonial crews. PVP works more successfully than the kagala of the army. On the "red lines" of the GDP, only the lazy did not trample and some Honduras. And for the entire NWO, not a single victory. 5th column of Moscow Jewish banders betrays with impunity and sells everything and everything. A shameful capitulation lies ahead. In Bali, Lavrov signed a document condemning Russia. The UN decided to pay reparations to Ukraine by Russia.
  16. Oleg V. Offline Oleg V.
    Oleg V. (Oleg Vladimirovich) 21 November 2022 17: 28
    0
    Yes, they didn’t take it into account, sir ..... Intelligence provided incorrect information there, here the big oligarchs pidmanuli - pidveli, they didn’t see the fortifications, they didn’t see how foreigners are preparing the Armed Forces of Ukraine ... Well, after all, it’s not the first year in intelligence, rose to the rank of lieutenant colonel. In those days, the rank of lieutenant colonel of the State Security Service was not handed out right and left ... I remember Zhirinovsky threatened Bush Jr. saying that in Iraq you will choke on blood, you will receive a second Vietnam. And they entered in a month and a half, having lost 172 people dead, 1621 wounded, they completely defeated the entire Iraqi army ... Then there was a guerrilla war this and that, and Saddam hid for a long time, but if Ukraine was like that, then it would be a success . And now the insane waste of people, money - and the result is not brilliant. Why did not take into account the experience of the Americans. Zelensky would have already been hanged .. by the New Year ... And the rest too. And we will be for so long ... And with an unpredictable result. He took our example from Louis 11. He pitted the Burgundians against the Swiss. Ours would pit the Poles with the Ukrainians. And he himself would come to the rescue.
  17. nikanikolich Offline nikanikolich
    nikanikolich (nikola) 22 November 2022 13: 08
    -1
    Tyu, rubber products frightened? Or screwed up? How to destroy the Indians, so the first, but there is no desire to fight the RUSSIAN
  18. Evdokimov Sergey Yurievich Offline Evdokimov Sergey Yurievich
    Evdokimov Sergey Yurievich 23 November 2022 15: 51
    0
    Interestingly, the Americans will also run away from Ukropistan, as well as from Afghanistan?