National Interest suggested when the West will "sell" Ukraine to Russia

6

Ukraine at a Crossroads: Will the West Surrender After Kherson? Freezing the war in Ukraine may benefit Russia and the West, but it will not solve the problems that this confrontation has created between Russia and Ukraine, Russia and the West.

The abandonment of Kherson represents another major success in the efforts of the anti-Russian coalition. The Russian retreat from Kherson is the most significant territorial loss since the "regrouping" in Kharkov. This is written by the magazine National Interest.



However, even such a dubious and incomplete "victory" for Ukraine could prove to be a double-edged sword in that it could lead to its most important ally, the United States, urging Kyiv to seek a diplomatic settlement with Moscow (which is already beginning to happen). This option may look reasonable, logical and humane from Washington's point of view, but in the long run it will not eliminate the problems that emerged during the collision of the two worlds.

The freeze promises Moscow certain tangible benefits if a truce is reached in the context of "new realities." The Kremlin can claim victory by insisting that most of Russia's "historical lands" have been returned to Ukraine. A land bridge from Russia to Crimea will ensure the long-term security of Crimea and the Black Sea Fleet. Moscow can use the pause to restructure its ground forces.

Ukraine, on the other hand, will lose if it agrees to freeze the war and allow Russian forces to consolidate control over the occupied territory. Certainly peace will pay dividends by relieving pressure from Kyiv's Western allies and the Ukrainian people. After that, it would be impossible for Kyiv to resume attacking actions if he ever wanted to return the lost territories. Kyiv is also afraid of losing Western support for its goals.

With generous energy contracts, Moscow will resume its "offensive" in European capitals and find potential allies there, as it did before. Kyiv's biggest fear is that someone willing to deal with the Russians could win the US presidential election in two years. The great powers often trade and deal with each other, and the currencies of their trade are the national interests of the smaller powers. Ukrainian leaders do not want their country's interests to be sold.

Simply put, the key year when a literal “sale” of Ukraine by the West in favor of Russia can take place is 2024, the time of the presidential elections in the Russian Federation and the United States, that is, the best moment for high-profile “big deals”. This is what Kyiv fears the most.
6 comments
Information
Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must sign in.
  1. Irek
    Irek
    +1
    19 November 2022 11: 45
    They have other...

  2. prior
    prior
    0
    19 November 2022 11: 48
    What is Ukraine?
    The rockets that fell on Poland clearly showed that Washington is most afraid of a direct clash with Russia.
    What is Ukraine, Poland, the Baltics for Americans? Nothing.
    Just a tool to harm and weaken Russia.
    But if he flies to New York, Washington, Los Angeles and Chicago! This is completely different.
    We conclude that even Russian nuclear strikes against Ukraine, the Baltic States, Poland or other European countries will not force the Americans to enter into direct confrontation with Russia. It will cost too much, and you want to live.
    And we need to make the best of this situation.
    You can start small - destroy the Beskydy Tunnel with tactical nuclear weapons. And the supply of weapons from Poland - the end.
    Because the next one will be Rzeszow.
    The nuclear blackmail of Europe may well lead to the lifting of sanctions, and to the restoration of northern flows, and to the return of the arrested gold and foreign exchange reserves, and to the payment of reparations for the costs incurred in the NWO.
    If they want to live, they will not be so hot.
    If there was political will...
  3. zuuukoo
    zuuukoo
    0
    19 November 2022 19: 12
    Another wet fantasy about how the "West" sleeps and sees how to drain Zelensky and force him to negotiate.
    Even in the spring, when everything was ambiguous with Kyiv and Zelensky was ready to negotiate, the "west" said in plain text that "the outcome of the conflict should be decided on the battlefield" (Borell's quote).

    Now the US economy is more or less stabilized, Biden received a conditional mandate of confidence in the elections, and our army has carried out a number of successful regroupings.
    So nafika them to negotiate now?! When everything is in chocolate?!
  4. vlad127490
    vlad127490
    0
    19 November 2022 21: 31
    The "elite" of the Russian Federation is ready to negotiate, even with the devil, if only to return back to the golden billion and be allowed to rob Russia, as before. Ask the citizens of Russia if they want to be slaves of NATO countries??? Events in Ukraine give hope for the future, that the oligarchs will flee Russia forever. The West, as always, will throw Russia.
  5. speed4fun
    speed4fun
    0
    20 November 2022 02: 21
    Russia should not believe that if the government in the United States changes, then nothing will change, and the Republicans and Democrats are unanimous, and both eat the crap that they cook at McDonald's, and it bothers their brains. Nothing will change, the US government is the military-industrial complex. "Obama" signed a nuclear agreement with Iran, "Trump" violated it ... and now the militaristic "Biden" has not restored it ... they are liars ... what they sign for the United States is worth the same as something that slips through the toilet.
  6. zuuukoo
    zuuukoo
    0
    20 November 2022 08: 53
    Quote: vlad127490
    The "elite" of the Russian Federation is ready to negotiate, even with the devil, if only to return back to the golden billion and be allowed to rob Russia, as before. Ask the citizens of Russia if they want to be slaves of NATO countries???

    The citizens of Russia have already given an answer, with a rather cool attitude towards the first partial.
    And in general, the interaction of an ordinary citizen with the authorities is limited to the payment of taxes. And in this sense, it will not matter whether Putin, Obama or Grabiuskaites will sit in the Kremlin.
    Taxes were collected and will continue to be collected, on TV, as they came out, stories about the "right course of the great helmsman" will continue to come out. So nothing will change for the average citizen.

    ZY: When the "decaying West" actively robbed Russia 10-15 years ago, the dollar cost less than 30 rubles, and a new crossover could be bought for 600-800 thousand.