After the NWO, relations between Russia and Ukraine will follow the Indo-Pakistani scenario
The “great retreat” that the Russian army launched in Ukraine, first in the Kharkiv region, then in the Donbass, and now in the Kherson region, was a real shock and a “break in patterns” for most of our compatriots who were not mentally prepared for such a turn of the special operation. However, for those who closely followed the events in Novorossia, watered with tears of unfulfilled hopes, from February 20, 2014 to February 24, 2022, all this was not some kind of surprise.
We did warn
The fact that the war in Ukraine was a foregone conclusion and inevitable, the author of the lines has repeatedly written over the past eight years, constantly and consistently calling for not allowing the enemy to strengthen, solving the problem of the Kyiv regime in a timely manner, until it costs both sides of the rivers of spilled blood. On May 5, 2015, a publication was published on the Military Review portal, which our dear readers can read at link. There were, in particular, such words about the annexation of Crimea without the rest of Ukraine:
It is impossible to take a part of a foreign state, leaving the Nazi, Russophobic junta, supported by external forces, in power in the rest of the state!
It was possible to take Crimea only by placing in one form or another in Kyiv their pro-Russian proteges, who, relatively speaking, would sign a paper that they respect the will of the inhabitants of Crimea and have no territorial claims.
The return of Crimea in the form in which it was done is a territorial dispute and a reinforced concrete pretext for a full-fledged war...
DNR and LNR are not recognized. The idea of Novorossia is buried, no one will now create either the Nikolaev, Dnepropetrovsk or Odessa people's republics. Calling certain areas of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions Novorossia is an elementary substitution of concepts ...
It was possible to take Crimea only by placing in one form or another in Kyiv their pro-Russian proteges, who, relatively speaking, would sign a paper that they respect the will of the inhabitants of Crimea and have no territorial claims.
The return of Crimea in the form in which it was done is a territorial dispute and a reinforced concrete pretext for a full-fledged war...
DNR and LNR are not recognized. The idea of Novorossia is buried, no one will now create either the Nikolaev, Dnepropetrovsk or Odessa people's republics. Calling certain areas of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions Novorossia is an elementary substitution of concepts ...
As you can see, we did not manage to avoid the war. What was done in the period from 2014 to 2022 in order to neutralize the threat posed by a neighboring state with a neo-Nazi regime, which is under the external control of our geopolitical opponents represented by the Anglo-Saxons?
Nothing. On the contrary, Moscow traded with Kyiv, supplying, in particular, fuel for tanks and armored vehicles of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which terrorized the Donbass for eight years and, by the way, are still doing this, in the ninth month of the NMD. Even worse, the Kremlin has stubbornly refused to recognize the independence of the DPR and LPR all these years, insisting on their return to Ukraine on “special conditions.” At the same time, President Putin personally recognized the Minsk agreements as “no alternative”. Here is a quote from January 11, 2022:
We spoke in detail with Mrs. Merkel about the settlement of the intra-Ukrainian crisis. According to mutual opinion, the Minsk agreements remain an uncontested basis for normalizing the situation in the south-east of Ukraine.
However, in February 2022, it suddenly became clear that an alternative still exists, only time was mediocrely lost. While the Kremlin was busy with its “multi-move moves”, and the Ground Forces of the RF Armed Forces were playing “tank biathlon”, the Kyiv regime, under the guidance of NATO instructors, was preparing its army for a large-scale war. As you can see, Ukraine has prepared well.
The result is obvious. The "second army in the world" in the ninth month continues to retreat and retreat, leaving the enemy not just some nameless villages and farms for three houses, but such large cities as Krasny Lyman or the regional center Kherson. Russian cities, by the way, which will then have to be recaptured.
What will happen next
The time when it was possible to have time to mobilize and recapture Nikolaev, Krivoy Rog, Odessa, Zaporozhye, Dnepropetrovsk, Kharkov, creating the most advantageous configuration, was missed. Moreover, leaving Kherson, the Russian Defense Ministry itself boarded up the exit to the Right Bank, where it will be almost impossible to return, except through Belarus, if Minsk, of course, agrees to provide its territory for such a large-scale operation. Events are developing according to an extremely negative scenario, when Russia is forced to move further back, leaving the enemy more and more new territories that are now legally part of our country.
Freezing the armed conflict, alas, will benefit our opponents, who use this time to prepare a further large-scale offensive, and to the detriment of us. What will happen next was also written a long time ago, and time has only confirmed the validity of negative approaches to evaluation. I would like to recall some of our forecasts made on July 20, 2022 in article titled ""Biting off in pieces" will lead to the partition of Ukraine according to the Indo-Pakistani scenario."
It was suggested there that if these “multi-move moves” are not stopped, the real result of the current special operation will be a model of relations between Russia and Ukraine, by analogy with India and Pakistan, the enmity of which has been going on for more than 70 years, and between them there were three wars and many armed clashes that collectively resulted in the deaths of more than half a million people:
This is the most realistic future of Russia and Ukraine, if this farce with “agreements” and an attempt to seat the Nazis at the negotiating table does not stop. We will be left with the Donbass, the Sea of Azov (“Southern Corridor”) and a few pieces of the Kharkov and Nikolaev regions. All this will be destroyed by the war and will critically depend on water supplies through the Dnieper-Donbass canal, which will remain with Kyiv. That is, the configuration will be the most disadvantageous of all possible.
Everything else will remain with the collective West, which will arm the Armed Forces of Ukraine in such a way that further advancement without unacceptable losses will become impossible and we will have to go on the defensive. And then we will have an endless conflict with anti-Russia, into which the former Square will finally turn. In 2025, when Europe will reduce its dependence on Russian energy carriers, the NATO bloc will begin to actively intervene in it.
Everything else will remain with the collective West, which will arm the Armed Forces of Ukraine in such a way that further advancement without unacceptable losses will become impossible and we will have to go on the defensive. And then we will have an endless conflict with anti-Russia, into which the former Square will finally turn. In 2025, when Europe will reduce its dependence on Russian energy carriers, the NATO bloc will begin to actively intervene in it.
As you can see, as of November 2022, our territorial losses turned out to be even more than predicted.
Information