Western experts bet on an early suspension of the Ukrainian conflict


A long “winter operational pause” in Ukraine or a halt in active hostilities between the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation may last six months. The New York Times from the United States informed the public about this, referring to the opinion of Western experts who are betting on an early suspension of the conflict, apparently forgetting that the Russian special operation began on Ukrainian territory on February 24 and both sides know how to fight in cold weather.


Experts believe that the rains in November will make the soil very soft and impassable for heavy equipment. Then heavy snowfalls and severe frosts can begin, which will greatly complicate the movement of troops, since paved roads will be shot through first.

In the spring, the snow will begin to melt and the “kingdom of mud” will come again, which tanks are not afraid of only in fictional stories, sometimes digging up the tower. Therefore, to activate at the front, you will have to wait until June. Six months is more than enough time for everything to dry out properly, and the soil becomes suitable for moving heavy equipment.

In particular, Seth Jones, vice president of the Center for Strategic and International Studies, added that the Russian Armed Forces would use the forced suspension of activity on the LBS to strike at Ukrainian infrastructure. In turn, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will intensify their sabotage and subversive activities on the Russian borders.

Note that, according to the American newspaper The Wall Street Journal, US national security adviser Jake Sullivan suggested that Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky think about "realistic" positions in negotiations with Russia. In diplomatic circles, they told the publication that it could be, for example, Kyiv's position on the status of Crimea, which could be of interest to Moscow. At the same time, Washington is not going to put pressure on the Ukrainian side, which should independently come to an understanding and desire to sit down at the negotiating table with the Russians.
  • Photos used: Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation
23 comments
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  1. Rinat Offline Rinat
    Rinat (Rinat) 13 November 2022 20: 56
    0
    If only they come to an agreement with the United States on favorable terms for us. But it is unlikely that their goals are to prolong the conflict.
  2. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 13 November 2022 22: 00
    +1
    So the goals of the parties are not achieved. What suspension?
  3. Bakht Offline Bakht
    Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 13 November 2022 23: 34
    0
    The fighting continues through the winter. The goal of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is to reach the Crimea. Russia's goal is to finally break through the defenses in the Donbass. Much will depend on holding the front in the Zaporizhia direction.
    Most likely crests will undermine the Kakhovka dam and flood the left bank. With a simultaneous attack on Melitopol. The Russian army has nowhere to retreat. At any cost it is necessary to keep the front in the Zaporozhye direction.
    1. syndicalist Offline syndicalist
      syndicalist (Dimon) 14 November 2022 07: 42
      -1
      If Melitopol is taken, then Mariupol, followed by the Crimea, will hold out for no more than a month.
      1. Bakht Offline Bakht
        Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 14 November 2022 07: 54
        0
        Crimea will last longer. Most likely, it will not be delivered at all. But the Crimean bridge will be destroyed, and the Black Sea Fleet must be withdrawn to Novorossiysk now. Only the light forces of the Fleet can be left in Sevastopol.
        1. syndicalist Offline syndicalist
          syndicalist (Dimon) 14 November 2022 18: 25
          -1
          And how will it be possible to supply the Crimea, without a bridge and without the Kerch Peninsula? Ferries and transport aircraft? So they, too, will be destroyed on the first day. I believe that Crimea is so vulnerable that it may fall even before Mariupol
          1. Bakht Offline Bakht
            Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 14 November 2022 21: 22
            -1
            Anything can be protected. There would be a desire. There is no war without loss. Therefore, I do not accept and do not understand the wording "saving the lives of servicemen".
  4. Watching Offline Watching
    Watching (Alex) 14 November 2022 01: 50
    +2
    Bullshit, i.e. bullshit. Both "Muscovites" and "Khokhols" think the same way, this is the same ethnic group. The quality of the weapon will decide the situation, as well as ao in all wars. And here the APU has an advantage. Dot. Unfortunately, Russia is...
    1. Bakht Offline Bakht
      Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 14 November 2022 07: 54
      0
      In what types of weapons does the Armed Forces of Ukraine have an advantage?
    2. trampoline instructor (Cotriarch Peril) 14 November 2022 09: 35
      0
      Bullshit, i.e. bullshit.

      Bulshit (slang) - Bullshit (English literally bullish germ) is widespread in English-speaking countries, primarily the USA and Great Britain.

      You should try to learn to distinguish a bull from a dog.
      Point.
      1. Fourth Offline Fourth
        Fourth (Fourth) 14 November 2022 11: 32
        -1
        an article by native speakers of this language is devoted to this word. Enlighten:
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bullshit
        1. trampoline instructor (Cotriarch Peril) 14 November 2022 12: 16
          -1
          Every fourth person here is a native speaker of some unknown language.
          All are so enlightened that they cannot write in their native Russian without mistakes.
          Point.
          1. Fourth Offline Fourth
            Fourth (Fourth) 14 November 2022 16: 15
            -1
            You have chosen your circle of friends. Find acceptable forms of increasing the literacy of the population.
      2. Watching Offline Watching
        Watching (Alex) 15 November 2022 13: 39
        0
        Quote: trampoline instructor
        Bullshit, i.e. bullshit.

        Bulshit (slang) - Bullshit (English literally bullish germ) is widespread in English-speaking countries, primarily the USA and Great Britain.

        You should try to learn to distinguish a bull from a dog.
        Point.

        I distinguish. There is no expression "bull shit" in Russian. "Bullshit" is a perfectly adequate functional equivalent of "bullshit".
  5. Dust Offline Dust
    Dust (Sergei) 14 November 2022 05: 38
    0
    Russia's actions are starting to take shape. Sit along the front line in the trenches, and attack in the Donbass near Donetsk. The Armed Forces of Ukraine are looking for weaknesses along the front line in our defense ... And since our troops are increasing due to the mobilized ones, Ukraine with American MLRS will strike at places where our troops, warehouses, headquarters are concentrated ... Such tactics of "sitting" are disastrous for Russia. Six months later, you will have to mobilize again in the country in order to rotate troops.
    1. Grits Offline Grits
      Grits (Alexander) 14 November 2022 16: 12
      0
      Russia's actions are reminiscent of a violently mad ram - for 9 months it has been beating its forehead into the fortified areas in the Donbass, breaking its head. And calling it grinding the forces of the enemy. Stupidity of the highest degree. And Khokhols, meanwhile, have learned to seep between our rare barriers and seize vast territories. With such tactics, Russia has already essentially lost the war.
  6. trampoline instructor (Cotriarch Peril) 14 November 2022 09: 27
    0
    A long “winter operational pause” in Ukraine or a halt in active hostilities between the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation may last six months.

    Yes, yes, and in six months they will conclude an agreement (Minsk, Istanbul, Vienna) on a ceasefire, then they will talk a lot and leave everything as it is. The liberated territories will turn into a second Crimea (Transnistria, Abkhazia, Ossetia), no peace, no war, no international recognition. Until 2042, our guarantor will negotiate with the twentieth president of Ukraine on defrosting the conflict (with the mediation of Erdogan and Lukashenko) and the fiftieth president of the United States on defusing international tension.
  7. Dust Offline Dust
    Dust (Sergei) 14 November 2022 13: 49
    +1
    The extension of the SVO depends solely on the decisiveness of President Putin. If the NWO is "sluggish" the end of the war and the edge will not be visible. If Russia begins to progressively build up the flywheel of war, it will end quickly. The West will be forced to negotiate.
    1. Grits Offline Grits
      Grits (Alexander) 14 November 2022 16: 15
      0
      But we did not notice this determination for the entire period of the NWO. And now - even more so. Now our commander-in-chief looks like a frightened, cornered lamb. Gone is his time when he was respected and feared in the world. Now they just laugh in your face.
    2. lord-palladore-11045 (Konstantin Puchkov) 18 November 2022 15: 14
      0
      No negotiations! And what about the west? The NWO is being held in Ukraine, and this should be the starting point.
  8. Luenkov Offline Luenkov
    Luenkov (Arkady) 14 November 2022 23: 15
    0
    Bet on betrayal? This is how after the mobilization there will be all the negotiations and pauses
  9. Watching Offline Watching
    Watching (Alex) 15 November 2022 13: 44
    0
    Quote: Gritsa
    Russia's actions are reminiscent of a violently mad ram - for 9 months it has been beating its forehead into the fortified areas in the Donbass, breaking its head.

    I must admit that it is very similar to this. If they themselves admitted that this fortified area cannot be taken, why are they not cutting off its supply with strikes on the railway? Absolutely stupid, stupid, incomprehensible war.
  10. lord-palladore-11045 (Konstantin Puchkov) 18 November 2022 15: 10
    0
    And we should be wondering what Western experts are betting on ??? I wonder what the command of the RF Armed Forces in Ukraine puts on. Something our command quieted down, it's not good.