In Kherson, the whole further fate of the special operation will be decided


Like supposed to earlier, the fate of the entire further operation to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine will be decided in the south. True, now, in the ninth month of the NMD, the question is not about when we will take Odessa and cut through a land corridor to Transnistria, but about whether we can even keep Kherson. Why did this particular city become a breaking point, after which any options become possible - from the most pessimistic to moderately optimistic?


"Malaya Zemlya-2"


As we have detailed told earlier, Kherson, located on the Right Bank, is the gate through which the liberation of Nikolaev, Krivoy Rog, Odessa, Nikopol, Zaporozhye and Dnepropetrovsk is only possible. Taking control of the entire South of Ukraine under the control of the RF Armed Forces will be, if not a complete victory over Zelensky’s criminal Kyiv regime, then at least half a victory, a result of enormous strategic importance.

The loss of the entire South-East, from Odessa to Kharkov, will deprive our enemy of access not only to the Sea of ​​Azov, but also to the Black Sea, almost all remnants of heavy industry, basic natural resources, mobilization potential and human capital. This in itself, if it does not bring Kyiv to its knees, will undermine its ability to engage in a prolonged armed conflict with Russia and reduce its attractiveness as an "avatar" for the NATO bloc. We will then be able to return and annex the entire historical New Russia, forever turning post-Ukraine into a “stump” state, totally dependent on the Russian Federation economically and infrastructurally, and we will solve the problem of the territorial isolation of Pridnestrovie.

This is what is at stake, and therefore it is completely incomprehensible why, in the ninth month of the special operation, the possibility of surrendering Kherson is being seriously discussed. First, the fact that any scenarios are possible, even the “most difficult ones,” was directly and honestly stated by the commander-in-chief of the NWO, Sergei Surovikin. And then went one unpleasant news for another.

Initially, the acting governor of the Kherson region, Saldo, said that the RF Armed Forces did not plan to surrender Kherson to the Armed Forces of Ukraine:

No one will give Kherson away, the military knows what to do. They will fight to the death.

However, soon the deputy head of the administration of the Kherson region Kirill Stremousov made a statement of the opposite content:

You know, I am always with people, I understand that people should be the basis for me, because I myself am a resident of Kherson. Most likely, our units, our troops will go to the left-bank part of the Kherson region.

Immediately after Surovikin's speech from Kherson, a voluntary evacuation of the population on the Left Bank began, and the resettled persons were promised housing certificates in any other region of Russia. Today, from November 6, 2022, the evacuation from the Kakhovka district of the Kherson region becomes compulsory. Even the bones of Prince Potemkin and monuments to famous Russians were taken out of the very regional center of the former Ukraine, Saldo said:

We moved the monument to Ushakov. We transported to the left bank the remains of His Serene Highness Prince Potemkin from St. Catherine's Church and the monument itself. And also (monuments) to Suvorov and Margelov.

According to media reports, Russian troops hastily build three lines of defense at once. The first is in front of Kherson on the Right Bank of the Dnieper, the second is already on the Left Bank of the Dnieper, and the third is under the Crimea. After what happened in Bucha, Balakliya, Kupyansk, Izyum and Krasny Liman, all this looks very, very unpleasant. The only gratifying thing is that the authorities have finally taken care of the safety of civilians who can remain for the massacre of the Ukrainian Nazis after another "regrouping" of the RF Armed Forces. But why should these hasty “manoeuvres” be possible at all?

The main reason is the possible undermining of the APU of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station, after which a powerful tsunami will pass along the Dnieper, washing away all the crossings along the way. Will be flooded, mainly, the Left Bank of the Kherson region, which can be used by the Russian army for rocket and artillery strikes on the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the Right Bank. The supply of our grouping in Kherson will then become almost impossible, since there are a lot of shells by boats and helicopters and nothing else can be delivered for tens of thousands of servicemen.

It turns out that Kherson, in the ninth month of the NWO, suddenly turned from a quiet peaceful rear into a second Stalingrad or "Malaya Zemlya-2". At the same time, it is simply impossible to surrender it, despite all the difficulties in defense. In addition to the fact that we will then lose our only foothold on the Right Bank and lose the opportunity to liberate Nikolaev, Odessa, Krivoy Rog, Nikopol, Zaporozhye and Dnepropetrovsk, this event will be followed by a host of negative consequences.

At first, this will be a severe image defeat, which can no longer be covered up by any “goodwill gesture”. Kherson is legally now a Russian city, and its surrender to the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be a personal defeat for President Putin.

Secondly, precisely for the reasons indicated above, this city will still have to be liberated somehow later. But how? Crossing the Dnieper, landing from the low-lying Left Bank to the higher Right Bank, from where will the Armed Forces of Ukraine meet our troops of all calibers? Such an operation will cost our army a sea of ​​blood with no guarantee of a positive result.

ThirdlyIf Kherson is surrendered, and Russia loses the last bridgehead on the Right Bank, a new front line along the Dnieper will arise, which is beneficial specifically to Ukraine. Then the Armed Forces of Ukraine will strengthen in Kherson and release additional forces to put pressure on other areas - in the Donbass and in the Sea of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov.

Such scenarios simply cannot be allowed. Kherson is really a new Stalingrad and "Malaya Zemlya-2" of our time.

Surovikin's cunning plan?


All of the above is well known in the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, and personally the commander-in-chief of the Northern Military District Surovikin, and in the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and in the Pentagon. That is why pop bloggers like Yuriy Podoliaki carefully disperse the conspiracy theory that we allegedly specially lure the Armed Forces of Ukraine to Kherson in order to defeat them there and break into Nikolaev and Krivoy Rog on the shoulders of the retreating.

Such theories lie so on the surface that they do not represent any military secret. If there were no such plans in the Russian General Staff, then it would have to be dispersed with a broom. And the enemy, who has a wide intelligence network in the Kherson region and satellite intelligence data, is undoubtedly aware of possible designs. The main "oracle" of Ukrainian propaganda comments on the cautious actions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kherson direction:

We are not in a hurry to rejoice, we are checking some reports about the abandonment of the city and its environs by Russian troops, and establishing their meaning.

The head of the joint coordinating press center of the Defense Forces of the South of Ukraine, Natalia Gumenyuk, spoke in the same spirit:

This may be a manifestation of a provocation in order to create the impression that the settlements have been abandoned, that it is safe to enter them. Considering that they have been preparing for street battles for a long time, the way they position their units, we are aware of the planned tactics of actions and we should not rush to rejoice. It must be understood that a hybrid war also provides for such information stuffing, attacks, which can be calculated to weaken the troops.

In general, there is not much point in winking with a conspiratorial look. On the other side, they are not at all fools, and their intelligence is based on the colossal capabilities of the NATO bloc. Everyone understands everything, but the decision on a large-scale assault on Kherson by the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be made in Kyiv, based on two grounds.

The first one is political a decision when victory reports are again required from Ukraine in order to support the Biden regime, which is pumping billions of dollars of American taxpayers into the war with Russia. If they give an order, they will storm the Armed Forces of Ukraine, they will not go anywhere, even into a trap.

Secondly, in order for the attack on Kherson not to be a suicidal adventure, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will first have to fulfill one fundamental condition. They will need to destroy the dam of the Kakhovka reservoir, isolating the Russian garrison on the Right Bank. However, this is not as trivial a task as it might seem. In reality, this can be done in three ways: using tactical nuclear weapons, planting several powerful explosive devices in the dam itself to demolish it industrially, and also sending a fireship ship filled with several tens of tons of explosives to the dam, about which we will discuss in detail told previously. Here, in fact, are all the real methods, since no “Haymars” or drifting river mines will be able to destroy the super-powerful structure of the dam, they knew how to build with the “scoop”.

In other words, the key to the Right Bank is to ensure the security of the Kakhovskaya HPP, which must be covered by a layered defense system both in the air and on the river. As long as it stands, there are hopes for keeping Kherson.
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  1. zuuukoo Offline zuuukoo
    zuuukoo (Sergei) 6 November 2022 13: 22
    +5
    Let's just say that even without washing the dam, the problems with logistics will not go anywhere.
    Pontoon crossings and ferries are significantly inferior to the bridge in terms of capacity.
    Yes, and attacks on them continue regularly - fortunately, there are both NATO satellites and an agent network on the ground.

    As a result, it is probably with these problems that the statements about a possible withdrawal from the "other shore" are connected.
    1. Vladimir Orlov Offline Vladimir Orlov
      Vladimir Orlov (Vladimir) 9 November 2022 22: 55
      +2
      In Kherson, the whole further fate of the special operation will be decided

      So ...
      given today's news, if the title is correct, then we f..pa...?
  2. Colonel Kudasov Offline Colonel Kudasov
    Colonel Kudasov (Leopold) 6 November 2022 13: 27
    -9
    Leaving the right-bank part of the city does not mean the surrender of all of Kherson
    1. Akula Kharkiv 2 Offline Akula Kharkiv 2
      Akula Kharkiv 2 (Alik) 6 November 2022 23: 01
      +4
      open the map. all Kherson is on one bank, on the right.
      no right and left sides
  3. Nelton Offline Nelton
    Nelton (Oleg) 6 November 2022 13: 59
    -6
    forever turning post-Ukraine into a “stump” state, economically and infrastructurally totally dependent on the Russian Federation

    This is not true at all.
    The basis of the economy of Ukraine is the transfers of Zrobitchan from the EU, agriculture.
    And ours will always meet, and there will be no problems with the export of agricultural products.
    Yes, there are other logistics options.
  4. calligrapher Lev_Nikolaevich (Dmitriy) 6 November 2022 15: 00
    +2
    Based on the foregoing, we should expect the activity of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in two stages:
    1. Attack on Berislav with access to the dam.
    2. If the first stage is successful, the dam will be blown up and the Russian forces remaining on the right bank will be attacked.
    So you need to wait for attempts to break through from the Kryvyi Rih direction, no matter what tricks the Armed Forces of Ukraine throw out.
  5. shinobi Offline shinobi
    shinobi (Yuri) 6 November 2022 15: 13
    0
    Why are the articles no longer relevant at the time of publication? The delay goes up to 3 days at least? Nobody was going to leave Kherson and is not going to, just like taking it.
    1. Vlad Burchilo Offline Vlad Burchilo
      Vlad Burchilo (Vlad) 6 November 2022 17: 31
      0
      how to take it

      they would take for a sweet soul. The capture of Kherson, cut the land corridor with the Crimea, the bridge and the ferry crossing will be at gunpoint. Even if they do not destroy the bridge, they will make communication with Crimea almost impossible, and how long will Crimea hold out then?
  6. sgrabik Offline sgrabik
    sgrabik (Sergei) 6 November 2022 16: 49
    +3
    Kherson definitely cannot be surrendered in any way, absolutely everything must be done to hold it and launch a counteroffensive, for which we have Gen. headquarters to make comprehensive efforts and provide the most optimal and effective plans to counter the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
  7. borisvt Offline borisvt
    borisvt (boris) 6 November 2022 17: 11
    0
    I would like to argue, but not with anything))
    An article from the category of rhetorical, this time Sergey has moved a little away from the repertoire of the initiator of heated discussions hi
  8. Vlad Burchilo Offline Vlad Burchilo
    Vlad Burchilo (Vlad) 6 November 2022 17: 23
    0
    When in May the troops were regrouped in the Donbass, they also said that the "key to victory" was in the south, but then Kherson was in the rear. Attention was focused on Mariupol. Some of the homegrown "strategists" argued that after Mariupol, everything would go smoothly. It turned out exactly the opposite: Balakleya, Kupyansk, Raisins, and then Krasny Liman.
    The author says that Kherson will be a personal insult to Putin, but Liman does not count? Exactly 24 after the DLNR entered the Russian Federation, they took Liman.
    Now it turns out a "damn pie": they have Liman, the "musicians" are almost in Bakhmut, and they almost captured Kherson. And Energodar, he was also in the balance.
    In fact, Yuriy Podolyaka is a rather intelligent blogger. For some reason I understand and respect him more than Konoshenko
  9. Patrick laforet Offline Patrick laforet
    Patrick laforet (Patrick Laforet) 6 November 2022 19: 08
    -6
    I am surprised that the author of the article was not called up instead of the Commander-in-Chief of the Northern Military District Surovikin to save Kherson from the Nazis.
    1. trampoline instructor (Cotriarch Peril) 6 November 2022 19: 47
      +3
      There is no "Northern Military District" in Russia.
      You are confused with Israel.
      1. Patrick laforet Offline Patrick laforet
        Patrick laforet (Patrick Laforet) 6 November 2022 20: 43
        -4
        I just copied from the article

        All of the above is well known both in the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, and personally to the Commander-in-Chief of the Northern Military District Surovikin, and in the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and in the Pentagon.
        1. trampoline instructor (Cotriarch Peril) 6 November 2022 21: 21
          0
          All of the above is well known in the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, and personally the commander-in-chief of the Northern Military District Surovikin, and in the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and in the Pentagon.

          You "copied" in violation of the quoting rules.
          Monsieur, "SVO" - a special military operation,
          not the "Northern Military District".

          ya patstalom...
          1. Patrick laforet Offline Patrick laforet
            Patrick laforet (Patrick Laforet) 6 November 2022 21: 58
            -4
            You should ask the author of the article why he used the words "Northern Military District" if it doesn't even exist according to you. I am not a Russian or an Israeli.
            1. trampoline instructor (Cotriarch Peril) 6 November 2022 22: 46
              -3
              Please excuse me, but the author of the article is not to blame for anything if you misunderstand the meaning of what you read.
            2. Yarik83 Offline Yarik83
              Yarik83 (J. Yarmosh 8-bit Music) 7 November 2022 15: 48
              0
              espionage. Exposed himself.
            3. Watching Offline Watching
              Watching (Alex) 7 November 2022 17: 27
              -2
              It was a wrong quotation based on misinterpreting of "SVO" = "Special military operation" , which has been mistaken for "northern military district".
  10. ivan2022 Offline ivan2022
    ivan2022 (ivan2022) 6 November 2022 21: 04
    -1
    The author is right in the sense that the question of the fate of Kherson is a political one. And not only for Ukraine. There is a trade going on. Everything is possible. Absolutely.

    We must not forget that in Russia, traditionally since the 18th century, politics, another idea that has gone into the head of the authorities, has been sacrificed to common sense and even the very existence of the state. As we all remember, it was in 1991. Then the country was divided simply because Yeltsin needed to bypass Gorbachev.

    And Kherson ..... This is another "Kemsky volost", about which it will be possible to notice later that "then they deceived us again" ...... You should not take it close ....... Do not take it into head!
  11. Muscool Offline Muscool
    Muscool (Glory) 7 November 2022 08: 38
    -1
    Khokhols in Mariupol, completely surrounded, without replenishment from outside, held out for 2,5 months. Before the beginning of the Khokhlo offensive, we need to provide the troops with everything necessary for a long time, to create stocks with ammunition, fuel and food in the basements of houses.
  12. Yaroslav the Wise (Yaroslav the Wise) 7 November 2022 10: 00
    0
    Well, if the offensive is under orders from Washington, then there's not much time to wait. So we are waiting for November 8th! And then another "holiday" And so on ad infinitum. The Armed Forces of Ukraine have plenty of reasons to attack. The question is, is there a reason for the RF Armed Forces to attack?
  13. Herman 4223 Offline Herman 4223
    Herman 4223 (Alexander) 7 November 2022 11: 51
    +1
    We cannot attack from the Kherson bridgehead now, this requires the concentration of large forces, and then forces will be required to hold a new long front line. In the future yes, now no. For the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the elimination of this foothold, on the contrary, is vital, therefore, in the coming months, every effort will be made to do this. The battle is of course significant, but the war has just begun and it is too early to say where the main confrontation will be.
  14. Yuri Neupokoev Offline Yuri Neupokoev
    Yuri Neupokoev (Yuri Neupokoev) 7 November 2022 14: 04
    0
    Thoughts aloud on SVO (war):
    1. While the war has not become popular, we will not be able to win, IMHO.
    2. The war will not become popular until the elite, the "new boyars" and their offspring are fattening against the backdrop of the NWO. And some are frankly cashing in. Without the long overdue purge of the elite, things will only get worse. Another thing is who will clean this elite?
    3. SMERSH (in a new form) must be recreated. All structures are impregnated with agents of different levels. And often there is a quiet (and obvious sabotage) and sabotage.
    4. Problems of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation revealed by the SVO: the lack of intelligent commanders at all levels, theft, window dressing, in places there is clearly insufficient coordination in the conduct of operations - the result of an established system in all power structures based on clannishness, nepotism and corruption. All this creates a mess and loss of control as a result (including an increase in the army "500", which is very dangerous).
    5. Lies, imploring the true state of affairs, window dressing, careerism, the desire to "lick the authorities" - these qualities have become commonplace and almost necessary for advancement, career growth and a well-fed life for many, many (applies to all spheres, not only military). The crisis of the war reveals this more and more and creates problems of the stability of power and the preservation of Russia as such in the future.
    6. It is not clear that the authorities of the Russian Federation openly admitted that there are problems and many of them began to solve them, which is fraught for all of us in the end. Many in power hope to "slip through." They believe that at the expense of the patriotic people they will be able to sit out in warmth and satiety.
    7. Despite all this, a change of power in the Russian Federation at such a moment is extremely dangerous and undesirable. Top management SHOULD draw conclusions and solve problems comprehensively. In the meantime, only plugging holes and creating the appearance of solving problems is visible (we are so used to it).
    Watching and hoping for the best, but preparing for the worst.
    In the meantime, we continue to help our soldiers with everything we can, as soon as we can, and more and more.
    1. Down Offline Down
      Down (Etwas) 10 November 2022 08: 14
      0
      Quote: Yuri Neupokoev
      Thoughts aloud on SVO (war):
      1. While the war has not become popular, we will not be able to win, IMHO.
      2. The war will not become popular until the elite, the "new boyars" and their offspring are fattening against the backdrop of the NWO. And some are frankly cashing in. Without the long overdue purge of the elite, things will only get worse. Another thing is who will clean this elite?

      You have a very "specific understanding" of cause and effect. Everything you listed is a consequence. We have capitalism, and theft, the isolation of the power of the oligarchs from the people, all this is the norm in such a system. it is present in all capitalist countries without exception. Even with the union, power was conditionally popular. What kind of unity of the people and the oligarchs are you talking about, mentioning "Until the war became popular"?
      1. Yuri Neupokoev Offline Yuri Neupokoev
        Yuri Neupokoev (Yuri Neupokoev) 15 November 2022 09: 09
        -1
        But I did not talk about cause and effect - only about obvious facts (as a consequence). I agree that the main reason is in the existing system of clan-oligarchic capitalism. In the West, post-capitalism is already being built with might and main, where people will be separated not so much by wealth, but mainly at the genetic level. They want to make the power of the upper caste over the plebs, which will have no gender, property, opinion and will be fully controlled in the "digital paradise". A dream ... But for this it is necessary to reduce the population a bit. And they steal everywhere, but in our country bribery and embezzlement began to threaten the very existence of the Russian Federation. Socialism is also not a panacea, but under it, of course, there was no such wild division (social segregation) and theft. In China, after all, it’s also not quite socialism (to put it mildly) and they steal too.
        The problems with our current system are obvious and will only get worse. There was no war - the system more or less "coped" (the benefit of resources is unlimited). The "new boyars" simply threw some handouts from the master's table to the people. Everything that now emerges has been accumulating and growing over the years. And that's just what's on the surface and obvious. We cannot know a lot yet (they do not give and hush up and will hush up to the last). But as further "results" of the CBO are revealed, a lot of things will be revealed. And Izyum, Kherson ... this, alas, is not our last "regrouping". More and more people are convinced that the management and support of the RF Armed Forces are "not up to par." There are not enough normal personnel (as elsewhere). And among the warriors they are less and less, alas. And the fact that we have not yet "regrouped" everywhere is thanks to some adequate and sane people who heroically correct the "brilliant decisions" of some, as well as to many caring people in the country, which provide a considerable supply to the army. And if the work to fix the system does not begin (and yet it is not noticeable that it has begun), everything can be very bad. I hope I'm wrong, but facts, facts.
        On the other hand, without such a crisis of war that we have now, there was no chance of changing the existing order of things in our country. How we use it is a difficult and separate question.
        Nevertheless, it is necessary to support our soldiers in every way possible and to slow down the authorities in order to change the situation radically. And then we can win. I'm still not that informed optimist)
  15. The comment was deleted.
  16. Antey Offline Antey
    Antey (Andrey Telichko) 10 November 2022 06: 47
    0
    Quote: Vladimir Orlov
    In Kherson, the whole further fate of the special operation will be decided

    So ...
    given today's news, if the title is correct, then we f..pa...?

    Dimitriev wrote an extremely unpleasant thing after he went with the troops to Kyiv in February, something like "this crowd of idiots cannot defeat anyone!" And it was not about the fighters, it was about leadership and organization. How was the supply and organization of defense lines in Kherson organized? Why did the air defense not protect the crossings across the Dnieper? Until we change leadership, nothing will change. Not a single rascal has lost his post for failures in supply and planning! There is a natural impression that the secret goal of the NWO is the destruction of Russia.
  17. Down Offline Down
    Down (Etwas) 10 November 2022 08: 43
    0
    Quote: Antey
    So ...
    given today's news, if the title is correct, then we f..pa...?

    There is an old saying "If you don't know the ford, don't get into the water", you can't say more precisely.
  18. assault 2019 Offline assault 2019
    assault 2019 (assault 2019) 10 November 2022 13: 14
    0
    No one will give Kherson away, the military knows what to do. They will fight to the death.

    It turns out that the Kremlin has long decided to surrender Kherson without a fight ....
  19. zenion Offline zenion
    zenion (zinovy) 10 November 2022 16: 58
    0
    Again the sparrow is fed with chaff. Let them only dare, and we will move away and so on. In short, everything is reminiscent of the story that the hare will not be able to overtake the tortoise. This decision was made back in the days when the trees were large. So it's decided now. So they decided to lure the turtle with a carrot, and meet the hare with stones, so the Russian military decided.
  20. Nikolaevich I Online Nikolaevich I
    Nikolaevich I (Vladimir) 12 November 2022 13: 57
    +2
    In Kherson, the whole further fate of the special operation will be decided

    Well ? Decided? And in whose favor?