After Ukraine, the second anti-Russian front will be opened in Transcaucasia

Nothing provokes the aggressor to further escalate the conflict in the way that a peaceful policy in the spirit of the cat Leopold. In response to the constantly declared desire of President Putin to limit himself only to the liberation of Donbass, as well as the retention of the Sea of ​​\uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov and something else there that should ensure the national security of Russia, Uncle Sam and his vassals will only increase the militarization of Ukraine, at the same time opening a second front against us. Where is it to be expected in the first place?

There are a lot of potential hot spots on the map of the post-Soviet space, where Russia will be forced to get involved. These are Transnistria, and the Baltic states with Kaliningrad, and even Northern Kazakhstan, if the situation there goes according to the Ukrainian scenario. However, one of the most probable is the recurrence of the armed conflict in the Transcaucasus, where the NATO bloc will go against us in another proxy war, once again exposing Georgia as a battering ram.

Transcaucasian front?

The fact that Georgia, together with Ukraine, are "red rags" for Russia is well known to all interested parties. Both of these countries have long and consistently sought to join the North Atlantic Alliance. For both Kyiv and Tbilisi, the Russian Federation is an "occupier" that has torn away territories that they consider their own. At the same time, the Russian and Georgian armies already clashed in a direct armed conflict in 2008, from which ours then emerged victorious, but at the same time, it revealed many internal problems.

The idea of ​​opening a second front against the Russian Federation in the Transcaucasus today, when the RF Armed Forces are having difficulty confronting the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the South-East of Ukraine, and the ground forces even had to be partially mobilized, having officially called up 300 reservists, literally lies on the surface. To do this, it will be enough for Tbilisi to start its own version of an “anti-terrorist operation” to expel “pro-Russian militants” from the territory of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, forcing the Russian Defense Ministry to react and disperse its forces into a new theater of operations. There is not the slightest doubt that the collective West will provide Georgia with all-round support in such an undertaking.

However, official Tbilisi is clearly not yet ready for a second military clash with Moscow. Note that Georgia, unlike a great many other countries, did not join the anti-Russian sanctions. According to a sociological survey conducted by GORBI, almost 70% of Georgians do not want to participate in the sanctions war, and another 77,6% do not want to be involved in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. Last spring, Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Garibashvili promised that his country would not open a “second front”:

We give a guarantee to our people that peace will be long-term. There will be no second front, no war in the country - on the contrary, there will be development, construction and peace.

Regarding Georgia's entry into the NATO bloc, the head of government spoke as follows:

We are not naive and understand that Georgia has territorial problems. We must first resolve these issues, and then become a member of NATO. This is the opinion of our European partners and NATO members.

It turns out, everything? The question of a second front against Russia in the Transcaucasus is finally closed, is there nothing to worry about?

Not at all. If the Kremlin had pressed the criminal Kyiv regime firmly, consistently and uncompromisingly, to destroy it, it would have been one conversation. However, the policy of "Leopold's cat", when instead of solving urgent problems, new ones are created literally out of the blue, as happened with the "grain deal", leads to destabilization of the situation around Russia itself.

In particular, right now negotiations are underway between Baku and Yerevan on a possible settlement of their complex relations with the most active mediation of President Putin. The end result of the mutual recognition of the sovereignty and territorial integrity of these two countries and the opening of the Zanzegur transport corridor will be the withdrawal of Russian peacekeepers from Nagorno-Karabakh, and then the Russian military base from Gyumri as unnecessary. After the “mice” begin to live together, the Russian “Leopold cat” will no longer be needed, and instead of him, Turkey will finally settle in the Transcaucasus. The still relatively pro-Russian Armenia will become a partner of the "Great Turan", leave the CSTO and, perhaps, even become a partner country of the NATO bloc following Georgia.

As for Tbilisi's carefully declared peacefulness, it should not give rise to false illusions. This small country, having lost Abkhazia and South Ossetia, is in the clutches of the Anglo-Saxons and will do what it is told when the time comes. And preparations for this have already intensified.

Right now, Tbilisi has begun retraining its armed forces based on the experience Ukraine gained in confronting Russia. This process is led by instructors from the Georgian-NATO training center JTEC, opened in 2015 on the basis of the Krtsanisi National Training Center of the Ministry of Defense of Georgia. Defense Minister Dzhuansher Burchuladze said the emphasis would be on “defense,” taking into account the “dangers and risks” identified during the Russian-Ukrainian clash:

The main emphasis will be on total defense ...
We also face this risk, and our strategy is based on this understanding. Ukraine also had a strategy based on this particular threat. So we understood this well, and also understood what steps may be necessary at a particular moment.

The military budget of Georgia for the next year has been increased by a quarter. The country will create a cybersecurity command "on the principle of developed countries." The Georgian army itself should turn into a "mobile force with high combat capabilities", which will have to make a "substantial contribution to global security."

If you call a spade a spade, the NATO bloc is beginning to prepare Georgia to be able to return the territories of Abkhazia and South Ossetia “occupied by Russia” at any moment. It is possible to avoid such a negative scenario if the criminal Kyiv regime is sharply and quickly reset to zero. However, such an intention behind the Russian "cat Leopold" is not yet visible.
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  1. The comment was deleted.
  2. Vladimir80 Offline Vladimir80
    Vladimir80 1 November 2022 11: 56
    tough but objective, thanks!
    1. Romanovski Offline Romanovski
      Romanovski (Roman) 3 November 2022 11: 57
      The still relatively pro-Russian Armenia will become a partner of the "Great Turan", leave the CSTO and, perhaps, even become a partner country of the NATO bloc following Georgia ....

      You are grossly mistaken, my dear ... Armenia WILL NOT BECOME a partner (?!) of the virtual Great Turan, WILL NOT LEAVE from the CSTO, will not become a partner of the NATO bloc ... ARMENIA will continue to STRENGTHEN friendship with Russia. I think that it has become clear to you and --- do not rely on petty provocations and arrogant Saxon manipulations to quarrel Armenia and Russia !! Don't wait!
  3. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 1 November 2022 13: 14
    The Transcaucasian region has already been resolved, the Russian Federation and Turkey have divided, the United States contributed to this by separating Armenia from Russia and Georgia with a color revolution in the same way, it remains to transfer these unfriendly countries to Turkey, let them try a new life (it is possible to return under the Russian Federation, but this later). A more important Central Asian region, there is a distance from Russia, where efforts should be directed, especially to Kazakhstan, as to the underbelly of Russia
  4. Valera75 Offline Valera75
    Valera75 (Valery) 1 November 2022 13: 23
    After Ukraine, the second anti-Russian front will be opened in Transcaucasia

    I would even add that in parallel, since watching the president’s chatter in Valdai and his stories, as Peskov promised us, historical ones, I began to not understand even more what we are doing in Ukraine and after how many years it will all end. I stopped hearing from the main and the Moscow Region a long time ago these heavy words are denazification and there is one more word that is difficult for me to write. I no longer believe in a complete victory in Ukraine.

    It is possible to avoid such a negative scenario if the criminal Kyiv regime is sharply and quickly reset to zero.

    we’ll still fit into berry deals there, earthen, oil, coal, wood, but what? war will not change the language. To barry and fight at the same time is wild in my opinion, but in these 9 months I somehow cease to be slowly surprised by what is happening and the actions of our government. The SVO gave me one fat plus - I see that all these 30 years it has been a mess, so it has remained, looking at what is happening in the Moscow Region and the beginning of mobilization, I understand that even in the army ...!
    1. zenion Offline zenion
      zenion (zinovy) 1 November 2022 17: 41
      It turns out something like - if I do not conquer you, conquer me. How is this supposed to end? The point here is whoever shows himself more as a layman, that skiff on the throne, but the money will be saved. Battle of the feudal lords. This castle cannot be taken.
  5. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 1 November 2022 14: 30
    expected. HPP also determined this
  6. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
    Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 1 November 2022 16: 04
    Behind the backs of stupid peoples (including us), controlling them, the Anglo-Saxons realize their combinations. Now they were pitting us against Ukraine in order to ignite the necessary war between Russia and Europe.
    Europe must destroy Russia with its own hands. Russia - to weaken Europe. A weakened Europe will become an industrial appendage of the States without resistance. Russia's resources will go to the States.
    If anything remains of Russia, the States will finish it off. Georgia, the Baltic states, Japan are options for new theaters in case they are needed.
    As the well-known American journalist Paul Roberts, who sympathizes with Russia, himself from the highest power structures, wrote, in the person of the Anglo-Saxons we are dealing with "satanic evil" itself, and in the mouth of an American this is not a figure of speech, but a reflection of his usual reality.
    We must be aware of this
    1. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
      Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 1 November 2022 16: 55
      As for the third world war, I think that the Anglo-Saxons do not need it, but it will inevitably begin when other countries begin to guess the solution of their selfish territorial issues under this instability.
      The world is gradually sliding towards her.
      Russia could long ago stop and reverse the process with a nuclear threat to the very existence of the Anglo-Saxons, but she does not do this, because she herself is now their tool.
      An instrument of evil, like Ukraine. So here
  7. DO Offline DO
    DO (Dmitriy) 1 November 2022 17: 54
    Transcaucasia is far from Moscow, St. Petersburg and other European scientific and industrial centers of Russia. Therefore, most likely in time it will be the third front.
    A great danger is the possible isolation (with subsequent aggression) by the West of the Kaliningrad region (KO), which is easily feasible for NATO and almost NATO countries surrounding the KO and its supply routes - Finland, the Baltic states, Sweden, Poland. Therefore, the second front in time is most likely here.
  8. ZZZhuruk Offline ZZZhuruk
    ZZZhuruk (Irina Zhuruk) 1 November 2022 21: 52
    After Ukraine, there may be Poland and the Baltic states. Wait and see
  9. Igor Viktorovich Berdin 1 November 2022 23: 49
    Or maybe it's time to give 24 hours, and then fuck around London? You can first in Warsaw nuclear weapons ... Do not calm down then in London.