The "Wagner Line" is not created for defense, but for a large-scale offensive


After appearing online information About the beginning of the construction of the Wagner Line and the creation of militia units in the Belgorod region, jubilant publications appeared on Ukrainian social networks like “Russia wanted to take Kyiv in three days, and now it is forced to defend its territory, standing on the defensive.” However, such reasoning is fundamentally wrong, since fortifications are created not only for defense, but to a greater extent for a future large-scale offensive.


It should be noted that the construction of these fortifications must be viewed through the prism of the partial mobilization announced in Russia and other ongoing processes. Moscow has simply changed the strategy of conducting NMD in Ukraine.

Now economy The Russian Federation began to switch from the mode of operation in peacetime to paramilitary rails. The modernization of 800 tanks and the production of other military products in three shifts have begun. 300 men have been mobilized, who, after training, will join the ranks of the RF Armed Forces. All this simply does not fit with “stand on the defensive”, but more like the word “concentrates”.

It is likely that the Russian command will place the above-mentioned people's militia on the Wagner Line, and most of the units of the RF Armed Forces will use the Armed Forces of Ukraine to destroy the Armed Forces of Ukraine, since no one has canceled the goals of the NMD. This raises several questions. Where exactly will the Russian army strike and will it be alone?

The most logical thing seems to us to be the strike of the RF Armed Forces from the Belarusian Brest on the Ukrainian Lutsk and further on Lvov and Uzhgorod. Closing Ukraine's border with Poland, Slovakia and Hungary will cut off Kyiv from the main supply of arms, ammunition, fuel and electricity from the European Union. After that, not only the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but the whole of Ukraine will be practically surrounded.

Ammunition tends to run out quickly, and machinery need to be repaired periodically. Moreover, local geographical features (mountains and rivers) and underdevelopment of infrastructure interfere with ensuring the supply of everything necessary in sufficient quantities through Romania. When implementing the plan described above, it cannot be ruled out that the RF Armed Forces will deliver an auxiliary strike somewhere.
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  1. Irek Offline Irek
    Irek (Paparazzi Kazan) 25 October 2022 16: 55
    +2
    If you read dillSMI, then there will be hyborgs in Moscow by winter.
    1. Petr Koldunov Offline Petr Koldunov
      Petr Koldunov (Peter) 25 October 2022 17: 09
      +6
      Well, in July 1944, the Nazis were also in Moscow.
      1. Corsair Offline Corsair
        Corsair (DNR) 25 October 2022 17: 17
        +11
        Quote: Peter Koldunov
        Well, in July 1944, the Nazis were also in Moscow.

        Yes, with a walking tour...
    2. Corsair Offline Corsair
      Corsair (DNR) 25 October 2022 17: 12
      +4
      The "Wagner Line" is not created for defense, but for a large-scale offensive

      Well, what will the experts say to this, who argued that the Armed Forces of Ukraine, having created fortifications, were not going to attack the Donbass and the actions of the Russian Federation, which launched the NMD, did not meet the challenges and threats?
      So, as if "offensive from defense" is, in principle, not possible.

      Particularly in this sense, retired General Ivashov was surprised ...
      It seems that there was a reasonable analyst, but he carried something that you couldn’t put on your head.
  2. spectr Offline spectr
    spectr (Dmitriy) 26 October 2022 01: 10
    +2
    Yes, there are at least 3 options for offensives. Which way the FIG will go knows him. Each has its pros and cons.
    1. Block the western part of Ukraine to complicate the supply of weapons.
    2. Attack on Nikolaev with access to Odessa and Transnistria. We will close the sea for Ukraine and insure Transnistria.
    3. Attack from the Zaporozhye region with the capture of Dnepropetrovsk. That will allow you to free two regions that have become Russian and impose on the Kharkov region from three sides. And also align the front, which is now strongly arched.
  3. opportunist Offline opportunist
    opportunist (dim) 26 October 2022 07: 22
    -4
    Russia should buy old Soviet-style military equipment from Iran, Venezuela, North Korea, or wherever.
  4. blackcat190463 Offline blackcat190463
    blackcat190463 (Yuri) 26 October 2022 10: 14
    +3
    Quote: opportunist
    Russia should buy old Soviet-style military equipment from Iran, Venezuela, North Korea, or wherever.

    Well, why, don’t tell me, all over the race, so much of this old equipment is mothballed, hectares, each soldier can have a tank or a truck, plus two machine guns in addition wassat am
  5. Igor Viktorovich Berdin 26 October 2022 13: 57
    +2
    Dill, tick until it's too late ... Otherwise, soon all the places in the EU will be occupied by Arabs ...
  6. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 26 October 2022 15: 44
    +3
    What kind of dragon's teeth are in the photo, utter nonsense. Such lines were overcome almost on the move, because making a passage with an explosive, overhead, backfill and other way is not a problem in the right area .. Recall the Second World War, how many anti-tank ditches, gouges, hundreds of kilometers, and efficiency, costs and pledged labor are almost zero, because the enemy sees an obstacle and prepares means to overcome it. Self-activity in defense installations should replace the modern approach to defense.
    1. Herman 4223 Offline Herman 4223
      Herman 4223 (Alexander) 26 October 2022 21: 33
      +2
      Everything works provided that the line is occupied by troops and with the density necessary for this.
    2. Elefantito Elefantito (elefantito elefantito) 27 October 2022 11: 35
      0
      Should we take an example from the Finns? They put up a chain-link fence on the border with the Russian Federation. There, not only the tank will not pass, the mosquito will not fly by!
  7. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 26 October 2022 16: 46
    +3
    Closing Ukraine's border with Poland, Slovakia and Hungary will cut off Kyiv from the main supply of arms, ammunition, fuel and electricity from the European Union.

    It is much easier to cut off the supply of weapons by destroying roads and bridges in western Ukraine.
    But Pridnestrovie needs to be saved urgently. An American division stationed in Romania can change into a Moldovan uniform and immediately take army warehouses in Transnistria, in which shells for 5 years of war.
    1. Grei grin Offline Grei grin
      Grei grin (Gray Grin) 28 October 2022 18: 15
      0
      The fact that Transnistria needs to be saved from us will be understood later, when the cock pecks in the ass and it will be too late, all the warehouses will be in NATO and go to Ukraine! Of course, they will not find the guilty, but I think they will express deep concern!
  8. VID 2 Offline VID 2
    VID 2 26 October 2022 18: 05
    +1
    The author, and with what forces are you going to block the border and deliver an auxiliary strike?
    You know: what is the size of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and our group?
    I think the General Staff will not disclose their plans
  9. Yuri Bryanskiy Offline Yuri Bryanskiy
    Yuri Bryanskiy (Yuri Bryansky) 27 October 2022 06: 29
    +2
    Joke. Wants, but can not - impotent. Maybe, but he does not want to - a scoundrel. When there are no impotents and scoundrels in the Russian government, then we will solve all problems.
    1. Amper Offline Amper
      Amper (Vlad) 28 October 2022 13: 55
      +1
      They won't leave on their own. They are good there. yes Well, let's wait, and suddenly repent, dress in rags and defend the Fatherland, cursing their greed and unscrupulousness! fellow Everything will be fine, good mood to all! bully