Yuriy Podolyaka is not sure that the Russian army will be able to hold Kherson


Ukrainian armed forces are rushing to Kherson, trying to capture the city. Communications are the main vulnerable point in the defense of allied forces, and the enemy can take advantage of this. So says, in particular, journalist and blogger Yuri Podolyaka.


If the Armed Forces of Ukraine manage to destroy the Kakhovskaya dam, vast territories will be flooded, and the right bank will be cut off from the left for a long time. At the same time, Russian units will not be able to fire from the left bank due to the flooding of the floodplain.

And in this case, taking into account the funds collected by the enemy, we definitely won’t hold the city

- Podolyaka noted in his telegram channel.

If such a scenario comes true, then the RF Armed Forces will be forced to leave the combat machinery and to save people. A similar situation arose when leaving Izyum, but this time it will be more difficult to hold positions.

The key issue here is the dam of the Kakhovka reservoir. And not even its destruction itself, but its constantly hanging threat. How serious it is, I do not know ... And hence I have no confidence that we will keep Kherson. I tell it like it is, no bluff

– emphasized the blogger.

At the same time, Russian troops have a chance to defeat the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the battlefield, since the Ukrainian side will have to attack head-on.

Earlier, Ukrainian militants attacked a civilian crossing near the Antonovsky bridge in Kherson with HIMARS missiles. Sources report the death of four people and a dozen injured, including children.
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  1. Vladimir80 Offline Vladimir80
    Vladimir80 21 October 2022 11: 26
    +8
    And why is this "expert" talking about it only now, when it is obvious to everyone around? What did he say in the summer, remind me? Oh, this faith of the Russian people in experts and false soothsayers - as in the late 80s they stared at Kashpirovsky and Chumak, now we listen to "experts" (every three months - a new "expert" pops up on TV)
    1. Corsair Offline Corsair
      Corsair (DNR) 21 October 2022 13: 59
      +4
      Quote: Vladimir80
      this "expert"

      Word expert correctly taken in "> .
      It is worth looking at Yuri's "analytics" at the beginning of the year (January), where he predicted that Russia would be able to start some kind of active actions against ex-Ukraine only by 2023.
      But there was an embarrassment with the forecast - february came and all the "analytics" had to be urgently adjusted to the current moment ...

      It happens yes when you point your finger at the sky
      1. Sergey Kuzmin Offline Sergey Kuzmin
        Sergey Kuzmin (Sergei) 22 October 2022 06: 44
        +2
        Russia will be able to start some kind of active actions against ex-Ukraine only by 2023.
        But there was an embarrassment with the forecast - February came and all the "analytics" had to be urgently adjusted to the current moment ...
        This is what happens when you point your finger at the sky

        Kherson is not just Kherson - it is fresh water for 2 million inhabitants of Crimea ... There should be only one solution: drive the Ukronazis away from Kherson further north along the right bank of the Dnieper from the existing front line for another 100 kilometers and to the west, then per 100 km. To exclude the possibility of shelling crossings and bridges across the Dnieper. And strain all the possibilities to realize it, and not engage in verbiage.
      2. The comment was deleted.
    2. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
      Bulanov (Vladimir) 25 October 2022 13: 55
      0
      If you undermine the railway in the west of Ukraine and bridges, i.e. reduce the supply of the Armed Forces of Ukraine by the West, then the war would end in 2-3 weeks. But for some reason this is not done.
  2. Nikolay Volkov Offline Nikolay Volkov
    Nikolay Volkov (Nikolai Volkov) 21 October 2022 11: 51
    +10
    active preparation of public opinion for the surrender of the regional center of the Russian Federation ...
  3. prior Offline prior
    prior (Vlad) 21 October 2022 11: 54
    +11
    We are dreaming about victory over Ukraine, over the West, while we ourselves are preparing to surrender Russian cities?!
    The brain refuses to understand such a reality.
    Where is the order "Not one step back?"
    1. alexandre II Offline alexandre II
      alexandre II (Alexander) 21 October 2022 12: 12
      +6
      There will be no such order, not all the red lines have been used up yet .....
      1. Corsair Offline Corsair
        Corsair (DNR) 21 October 2022 16: 20
        +9
        Quote from: alexandre
        There will be no order
        whom, not all the red lines have been used up yet .....

        And Putin Alas - not Stalin ...
        1. tkot973 Offline tkot973
          tkot973 (Konstantin) 22 October 2022 01: 43
          +4
          Yes, Putin, alas, is not Stalin. And Putin is no longer the same Putin that in the XNUMXs threatened to kill everyone in the toilet. I don’t know what to think, maybe the conspiracy theorists are right, and they really changed him, in the sense of not the toilet, but Putin, although maybe the toilet has also undergone changes.
          Recently, an almost exclusive opportunity turned up by chance, I had a chance to talk with people from the front line. In order not to incur additional problems, I will only say that what is happening there, they describe almost in one word - a mess, an AK with a rusty forearm and underpants of the 40s instead of underwear - not a bluff, and the main support comes from civilians. Like this.
          Who was there will confirm my words.
          1. tkot973 Offline tkot973
            tkot973 (Konstantin) 22 October 2022 01: 51
            -3
            By the way, about Podolyak. Until recently, I considered him a man from the spot, so to speak, and very competent, not an expert, of course, but a person responsible for his words. Alas, my opinion has changed, and I have to admit my mistake in assessing this comrade.
            1. bonifacius Offline bonifacius
              bonifacius (Alex) 22 October 2022 22: 54
              0
              Then listen to Lieutenant General Kanashenkov! And everything will be in chocolate!
          2. Sam Rimer Offline Sam Rimer
            Sam Rimer (Sam Rimer) 22 October 2022 07: 50
            -1
            Quote from: tkot973
            Yes, Putin, alas, is not Stalin. And Putin is no longer the same Putin that in the XNUMXs threatened to kill everyone in the toilet. I don’t know what to think, maybe the conspiracy theorists are right, and they really changed him, in the sense of not the toilet, but Putin, although maybe the toilet has also undergone changes.
            Recently, an almost exclusive opportunity turned up by chance, I had a chance to talk with people from the front line. In order not to incur additional problems, I will only say that what is happening there, they describe almost in one word - a mess, an AK with a rusty forearm and underpants of the 40s instead of underwear - not a bluff, and the main support comes from civilians. Like this.
            Who was there will confirm my words.

            What is there to say? If the theft of products worth hundreds of thousands of rubles was revealed in the Taman division. The defendants got off with ridiculous terms.
          3. k7k8 Offline k7k8
            k7k8 (vic) 22 October 2022 09: 28
            -1
            Maybe it is. But the "rusted forearm" is a little annoying
          4. Ignatov Oleg Georgievich (Oleg) 22 October 2022 17: 19
            +2
            973, You're lying! My son has been fighting there since the first day. There is nothing close to what you are talking about! Rusty forearm? Do you even know what a forearm is and what it is made of?
            1. k7k8 Offline k7k8
              k7k8 (vic) 22 October 2022 19: 28
              0
              Judging by the downvote for my post (which is higher than yours), where I asked the same question in a slightly different form, tkot973 has a very vague idea of ​​what a weapon is and what it is made of. And his pearl about the uselessness of underwear made of NATURAL cotton was especially amused. Most likely, it was an ordinary cisco who was unsuccessfully erupting, thoughtlessly chewing a training manual.
            2. alexandre II Offline alexandre II
              alexandre II (Alexander) 23 October 2022 07: 36
              0
              Kudos to you and your son...
          5. alexey alexeyev_2 (Alexey Alekseev) 23 October 2022 04: 48
            0
            Does wood rust?
          6. alexandre II Offline alexandre II
            alexandre II (Alexander) 23 October 2022 07: 34
            0
            Well, with the forearm, it’s clearly a kink .... I admit underpants, but the forearm ...
    2. Piramidon Offline Piramidon
      Piramidon (Stepan) 22 October 2022 11: 58
      0
      Quote: prior
      getting ready to surrender Russian cities?!

      It's just you and Podolyaka getting ready.
      1. k7k8 Offline k7k8
        k7k8 (vic) 22 October 2022 19: 29
        0
        It's time for Podolyak to be driven out of Moscow
    3. Alexander Dutov Offline Alexander Dutov
      Alexander Dutov (Alexander Dutov) 22 October 2022 13: 56
      -1
      As Russian officers from the front line write, they have already given such an order to themselves and their subordinates in order to prevent the Kharkov shame ... And what the command says about "difficult decisions" is their business
    4. The comment was deleted.
  4. Benjamin Offline Benjamin
    Benjamin (Benjamin) 21 October 2022 12: 01
    -1
    It was possible to hold a referendum throughout the square and declare accession, what to be modest
  5. Hiker Offline Hiker
    Hiker (Dmitriy) 21 October 2022 12: 12
    +1
    It is strange that the expert does not say anything about the option of eliminating the threat from the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
    Why not attack Nikolaev. Why not cut the front with a counterattack?
    Why not attack? Where are the 300 thousand who were on February 24 and 200-300 thousand for mobilization?
    1. The comment was deleted.
  6. polynet Offline polynet
    polynet (polinet) 21 October 2022 12: 15
    +4
    Quote: Nikolai Volkov
    active preparation of public opinion for the surrender of the regional center of the Russian Federation ...

    we do not yet know what the military leadership has planned, the plans may not be what we think. So now guessing is a thankless task.
    1. Hayer31 Online Hayer31
      Hayer31 (Kashchei) 21 October 2022 12: 37
      0
      The MO leadership has more important goals. Tank biathlon, regrouping exercises, why was it like this for 8 months. Are there any preconditions for change? Well, if you drive the firefighters and the NGSH out of the Moscow Region, then you can expect it.
      1. Corsair Offline Corsair
        Corsair (DNR) 21 October 2022 16: 27
        +4
        Quote: Hayer31
        if you drive the firefighters and the NGSH out of the Moscow Region, then you can expect.

        Then we will see the empty buildings of the Ministry of Defense and the General Staff.
  7. Seamaster Offline Seamaster
    Seamaster (Yuri Kiselev) 21 October 2022 12: 28
    -1
    All these afterlife sobs of the past few days from all sides regarding Kherson are VERY similar to a big disinformation with the aim of calling the khokholiks for a general offensive, and then slamming them with a slipper and driving them to the Romanian border. Sun Tzu, damn it, read it. Let's see.
    1. tkot973 Offline tkot973
      tkot973 (Konstantin) 22 October 2022 02: 04
      +1
      God forbid, it's hard to believe in it.
  8. k7k8 Offline k7k8
    k7k8 (vic) 21 October 2022 12: 30
    +4
    It is strange that a journalist who has never served in the army calls himself a military expert. It is strange that everyone around with a smart look confirms this.
    1. Andrey2023 Offline Andrey2023
      Andrey2023 (Andrei) 22 October 2022 09: 35
      0
      Because the full-time employees of the Ministry of Defense do not take on this work at all.
      There is not enough clear, thoughtful, informational activity on the part of the Ministry of Defense.
      This was especially observed at the beginning of the company.
      That is, a certain information vacuum is formed, and where will the citizens of the Russian Federation go for information?
      Not on Ukrainian resources?
      Podolyaka Yuri and others, this is our information militia, civilians who have taken over the work of the Moscow Region.
      Just as the militia was gathered by Minin and Pozharsky, a merchant from Nizhny Novgorod and a townsman, who were not at all regular military men.
      And we listen to him with some hope, he is invited to TV on a regular basis. Mind you, not some retired military from headquarters. And we are listening. Because prof. experts were not quite competent in reality. Or just take water in your mouth.
      Yuri also gave out very accurate analytics. Definitely a talent. It's a pity that the YouTube channel was blocked, the videos for the past years would prove this well.
      1. k7k8 Offline k7k8
        k7k8 (vic) 22 October 2022 19: 34
        0
        Quote: Andrey2023
        Notice, not some retired military from the headquarters

        You are somewhat wrong. Throughout the evening, programs like "The Great Game" on federal channels quite often feature invited former military personnel, up to the chairman of the State Duma Committee on Military Issues. But for some reason, we believe Podlyaks more.
      2. isofat Offline isofat
        isofat (isofat) 22 October 2022 21: 10
        -1
        Andrei, I think you know - Yura is a Maidan man. If they say that everyone can make mistakes, then I agree. Therefore, Yura was already mistaken, there is no need to believe him unconditionally. Did he lose his revolutionary itch? Time will tell. yes
    2. Anatol21 Offline Anatol21
      Anatol21 (Anatol21) 22 October 2022 22: 33
      0
      By the way, he did not present himself as an expert, he was made by the priests with the Sheinins ...
  9. Alexander Betonkin 21 October 2022 12: 33
    0
    About six months ago, normally, I tried so hard to show events. And then, as they began to be invited to television, he became somehow arrogant, he teaches everyone, etc. Started collecting money - where are the reports? It was disgusting to see even his photo. Maybe I'm wrong? Then excuse yourself. request
  10. Vadim Sharygin Offline Vadim Sharygin
    Vadim Sharygin (Citizen) 21 October 2022 12: 48
    -8
    The time has come for the use of tactical nuclear weapons: a few shells with low-yield nuclear charges against the concentration of Ukrainian troops could well cancel all offensives, as such. In any case, taking into account the upcoming large-scale hostilities between NATO and Russia and the tenfold superiority of the Alliance, without the use of Russia's nuclear weapons, already a week after the start of hostilities, there is a high risk of losing all air defense and a direct threat to the launch positions of strategic nuclear weapons, therefore, one way or another, the use of nuclear weapons is our only chance to balance the forces, the only question is when to do it? Or wait until the Ukrainians take all the liberated territories and NATO armadas destroy our starting positions, finishing off the scattered units of our armed forces in the Moscow region, or is it now, while we have not completely lost the initiative, the army and the hope of victory? In my opinion, it’s better now, it’s better to cool off the ardor with the help of tactical nuclear weapons now, until Kherson is taken, than in a couple of months, when, having screwed everything up, having a train of incompetent managers and top-level strategists behind him, convulsively brush aside the pressing enemy, trying to be in time at least something to launch from the remaining combat assets. The stupidity of the state scale is manifested precisely in the duality and catastrophic delay of the right decisions, which was shown by seven months of the NWO.
    1. Vox_Populi Offline Vox_Populi
      Vox_Populi (vox populi) 21 October 2022 15: 58
      +5
      Well, they persuaded us to use tactical nuclear weapons! But only after we deliver the last decisive missile strike by trolls and militant fools (when they are all over), if this does not help ... winked
      1. Corsair Offline Corsair
        Corsair (DNR) 21 October 2022 16: 25
        +7
        Quote from: Vox_Populi
        let's deliver the last decisive missile strike by trolls and militant fools (when they are all over)

        Alas, fools in Russia are obviously inexhaustible, well, or, as they say, they are in store for a hundred years in advance ...
    2. k7k8 Offline k7k8
      k7k8 (vic) 21 October 2022 16: 38
      +3
      For people like you, I always suggest that after the war they move to permanent residence in territories polluted by nuclear explosions in order to actually confirm their conviction in the need to use nuclear weapons. The strangest thing is that no one has yet confirmed readiness for such an act of manifestation of civic position.
      1. Shahimatduraki Offline Shahimatduraki
        Shahimatduraki (Shah) 23 October 2022 10: 53
        0
        Sorry, I couldn't resist, I had to register to fend off this nonsense.

        As they said in one of the old ads: sometimes it's better to chew than to talk.

        For decency, read at least what is used in tiao, half-lives, and so on. And it seems to me that all your nuclear weapons are Chernobyl, 30 years of infection, mutations, and so on. In general, read more.
        1. k7k8 Offline k7k8
          k7k8 (vic) 24 October 2022 17: 48
          0
          I repeat, have you already submitted an application for resettlement in the affected area? Or will you open the chakras to me, a rocket scientist who gave 20 years to the Strategic Missile Forces, and will you swear for the safety of the use of nuclear weapons?
  11. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 21 October 2022 12: 48
    +3
    Uh ... what about the rest of the news that we are smashing the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the tail and mane?
    All this stretch about the reservoir looks like a reason to justify
    1. tkot973 Offline tkot973
      tkot973 (Konstantin) 22 October 2022 02: 12
      +1
      About the news that we are smashing the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the tail and mane - they still perfectly understand what's what, except of course, completely drugged. But specifically about the reservoir, this is another question.
      1. k7k8 Offline k7k8
        k7k8 (vic) 22 October 2022 19: 36
        -2
        Quote from: tkot973
        except of course for the completely intoxicated

        But you are spiritualized and enlightened. Here it is, the great power of CIPSO
  12. Corsair Offline Corsair
    Corsair (DNR) 21 October 2022 13: 32
    +7
    Quote from Hiker
    Where are the 300 thousand who were on February 24 and 200-300 thousand for mobilization?

    It seems that these 200-300 thousand stupidly intend to throw into battle in small groups, "throwing brushwood on the fire", thereby plugging holes in the defense ( Russia, is that you??? belay ), instead of simultaneously strengthening the entire grouping, eventually getting a contingent adequate to the tasks ...
    1. Milana Shvetsova (Milana Shvetsova) 23 October 2022 14: 15
      +2
      So it is clear that a war aimed at victory cannot be conducted in this way. You yourself have answered WHY she is doing this. In order to then recruit another 5 million of the civilian population of Russia and throw the same kind of brushwood for slaughter. This can last for many years. Well, he's not in a hurry to get anywhere...
  13. Sydor Kovpak Offline Sydor Kovpak
    Sydor Kovpak 21 October 2022 14: 19
    0
    The Armed Forces of Ukraine will go to Kherson in order to destroy it, as they (Ukraine) do not need it as a city.
  14. Corsair Offline Corsair
    Corsair (DNR) 21 October 2022 15: 08
    +6
    Quote: k7k8
    It's strange that a journalist

    What publication, journalist?
    Can he show his editorial/journalist ID?
    1. k7k8 Offline k7k8
      k7k8 (vic) 21 October 2022 16: 41
      0
      He has a journalism diploma from Sumy University.
      1. Corsair Offline Corsair
        Corsair (DNR) 21 October 2022 21: 48
        +4
        Quote: k7k8
        He has a journalism diploma from Sumy University.

        A madam with a law degree works in a nearby pie shop ...

        Or ... You yourself will lie under the knife of a blogger who once graduated from honey. University, but did not have practice?
        1. k7k8 Offline k7k8
          k7k8 (vic) 22 October 2022 09: 37
          0
          No one here has seen your documents either. Do you still think that someone owes you something? You are funny. As, however, and many of your posts.
  15. Vox_Populi Offline Vox_Populi
    Vox_Populi (vox populi) 21 October 2022 15: 54
    +1
    Quote: Seamaster
    All these afterlife sobs of the past few days from all sides regarding Kherson are VERY similar to a big disinformation with the aim of calling the khokholiks for a general offensive, and then slamming them with a slipper and driving them to the Romanian border. Sun Tzu, damn it, read it. Let's see.

    Another reincarnation of the "cunning plan" from the propaganda manual ... winked
  16. Denis Z Offline Denis Z
    Denis Z (Denis Z) 21 October 2022 21: 33
    0
    This bastard got everyone with her forecasts and most of all with her appearance. Here, some bum, honestly
  17. lemeshkin Offline lemeshkin
    lemeshkin (lemeshkin) 22 October 2022 05: 49
    0
    Quote from: tkot973
    Alas, my opinion has changed, and I have to admit my mistake in assessing this comrade.

    Why? Or is his forecast so real that you don't want to believe in it? That is, it turns out according to the proverb: "The truth hurts the eyes"?
  18. lemeshkin Offline lemeshkin
    lemeshkin (lemeshkin) 22 October 2022 05: 59
    0
    Quote: Seamaster
    All these afterlife sobs of the past few days from all sides regarding Kherson are VERY similar to a big disinformation with the aim of calling the khokholiks for a general offensive, and then slamming them with a slipper and driving them to the Romanian border. Sun Tzu, damn it, read it. Let's see.

    Yah? Even your dreams are very similar to odes about "Serdyukov's multi-move, etc.", the same style, but the result?
  19. Sergey Kuzmin Offline Sergey Kuzmin
    Sergey Kuzmin (Sergei) 22 October 2022 06: 19
    0
    The key issue here is the dam of the Kakhovka reservoir. And not even its destruction itself, but its constantly hanging threat. How serious it is, I do not know ... And hence I have no confidence that we will keep Kherson. I say it like it is, without blunts, - the blogger emphasized.
    At the same time, Russian troops have a chance to defeat the Armed Forces of Ukraine on the battlefield, since the Ukrainian side will have to attack head-on.

    To bombard them with rockets, bombs, mines and shells in their current locations so that they don’t even think about hostilities
  20. Herman 4223 Offline Herman 4223
    Herman 4223 (Alexander) 22 October 2022 16: 04
    0
    A good expert, he organized two Maidans in total. And then suddenly he decided to move to Russia.
  21. kalita Offline kalita
    kalita (Alexander) 22 October 2022 16: 41
    0
    Yes, you just need to wage a war, not an operation. It is necessary to raise everything that is possible and hammer on the troops of crests without regret. This is a war, and we are all talking about the operation, and this is the whole problem.
  22. dub0vitsky Offline dub0vitsky
    dub0vitsky (Victor) 22 October 2022 16: 42
    0
    Quote: k7k8
    Maybe it is. But the "rusted forearm" is a little annoying

    Rusty brains are closer to the truth.
    1. k7k8 Offline k7k8
      k7k8 (vic) 22 October 2022 19: 38
      0
      Better a rusty brain than a completely missing one like his laughing
  23. Ignatov Oleg Georgievich (Oleg) 22 October 2022 17: 36
    0
    No ... well, if he himself is a scoundrel ... then yes ...
  24. Milana Shvetsova (Milana Shvetsova) 23 October 2022 14: 10
    +2
    And again the question, which is already 8 months old... Why did he start this war? And why did the war go on as if he deliberately led it to defeat ...? How many unanswered questions in the course of the war itself have military experts, but apart from ignoring and following treacherous steps, nothing. Draw your own conclusions, people of Russia!
  25. M-v Dmitry Offline M-v Dmitry
    M-v Dmitry (Dmitry M-v) 25 October 2022 09: 35
    0
    I don’t understand if dill can destroy a dam and flood vast territories, which prevents Russia from doing the same with a reservoir somewhere near Kyiv, or dill are so greyhounds because they think that Russia has a thin gut. They also thought before the explosion of the bridge.
  26. Evdokimov Sergey Yurievich 25 October 2022 14: 24
    0
    Pay attention to how the Chinese treat their defense and how we are. Who surrounds the leader of China, and who is our president. As you can see, we don’t produce many types of weapons. Yes, during the reign of Medvedev, his minister Serdyukov sold out most of the schools, for four years there were practically no sets at all. The only Tambov communications school in Russia was closed and has not yet been restored. I didn’t work much. And our institutions are blown up, pilots are put to sleep, warehouses, airfields are destroyed. And you blame the blogger.
    1. DeGreen Offline DeGreen
      DeGreen 27 October 2022 07: 04
      0
      Who is yours? Kievans? RUSSIA no one throws anything. Why are you lying?
  27. DeGreen Offline DeGreen
    DeGreen 27 October 2022 07: 03
    0
    Yuri Podolyaka has long begun to resemble the well-known Girkin. The same pessimist, alarmist