Time for “the most difficult decisions”: will the RF Armed Forces be able to keep Kherson?


The dizziness from the successes caused by the start of systematic attacks on the critical infrastructure of Nezalezhnaya, it seems, may soon be replaced by bitterness of disappointment. While Russian cruise missiles and Iranian “kamikaze” drones were hitting Ukrainian energy in the rear, almost without touching the railway network, the enemy continued to accumulate powerful shock fists in the Kherson and Zaporozhye directions. As a natural result, the time has come when the NWO command may have to make the next "difficult decisions."


On the eve of bad news suddenly fell down like a bucket. Acting Governor of the Kherson region Volodymyr Saldo announced the start of a planned evacuation of the civilian population from the right bank of the Dnieper, where Kherson is located, to the left:

The enemy is accumulating huge forces in the Nikolaev and Krivoy Rog directions. The Russian army is also building up strength to counter a possible counteroffensive. The situation threatens the inhabitants of the Kherson region. We have made a decision that can reduce the risks for civilians. I announce a voluntary relocation and departure for residents of the Berislav, Belozersky, Aleksandrovsky and Snigirevsky districts.

The fact that the "forced migrants" were promised housing certificates, thanks to which they will be able to get housing in other Russian regions and settle there on a permanent basis, especially strained all concerned Russians. The statement of the balance was supplemented by the vice-governor of the Kherson region Kirill Stremousov, who promised that the new regional center of our country would not be handed over to the enemy, however, the housing lost by the residents of Kherson would still be compensated for in other regions of the Russian Federation:

I ask you to take my words seriously and take them as "the fastest possible evacuation." We are not going to give up the city. We will stand to the end. We won't let Nazis into the city.

He also added that the city is now actively preparing for defense:

We are talking about the defensive process of Kherson. The city of Kherson turns into a fortress.

True, what prevented it from being prepared in more than six months is not entirely clear. The Commander-in-Chief of the Northern Military District, General Surovikin, was especially tense, who took it upon himself to personally warn the inhabitants of the Kherson region about the impending disaster. According to our intelligence, the Armed Forces of Ukraine, incited by NATO puppeteers, are ready to launch a massive rocket and artillery strike on Kherson, as well as destroy the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station, which could lead to flooding of vast areas downstream of the new Russian region. Sergei Vladimirovich honestly said that the situation is already very serious, implying that in the future it could become even worse:

In any case, as I have already said, we will proceed from the need to preserve the lives of the civilian population and our servicemen to the maximum. We will act consciously, in a timely manner, not excluding the adoption of the most difficult decisions.

Frankly, these “most difficult decisions”, coupled with the active calls of the population of Kherson for evacuation and the promise to settle them in other Russian regions, most of all jarred. Everyone who bitterly watched the "regrouping" near Kupyansk and Izyum, and then under Krasny Liman, naturally, thought the same thing. Is history repeating itself, and now the RF Armed Forces will also surrender Kherson, having rolled back completely from the Right Bank?

Alas, but it should be honestly admitted that such a probability is different from zero.

The critical problem for the long defense of Kherson and its transformation into "Stalingrad" is that it is located on the right bank of the Dnieper. While we were taking care of the Ukrainian railway system and bridge crossings, the Haimarsami Armed Forces put the Antonovsky bridge and the crossing over the dam of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station into disrepair. The supply of the Russian garrison in Kherson will now depend entirely on pontoon crossings and ferries, which are no less easy targets for American missiles than bridges. The evacuation of the civilian population will greatly simplify logistics, but it will be the supply that will be the bottleneck in the defense of the only regional center liberated by us, the former Nezalezhnaya, which became a legal part of the Russian Federation on September 30. If, however, the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station is destroyed by the attacks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the lowland is subjected to rapid flooding as a result of a river mini-tsunami, things will become very bad for our group on the Right Bank.

It is here and now that all the negative factors accumulated over the previous almost eight months of the special operation have come together. The transport infrastructure necessary for the RF Armed Forces has been destroyed, while the Ukrainian one is intact and allows Kyiv to freely maneuver its reserves. So far, Carl!

Nikolaev, located only 70 kilometers in a straight line from Kherson, was not occupied in the first days after the start of the NMD and turned into a reliable rear for the enemy, which is now actively used by him against Russian troops. How many times we talked about the need to expand our foothold on the Right Bank and the liberation of at least Nikolaev in order to eliminate this permanent threat, simply cannot be counted, but things are still there!

Everyone knew that the Armed Forces of Ukraine were accumulating in the Kherson and Zaporozhye directions, just like before the start of their attack on Balakleya, Kupyansk and Izyum, and then before the fall of Liman. But why weren't they all bombarded with "Geraniums" and cruise missiles preemptively?

Partial mobilization, albeit with a huge delay, has begun, and this is good, but it is not clear why it is impossible to use, for example, conscript soldiers for the defense of already legally Russian Kherson or Melitopol?

As a result, one should not be too surprised if, after the heroic defense of Kherson, the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces will simply be forced to withdraw troops to the left bank. If this happens, it will be a severe moral and psychological blow for both the military and the civilian population, who will wonder why the "second army in the world" is not able to effectively defend its own territory. Further, logically, you will already have to prepare for the Third Defense of Sevastopol.

Is it possible to somehow avoid such a deplorable outcome?

It is possible, if Russian aviation and artillery show miracles of accuracy and coordination of interaction, breaking the Armed Forces of Ukraine during the offensive, then there is a chance to bring down the power of their strike. It is necessary to completely cover the sky over the Kherson region with drones, reconnaissance-strike and "kamikaze", not sparing their expense. AWACS planes should constantly circle, replacing each other, identifying enemy positions, primarily Haymars, and directing massive missile strikes at them. And we must not be shy about launching counteroffensives in other directions. If a grouping has already been created in Belarus, it's time to urgently strengthen it and use it to strike in the northwestern direction in Ukraine.

It's time to stop imitating war, we must fight for real.
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  1. k7k8 Offline k7k8
    k7k8 (vic) 19 October 2022 16: 33
    +7
    Quote: Sergey Marzhetsky
    Will the Russian Armed Forces be able to keep Kherson?

    Stop whining
    1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 19 October 2022 19: 27
      +3
      It's time to stop imitating war, we must fight for real

      So the first and main blow should be on the president, government and parliament. Having decapitated a viper, it becomes not dangerous. So the ABC of war, and today the actions of the NWO on the greatest shedding of blood, and on both sides. There is a war of annihilation, who wins, the West has already determined the defeat for Russia. That's to make it clear to the West that it is impossible to defeat Russia. Here the SVR should be the first to act, but it seems similar to the mumbling S. Naryshkin (What is the boss, such is the service), determine the location of this top of the regime and put an end to this protracted SVO with daggers and other means. Without government and administration, Ukraine will need to create a new administration, then join the executive branch, and the NWO will end ...
      1. skeptic Offline skeptic
        skeptic 20 October 2022 18: 28
        +2
        Quote: Vladimir Tuzakov
        So the first and main blow should be on the president, government and parliament. Having decapitated a viper, it becomes not dangerous.

        Have you read fairy tales about the hydra? If the leadership is in the USA, do you think it is too difficult to appoint new "corporals"?
        Don't you think that "the main fighting", not on the fronts, is a direct confrontation with Ukraine?
    2. The comment was deleted.
    3. timeslot Offline timeslot
      timeslot (time slot) 19 October 2022 20: 47
      +2
      Whine, whine and whine will be! His job is like this soldier
    4. Valentine Offline Valentine
      Valentine (Valentin) 20 October 2022 10: 12
      +2
      I have the impression from this opus that Marzhetsky graduated from the Academy of the General Staff, and Surovikin from the parochial school, where he smoked only half of the primer, and there is not enough of it for more. And the constant beginning of his articles always begins "for the rest", and nothing more. You, Sergei, go to Moscow, to our General Staff, make an appointment with Sergei Kozhugetovich, and there express your complaints to him, and how and what needs to be done on the battlefield, explain to him that our General Staff is doing everything wrong, otherwise we already have so many divorced individuals with the "science of winning" on the Internet that if all of them were sent to the front, then today's mobilization would not be needed, and we would celebrate the victory over Bandera in Kyiv a week after the start of the NWO.
    5. Watching Offline Watching
      Watching (Alex) 20 October 2022 12: 28
      +4
      To whine or not to whine has no vision, look at the facts: the Armed Forces of Ukraine are advancing, the AFRF are retreating, and already from their own new territory. Who has the initiative? Many Russian soldiers will be killed in Kherson, the remaining residents will be punished, and then the turn will reach the Crimea, as their propaganda promised. So, not "whine"? what a shame ... After all, they started well.
      1. Valentine Offline Valentine
        Valentine (Valentin) 20 October 2022 14: 36
        +1
        Quote: Watching
        After all, it started well.

        So we will finish, but yesterday and today we did not retreat, which our military correspondents reported, this is a war, and not a simple walk. Remember from the history of the Second World War, when since 1941 we gave the Germans a large part of our lands with great bloodshed, and we met the Victory in the den of the Nazis, but then they crumbled everything and everyone in a row, and now we have a different tactic - we save "peaceful" and our soldiers, although for we have a lot of “misunderstandings” in the strategy of our General Staff, but it’s not for us to talk about this, as one joke says, “the chairman knows better”, and such decadent articles are specially hung on our ears by couch “generalissimos”, which is why they pour water on enemy mill.
        1. Igor_E Offline Igor_E
          Igor_E (Igor) 20 October 2022 20: 12
          +3
          It is incorrect to compare with the Second World War. Stalin then cleared out most of the traitors, but we did not. Therefore, we are now in worse conditions, we have sabotage in the rear.
  2. Denis Z Offline Denis Z
    Denis Z (Denis Z) 19 October 2022 16: 33
    +14
    It's funny now to watch how they justify themselves and say they say this is different when the next general hinted at a retreat. But still, I would like to understand, is it really impossible to remove the professional military from the eastern district, the southern and the center, form a corps of 100 thousand and send them to defend the most important areas? Is it possible that by removing such a number of soldiers from their places, we will expose security to such an extent and they will immediately attack us? Why this performance with a shortage of personnel?
    1. Grei grin Offline Grei grin
      Grei grin (Gray Grin) 19 October 2022 17: 34
      +6
      It seems to me that the best strategists and tactics are sitting in the comments than in the headquarters, they write very sensible and obvious things!
      1. Vladimir501 Offline Vladimir501
        Vladimir501 (Vladimir) 20 October 2022 12: 53
        0
        Baptize when it seems
        1. Grei grin Offline Grei grin
          Grei grin (Gray Grin) 21 October 2022 21: 43
          0
          Damn balabol!
    2. Nikolay Volkov Offline Nikolay Volkov
      Nikolay Volkov (Nikolai Volkov) 19 October 2022 19: 02
      +2
      And most importantly, who will attack? Finland? Kazakhstan? WHO???
  3. Grei grin Offline Grei grin
    Grei grin (Gray Grin) 19 October 2022 16: 34
    +7
    Kyiv, Bucha, Izyum, the next Kherson, and after him they will come to the Crimea, and then in the same way to Moscow! Who controls us is the question!
    1. soloist2424 Offline soloist2424
      soloist2424 (Oleg) 19 October 2022 17: 05
      +2
      The evacuation of civilians from Kherson does not at all mean that the city is supposed to be surrendered. The evacuation will reduce the number of civilian casualties, allow better supply of the army and reduce the number of gunners of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. And we'll see how the battle for the city ends.
      1. Grei grin Offline Grei grin
        Grei grin (Gray Grin) 19 October 2022 17: 29
        -4
        cheers patriot, let's see and start with!
  4. vlad127490 Offline vlad127490
    vlad127490 (Vlad Gor) 19 October 2022 17: 06
    -2
    Perhaps the king is not real? The courtiers want to reach an agreement.
  5. Grits Offline Grits
    Grits (Alexander) 19 October 2022 17: 12
    -4
    The author asks the right questions. However, our generals are not able to answer them. Since they are in prostration in soaked breeches and cannot understand how it happened that they, the second in the world, are being driven across the steppes with pissed rags by 25 countries in terms of military power.
    1. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
      Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 19 October 2022 21: 34
      -6
      The author asks the right questions. However, our generals are not able to answer them. Because the...

      ...because the commands, the meaning of which they do not understand, come to them directly from the Kremlin (maybe so?).
      Remember the movie "The Diamond Arm"?
      - "So it is necessary!"
      If Putin is now fulfilling his role in the Anglo-Saxon operation, these commands to the Kremlin can come from a "director" from across the ocean as part of a global "agreement".
      Perhaps the best intentions are to play a role in the performance of the Anglo-Saxons against Europe and get what is due (within the limits of the possible).
      BUT
      With the best of intentions, the Anglo-Saxons can even "throw" Russia.
      In your pocket.
      This, of course, is only guesswork, but an explanation for all the absurdities of the NWO should be
      1. Barabas Offline Barabas
        Barabas 20 October 2022 02: 25
        +3
        but no nonsense, the usual bungling ...
        1. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
          Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 20 October 2022 12: 16
          +3
          Bungling is not systemic, subject to a certain logic.
          Questions that lie on the surface:
          1. Why didn't we secure our foreign exchange reserves before issuing our Ultimatum?
          2. Why, after the theft of foreign exchange reserves and the imposition of sanctions, did we continue to fulfill our obligations and payments on the public debt to the enemies?
          3. Why, after failing to comply with our Ultimatum, did we not force the States to comply with the threat of nuclear weapons?
          4. Why did Putin start this operation without the prospect of its completion, because it was clear that this was a trap for Russia from the United States, and Ukraine was a bait in it?
          5. Why don't we force the States, with their nuclear power, to stop supporting Ukraine and withdraw their gang?
          6. Why all this time we do not cut off the supply lines of the Ukrainian army from NATO?
          7. Why are deliveries to the enemy of fuel, which is used by him for military operations, preserved?
          8. Why is there a mobilization of unprepared people, although there is a professional army, and where is this army now? Wouldn't it be wiser to send her to the front, and conscripts - for longer military training?
          There is not bungling, but systemic wrecking
        2. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
          Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 20 October 2022 12: 45
          +2
          I will add one more question to the treasury of sabotage.
          Why did Putin set Serdyukov the task of radically reducing the army and generals on the eve of a clash with the West?
          There are more questions than places on this resource.
          Putin and the government should have answered them with excuses and explanations, but with actions and their results for the country throughout their 22 years
      2. Vladimir501 Offline Vladimir501
        Vladimir501 (Vladimir) 20 October 2022 12: 56
        0
        And one can raise a question that even a thousand wise men will not find an answer to.
        1. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
          Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 20 October 2022 15: 13
          +1
          Questions not from the realm of the universe.
          These are questions about the reasons for Putin's specific actions, which, it is already obvious, go against common sense and to the detriment of the country. There are answers to them, but we do not know them.
          1. Alexander Dobry Offline Alexander Dobry
            Alexander Dobry (Alexander Cheban) 23 October 2022 11: 55
            -1
            Putin traded his godfather Medvedchuk for 200 Nazis. Thus, it is clear why Putin unleashed this massacre. Pull out another oligarch, not denazification. Denazification is just a pretext. Kuma pulled out, he doesn’t care about the rest.
        2. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
          Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 20 October 2022 17: 31
          0
          I have an answer to all these questions. I don’t like it at all, but it’s stupid to demand from our life that the answers be to our taste.
          In my opinion, since 1991 the leadership of Russia has been under the complete control of the Anglo-Saxons. As well as the leadership of Ukraine.
          The goal of the Anglo-Saxons is, as always, to kill a few birds with one stone. They need to destabilize Europe and drag it into a war with Russia. In this war, Russia must weaken Europe with her blood and be destroyed by it. Europe, weakened by Russia, must be swallowed up without resistance by the States, which have lost their own production, becoming their European industrial appendage. The resources of Russia will pass into the hands of the Anglo-Saxons.
          In the old stable world, this was not possible. It was necessary first to guarantee ourselves against the use of our nuclear weapons. And how to destabilize an entire continent?
          That is why they used their success with the overthrow of power in the USSR, and created tools from Ukraine and Russia to destabilize the continent and incite war in it, they also use their control over the authorities of European countries and the NATO bloc.
          Thus, the NWO is entirely in line with the plan of the Anglo-Saxons, and the peoples of Ukraine and Russia - tools in the wrong hands and with their blood are now serving to enslave Europe.
          Everything that the Anglo-Saxons now touch is poisoned by them, subject to unrighteous goals, tied with blood.
          This happened with Ukraine, and it is happening with Russia in the process of conducting the NWO.
          There is only one way out for Russia - gaining complete control over itself and destroying the plans of the Anglo-Saxons by forcing them to retreat in all positions by threatening their territories with nuclear weapons
          1. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
            Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 21 October 2022 02: 09
            +1
            I will say one more thing about Yeltsin's "choice" of a successor.
            Think of the hard landing accident in 1990 in Spain, where Yeltsin was operated on and his spine was reconstructed. Then treatment in the USA about the heart. There are dozens of ways to make a person dependent, and forever tied to American medical care. You need to be aware that this person is the president of a country that could then destroy the States several times. It is unlikely that the Americans could afford not to use all the possibilities for complete control over Yeltsin. This essentially means that it was they who chose the successor to the presidency of Russia. Otherwise, on their part, it would be irresponsible in relation to their own country
          2. Alexey Davydov Offline Alexey Davydov
            Alexey Davydov (Alexey) 21 October 2022 09: 07
            +1
            Yeltsin's famous saying, "But I won't go to Heaven," probably has much more weight than was previously thought.

      3. Grei grin Offline Grei grin
        Grei grin (Gray Grin) 21 October 2022 21: 46
        0
        Probably everything is as you wrote!
  6. Griffith Offline Griffith
    Griffith (Oleg) 19 October 2022 17: 16
    +4
    This author, when concluding a grain deal, vanged that the Odessa and Nikolaev regions were banned from Russian strikes. And he swore and swore that this was absolutely true infa. And looking at these hundred-pound author's forecasts, there is no trust in the information from this author.
  7. Sydor Kovpak Offline Sydor Kovpak
    Sydor Kovpak 19 October 2022 17: 21
    +5
    Until the western supply routes are blocked, everything is in vain. The Russian army was supposed to be in Lvov and Rovno back in February, but they started from the east ...
  8. calligrapher Lev_Nikolaevich (Dmitriy) 19 October 2022 17: 22
    +2
    I just imagined how I advise Carlson or Karjakin in a difficult game: “surround his king with pawns, and thicker, and don’t be shy to check, why are you not a grandmaster? then people look - it turns out undignified. It’s good to think already, and hesitate, it’s better to explain to everyone why you didn’t go horseback on the fifth move, you were told - you won’t see a century of freedom!
    According to my modest experience of playing chess, as soon as a person begins to beat his ears on his cheeks and resent his mistakes, he begins to make even more of them. The effect of self-programming is triggered. If a person is predisposed to such reactions to defeat, then his destiny is to sit on the podium and yell about the judge and soap, call the person who failed, and accuse everyone of agreeing. So he transfers his inferiority complex to others. It's a compensation mechanism, nothing villainous. The modern information war is just sharpened to cause stress reactions in the masses of people to informational occasions. It is this stress that pushes many quite sane people to bright emotional outbursts, which also become another newsworthy occasion. Chain reaction.
    What can be done to not participate in it?
    Use what is happening for a clearer understanding of the situation, freeing yourself from good illusions, but without acquiring negative ones.
    What is really lacking now is accurate information, without it, of course, it is alarming, but this is natural. The fog of war will not soon dissipate.
    According to my estimates, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be hammered like the last time until the end of December, and in mid-December they will noticeably increase. That's when it gets hot.
  9. Jacques sekavar Offline Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 19 October 2022 18: 15
    +8
    Will the Russian Armed Forces be able to keep Kherson?

    The dashing beginning of the NMD smoothly turned into fierce positional, and today into defensive battles. We are no longer talking about a possible loss of statehood, demilitarization and denationalization of Ukraine, but about retaining new subjects of the federation.

    Is it possible to somehow avoid such a deplorable outcome?

    It is probably possible if large Russian capital breaks all commercial ties with the enemy during the war, and the RF Armed Forces violate administrative authorities at all levels, transport hubs on the border through which Western weapons are delivered, the internal transport network, the communications system, etc., etc.
  10. mr parker Offline mr parker
    mr parker (Wind) 19 October 2022 19: 02
    +1
    Author! Wipe your snot and pull yourself together! What's the panic???
    1. Moray Boreas Offline Moray Boreas
      Moray Boreas (Morey Borey) 19 October 2022 21: 27
      -1
      No panic. Dry and cold-blooded analysis of the situation.
      1. k7k8 Offline k7k8
        k7k8 (vic) 20 October 2022 11: 46
        +1
        Quote: Seas Boreas
        Dry and cold-blooded analysis of the situation

        From Marzetsky? I beg of you! Total wang.
        1. k7k8 Offline k7k8
          k7k8 (vic) 20 October 2022 12: 49
          +1
          Mr. Marzhetsky was extremely offended by this post and even made happy with a personal message. True, he expressed everything in an extremely offensive form and forgot to mention when we switched to "you" with him. smile And moreover, out of my own cowardice, I was afraid to receive an answer to my message, forbidding me to do so in my profile. It's a shame, sir.
          1. The comment was deleted.
          2. mr parker Offline mr parker
            mr parker (Wind) 20 October 2022 18: 08
            -1
            The same song)))) You say you write from near Kherson asks me))))
  11. Nikolay Volkov Offline Nikolay Volkov
    Nikolay Volkov (Nikolai Volkov) 19 October 2022 19: 07
    +5
    after graduating from the SVO of the Ministry of Defense (I hope with a new normal minister), you should think hard about military service. a year is very short. either you need to increase, or even remove conscripts from the army. on the other hand, the contract army proved to be of little use ... I would suggest increasing the term of conscripts to 1,5 years and preparing SOLDIERS from them, and not stompers and bed-makers
    1. Moray Boreas Offline Moray Boreas
      Moray Boreas (Morey Borey) 19 October 2022 21: 30
      +1
      You can teach how to fight (to defend your homeland) in a year, if you don’t mess around and don’t wash dishes in the kitchen ... and really learn to kill in a variety of situations, and not lift your legs on the parade ground.
      1. k7k8 Offline k7k8
        k7k8 (vic) 20 October 2022 11: 50
        +1
        Quote: Seas Boreas
        if you don't mess up

        Yeah, hire VOKhru. Or CHOP. Are you out of your mind?

        Quote: Seas Boreas
        if ... in the kitchen do not wash the dishes

        This has been gone for a long time

        Quote: Seas Boreas
        and not lift your legs on the parade ground

        How do you imagine an army without drill training?
  12. Colonel Kudasov Offline Colonel Kudasov
    Colonel Kudasov (Leopold) 19 October 2022 21: 26
    0
    If you surrender Kherson, everything will fall
  13. Moray Boreas Offline Moray Boreas
    Moray Boreas (Morey Borey) 19 October 2022 21: 33
    0
    Quote: Nikolai Volkov
    after the end of the SVO of the Ministry of Defense (I hope with a new normal minister)
    1. Moray Boreas Offline Moray Boreas
      Moray Boreas (Morey Borey) 19 October 2022 21: 33
      -2
      Very well said
  14. Otto Davar Offline Otto Davar
    Otto Davar (Otto Davar) 19 October 2022 23: 35
    +1
    Probably, the problem could be partially solved by sending the mobilized to the rear units, and contract soldiers from them to the front. Obviously, this is a more complex process in terms of its organization, but more rational for the army.
    1. k7k8 Offline k7k8
      k7k8 (vic) 20 October 2022 11: 52
      0
      Aha! A mobilized tanker / artilleryman to the rear, and a pogromist contract soldier to the front.
  15. Siegfried Offline Siegfried
    Siegfried (Gennady) 19 October 2022 23: 42
    +6
    The United States, under the "upcoming" offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Kherson, is dispersing the topic of the use of tactical nuclear weapons by Russia. As if the analysis of forces speaks of the impossibility of keeping Kherson with the forces that the RF Armed Forces have beyond the Dnieper. That is, a hint that when the fall of the city is inevitable or obvious, the United States will "throw" its next surprise, blaming Russia for this. After all, it is clear that Russia will not use nuclear weapons just like that, when everything is fine at the fronts. Such a trick can be thrown only under certain conditions, such as the defeat of the RF Armed Forces near Kherson. But this is more about an information war than a real threat of a nuclear provocation.

    The threat to Kherson is also pumped up by various columns of Western military equipment, reports of foreign-speaking mercenaries in Nikolaev. The clouds are really thickening, at least it seems so.

    But there is a feeling that Surovikin's speech is "difficult decisions", the evacuation that has begun, the martial law in the territories, all this is more playing along. On the one hand, the appearance of "uncertainty" is being made to keep Kherson. As if the General Staff itself believes that holding the city (the right-bank foothold) is problematic. Of course, this may be informational preparation of the population for a really serious threat to the right bank. But on the other hand, why hasn't the offensive started yet? How long can you prepare?

    It feels like the Armed Forces of Ukraine have the strength, but something is preventing them from making a decision. It is obvious that every day Russia replenishes supplies, prepares lines, mines, brings up reserves, targets areas.

    If you take the last 3 days, there were two trial balloons. Once they tried without "accumulation", they tried from the depths, on the move, to introduce forces into attacks and breakthroughs. The result is destruction and destruction.
    The second attempt was today, where the enemy gathered his fist, tried to turn everything into battle formations and moved forward, but also with clearly trial forces and also with a deplorable result. Such attempts, of course, give the enemy some information about the defense system, about possible tricks and surprises, about the operation of the Aerospace Forces. But hardly enough to justify the loss of + - 50 tanks and 60 infantry fighting vehicles, as well as the demoralization of the troops, who see how they are being driven to slaughter. The attacks were local, the consumption of ammunition for this case was not large.

    From this we can assume that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are not sure of success, they are really afraid to attack decisively. They are afraid to rake there so that after that they will no longer be able to stabilize the front. Just then the Belarusian group appeared. It seems that Surovikin wants the Armed Forces of Ukraine to launch an offensive, but they all do not want to. But they don’t want to, because they are afraid to approach the Dnieper, behind which the main artillery of the RF Armed Forces, which has no problems with transport across the river. They are afraid that they will find themselves in the steppe at a glance and that the offensive will turn into a total fiasco with far-reaching consequences.

    For both sides, the stakes are extremely high.
  16. Foe Pshekov Offline Foe Pshekov
    Foe Pshekov (Arkady) 20 October 2022 00: 04
    +2
    Can't hold back.. Too much drama. Ukronazis and Eurofascists will be destroyed. Russia will return ITS historical lands in any scenario. With or without nuclear weapons.
    Any signing of some kind of truce on "contractual terms" = a tougher war in 5-10 years. When the enemies from NATO will intensify as much as possible. So there are no options. Or NATO will accept the conditions of the Russian Federation, and forget about the territory of Dill, or a nuclear massacre. In the best scenario for the West, we will leave Bandera 4-5 regions in the West. All other compromises for us will only worsen the situation before World War III. It is more profitable for us now to reset Europe and the USA than to have real problems in 10 years.
  17. Firuz Offline Firuz
    Firuz (Firuz) 20 October 2022 01: 20
    -2
    Again, everything leads to corruption. Honest and professional strategists were removed because they spoke an unpleasant truth and, being in power, could become an authority (something that the top does not like). Thus, all the main positions were occupied (bought) by obedient and non-professionals. And bad management is bad management, Bad management gives these results.
    #hardware, #regrouping, #withdrawal to more advantageous positions, #difficult decision, #.... WHAT'S NEXT ???
  18. Barabas Offline Barabas
    Barabas 20 October 2022 02: 08
    +1
    Our aircraft cannot strike deep in enemy territory, because. the enemy retained about half of his air defense, here we must thank someone for the lack of satellite surveillance, AWACS, UAVs, satellite communications, just modern communications. All the lessons of previous companies turned out to be "not learned" and now it's time to start over. And hitting the railroad tracks and bridges with missiles and drones is inefficient, everything is restored in a few days.
    1. Peace Peace. Offline Peace Peace.
      Peace Peace. (Tumar Tumar) 20 October 2022 09: 06
      +4
      Why is it inefficient to hammer along railway lines, not to mention transport hubs? Even as you write "several days" - this is a long period of time in a military conflict and saving the lives of soldiers. And their systematic destruction will destroy logistics. And then they have the supply of weapons from the west as scheduled.
      1. Ulan.1812 Offline Ulan.1812
        Ulan.1812 (Boris Gerasimov) 20 October 2022 10: 36
        +2
        Quote: Peace Peace.
        Why is it inefficient to hammer along railway lines, not to mention transport hubs? Even as you write "several days" - this is a long period of time in a military conflict and saving the lives of soldiers. And their systematic destruction will destroy logistics. And then they have the supply of weapons from the west as scheduled.

        Here I am about that.
  19. Sancym Offline Sancym
    Sancym (Alexander ) 20 October 2022 04: 13
    +4
    Sergey, do you even read what you write?
  20. Alexander Ponamarev (Alexander Ponamarev) 20 October 2022 05: 32
    +8
    Basically, I agree with the author, the analytics are correct, we have long had a "party of peace" in the Federation Council, which in the current situation is trying to negotiate with the Nazis like "let's live together", but in fact everything is simple, they are afraid to lose what they have acquired by "overwork" for 20 years, everyone knows that this is a club of billionaires, they are able to live only at the time that was before February 24, arrange holidays, parades, speak from the screen how everything is fine with us, the economy is growing, the army has been rearmed by 80%, and we looked at them and rejoiced ....... that's enough! The rush hour has come, we need other people, people of action, people with critical thinking.
    1. Peace Peace. Offline Peace Peace.
      Peace Peace. (Tumar Tumar) 20 October 2022 09: 09
      -1
      You see, after all, Western "friends" whisper to them too, saying that if you put sensible people, they will then "send" you on a familiar hiking trip. And I want to live in comfort, oh how I want to.
  21. Luis Betton Offline Luis Betton
    Luis Betton (Vladimir) 20 October 2022 06: 57
    +8
    Why take care of their railways, if during the retreat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine they themselves will destroy all bridges and railway nodes behind them, if only to impede the advance of our troops?
    1. Peace Peace. Offline Peace Peace.
      Peace Peace. (Tumar Tumar) 20 October 2022 09: 11
      0
      This is the mystery of the Bermuda Triangle.
    2. k7k8 Offline k7k8
      k7k8 (vic) 20 October 2022 11: 58
      0
      Quote from Louis Betton
      Why save their railway,

      Undoubtedly, something will be destroyed. But, as history shows, not all of the retreating army manages to be destroyed during the retreat. So why should they help in this matter and play their games?
  22. Saffron Offline Saffron
    Saffron (Igor) 20 October 2022 07: 24
    +3
    Commander-in-Chief of the Northern Military District, Lieutenant General Surovikin

    The author, well, why did you lower him by 2 ranks?
    1. Alexander Tutunenko (Alexander Tutunenko) 21 October 2022 01: 57
      0
      Surovikin's career went uphill after he agreed to shoot the White House from tanks in 1991 for dollars.
  23. Ignatov Oleg Georgievich (Oleg) 20 October 2022 07: 43
    +1
    The stupidest question to the point of impossibility - Can they or can't they? Quite a specific answer - they can! And the resettlers will be provided with housing in any region of Russia of their choice. Author: Russians do not abandon their own. Whoever quits is not Russian, but who knows what - a stranger, an enemy! Or, at the suggestion of the author, to show the case in such a way that there is already alienation of the locals from the settlers. To sow almost enmity. We came here in large numbers ... The author apparently needs to go through a school of hopelessness, when at one moment he loses everything. That's when I would look at him. He rushes to one another and everyone sends him - Go, go yourself have nowhere to live, go yourself there is nothing to eat.
  24. vicvic Offline vicvic
    vicvic (VicVic) 20 October 2022 07: 43
    +6
    The critical problem for the long defense of Kherson and its transformation into "Stalingrad" is that it is located on the right bank of the Dnieper. 

    The author, if you have already decided to draw such parallels, then it would be nice to know that all the supply of our Stalingrad group was carried out from the opposite bank of the Volga in the absence of bridges by water transport.
  25. Muscool Offline Muscool
    Muscool (Glory) 20 October 2022 08: 26
    +3
    Quote: Grei Grin
    It seems to me that the best strategists and tactics are sitting in the comments than in the headquarters, they write very sensible and obvious things!

    Not only in the comments. These are such obvious things that it causes a stupor when they are not fulfilled and our army victoriously regroups
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  26. igoran.70 Offline igoran.70
    igoran.70 (Igor Anischenok) 20 October 2022 08: 27
    0
    It is necessary to ask the Belarusians to help the Ukrainians with trains in order to bring Western and American equipment to the advanced Western and American equipment faster. Otherwise, I don’t understand why the railways and the gas pipe are so cherished
    1. k7k8 Offline k7k8
      k7k8 (vic) 20 October 2022 12: 02
      0
      Quote from igoran.70
      We must ask the Belarusians to help the Ukrainians with trains

      You'd rather chew than talk. I hope you have not been banned on Google and you can independently find information about the Belarusian rolling stock confiscated by crests.
      1. Alexander Tutunenko (Alexander Tutunenko) 21 October 2022 02: 03
        +1
        Khokhols and 15 Russian freight cars were seized ...
  27. Muscool Offline Muscool
    Muscool (Glory) 20 October 2022 08: 28
    -2
    Quote from Louis Betton
    Why take care of their railways, if during the retreat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine they themselves will destroy all bridges and railway nodes behind them, if only to impede the advance of our troops?

    "Experts" like the fighter bomber write that it's expensive to hammer bridges.
    For that, it’s not expensive to hammer with Iskanders at sanatoriums and barracks with reservists
  28. Igor Viktorovich Berdin 20 October 2022 09: 11
    +5
    I'm embarrassed to ask, but they accumulate forces under kilometer-long armor, on another planet, in light inaccessibility ...... that we cannot destroy these forces with missiles into dust? So why do we need missiles then? Why in Syria we can destroy what we need with missiles from the Caspian, but here, being nearby, we can’t ..... here we almost have to go hand-to-hand ..... Missiles, Suns and so on. WHERE ?
    1. Nelton Offline Nelton
      Nelton (Oleg) 20 October 2022 16: 20
      0
      Quote: Igor Viktorovich Berdin
      Why in Syria we can destroy what we need with missiles from the Caspian

      because these were single launches, more test and advertising than due to necessity.
      Free-falling bombs were thrown in Syria, there was no air defense there.
      In Ukraine - there is, so it remains to hit with rockets. He gave an assessment of the warhead in one of the comments, 1 Iskander is like 2 Highmars in terms of b / h weight
      Let's remember how many of those Hymars were hit on the Antonov bridge? And then, in principle, recoverable.

      The adversaries write that ours are already hitting Ukrainian targets with S-300 missiles ...

      So why do we need rockets then?

      To destroy the most expensive targets - air defense in the first place.
      But that we cannot distinguish a real "beech" from a foam one - this is a question of the quality of drones - reconnaissance / satellites.
      Let's say a matrix for thermal imagers - a peppy report

      Russia became the fourth country that managed to create its own thermal imaging matrix

      refers to 2016.
      I hope the difference between the report "created a prototype" and the actual presence in each platoon / UAV is understandable, right?
      Well, Ukrainian air defense is mainly in ambush mode, it does not shine, and receives data on targets from NATO.
      How to solve such a problem - I have no idea.
  29. Alexey P. Offline Alexey P.
    Alexey P. (Alexey P.) 20 October 2022 09: 36
    +1
    Now it is too late to talk about what has not been done, they wrote about it back in the summer, when the Antonovsky bridge began to be shelled. Ours didn't know? I do not believe. Haven't done anything? Hardly. Underestimated? I doubt it too. Is the situation difficult? Yes. We'll look for those responsible. Now the main thing is to survive
  30. kriten Offline kriten
    kriten (Vladimir) 20 October 2022 09: 39
    +3
    There are always those who veiledly push the idea of ​​starting negotiations on any terms, i.e. surrender. Previously, alarmists were shot in wartime.
  31. cooper Offline cooper
    cooper (Alexander) 20 October 2022 10: 05
    +3
    While we took care of the Ukrainian railway system and bridge crossings....

    But this already looks like sabotage, if not betrayal. Persistent "recommendations", incl. and a number of home-grown oligarchs, individuals to our Supreme??
  32. mykola kovacs Offline mykola kovacs
    mykola kovacs (mykola kovac) 20 October 2022 10: 37
    +1
    The extreme degree of illiteracy, unprofessionalism and cowardice of the command of the Russian Army is amazing! This has not happened before in 1000 years. Everywhere you look, jambs and betrayal are everywhere. Russia is afraid to fly even over its positions, and the enemy’s communications are safe and sound. Continuous complaints from fat commanders about the lack of infantry, communications, drones, tanks, infantry fighting vehicles and accurate missiles and artillery. What did General Sergey Khuzhenetovich do for 225 years?
    1. Antor Offline Antor
      Antor 20 October 2022 11: 41
      +5
      But we are the first in tank biathlon, but we seem to have forgotten how to fight, if we knew how. The Ministry of Emergency Situations is good, if the forest burned down, then everything was extinguished ... but here in Ukraine it burns so that the whole of Russia can burn down if we continue to wait for something to please our liberal traitors and not really fight. After all, we can leave the left bank of the Kherson region .... and much further. They are bombing the energy structure, but preserving the transport structure .. and again there is an accumulation of shock fists of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the transfer of Western equipment .. and they don’t have electric locomotives, but just diesel engines, and in order for them to stand, it is necessary to destroy the depot, bridges and crossings, and is everything being done ....not enough information. It’s hard for Surovikin, just like it’s hard for those who see what happened and is happening!!!
  33. Antor Offline Antor
    Antor 20 October 2022 11: 26
    +8
    Some of the wise men who call not to whine can explain ... why do we give the opportunity to deliver Western weapons in echelons to the front line almost without hindrance !!!??? From what hangover we were assured all the time .. that it’s okay, that hundreds of large-caliber guns on the front line do not affect anything ... that we grind them, etc. But our heroes, the civilian population, towns and cities, they did not grind and grind into the trash .. !!!??? They don't give a damn about the laws of war, the Geneva Conventions, etc. - they are nonhumans with a fascist brain filling ... and we washed ourselves with blood for such a "humane conduct of hostilities" that is more like an incomprehensible game of almost giveaway. Today I came across calls from Baranets to bomb a trainload of equipment from Slovakia...!!!??? Throughout the operation, it is already clear to everyone that it is necessary to bomb railway stations and depots, where wheels are changed from European to Soviet standards, that it is necessary to bomb the tunnel of the railway entrance to Ukraine, etc., etc. ...... and we are evacuating the population from the left bank ... and read the article, everything is written correctly there. And what Nikolaev, what Odessa .... and who will answer for this, !!???
    1. Ignatov Oleg Georgievich (Oleg) 22 October 2022 16: 03
      0
      Anton, if you still haven’t understood why - not a single * smart guy * will explain this to you. You're just not disposed to understand because it's easier to whine and you don't need to think.
  34. vlad127490 Offline vlad127490
    vlad127490 (Vlad Gor) 20 October 2022 13: 05
    +1
    To paraphrase. Should the Kremlin keep Kherson or not? Maybe someone has already received an advance payment for the surrender of Kherson??? For the bourgeois, war is business. For Commander S. Surovikin, the surrender of Kherson is a personal loss of everything in military service.
    1. Ignatov Oleg Georgievich (Oleg) 22 October 2022 16: 12
      0
      Vlad, if you said *A* say so *B* and tell me - who in the Kremlin has already handed over an advance payment for the surrender of Kherson? Well, at the same time, for which bourgeois of Russia, war is a business, and not a defense of the state. Can you?
  35. Prokop Pork Offline Prokop Pork
    Prokop Pork (Prokop) 20 October 2022 14: 05
    0
    Just like now they vilified whiners talking about the Kharkov threat. Nothing changes, nothing is learned.
  36. Dust Offline Dust
    Dust (Sergei) 20 October 2022 14: 16
    +2
    In general, I understand the author's concern. But, they take out the inhabitants of the Kherson region in order to give battle. What is the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions? Endless fields! With a bunch of small towns. So the residents are being removed, that in which case they will level everything with the ground. All this will be easier to restore after the war than picking these villages if they are captured by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Most likely, carpet bombing will be used and do not forget that our artillery mainly hits squares.
  37. Yuri Bryanskiy Offline Yuri Bryanskiy
    Yuri Bryanskiy (Yuri Bryansky) 20 October 2022 14: 33
    +2
    All objects belonging to the oligarchs are not touched. In whose interests is the war being waged?
    1. Ignatov Oleg Georgievich (Oleg) 22 October 2022 15: 55
      0
      Yuri, name at least one object and which oligarch it belongs to. And then all the objects and all the oligarchs. Well, where did you get this information?
    2. Ignatov Oleg Georgievich (Oleg) 22 October 2022 16: 19
      0
      Yuri, name at least one object and which oligarch it belongs to. And then all the objects and all the oligarchs. Well, where did you get such information from?
  38. Vladimir501 Offline Vladimir501
    Vladimir501 (Vladimir) 20 October 2022 15: 16
    +1
    I am answering the questions. Already a little over 70, higher education, engineering, higher military and, after being transferred to the reserve, economics. Service from the company commander to the headquarters of the military districts. I didn’t go to defend my dissertation, the country that I swore allegiance to was gone.
    Now, in essence: - what the author writes about: Why Russia fails to establish the production of large aircraft, Gazprom hangs a debt of 8 billion dollars on Russia, Not an inch of land: why Russia seeks to ban the transfer of territories, BelNPP: A project that turned around against Russia itself, air defense of the "wrong system": Israel continues to bomb Syria with impunity, etc. etc. As you can see, the author is a "specialist", one can say "HPERD" in all areas of industry, military engineering, and so on and so forth. Maybe you were a good lawyer, but as an expert - Alas. Education is undisguised. Write on topics that you understand better than the ones listed, but you won’t find anything there.
    So which one of us is the bigger fool?
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  40. Benjamin Offline Benjamin
    Benjamin (Benjamin) 20 October 2022 15: 30
    -1
    The war with the population of the square, miserable Syria and Georgia, here we are strong. But against a small army of an independent, but strong in spirit and Western weapons, we "align the line or we can offer an act of goodwill
    1. Dust Offline Dust
      Dust (Sergei) 20 October 2022 15: 42
      +4
      Don't talk nonsense. I agree, the war is strange. Russia uses only 25-30% of its capabilities. Why is the answer to be sought in the Kremlin. Do you know that half of the people working in the Kremlin and the government are natives of Ukraine? And now the question is, will you bomb the territory of your small Motherland if the hooligan Kvakin appeared there (From the story - Timur and his team)?
  41. JD1979 Offline JD1979
    JD1979 (Dmitriy) 20 October 2022 15: 33
    0
    Marzhetsky, you ... In general, you are absolutely right, but throwing conscripts into battle ...
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  43. Alexey Konyaev Offline Alexey Konyaev
    Alexey Konyaev (Alexey Konyaev) 20 October 2022 16: 27
    +1
    Of course, I am not a military strategist, but the fewer civilians in the city, the fewer victims there will be, and it’s easier for the military, their hands are untied, they will act according to all the rules of military science. Ukrainians pulled all their forces, naturally the city will turn into a fortress and this is not a defeat. Who advances, he bears the greatest losses. Therefore, there is no need to whine, no one has yet defeated the Russian army! Especially on their own territory.
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  46. dub0vitsky Offline dub0vitsky
    dub0vitsky (Victor) 20 October 2022 18: 20
    +1
    Quote: Benjamin
    The war with the population of the square, miserable Syria and Georgia, here we are strong. But against a small army of an independent, but strong in spirit and Western weapons, we "align the line or we can offer an act of goodwill

    We'll have to take you by the gills and drag you to the front to reduce the burden.
  47. dub0vitsky Offline dub0vitsky
    dub0vitsky (Victor) 20 October 2022 18: 21
    -1
    Quote: Dust
    Don't talk nonsense. I agree, the war is strange. Russia uses only 25-30% of its capabilities. Why is the answer to be sought in the Kremlin. Do you know that half of the people working in the Kremlin and the government are natives of Ukraine? And now the question is, will you bomb the territory of your small Motherland if the hooligan Kvakin appeared there (From the story - Timur and his team)?

    Such complex stories you describe. This guy learned from pictures. He doesn't understand the lyrics.
  48. Sapsan136 Offline Sapsan136
    Sapsan136 (Alexander) 20 October 2022 18: 53
    +3
    Russia must continue to hit power plants, railway stations, diesel and electric locomotive depots, bridges ... fuel and ammunition depots ... Without supplies, the Bandera army will quickly turn into gangs scattered through the forests ... or prisoners of war.
  49. Valera75 Offline Valera75
    Valera75 (Valery) 21 October 2022 06: 50
    +2
    Quote: Valentine
    Remember from the history of the Second World War, when since 1941 we gave the Germans with huge blood a large part of our lands, and we met the Victory in the den of the Nazis, but then they crumbled everything and everyone in a row, and now we have a different tactic - we take care of "peaceful" and our soldiers

    We take care of the soldiers? We don’t destroy the bridges along which NATO and other equipment goes to the east and it kills our soldiers and civilians. Interestingly, we take care of our own. Electronic warfare and warrior uniforms 41, which even 400% of contract soldiers did not supply, and 500 tons of mobiles in general, governors and they dress themselves. Soon the shape of the future will be created, when we can’t dress the army of the present. I share the author’s concerns, but for some reason I hope that Surovikin will take it out competently and something tells me that he will become the Russian Defense Ministry in the future.
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  51. Leonid Dymov Offline Leonid Dymov
    Leonid Dymov (Leonid) 21 October 2022 21: 34
    +1
    It is necessary to destroy Kyiv. The United States and the globalists have invented an ingenious financial system, thanks to which they support the government and military personnel of Ukraine, our Fifth and Sixth columns. The active population of Kyiv and young people have been on the payroll of the US intelligence services for 30 years, arranging Maidans and color revolutions. This is a population hostile to us, which must be destroyed, and not spared. Of course, you don’t need to use them as a human shield, as the Bandera people do, but you don’t need to feel sorry for them when conducting military operations, because in Kyiv the main abscess of Bandera. Bandera scum from all over Ukraine has gathered in Kyiv.
  52. borisvt Offline borisvt
    borisvt (boris) 22 October 2022 09: 39
    +1
    As usual, the author quickly speaks on a hot topic and, I think, is right about almost everything! His strong patriotic position and sincere pain for some of our failures and defeats command respect.
    Here, I believe, the non-capture of Nikolaev and its environs at one time may be due to the calculated possibility of flooding the lowlands of the Dnieper. At that time, Zelya would not have risked flooding his own at the same time, but now it will become of him ((
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  54. Sergey Bronislavovich (Sergey Bronislavovich) 22 October 2022 21: 52
    +1
    I don't understand the question itself. The problem is solved in a completely different way, and, characteristically, it can be solved. There is only one unknown value in the formula = the time of the impact of the APU .. Who prevents this striking fist from scattering over the mountains and villages, gathering in a heap? Why state its creation, rely on intelligence in order to anticipate their impulse by one step? Who is preventing the destruction of this accumulation of l / s and armored vehicles? The Russian army has such weapons, and it is not nuclear. It's a pity for new developments, are the dough worth it? What prevents you from taking what is in the arsenals created in the USSR? The task is solved very simply, with practically no losses (sorry, I'm not an amateur, I have two higher military educations, and I was taught military science in a real way)