"Infrastructure war" may lead to the emergence of "German partisans" in the United States


The blowing up of two underwater main gas pipelines - Nord Stream and Nord Stream - 2 - is undoubtedly the first act of the so-called infrastructure war aimed at destroying the energy system and the economic basis of a potential enemy. The main victims of the terrorist attack are, on the one hand, Russia, on the other, Western Europe and, above all, Germany. Will an adequate response be given to the aggressor, and if so, what can it be?


There are no more rules


Yes, the sabotage committed on September 27, 2022 by "unidentified persons" clearly showed that no rules exist anymore. The enemy has moved to a real lawlessness, and now you can do everything that allows military force and the willingness to use it. All policy The Kremlin’s plan since 2014 to build alternative gas pipelines bypassing Ukraine has been multiplied by zero in two simple steps.

At first, Nord Stream and Nord Stream 2 were blown up, which could provide a total pumping of up to 110 billion cubic meters of Russian gas along the bottom of the Baltic Sea to Germany past the Ukrainian GTS.

Secondly, immediately after that, a "black mark" was sent to Gazprom along its southern corridor. The Turkish Stream pipeline operator has had its export license revoked. The gas is still pumping along the bottom of the Black Sea, but the meaning of the message from the “partners” is obvious: at any moment, an underwater explosion can put an end to another brainchild of our “national treasure”.

Gazprom is being pushed to increase gas pumping through the Ukrainian GTS for the next year and a half, while an alternative gas transportation infrastructure is being built in Trimorye to receive American LNG, which we will discuss in detail told previously. At the same time, the Kremlin is expected to reduce military activity in Ukraine, giving the Armed Forces of Ukraine even more time to prepare for the forceful return of Donbass, the Sea of ​​Azov and Crimea with Sevastopol. In February-March 2024, Kyiv will launch a large-scale attack on new Russian regions, and after the end of the transit agreement with Gazprom, it will simply not be renewed. Russian gas deliveries to Europe will finally stop, Gazprom's onshore infrastructure in Europe will be nationalized and reoriented to receive American LNG as part of the new Trimorie integration project.

These are the prospects for all of us. Let's think about how you can try to break the "Western partners" their game.

"Infrastructure War"


Sad but true. Russia's huge pipeline infrastructure built over decades has turned out to be not only its strong competitive side, but also its Achilles' heel. It is simply impossible to ensure complete safety of main gas and oil pipelines along their entire length.

The opponent stopped pretending to play by the rules. Now Gazprom's flirtations with Europe no longer make much sense. Even if you make an extra effort and quickly repair both Nord Streams, nothing will prevent the SEALs or other saboteurs from blowing them up again. Let's say three places at once. And then at ten. The same could begin to happen in onshore pipelines, at the same time causing severe environmental damage when it comes to oil and refined products. Well, it's impossible to really protect them all the way from professional sabotage.

So, we come to the conclusion that the notorious “continentality” of Russia has ultimately turned into its weakness. Then how can risks be diversified when delivering hydrocarbons for export?

It is quite obvious that now the main stake should be placed on the supply of gas in the form of LNG, and oil - by tankers. This requires appropriate production facilities and a fleet, commercial and military, to protect it. Then Gazprom will be able to export its products to both Asian and European markets. Protecting LNG plants and LNG terminals seems more realistic than endlessly patching up holes in trunk pipelines.

The second point concerns the possibility of transferring the "infrastructure war" to the territory of the enemy. Even more than Russia, Germany has suffered from the undermining of the Nord Stream. Left without reliable supplies of relatively cheap pipeline gas, the German industry has lost all its competitive advantages and is planning to move to the United States, which we also already mentioned. told. National Review columnist Antonio Wright suggested that the Americans might be behind the attack:

Whether the political decision to build the pipeline was bad with economic and geopolitical points of view, the Germans would never forgive America for this act.

Indeed, the German burghers, having lost highly paid jobs as a result of the process of "de-industrialization" of the FRG, will suffer more than ordinary Russians. And this leads to the assumption that the "German patriots" who are in the United States may begin to "guerrilla" there. And there is something to undermine.

The entire United States is literally permeated with a network of main pipelines pumping oil, refined products, gas, ethanol and liquid sulfur. The largest number of oil pipelines have been built in the states of Texas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan and Missouri, connecting them with industrialized regions and seaports. There is also a powerful oil pipeline pumping heavy oil from Canada to the USA. In addition to main pipelines, there are a great many small diameter pipelines owned by private companies and individuals. Numerous oil product pipelines run from south to north and northeast. Up to 1,9 million tons of alcohol is pumped through the Tampa-Orlando ethanol pipeline per year. From Canada to the USA, 1,9 million tons of straightened sulfur is pumped annually through the Caroline-Shanz sulfur pipeline. Gas pipelines run to the East Coast to liquefy and ship LNG for export to Asia and Europe.

In general, the “German partisans” who would like to get even with Uncle Sam for the destruction of the German economy will have somewhere to roam if they wish. If similar sabotage in the pipeline system becomes regular, then the declared attractiveness and competitiveness of the American economy will be exaggerated. Russia, on the other hand, will be able to help restore the German industry by supplying its own LNG, already without being tied to a vulnerable pipeline infrastructure.
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  1. Akuzenka Offline Akuzenka
    Akuzenka (Alexander) 3 October 2022 11: 59
    +6
    Indeed, the German burghers, having lost highly paid jobs as a result of the process of "de-industrialization" of the FRG, will suffer more than ordinary Russians. And this leads to the assumption that the "German patriots" who are in the United States may begin to "guerrilla" there. And there is something to undermine.

    Previously, these burghers will be armed and set against the Russian Federation. This has happened before in history. Yes, and it's easier for them. For 75 years, the Germans have developed a "servile instinct" in relation to overseas masters, and there are no warm feelings for the Russian Federation. Now they will play a little on German nationalism and voila: again the soldiers of the Verma .... oh, the Bundeswehr, are trampling our land. In my opinion the most appropriate option. There is no work, but they pay for the war. Not so long ago this happened in Syria, but just about on 404. Why should it be different?
    1. Sidor Bodrov Offline Sidor Bodrov
      Sidor Bodrov 3 October 2022 13: 08
      0
      Well, I don’t know how it is with the partisans, but now it’s definitely obvious how wonderful NATA is protecting its European “partners” with Nord Stream. Biden - well done, the godfather said - the godfather did, and there is no joint venture. And then, something the Germans got very excited with the requirements to launch SP2. Almost everything is in the style of Ukrainian zahisniks, who have been shelling their territory in Donetsk and Lugansk since 2015. A cheerful life will now be in the European Union, especially in Germany. It is worth considering the Germans. - Or maybe send this NATU, join the SCO, BRICS and CSTO, fix the gas pipe and live happily ever after?
  2. blackcat190463 Offline blackcat190463
    blackcat190463 (Yuri) 3 October 2022 12: 20
    0
    Well, you fantasized for yourself, after the first explosion, these partisans will not live a day, they are good partisans on their territory and with the support of the population, and so that there is somewhere to hide after an act of retaliation, and there only jihadist suicide bombers are effective, and even then not always am
  3. Human_79 Offline Human_79
    Human_79 (Andrei) 3 October 2022 13: 19
    0
    Dreamer author about partisans! One reader is right - most likely all these burghers will go to fight against us. We are nearby! And we will always be to blame for everything.
  4. Vladimir Orlov Offline Vladimir Orlov
    Vladimir Orlov (Vladimir) 3 October 2022 13: 23
    0
    The description of possible targets is, of course, remarkable.
    But inside the sga - it's too much.
    Why not "technically fail" their aircraft carrier, etc.
  5. Watching Offline Watching
    Watching (Alex) 3 October 2022 14: 21
    +1
    Fantasy is everything. The Western world (in fact, all of Europe except Hungary, Serbia, Belarus, Russia) is so woven into Atlanticism that there will be no German, Portuguese or Luxembourgish partisans against the Anglo-Saxons. But to involve Russian "partisans" on the territory of the concern called "USA" suggests itself.
  6. Shamil Rasmukhambetov (Shamil Rasmukhambetov) 3 October 2022 14: 30
    +1
    You can’t forbid fantasies.
  7. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 3 October 2022 16: 40
    +1
    The Germans will not partisan, they respect the laws (there was no partisanism in Germany after the Second World War, as in Ukraine). Here, they may begin to confront the United States for their interests, and in the future they will become our allies., It seems, together with France, Italy. and so on ... The confrontation between the Anglo-Saxons and the Romanesque states seems to be unfolding before our eyes, the world is becoming more multipolar. Will there be more if it goes further down the slope, because the United States wanted to crush the EU with a planned crisis, now the ball is on the side of the EU ...
  8. Rinat Offline Rinat
    Rinat (Rinat) 3 October 2022 18: 11
    0
    Somehow I can’t imagine "German partisans" in the SGA. I have a fairly rich imagination, but they don’t seem to. The German spirit is not capable of this. It was undermined by two world wars and the post-war reformatting of their collective consciousness. Now they are not Deutsche, but Europeans. East Germans can and will be able to put up violent, but in very small quantities.
  9. Rusa Offline Rusa
    Rusa 4 October 2022 03: 39
    +1
    Russians, Germans, Chinese and others were given to understand that no less damage than from atomic weapons can be caused to the infrastructure of any country by sabotage and terrorist attacks. However, no one forbade the law of the boomerang, and those states that blew up "SP-1" and "SP-2" will definitely suffer to no lesser extent. And it doesn't matter whose "partisans" will do it in order to restore the status quo. Retribution is inevitable. In the 21st century, there are such red lines in the world that it is unthinkable to break.