Russia's actions forced to reveal all the last trump cards of the West

30 September 2022 22

The West got involved in an extremely dangerous "geopolitical poker" for speed, where every move could be the last. But, despite a clear understanding of the possible outcome, the anti-Russian coalition is taking bold (or rather, desperate) steps, leaving no room for maneuver and reflection. Only those who are sure of victory behave this way. But is it? Most likely, the cornered one also acts in a very similar way.

If we decompose the procedure for the entry of new subjects into the Russian Federation into logical stages, then legally and practically it consists of initiating the procedure of referendums, holding an intermediate stage of secession from Ukraine (for the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions), then the actual decision to change borders. The last step can also be subdivided into some subgroups with certain nuances (changes to the Constitution, etc.).

The West, on the other hand, is forced to react to every step, from calling referendums to recognizing the results, without being able to “wait for the end” of the process, since, according to experience, then it will be too late (the Crimean version). This situation has forced the coalition to lay out all its trump cards before Russia runs out of even the preliminary steps to expand its borders.

From the West, all means were used. From unequivocal and outright terrorist attacks on pipelines to the allocation of huge amounts of assistance to Ukraine against the backdrop of their own deficit budgets and galloping inflation. Then followed a desperate decision to completely deplete the existing stocks of weapons for the sake of playing all-in. The actions of the Russian leadership forced Western opponents to reveal the entire “reserve” of measures and sanctions prepared for emergencies.

So far, Moscow has used only the trump card of holding plebiscites, as well as an intermediate stage in the form of a decree by Russian President Vladimir Putin recognizing the Kherson and Zaporozhye regions as independent entities. In the coming days, arguments gradually introduced into the game will be used, to which the West can only have a hysterical reaction. Everything that could be offered as countermeasures of the last trump card has already been thrown "on the table".

Not without reason, the head of Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who plays the veiled role of a “Western phone,” requested urgent talks on Thursday and repeated the mantra about the need to sit down at the negotiating table as soon as possible. The haste is explained simply: time is currently playing in favor of Moscow.

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Bakht

+5

30 September 2022 10: 17

Time is playing against Russia. The operation took too long and was quite expensive. Only this can explain the fact that the process of accepting the republics is carried out without their complete liberation. It's impossible to wait any longer.

But there is another point, the answer to which no one knows. Putin only hinted. The defense of the territory of Russia will be carried out by all possible means. For God's sake, don't bring nuclear weapons into this. They are talking about reformatting the SVO into KTO. To be honest, I don't see much difference in the abbreviation. Regardless of the letters, the heaviest weapons are used.
If the operation is reformatted into a WAR against Ukraine, then martial law should be declared in the country. With all the cons. Saturate the front with manpower to the maximum and attack the enemy. Defense is the path to defeat.
Nationalize (at least temporarily) all the assets of both oligarchs and foreigners. Stop trading any resources. And win the WAR ASAP. Maximum until next spring.

By the way, this format allows you to purge the government of "peacekeepers". A State Defense Committee must be created, to which all power passes during the war. Who will head the State Defense Committee is also an interesting question. Whether Putin is suitable for this role or not is not for me to decide. But my opinion is that it doesn't work.
1. Nelton
  
  0
  
  30 September 2022 11: 17
  
  Quote: Bakht
  Time is playing against Russia. The operation took too long and was quite expensive. Only this can explain the fact that the process of accepting the republics is carried out without their complete liberation. It's impossible to wait any longer.
  
  I agree with that.
  
  Saturate the front with manpower to the maximum and attack the enemy.
  
  Such proposals are appropriate only from those who are on the front lines themselves, but with one AK.
  But the herds of poorly equipped infantry will not give anything.
  somehow cover the rear of the flanks, well, in the n / a, stay surrounded.
  Only if the adversary has corrective UAVs and sights / thermal imagers,
  and in n / a they will shoot reservists with some AKs, as in a shooting range.
  
  Nationalize (at least temporarily) all the assets of both oligarchs and foreigners. Stop trading any resources.
  
  Will give nothing
  There will be no more thermal imagers and UAVs from this.
  
  I don’t know where the author’s optimism comes from, but the West laid out only 7k - 9k out of trump cards, it didn’t even reach 10k and jacks.
  After mobilization, ours had only a vigorous loaf.
  
  They will form strike units from contractors, covering the flanks with reservists.
  Throw drummers into the attack.
  that's all.
  If the attack is not crowned with the defeat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, then the very first serious counter-attack on the reservists will lead to huge losses in killed and prisoners.
  1. Bakht
    
    +1
    
    30 September 2022 11: 47
    
    Nobody says that it is necessary to "saturate with personnel with only AKs." Saturation involves strengthening the rear parts. And of course, advanced units with trained personnel.
    
    Of course, drones will not increase. But feeding the West (not only with resources, but also with money) must be stopped immediately. The Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank are modestly silent about the export of capital from Russia over the past six months. In previous years, the figure hovered around hundreds of billions of dollars. Nationalization may reduce the number of weapons supplied by the West.
    
    the first serious counter-attack on the reservists will lead to huge losses in killed and captured.
    
    For some reason, the reservists from Ukraine will defeat the reservists from Russia. Weird...
    1. Nelton
      
      0
      
      30 September 2022 12: 15
      
      For some reason, reservists from Ukraine will defeat reservists from Russia
      
      Well, it's not just reservists from Ukraine, but a war with the collective West.
      
      Equipment difference. And in the summer, the LDNR police complained that there was nothing modern.
      Do you think it will suddenly be found for Russian reservists?
      And Ukrainians are supplied from the west, and supplies are increasing.
      Once again - the presence / absence of UAVs and thermal imagers turns a night battle into a battle between the sighted and the blind.
      Well, yes, it’s trite - Ramadan’s defense is a thin uniform layer.
      For a breakthrough, strike units are formed that surpass the defender quantitatively and qualitatively.
      Right now, ours have one of the last opportunities to hit the reservists with a concentrated strike by contractors.
      
      But the current battles near Liman thickly hint that the Russian Federation has lost its superiority in aviation and artillery.
      If it were, this superiority - all the advancing groups would have been smashed into the trash.
      However, they do not spread.
      Apparently, they cannot smash it - and this is 10 km from the front.
      
      feeding the West (not only with resources, but also with money) must be stopped immediately.
      
      100 billion export will not affect the supply for the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
      
      The West itself reduces both the purchase of raw materials from the Russian Federation and any transactions.
      1. Bakht
        
        0
        
        30 September 2022 12: 39
        
        Everything is too simple for you. Who said that Russia has lost superiority in artillery and aviation? Today, there is simply not enough infantry. According to data from the battle zone, 12000-3 thousand Russian troops are standing near Yampol against 4 Armed Forces of Ukraine.
        And who said that the West is reducing purchases of raw materials from Russia? There has never been such a trade surplus in Russia over the past six months.
        
        Sorry, but your information according to the media is in no way confirmed.
        
        Nelton
        
        -2
        
        30 September 2022 14: 54
        
        Who said that Russia has lost superiority in artillery and aviation?
        
        the retreat of the RF Armed Forces speaks for this.
        
        With the dominance of side A in the air, side B can make a maximum of short counter-attacks in non-flying weather.
        
        well, ok, taking advantage of the superiority in the infantry - trying to infiltrate with small drgs ...
        (against which reservists can help)
        but this is what happens - it's not a drg leak or a short counter-punch.
        
        Bakht
        
        -1
        
        30 September 2022 15: 49
        
        You are wrong. Right now, the Russian Aerospace Forces are bombing the Armed Forces of Ukraine near Liman. Artillery of Russia has superiority over the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
        
        Once again, your words are not confirmed.
        
        Nelton
        
        -1
        
        30 September 2022 18: 15
        
        let's see where the front line will be in 3 days.
        if Liman is released and the Armed Forces of Ukraine are thrown back - your truth.
        
        Grits
        
        -1
        
        30 September 2022 19: 52
        
        Quote: Bakht
        Today, there is simply not enough infantry. According to data from the battle zone, 12000-3 thousand Russian troops are standing near Yampol against 4 Armed Forces of Ukraine.
        
        And why are there 4 of our troops against 12 Ukrainian troops? Who allowed such a ratio? Everyone saw this ratio half a month ago. Everyone except our pissed generals. What did these generals do during this time in order to equalize or increase the ratio in our favor? Nothing. This speaks of their utter stupidity and inability to fight.
    2. Grits
      
      -6
      
      30 September 2022 19: 46
      
      Quote: Bakht
      For some reason, the reservists from Ukraine will defeat the reservists from Russia. Weird...
      
      Why are you surprised? After all, reservists from the Armed Forces of Ukraine are now very effectively destroying our contract soldiers (regular troops) near Liman.
      1. Bakht
        
        +1
        
        30 September 2022 21: 55
        
        Where did you read this? I read that to the south of Liman, all the surroundings are littered with the corpses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
2. boriz
  
  +3
  
  30 September 2022 23: 53
  
  Time is playing against Russia.
  
  I beg to differ. Everything is exactly the opposite.
  The green will fall soon. Ukram will become impossible to hide in the forests. Foreign experts note the concentration of hundreds of aircraft and helicopters around Ukraine, which are almost not involved.
  It'll get cold soon too.
  In Europe, this will result in big problems in the economy. So far, the population has no critical problems, but people already foresee this, looking at incoming bills and prices in stores. And in Germany, their usual foreign trade surplus, which has always leveled current problems, has been reset to zero.
  This is shown by the elections where they have recently taken place (for example, Italy), the failed vote in the German Bundestag on additional assistance to Ukraine.
  For me, the protests in the Russophobic Czech Republic, which have already become familiar, are very indicative. When the monuments to the fallen soldiers of the Red Army were demolished, this did not cause any protests from anyone. And now, tens of thousands are taking to the streets to demand the restoration of cooperation with Russia. I wanted gas.
  But this cold has not yet begun, and enterprises have not begun to go bankrupt en masse.
  Numerous stuffing (and simple logic) suggests that after the acceptance of new territories in the Russian Federation, the actions of the RF Armed Forces will become tougher. There have already been strikes (precautionary ones so far) on the infrastructure. Now they will become the norm.
  And simply, the blocking of gas transit through the gas transportation system (due to Ukraine’s violation of the agreement of 2019) and the blows to its own gas production in Ukraine will in themselves put the country on the brink of disaster. And not only Ukraine.
  And in the US, problems at gas plants may again resume (as a response to the undermining of SP and SP2). And inflation will skyrocket after the elections.
  They will simply forget about Ukraine.
  1. Bakht
    
    +2
    
    1 October 2022 00: 41
    
    You have listed the economic problems of the West. All this is true. But what does this have to do with combat? Will the "green" fall? Lots of aircraft around the borders? It's all wonderful. But we need a win. At least one decisive one. We need to defeat the enemy near Liman. Or a breakthrough of the front near Donetsk. Or a blow to Nikolaev. While there are no such successes, time is playing against Russia.
    
    West ukrov not sorry. They can freely deposit both 10 thousand and 100 thousand. The West is also quite consciously going to worsen its situation. Based on the victory over Russia. All the economic problems of Europe, Russia could well provide without a military operation.
    
    I can give an example from history. What is the mobilization capabilities of the United States. In 1940, the entire US Army had 400 tanks. And then, in 4 years, the States produced about 100 thousand military vehicles and hundreds of thousands of trucks (about 400 thousand trucks were transferred to the USSR alone). And millions of shells, and hundreds of bombers. The United States was the only country during the war years that was able to create a fleet of strategic bombers.
    As Churchill said
    
    the first year there is a restructuring of industry, the second year it gives little, the third year - as much as necessary, the fourth year - in abundance.
    
    Now there will be no need to wait 4 years. By spring, the APU will receive tens of thousands of PMC fighters. Experienced, well equipped and well paid. It will receive hundreds of artillery units, air defense systems and hundreds of thousands of shells.
    
    Russia has no time to wait. The war must end before spring. Or even earlier. After spring it will only get worse.
    1. boriz
      
      +1
      
      1 October 2022 01: 37
      
      The example of the 2nd World War is not successful. America was on the rise. She won the victory in World War II in August 2. The act of surrender was the Atlantic Charter.
      Now the US (and the entire operating model) is entering an inevitable crisis. The US is leaving Europe, finally weakening Europe with the Ukrainian crisis. Let me give you one example about weapons.
      France delivered 18 CAESAR self-propelled guns to Ukraine. So-so stray. Wheeled, not having a circular sector of fire and HP protection. not only from the shelling, from the rain.
      France itself had as many as 76 pieces. After the delivery of ukram, naturally, 58 pieces remained.
      For comparison, we have about 2 units in stock. Msta S. self-propelled guns on tracks, with a fully armored wheelhouse.
      France asked the manufacturer to restore the number of Caesars. The firm replied: "Yes, of course, within 4 - 5 years." This is how things really work. They do not have martial law, and not a single politician, the most stupid and frostbitten, will even hint at introducing it now.
      capitalism, however. There are no factories in the US capable of producing Abrams from scratch. Of the 3 factories that produced them, only one remained. A full cycle is beyond his power, only modernization. Production of F 22 is impossible. An example about Germany's refusal to add. I have already cited assistance to Ukraine.
      It is we who have the legacy of the "damned socialist past." The military-industrial complex, which Gaidar and Chubais failed to defeat completely. A plant that constantly produces tanks. Aircraft. Etc. Yes, with losses over 30 years of liberalization, but they are there.
      NATO's arsenals have been thoroughly cleaned up by Russia during the NWO. And the economy will not allow them to be restored quickly.
      Because there is an unshakable rule: there are no big wars on a falling economy. Either these wars end very sadly for the economy. Like the Vietnamese one. The US economy was not falling, but there was not much growth either. This war ended for the United States in a crisis from which the United States would not have been able to extricate itself if people with political will were in power in the USSR, instead of growing insanity.
3. guest
  
  0
  
  2 October 2022 00: 01
  
  Quote: Bakht
  Regardless of the letters, the heaviest weapons are used.
  
  Where and when is it used, and most importantly, how often?
kriten

-1

30 September 2022 10: 47

Not convincing. It is quite likely that it is just the opposite. Russia is being squeezed in such a way that the authorities are already feeling close big troubles. Hope was for victory, which is not yet visible at all. There was talk about what part of Ukraine to leave for NATO. And this is capitulation.
Alexey Davydov

-1

30 September 2022 14: 39

The sweet fog of the author is doubly dangerous now, when it is necessary to immediately and completely understand the reasons for our failures, find the causes and eliminate them.
Time is working against us.
This is evidenced by the sabotage of the Americans on gas pipelines. They are going to bring Europe to war with Russia this winter. The Anglo-Saxons are not interested in NATO's readiness for war; on the contrary, they need Russia to weaken Europe with its blood. The plan of the Anglo-Saxons is to turn these countries into their manufacturing appendage, and finish off Russia. They do not need it - they need its resources.
In this regard, already this winter, immediately after the transition of the NMD to the war with NATO (for this, sabotage at nuclear power plants is enough), new theaters of operations will probably appear from Europe in the northwest.
This resource has an article that says the following:

Of the original roughly 30 Russian troops that once confronted Latvia, Estonia and southern Finland, 80% of the initial roughly XNUMX Russian troops that once confronted Latvia, Estonia, and southern Finland, say XNUMX% have been transferred to Ukrainian territory, according to three senior representatives of the Nordic defense ministries in the region. At present, Russia in this direction has only the backbone of forces, which was once its densest concentration of troops in front of NATO borders.
The reduction that we have seen in this region over the past seven months is very significant. Russia has had ground forces like this for decades that have now virtually disappeared.
- said one of the sources.

It turns out that we, following the plan of the Anglo-Saxons with our own hands, are already creating "baits" for NATO countries on our territory and laying the foundation for the success of their future operations.
Considering all the previous mistakes, including the operational encirclement of our troops near Liman, all this can no longer be mistakes. The discrepancies and mistakes of the last 20 years, including the conduct of the SVO, are called by a different word. Russia must break this channel of control from the Anglo-Saxons and force them to retreat in all positions by the threat of a nuclear war on their territories. If we want to save the Motherland, ourselves, our children and their future
zenion

-2

30 September 2022 20: 40

Surprisingly, all this is somehow connected with America with the gambling city of Las Vegas. Only trump cards here are not given rest from one trump card to another. It is not clear what the war has to do with it, if all the news is about playing cards. The pound also understood, only in maps, and the captain thought that in sea ones.
gene1

+3

1 October 2022 08: 40

Khokhols made a huge mistake - they fought in an open area. On the territory of villages and small towns already wiped off the face of the earth. They would not attack, but "break into the ground" in Zaporozhye, Dnepropetrovsk, Nikolaev, Odessa, ... They would have lasted longer. But they have nowhere to go, time is just playing against them - the economy in Ukraine and in Western countries is going to hell. Our generals simply breed them, idiots, accelerating the collapse, offering fights in a bare field.
gene1

+1

1 October 2022 08: 43

And the planes that the Russian Armed Forces accumulated at the border, for landing troops from Kyiv to Transnistria. As well as his fire and subsequent logistics support.
zenion

-1

1 October 2022 12: 18

You can still explain why everything is tied to card games. Has the city of games been captured in the USA?
Valera75

0

1 October 2022 19: 08

Quote: boriz
The US is leaving Europe, finally weakening Europe with the Ukrainian crisis

The United States has not yet specifically brought the West to its knees with its powerful and competitive industry. Yes, and they need the West as a consumer of American products that will be produced in the United States by European companies that have left Europe and deployed in the United States but under the Stars and Stripes flag as a manufacturer of goods .They won't let Europe go just like that, they need Europe like we did in the nineties - consumers with a 100% dead industry.