Terrorist attack on both Nord Streams sharply raises the importance of the Ukrainian GTS


Yesterday's terrorist attack on the Baltic Sea will have far-reaching consequences. On September 27, 2022, the day when voting on referendums on the issue of reunification with Russia in the Donbass and the Sea of ​​Azov ended, three out of four lines of the Nord Stream and Nord Stream 2 underwater gas pipelines were blown up by unknown attackers. This sabotage can completely change the future alignment of the “Ukrainian case”.


Who benefits?


At the moment, it is known that at the bottom of the Baltic there were two explosions, equivalent to 100 kilograms of dynamite each. Measuring stations of the Swedish National Seismic Network (SNSS) set their magnitude at 2,3 points. A sharp drop in pressure was recorded on the German side of both gas pipelines. Russian gas escaping from holes in underwater pipelines has created a semblance of powerful geysers on the surface of the sea. According to the Danish Energy Agency, in whose territorial waters the incident occurred, “big holes” formed in both Nord Streams.

What will be the consequences of this obvious terrorist attack and who can benefit from it?

Naturally, everyone immediately thought of Uncle Sam. The top officials of the United States have long declared war on Nord Stream 2 and have repeatedly spoken out harshly that they will not allow it to start working. Former Polish Foreign Minister Radek Sikorski, now a member of the European Parliament, posted the following message on a social network against the background of a photograph from the explosion site:

Thanks USA.

Indeed, the one-time shutdown of the pipeline infrastructure, which allows pumping a total of up to 110 billion cubic meters of Russian gas per year to Europe, is objectively beneficial for American LNG producers. In the event that the Ukrainian GTS is also disabled, it becomes practically uncontested for Europe, no matter how much it costs.

By an amazing coincidence, it was on September 27, 2022, on the day of the sabotage against the Nord Streams, in the north-west of Poland, in Goleniow, that the solemn opening ceremony of the Baltic Pipe gas pipeline was held. Yes, its capacity is relatively modest, only 10 billion cubic meters per year, but it is an important part of the strategy to reduce Warsaw's dependence on the Kremlin. Poland plays a key role in American plans to create a "cordon sanitaire" between Russia and Western Europe as part of the Trimoria or Intermarium project, whatever you want to call it. In the future, Washington plans to build an alternative to the existing gas transportation infrastructure, which will run in Eastern Europe from south to north and will be tied to the reception of American LNG.

In addition, there are purely technical issues related to the implementation of sabotage at an underwater facility. Depending on the depth of the pipeline, to blow it up, either high-class combat swimmers such as "fur seals" or disposable uninhabited underwater vehicles designed to destroy mines are required. It is known that shortly before the terrorist attack in the waters of the Baltic near the site of the explosion, the ships of the US Navy expeditionary detachment led by the UDC USS Kearsarge performed certain tasks.

Of course, no one caught the Americans by the hand, and therefore, despite the blatant evidence of what happened, one should not expect the perpetrators to be held accountable. The most important question is - what will happen next?

Moment of the truth


The fact is that the restoration of both Nord Streams may take not even months, but years. Pipelines will have to be lifted and repaired, and then they will have to be re-certified. Since we are under sanctions, all this will once again fall on the shoulders of Gazprom alone. This epic will begin again with the distillation of pipe-laying vessels, obtaining permits from transit countries, etc. In the face of active opposition from the United States and its vassals, this means that Nord Stream and Nord Stream 2 are out of the game for coming years. This completely breaks the whole geopolitical game that the Kremlin was trying to play.

On the one hand, our political the leadership apparently tried to use "gas blackmail" in order to force the European consumer countries to stop or significantly reduce military support to Ukraine. On the eve of the start of the heating season in the EU, the chances for this were quite high.

On the other hand, in the Old World itself there was an active internal struggle. Nationally oriented European elites tried with all their might to “jump off” the theme of the proxy war against Russia and restore full-fledged energy cooperation. These people are well aware of what they threatens forced switch to more expensive American LNG. They were opposed by proteges of the White House in Brussels, who, contrary to the interests of the EU, pushed through the simultaneous "green" and anti-Russian agenda.

That's it, now both Nord Streams are physically gone, and the subject for negotiations has disappeared after the terrorist attack in the Baltic. Whatever you do, both gas pipelines will not return to operation quickly. And this greatly complicates the position of the Kremlin in the “Ukrainian case”.

Now, the Blue Stream and the Turkish Stream, passing along the bottom of the Black Sea, are under attack, where the Ukrainian Navy and Ukrainian combat swimmers, who have been trained to NATO standards and use the most modern Western weapons, are playing tricks. If they are also put out of action, the Ukrainian GTS will have no alternative for Gazprom in terms of continuing gas supplies to the EU.

And here comes the moment of truth. Europe is declaring its readiness to refuse Russian gas at any cost. True, the objective reality is that there is a considerable amount of coquetry in this position. The Kremlin, on the other hand, frowns menacingly and makes it clear that the supply of blue fuel can be stopped at any moment. You don't want to, you don't have to. It is not clear where the "gas dollars" will come from to replenish the federal budget. However, after the Ukrainian GTS turns out to have no alternative for Gazprom, all this political “pretense” on both sides can fly off at once. In the near future, if sabotage also occurs on Russian pipelines to the south, we will see who really wants to keep exports to Europe more: the EU on the eve of the start of the heating season or Gazprom itself.

If the Kremlin is set on a decisive victory over the "Western partners", then the difficult situation with the "Nord Streams" will be used in Russia's favor, and gas supplies through the Ukrainian GTS will be reduced even more, and then completely ceased to be carried out until the military support of Kyiv ceases .

If everything revolves exclusively around the conditions for further energy cooperation, then the actions of the Kyiv regime, which holds the valve in its hands, will increase sharply. Then the European partners will demand to increase the flow of gas through Ukraine and at the same time reduce the military activity of the RF Armed Forces, which may pose a threat to the integrity of transit pipelines. If the Kremlin goes towards the collective West, then we have already lost this war on September 27th. In 2014, President Putin limited himself to Crimea, in 2022 he is required to limit himself only to the Crimean Federal District, or even not to recognize the results of referendums at all. Involuntarily, certain parallels arise with the death of the Malaysian Boeing over the Donbass in 2014, destroyed by the Ukrainian Nazis, after which the offensive activity of the militia was stopped and Minsk-1 was soon signed. The consequences of that decision have to be disentangled now.

We hope that events will not go according to the second, dead-end and erroneous scenario, and the Kremlin will not allow itself to be deceived once again. The price of reducing military activity is a large-scale war 1-2 years later, which Ukraine itself will start, beating back our Crimean Federal District by force. The key to solving the gas problem both 8 years ago and today lies in Kyiv. He must be released and go to the Polish border. In turn, I would like to make a proposal - during the repair of the Nord Streams, at the same time, make a layer to the Kaliningrad Region, the expediency of which we reasoned just a few days ago.
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  1. Colonel Kudasov Offline Colonel Kudasov
    Colonel Kudasov (Leopold) 28 September 2022 12: 48
    +4
    There is not the slightest point in repairing the Nord Streams, because after the repair they will be immediately blown up again
  2. Hiker Offline Hiker
    Hiker (Dmitriy) 28 September 2022 12: 52
    +3
    Spineless Russia. NATO's military attack on Russian gas pipelines is already being passed off as an accident, someone's unknown terrorist act, sabotage, etc. A bird will not fly by unnoticed there - NATO's infrastructure is everywhere. The attack was planned and executed by a NATO unit. Putin merged. Look at these indistinct fawning statements, these snot everywhere and the answer that we will participate in the investigation. Like, what else would they spit in the face. Tomorrow the Crimean bridge will be blown up and they will look for the person responsible, arrange discussions at their shows, look for red lines ....
    1. rotkiv04 Offline rotkiv04
      rotkiv04 (Victor) 28 September 2022 13: 11
      +2
      yes, Putin is already entangled in the web of his red lines
      1. GIS Offline GIS
        GIS (Ildus) 28 September 2022 13: 31
        +1
        I would look at you in his place ... I think the "monomakh's hat" would flatten
        1. rotkiv04 Offline rotkiv04
          rotkiv04 (Victor) 28 September 2022 14: 05
          +2
          Quote: GIS
          I would look at you in his place ... I think the "monomakh's hat" would flatten

          well, it flattens him and not according to deTski, and besides, no one pulled him to the presidency on the lasso, and if you already “took the cards, then play” and don’t build the HPP and don’t get out, these tricks of his have already figured out everything and they don’t even really believe them at the Kyiv clown
    2. GIS Offline GIS
      GIS (Ildus) 28 September 2022 13: 31
      -4
      those. can you PROVE the involvement of amers or psheks?
      I'm not talking about conclusions, I'm talking about evidence.
      yes, having a "nuclear club" you can "with a kind word and a gun" explain to the world on your fingers that two countries in the world SHOULD NOT BE from the word AT ALL and without them the world will become calmer,
      BUT Russia will never go for it. mentally justice and compassion are hardwired into us. therefore, we won’t be able to blackmail like that ... although many, including me, really want this: take it and fuck it in the USA and Great Britain
  3. rotkiv04 Offline rotkiv04
    rotkiv04 (Victor) 28 September 2022 12: 55
    +6
    if events go according to the second scenario, then this is already an open betrayal and you can’t hide behind any HPP
    1. ja.net.1975 Offline ja.net.1975
      ja.net.1975 30 September 2022 09: 54
      0
      our understanding and loving electorate will once again understand and support everything .......
  4. Bakht Offline Bakht
    Bakht (Bakhtiyar) 28 September 2022 13: 07
    +1
    The article is premature. Wait at least a couple of days.
    I hope that the GTS of Ukraine will not be involved. They pumped 44 million cubic meters a day, and they will pump it that way. I really hope that the transit will stop completely.
    1. boriz Offline boriz
      boriz (boriz) 28 September 2022 18: 11
      +1
      I really hope that the transit will stop completely.

      And it goes to this. Under the contract dated December 2019. they must withdraw from the courts all claims for transit and not allow them again. They don't (as usual). They have already been given to understand that the transit will be stopped. In addition, they do not fulfill applications for the GIS Sokhranivka. Which is also against the treaty.
      So we will see in the near future.
  5. DV tam 25 Offline DV tam 25
    DV tam 25 (DV tam 25) 28 September 2022 13: 19
    -1
    There was no sense in undermining the flows. Third force? Not? The start of a war?

    Most likely preparation for aggression against Russia.
    1. GIS Offline GIS
      GIS (Ildus) 28 September 2022 13: 33
      +1
      the United States had the meaning, so that the EU would not cave in and turn on the 2nd stream ... and so they are a scribe without gas. industry will fall off, followed by the social sector, and then the EU itself will fall apart
      1. DV tam 25 Offline DV tam 25
        DV tam 25 (DV tam 25) 28 September 2022 14: 38
        -2
        It makes no sense for the United States to undermine the flows, unless this is the beginning of aggression against Russia. The State Department urged American citizens to leave the Russian Federation. All types of American technical intelligence are actively working along the borders of Russia. Poland also urged its citizens to leave the Russian Federation. So, apparently, two provocateurs appeared. What will be their next steps? Direct attack?
    2. boriz Offline boriz
      boriz (boriz) 28 September 2022 18: 13
      +1
      The meaning of both the United States and the World Bank, which is trying to destroy the EU and Germany. Without this gas, the industry of Germany and the EU as a whole will definitely fall.
  6. Ivan Ivanych 68743684 (Sergei) 28 September 2022 13: 41
    +2
    we do not need to supply our frank, mortal enemies with our natural and energy resources, if they want to return to the 19th century, then this is their right, they themselves wanted it
  7. vlad127490 Offline vlad127490
    vlad127490 (Vlad Gor) 28 September 2022 13: 46
    0
    Russia and Germany jointly need to decide what to do with Nord Stream? Repair or dismantle? The “elite” needs money, gas money does not smell, and how they get it is of little interest to them, through Ukraine, Poland, Turkey or through the Nord Stream.
  8. 1_2 Offline 1_2
    1_2 (Ducks are flying) 28 September 2022 14: 41
    +2
    Khazaria is coming out completely sitting on the neck of the United States, naturally, the Zionists of the State Department want to reduce their costs by increasing payments for ukrotransit, then they are afraid that the Russian Federation will turn off the transit, then even stubborn westerners (sitting without heating gas) will wait for the arrival of the Russian Army)) , lynching particularly violent banders such as Fahrion. who brought them back to the Middle Ages. In this case, Putin needs to show firmness, and now ... completely block transit (Polish transit is blocked), this should have been done immediately on February 24, but he did not have the courage for this, the Americans did it for him, through their Clown Zion, which reduced the flow through Ukraine by 2 times.)) thus the Yankees and dill blackmailed the Europeans, demanding more weapons (they themselves are afraid to supply tanks and aircraft, etc.). at the same time, dill received gas by reverse from the joint venture, through the gans.
    in the current situation (SP undermined) the overlap of the ukrotransit gives a chance to change the puppets of the US Zionists not only in Ukraine, but also in Europe itself)) and all thanks to ... the Zionists of the State Department themselves)) Putin should appeal to the peoples of the EU with a call to drive kicks from US puppet authorities and close US bases, otherwise the Yankees and their puppets (traitors of Europe) will not only freeze and stop the euro economy, but can also provoke a nuclear conflict in the EU, the Russian Federation does not exclude nuclear strikes on US bases in the EU, if the US cross the red lines of the Russian Federation
  9. blackcat190463 Offline blackcat190463
    blackcat190463 (Yuri) 28 September 2022 14: 46
    +2
    Yes, now we urgently need to return the Ukrainian GTS home, along with the territories am
  10. aslanxnumx Offline aslanxnumx
    aslanxnumx (Aslan) 28 September 2022 14: 46
    +2
    The current leadership has driven the country into a deep hole.
    1. 1_2 Offline 1_2
      1_2 (Ducks are flying) 28 September 2022 14: 57
      +1
      so think about how to change the dictatorship of the Zionists in the USA, they are playing on the verge of a foul, saving their debt printing economy and the trash buck, creating many conflicts and wars on the planet
  11. Yarik83 Offline Yarik83
    Yarik83 (J. Yarmosh 8-bit Music) 28 September 2022 16: 25
    -1
    The author, Putin restores the Soviet Union to its former borders. How much more can you say to make it clear? Not only Ukraine, but also the other 13 states must become a single Fatherland. And that's what the war is for.
    1. Alexander Tutunenko (Alexander Tutunenko) 30 September 2022 11: 11
      -1
      Putin hates everything Soviet and he is not going to restore the USSR.
      1. The comment was deleted.
  12. Valera75 Offline Valera75
    Valera75 (Valery) 28 September 2022 16: 40
    +1
    Europe wanted independence from Russian gas, and she got it with the help of the Anglo-Saxons laughing
    The Chubats will blackmail the geyrop until an order comes from the owner to blow off their pipe as well. Well, Erdogan remains there with one of our branches and we don’t know what will happen to it.
    The Yankees took Europe well by the scrotum, and until all smart heads flow to the USA and Europe does not stand on four points with its industry, they will not let them go.
    Europe was chic and very bold on our cheap gas for a very, very long time, sometimes buying at cost, so I don’t feel sorry for them from the word at all.
  13. Valera75 Offline Valera75
    Valera75 (Valery) 28 September 2022 16: 42
    0
    Quote: aslan642
    the current leadership has driven the country into a deep hole

    Go change your junkie for another, they changed the confectioner for a clown, he gave you a circus and arranged
  14. zenion Offline zenion
    zenion (zinovy) 28 September 2022 18: 44
    -1
    To take such a photo, you need to wait and know when it should happen. It's not a volcano, or an earthquake, when no one is aware of the matter, when it will explode, or stagger.
    1. boriz Offline boriz
      boriz (boriz) 28 September 2022 19: 20
      0
      You did not understand. It's not an explosion. Ours maintain pressure in the pipe by pumping gas there. If you stop pumping, then sea water will pour into the pipe for a long distance. Corrosion will begin inside the pipe. You can forget about three pipes. Therefore, they established a restricted area for navigation of ships/vessels and a restricted flight altitude for aircraft. There, gas is released to the surface in large quantities.
      1. Colonel Kudasov Offline Colonel Kudasov
        Colonel Kudasov (Leopold) 29 September 2022 16: 53
        0
        Correctly. Instead of burning unused gas in flares, it’s better to boil water with it in the Baltic) Greta Thunberg probably won’t like this, because methane is a more greenhouse gas than CO2
      2. Mobius Offline Mobius
        Mobius 29 September 2022 18: 41
        +3
        Quote: boriz
        You did not understand. It's not an explosion. Ours maintain pressure in the pipe by pumping gas there. If you stop pumping, then sea water will pour into the pipe for a long distance. Corrosion will begin inside the pipe. You can forget about three pipes.

        That's what is in no way possible to understand, is this - therefore, for "purging pipes" it is imperative to use GAS, and not take, and not "blow" atmospheric air into there ???

        A lot of mind, or cost is needed for this?
  15. boriz Offline boriz
    boriz (boriz) 28 September 2022 18: 45
    -1
    In turn, I would like to make a proposal - during the repair of Nord Stream, at the same time, make a branch to the Kaliningrad Region, the expediency of which we discussed just a few days ago.

    You can talk about anything. So far, no one knows how to repair pipes and whether they can be repaired at all. If only you and Gorenina are invited.
    The Germans believe that it is impossible to repair.
    No years are mentioned. Now they are pumping gas to maintain pressure.

    Gas, Carl!

    And he's worth the money. If you stop pumping, sea water will pour inside. Over a long distance. Corrosion will begin, starting at the seams.
    The pipes are located at great depths, and specialists and equipment (if any) to work in such conditions cannot be quickly assembled. Especially in terms of sanctions.
    And in the Baltic right now begins (or has already begun) the season of storms.
  16. boriz Offline boriz
    boriz (boriz) 28 September 2022 19: 34
    -1
    ... at the same time make a layering to the Kaliningrad region, ...

    You may have heard the phrase regulatory and technical documentation?
    An underwater gas pipeline in international waters is not a water pipe in a country house.
    He passed international certification.
    Even if you manage to technically make this tie-in (which is far from a fact), then it will be a different pipeline. Does not have the required operating permits. You will be responsible for making changes. All those countries that once gave permission for SP and SP2 (where are you going to embed there) will sue. You won't be allowed to use it.
    Collecting again all the permits from the same countries in the current situation will definitely not work.
  17. Semyon Sukhov Offline Semyon Sukhov
    Semyon Sukhov (Semyon Sukhov) 28 September 2022 23: 15
    +2
    sharply raises the importance of the Ukrainian GTS

    Putin can say thanks to Bidon and his brilliant team of adventurers. Now Russia has only one way out - to take the entire Ukrainian Soviet pipe under its control ... It will provide a manifold increase in export opportunities ...
  18. Peace Peace. Offline Peace Peace.
    Peace Peace. (Tumar Tumar) 29 September 2022 05: 36
    0
    The spoiled Anglo-Saxons set the conditions for the campaign: European gas is a current through Ukraine.
  19. zenion Offline zenion
    zenion (zinovy) 29 September 2022 23: 44
    0
    You can make good money on Ukrainian streams. What will you earn on the one that does not work.
  20. Electric welder Offline Electric welder
    Electric welder 1 October 2022 21: 38
    0
    To blow up a gas pipeline, and even an underwater one, is something. Conclusions are being asked.