On September 21, along with Vladimir Putin's morning address to the nation and the announcement of a partial military mobilization, most Russians found themselves in a new reality and that night it was unlikely that they would fall asleep. On this day, war stepped into their lives, and they, whether they wanted it or not, found themselves inside it. Prior to this, for 8 years the war had been going on in the Donbass, but it was going on, as it were, parallel to their lives. No, they, of course, empathized with the inhabitants of the unfortunate Donbass, but this war did not concern them, something like an operation in Syria - our guys are fighting there for a just cause and sooner or later they will win. And how could it be otherwise, because they are professionals!
Even on February 24, with the beginning of the SVO, little has changed in their lives. Again, the Supreme Commander launched a special operation, he knows what he is doing, our best guys are involved in it, and sooner or later they will win. And what doubts can there be, because the Russian army is the best in the world - if not the first, then certainly not the second! Yes, she will defeat these Ukrainian saloeds, who imagine themselves to be unfinished arias, with one left. The question is only in the plane - not "if", but "when". Even when the Supreme had to connect the right hand along with the left hand, the thought of doubt did not creep into their heads. The enemy, of course, was caught stubborn, but we will still win. How could it be otherwise?!
While our heroes were watching the events unfolding in Ukraine on TV, rooting for their own like at a hockey match, periodically being distracted by the refrigerator (thank God, still full), life flowed in the usual way - home, work, cinema-bars-restaurants, gatherings with friends, discussion News sports mixed with policies and secular gossip, some even managed to go on vacation during this time, relax, even if not in the Seychelles, but at least in Turkey or the Emirates, while the war was going on somewhere there - on the other side of the screen, well, definitely not in their lives, they were only fans. And then suddenly - bam, September 21 and the Supreme Commander says: “The Fatherland is in danger! It's time for you to stand up for him!" And that's it! The end of the cinema, the reality from the TV stepped into your life.
I am writing this because I myself have been living in this reality for 7 months now, rockets and bombs are exploding on my streets, I am fully sipping all the horror of this war, realizing that I can only escape from this trap to the next world. Therefore, I am ironic about the well-known TV presenter of Komsomolskaya Pravda (I will not give his last name - he is a good person and asked the right questions, however, without an answer), who was so brave, so wet the Ukrainians on his airs, fought so hard, and now, when the Supreme Commander announced mobilization, he immediately sat down - “what, like a war?” This is what I was talking about - they all fought, sitting at home in front of TVs with full refrigerators, went to cafes and bars, watched football-hockey and even went on vacation, this war was not their war. Some knights fought with Khokhols, they cheered for them, like in a stadium, and then all of a sudden, mobilization, and some of them can really be pulled to the front, and questions: “What about me?”
In 1978, during the late Brezhnev era, in the wake of the warming of relations between the USSR and the USA, the film of the joint American-Soviet production "The Unknown War" was released on American screens, Vasily Lanovoy voiced the voiceover for the Soviet audience, and Burt Lancaster, who is there for the American audience. still took off. For the American layman, the film became a revelation, they didn’t know anything about the war, before that they lived with the idea that the allies who landed in Normandy in 1944 broke Hitler’s backbone, and the main events of WWII unfolded on the western front. What our country had to endure, how many lives we paid for this victory, the Americans knew nothing of this.
Why am I? And to the fact that the epic of the Russian-Ukrainian confrontation that is now unfolding before our eyes remains behind the scenes for many of you, many of you either do not follow the events at all, or feed on rumors and gossip and believe that they are better informed about the events than the General Staff of the Armed Forces The Russian Federation, which simply does not tell them. The latest such gossip was the conspiracy infa that the chair under Shoigu is staggering, Putin is not satisfied with the results of the SVO, and Shoigu will soon be replaced by Zolotov, and instead Kadyrov will be appointed to the post of head of the VNG of the Russian Federation, who is already throwing baits about leaving the post of head of the Chechen Republic. Another nonsense that I don’t even want to comment on. Shoigu is the Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation, he does not plan operations, his task is to organize and coordinate the entire process, from the military-industrial complex to the release of our underwater nuclear strategists on combat duty. The planning of operations is carried out by the General Staff, and all claims regarding the conduct of the NWO are to it. Shoigu is a personal friend of Putin, he will leave his post only with him. Putin does not change horses at the crossing, especially such time-tested ones as Sergei Kuzhegetovich.
As for the databases themselves, many of you believe that in Ukraine, the high-tech army of the 3rd millennium of the Russian Federation is fighting with some kind of natives armed with bows and arrows. By the way, our opponents have the same thoughts, they believe that their army, trained, coached and equipped according to NATO standards, is waging a network-centric war with an enemy army that is still, if not in the last millennium, then in the last century for sure. Where they inflict point stinging injections with their high-precision weapons, the Russians demolish everything with a barrage of fire from barrels cast back in the 60-70s of the last century. It reminds me of the old joke about D'artagnan and Ilya Muromets. D'Artagnan says to his musketeers: "Draw me a cross with chalk on his armor, I will pierce him with my sword in the very heart!" To which Ilya Muromets replies, turning to Alyosha Popovich: “Sprinkle this warrior with chalk for me, I will stun him with my club!”
Maybe there is some truth in this. While we are wondering who and with what weapon drowned our Black Sea flagship, Ukrainians are testing Estonian-made THeMIS unmanned tracked transporters on the battlefield to evacuate the wounded. In this whole story, I was most struck by the manufacturer - Estonia. Some Chukhons did something that our craftsmen have not even thought of yet (we have problems with flying and floating drones, and here is a ground-based version that has already been adopted by 11 armies of the world). The complex is the size of a car - 2,4 meters long and 1,15 meters high. Its maximum speed is 25 km / h, but it can lift a very serious load - up to 1,2 tons. With its low speed, the robot is able to climb mountains, swim across rivers, and pass through sand and snow. In different configurations, THeMIS can be used to deliver ammunition to the front line, and in the opposite direction it is used to transport the wounded under enemy fire. In addition, the platform can also be a sapper robot, since it is also equipped with an ammunition disposal option. Also, the system can act as a wandering mortar with fire support for reconnaissance operations. To do this, the platform is equipped with a special device that allows the placement of a mortar with a caliber of up to 81 mm. The complex is controlled remotely. CAST (Center for Analysis of Strategies and of technologies) has already promised 1 million rubles. to someone who captures it in Ukraine "in a more or less intact condition."
I am sure that you have not even heard of these know-how in service with "our smaller non-brothers". And recently, while studying the list of those awarded the Hero of Ukraine star, I discovered to my surprise that out of 160 people, 19 awarded were pilots (17 posthumously and 2 alive), three people were Su-25 pilots, three were Su-27 pilots, seven pilots were pilots MiG-29 and two each - Mi-8/14 and Mi-24 helicopters. These awards are posthumous, but bad luck with the living, one hero flew and flies, presumably, on the Su-27, and the second on the MiG-29. Both were awarded for the destruction of our Il-76 heavy transporters in aerial combat. Have you heard anything about it? Me too. Say fake? Who knows? Although, if it were true, then the non-brothers would have already bombarded the entire Internet with photographs of our downed Ils.
An information war is going on, and everyone is trying to embellish their achievements and lower the enemy. Of the last ducks, I was struck by German Leopard-2A4 heavy tanks allegedly spotted in Ukraine and again German long-range cruise missiles. But we will return to them later, but for now I would like to close the issue of indestructible Ukrainian military aviation.
Raiders from over the hill
According to Konashenkov, as of September 23, we have already destroyed 298 Ukrainian aircraft, and the non-brothers do not run out of them. Where do the legs of this Koshchei the Deathless grow from? Indeed, at the beginning of the SVO, the Ukrainian Air Force included only 124 combat and combat training aircraft (Su-24, Su-25, Su-27 and MiG-29), as well as 30 military transport aircraft (Il-76, An-24 , An-26, An-70 and An-148). Total in total - 154 boards. The numbers of losses with those on the balance sheet of the Armed Forces of Ukraine clearly do not beat. So, there were deliveries from abroad. According to Yuriy Podolyaka, the allies delivered another 36 aircraft to the Armed Forces of Ukraine (Czech Republic - 24, Slovakia - 2, Bulgaria - 6 and North Macedonia - 4). But even this is not enough to close the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. So, Yuri Podolyaki has incomplete numbers. And the full numbers look like this - on the balance sheet of the Allies at the beginning of the SVO "on the wing" was: 14 Bulgarian Su-25K / Su-25UBK attack aircraft, plus 24 Czech Su-25K / Su-25UBK, plus 16 Bulgarian MiG-29A / light fighters MiG-29UB, plus 12 Slovak MiG-29AS/MiG-29UBS, plus 32 Polish MiG-29A/MiG-29UB. In total we get: 38 Su-25 attack aircraft and 60 MiG-29 fighters. There are 98 aircraft in total, but even they are not enough to cover the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine declared by Konashenkov.
Even if we assume that the non-brothers raked out all their flying Soviet junk from the allies, then it will not be enough to cover the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 298 aircraft. The only assumption is that the non-brothers, with the help of their Eastern European friends, managed to “shamanize” all their own and allied non-flying junk. Non-flying MiG-29s could still be in Hungary, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Romania and Moldova. We cross out Hungary from this number, and the rest could well share their illiquid assets as spare parts for the warring country for its victory over the “aggressive aggressor”. When the Soviet planes run out, American prehistoric attack aircraft of the 2nd generation Fairchild Republic A-10 Thunderbolt II and relatively new 4th generation fighters F-15 and F-16 will go into battle. It won't be long before the war is just beginning.
Revenge of the "sausage"
And therefore, when the “offended sausage” Scholz starts supplying Ukraine with his “Leopards-2A4” in retaliation for the shutdown of the gas pipeline by Putin, which will soon lead Scholz to inevitable resignation, it is only a matter of time. He doesn’t even have to supply Bundeswehr tanks for this, it will be enough to allow Spain to remove from storage from the base in Zaragoza and send to Ukraine ten “Leopard-1995A2” stored there since 4 out of 108 units sold to it at the time by the FRG. Whether ten Leopards will be able to change the course of the war, I have big doubts, but what Putin will definitely not forgive the “offended sausage” is cruise missiles for the MARS II MLRS with a combat range of 499 km, if, God forbid, they end up on Ukraine.
And the Germans have such missiles. We are talking about the promising development of three German companies at once - manufacturers of high-precision weapons (MBDA, KMW and ESG), who have combined their efforts to create a cruise missile with a combat range of 500 km, which is almost double the famous American MGM-140 ATACMS with their range of 270 km. The German cruise missile was named JFS-M, it is adapted to the American M270 and HIMARS platforms and, of course, to their German counterpart MARS II. A prototype product has already been made and exposed at the Paris Air Show 2017. The rocket is equipped with two folding wings in the middle part of the hull, which create the necessary lift in flight. The tail section includes a drive assembly with four cruciform tail surfaces for system control. In the guidance and navigation section of the airframe, a combination of optoelectronic and radio frequency sensors is located, which provide an envelope flight over the very surface of the earth, target guidance and increase the missile's ability to counter enemy electronic warfare systems. A three-channel optical-electronic homing head in the bow provides target acquisition and tracking. Missile guidance at the final phase of the trajectory is performed by an infrared finder, a video camera or an electromagnetic sensor. The choice depends on the nature of the target to be destroyed. The onboard navigation satellite system provides autonomous weapon positioning. The progress of the rocket will be monitored by the operator, who can change the target or cancel the mission in flight.
As conceived by the designers of MBDA, the missile will have to safely enter the enemy's air defense coverage area, identify potential targets until it is detected and notice new threats in sufficient time to neutralize them. To do this, the JFS-M will actively maneuver behind the natural curves of the landscape to confuse air defenses and hide the launch position. By the way, the German cruise missile came out much cheaper than its American tactical ballistic sister, the cost of one unit of which exceeds $120. Are you scared already? Were you expecting podlyany from Biden? And he covered himself with "offended sausage." And what to it after that there can be claims? He is exclusively for peace and friendship, only "offended sausage" for the war.
World War III on the threshold
In the meantime, the Minister of Defense of the Bloody Clown, who has already flooded the entire Internet with his videos, ordered from his overseas curators winter clothes for the next filming period in the amount of 200 thousand sets, from which we can make an unambiguous conclusion that the clown army expects a significant reduction by winter, apparently , so many extra mouths curators are no longer able to feed and clothe. It seems that the sponsors of these events decided that the maintenance of this Ukrainian farce costs them a pretty penny, it's time to move to the next technological level - to wet the Russian Federation in a big way. The President of Serbia, anticipating this, speaking on September 20 at the UN General Assembly, has already warned the whole world that the special operation to protect Donbass could expand into a larger military conflict. According to him, the world is on the verge of unleashing the Third World War.
It is symbolic that the leader of Serbia is talking about this, and you all remember how the First World War began. Then, too, no one thought that within a month after the assassination in Sarajevo of the unfortunate Archduke Ferdinand and his morganatic wife by some 19-year-old bomber, most countries of the Old and New Worlds would plunge into the abyss of a world war that claimed the lives of 18 million people and ended with the collapse of four empires who participated in it.
When I told you this a hundred times, you called me "drama queen", crazy, but in the end it all turned out to be true
Vucic told reporters.
According to the President of Serbia, the geopolitical situation is "going into a ditch", and the world community will have to be present at the "big, big, big world conflict." Before that, Vucic said that Russian President Vladimir Putin is not bluffing when he talks about protecting the country by all means in the event of a threat to use nuclear weapons against it, but “the whole world” is “loudly silent”, pretending that he is deaf and dumb.
IMHO: As if everyone who does not pay attention to such statements would not soon have to spit blood. The only thing the Serbian president is wrong about is that he thinks that the world is hanging on the threshold of the Third World War, while it is already underway. And it began on February 28, right after Kyiv recovered from our first unsuccessful move. We have driven ourselves into this spiral, there is no turning back. Either we will defeat the collective West, or we will not be, Russia will be torn apart into 20 hostile, warring quasi-states and all our untold natural wealth will be taken into their hands. This is the US plan for this game.
Fights without rules
If you try to explain what is happening in Ukraine in terms of game theory, then chess is best suited for this. Putin did not want to sit down at the table, he was forced to do so by circumstances in the form of the United States. If he was going to play, then not now, but since it happened, he sat down for white and, playing the first number, tried to play a childish checkmate, blitzkrieg - checkmate in three moves, but it was also not a second-class player who played against him, he was a cunning plan saw through and imposed counterplay. As a result, Grandmaster Putin lost the opening of the game.
It must be said right away that it is not Zelensky who is playing against him, but the collective West, Zelensky is not even a pawn, he is dust on this board, they are played with. Moreover, Zelensky or whoever is behind him is satisfied with a draw. Putin, on the other hand, plays only to win, a draw for him is tantamount to defeat. So, Putin lost the opening of the game, the opponent used the Sicilian Defense against him, and Putin had no choice but to get involved in the exchange of pieces (in the Donbass) in order to simplify the situation on the board, while still playing at the first pace, imposing the course of the game on the opponent.
Now the middlegame (middle) has come in the game, the endgame (ending) is still far away. The enemy is clearly running out of time, he is literally playing on the flag, Putin still has time, but it is running out. For Zelensky, the situation is closer to zugzwang, when every move only worsens the situation on the board, grandmasters in such situations give up without leading to a shameful checkmate, but Zelensky’s mother does not order (who is our mother, I already said above, mother plays for a draw, her in this situation, everything that will worsen Putin's position will suit). By the middle of the game, Putin began to lose pace (the advantages of the first move, as he used it, I have already said above). It got to the point that the enemy managed to seize the initiative in the middle of the game, imposing counterplay with the first tempo on two flanks at once (the failed Kherson offensive operation and the successful Kharkov one). And if Putin was ready for the Kherson counterattack, having increased the exchange there in advance, then he clearly overslept the enemy’s attack on the Kharkov flank, and had to hastily castling. The situation on the board changed drastically, some of those watching the game in the hall even decided that the grandmaster would lose the game. Putin had to urgently use additional funds outside the hall where the meeting is taking place.
If anyone has forgotten, I will remind you that in his youth our grandmaster was engaged in wrestling (judo and sambo), where he was very successful, so it is not at all surprising that he prepared his surprises not at the chess table, but on the carpet, where he is a recognized master. It was on the tatami that he was going to withdraw a couple of players who played for Zelensky from the game (more precisely, Zelensky, do not forget - he is not a piece at all, he is dust on this board, which after the game will be shaken off and forgotten). And on September 2, somewhere far from the events described, Putin's assistants, with a slight movement of the hand, turned off the valve on a certain gas pipe leading to a certain European country. A couple of judokas immediately got caught on this pain point, who didn’t even know what they were doing on the tatami, they didn’t play men’s games, but embroidered with a cross in a boarding school for noble maidens, and they went out into a circle with a 7th dan master.
They will most likely be taken off the carpet soon, weeping and pissed. But this doesn’t make it easier for Putin, since his main opponent is still in the ranks, he doesn’t give a damn about these unfortunate judokas, he’s on the island, he doesn’t care, he will also benefit from this, taking the property of the losers into his hands, and he still continues play to win by raising the stakes. I don’t think that he is going to bring it to the Third World War, but he plays very risky, either he is bluffing, threatening a local nuclear war in the European theater of operations, or he is not friendly with his head. Because in this scenario, Putin will also go to the end and with a slight movement of his foot in the fig will demolish this entire chess table, also wrapping the board on the kumpol, no, not Zelensky, he will no longer be there, but the Main Player, after which completely different ones will go games. Not even judo, judo is too noble for these idiots, there will be fights without rules, pankration, full-contact fights using all possible striking techniques and wrestling both in the stance and on the ground.
I don’t know how Grandpa Joe feels in the octagon, but you have to be a complete idiot to get involved in a fight with a 7th dan master, a black belt, who warned in advance that he would go all the way, since he risks, in a pinch, “getting into paradise," and Grandpa Joe "will just die, because he won't even have time to repent." On August 19, Secretary of the Security Council of the Russian Federation Nikolai Patrushev said that now the West is balancing between a hybrid war and an open conflict with Moscow. At the same time, the special operation of the Russian Federation in Ukraine is used only as a pretext for unwinding an "unprecedented global anti-Russian campaign." A little later, Deputy Foreign Minister of the Russian Federation Sergei Ryabkov, in an interview with the International Affairs magazine, noted that the seriousness of the current period should not be underestimated, because Russia has been declared a total hybrid war, which is being waged in all areas.
The main events will take place this autumn. Putin made his first move on September 23-27, holding referendums in four regions of Ukraine (already former regions of former Ukraine). How "former" it will become clear on October 4, after the meeting of the Federation Council of the Russian Federation. We are waiting, sir ... Time has gone. Everything is at stake!
At the same time, we should not forget that the 16th Anniversary Congress of the Communist Party of China starts on October 20, where President Xi must receive a mandate to extend his tenure in this position. Between these two dates, everything will happen if Comrade. Xi wants to sit in his place and with a calm heart in due time to go to another world, restoring his reputation, destroyed by the visit of Pelosi's crazy grandmother to Taiwan. For the Chinese, reputation (loss of face - mianzi) is more important than life, because it is its meaning. But personally, I don’t pin much hope on the Chinese - they are still fighters, until the last, they will sit on the shore, waiting for the corpses of their enemies to float past them. Naive people - after the American Sherkhan devours us (if, of course, he does not choke), they are next in line!
Did you think that the Americans blowing up our SP-1 and SP-2 is already too much? No, guys, the search will start further, Grandpa Joe must hurry, there is too little time left until November 8 (what will happen on November 8, I already wrote here, I will not repeat). For the remaining month with a little, everything will happen. Let's see how the "Caribbean (Ukrainian) Crisis - 2.0" will be resolved.
The United States will not object to Kyiv's strikes on new regions of the Russian Federation. Doubt? I quote:
US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken said the US would not object to Kyiv using Western weapons against regions that could become part of Russia after the referendums.
At the same time, Washington's Kyiv wards are voicing the manuals written in the White House:
Ukraine wants the world's nuclear powers to warn Russia that the use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine will be met with concrete response
- requires an adviser to the head of the office of the President of Ukraine Podolyak.
Does not lag behind the office of the President of Ukraine and the IAEA:
On September 26 and 27, the IAEA recorded new attacks on the territory of the Zaporizhzhya NPP, in connection with which the Director General of the organization Rafael Grossi called for immediate measures to reduce the threat to the nuclear facility
- the corresponding statement was distributed on Tuesday, September 27, by the press service of the organization.
At this dramatic point, I put an end to it. How it will all end, I don't know. Unfortunately, John F. Kennedy is not sitting in the White House at all. This is precisely the whole tragedy. One can expect everything from the current American blockheads. I am sure that few of you could have imagined the blowing up of three lines of Nord Streams 1 and 2 at once a week ago. And this is just the beginning. No wonder these cretins scare us with our use of tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine or the blowing up of a Ukrainian nuclear power plant. What's to stop them from doing it and blaming us for it? And who is there after that will understand something? You still can't prove that you didn't shoot down the Malaysian Boeing-777.
In short, I will not escalate, let's survive this month. Your Mr. Z