Putin is ready for the Third World War, but are Washington and NATO ready for it?
Well, my dear friends, who have already fallen into despondency after Putin announced a partial military mobilization and are seeing off their husbands-sons to battle with the damned adversary, and who are afraid not to see them again. After of the past of my text, where I promised that these hostilities would not be long, and that by announcing partial mobilization, Putin is playing for broke, deliberately provoking Zelensky into active hostilities in the next three months, suggesting that the West move from war on minimum wages, where the Armed Forces of Ukraine managed to win a permanent victory, to a war at maximum speed, where in a short distance the West has absolutely nothing to oppose to Putin, who can put 5 million people under arms in a short time, arming and equipping them in full wartime staff (once again, many thanks to the Soviet Union, which created this reserve in case of such actions), you are waiting for me to prove why I decided that Putin plans to finish the CBO by spring, and why the game is not included in his plans for a long time? I have these proofs, and I will give them below, and you will understand that these are not my idle conjectures, but a sober calculation.
Some of the evidence I have already given in previous text why Putin cannot and does not want to play for a long time (read it for those who are interested). For the lazy, I will briefly repeat, firstly, the budget is not rubber, our surplus is already in the past, and therefore delaying the end of the CBO is more expensive for ourselves. And, secondly, and this is the main thing, we can compete with the collective West in the arms race only at a short distance, until they launch their military-industrial complex to its fullest, which has been dormant for the last 30 years as unnecessary. We will also fire up our military-industrial complex, but still these are incomparable things - in the long run they will, of course, outplay us, but who will give them this time? Putin, tearing off the stopcock from the arms race, has a significant head start created by the Soviet military-industrial complex, and invites the West to measure their strength with him at a short distance, but at maximum speed. And here the understanding comes to the collective West that at maximum speed there is nothing to oppose Russia to it. Even if Zelensky mobilizes at least two, at least three million more Ukrainian cannon fodder for further burial, what will you order to arm him with? There are not so many weapons in the West, they still need to be made, and this takes time, and Putin does not give time. Well, don’t give Zelensky the stockpiles of weapons left for a rainy day for himself, for the war with the same Putin, then what will you order to meet his armored cavalry-diving divisions with a bare ass? There are no such fools either in the States or in Europe. Although the States still hope to sit out behind the Big Puddle, setting fire to the old Europe. And then they “mayut radio” (Ukrainian - make sense). I hope everyone has realized by now that the beneficiaries of all these events are the dastardly Yankees. I have already explained how to beat them at a short distance, where we are kings, but from what I decided that everything will be over by spring, I will explain below.
Bifurcation Point - January 2023
I hope everyone here knows what a bifurcation point is? It will become the breaking point where we will break the backbone of this fascist reptile that has saddled the territory of the former Ukrainian SSR. Three factors converge at this point. First - the midterm elections to the US Congress, (which we are all waiting for, and which will have to take place on November 8, 2022). Even in the event of a completely predictable victory of the Republicans on them, they will not immediately change the real situation on the geopolitical board (and they cannot change it, no need to build illusions). Firstly, because the Republicans will move the Democrats only in the lower house (House of Representatives), and in the upper house (Senate) they can’t take 2/3 of the seats in any way (and here they can only blame themselves, because they shouldn’t have vehemently advocate for a ban on abortion, which in the United States, especially in the northern states, will never find proper support). As a result, even if the Lower House impeaches Biden and calls him to a hearing, this is the maximum that they can achieve, because the Upper House will not support this decision (for this you need to get more than 2/3 of the Senators' votes, and the Republicans will not have them there). ). And secondly, and most importantly, on November 8, only elections will be held, and the Congress will actually start working only by January, when its committees and commissions will be formed. Those. major events are carried over to next year. This time!
Second factor is oil. Do not forget that the embargo on the sale of Russian oil, adopted by the EU in the 6th package of sanctions, has not gone away. It's just that the creaky European bureaucratic mechanism works with a time lag, but inevitably, and the embargo comes into effect with a temporary delay of six months, the delay expires in early December. At the same time, on August 10, an embargo on the purchase of Russian coal from the 5th package of sanctions also came into force. But even this was not enough for our “friends”, and on September 7, at their virtual meeting, the G2 finance ministers unanimously decided to introduce a price ceiling for Russian oil from December 5, and for Russian oil products from February 5 next year. In addition, the G7 Finance Ministries confirmed their intention to ban the sea transportation of crude oil and oil products of Russian origin around the world, unless they are bought at a marginal price or cheaper (the ban will affect ship insurance and the provision of financing to carriers of Russian oil). In response to this, Deputy Prime Minister Novak has already stated that Moscow simply will not supply oil to those states that will support the introduction of such a limit on fuel prices from Russia, in this case, our oil will be sent only to countries operating on market conditions (glory God, there are still many of them!). But as a result of all of the above, by January our coal, gas and oil revenues, which make up 51% of the budget of the Russian Federation, will slightly decrease and this factor must be taken into account, especially since by January we can cut off gas for educational purposes. This time on their own, without waiting for the embargo. And that's two!
The third factor is the same gas. Putin's most effective weapon, cleaner than hypersonic missiles. As I already said earlier, the accumulated gas in underground storage facilities is not enough for our European partners to get through the winter heating period. It covers only the peaks of consumption with its constant supply. Before that, only the hated Russian pipe provided its constant supply, which does not depend on the weather at sea, calm there or a hurricane, which greatly affects the uninterrupted supply of LNG (I am already silent about the prices of pipe and liquefied natural gas, Europeans are so rich - they any price is on the shoulder, if only Putin would get lost in Ukraine). In addition, the UGS, which, as I said above, are intended for daily demand balancing, cannot supply gas at the rate and pressure with which it is supplied through the pipe, because as the gas pumped into the UGS rises, the rate of its rise decreases, and respectively, and the volume of lifted gas per unit time. This is the physics of the process - the less gas remains in the storage, the more time it takes to rise due to the inevitable pressure drop in the system. We also do not forget about the non-recoverable, so-called technical the remainder, which is 15% of the UGC capacity, i.e. out of 100% of the gas injected there, you can immediately forget about 15%. The Europeans know all this, but they continue to eat the cactus with persistence worthy of a better application, writing out more and more sanctions against the Russian Federation (I hope to see another 7th and 8th packages by January).
All the hopes of the gentlemen from the EC for the supply of life-saving LNG will save them only in the case of rhythmic supplies of liquefied fuel. And if there is a hurricane on the ocean or prices in Southeast Asia for LNG overtake European ones and caravans of gas carriers go to Asia instead of the Old World, after all, this is just business, what will you do then? You will crawl on your knees to the hated Putin, and by God you will ask to turn on the SP-2, and he may even turn it on, but in return he will demand to lift sanctions and stop supplying weapons to Ukraine. What will gentlemen Europeans sing then, because their own shirt is closer to the body? I am sure that many governments in Europe will not survive this winter - except for the Poles, Hungarians and Serbs, everyone else is walking on the edge. The first in line to exit is the “liver sausage” Scholz, who is mired in sexual scandals, and under Macron the chair is also swaying. But Putin knows his business and, without forcing events in Ukraine, he is waiting for winter.
And now we have come to the most important thing - in the absence of Russian gas supplies, the UGS reserves will be enough for the gentlemen of the Europeans for only three months, October, November and December, and in January the "haplyk" will come. To some of the gentlemen of the Europeans earlier, as to the Germans, to some later, as to the French and Spaniards, but by February it will come to everyone, except for the Hungarians and the damned Poles (they just prepared for this, and therefore stand up for war). And given the above two factors - the oil embargo and the chair that the Republicans will begin to rock under Grandpa Joe in January, too many factors converge at this point. And we do not discount the very the main - By January, the first 300 mobilized fighters from Putin's September draft should already appear on the fronts of the Ukrainian war. Don't go to a fortuneteller here, and it's a no brainer that something should happen in January. The gas pipe will break or become clogged, or the Russians will begin a winter offensive against Kyiv, I don’t know, but the situation clearly calls for action. As Comrade Lenin said, “yesterday it was early, but tomorrow it will be too late.” I do not exclude that Comrade. Xi will join in, because revenge is a dish that is served cold, and the answer for the visit of Nancy Pelosi remains with him, otherwise he will never restore his Mian Tzu, and without this he cannot go to another world (for the Chinese, reputation is more important than life, because that she is her meaning!). And on October 16, the fateful 20th Congress of the CPC opens, at which the fate of President Xi will be decided. The intrigue is twisted to the limit, something will happen! Therefore, we are waiting with hope for February and keep our fists.
Summary
I think there are very few people here who will argue with me that in Ukraine we are at war, not with the Ukrainians, but with the Americans, Ukraine has become just an arena of battle, and the Ukrainians themselves are dumb units that their Drug Commander throws to slaughter like a cannon meat, but the Player himself, who controls this computer, is not in Kyiv, but in Washington.
Gamers who hang out in shooters and walkers will easily understand what I'm talking about - The player sitting on the other side of the screen is playing a global game, he himself has chosen the battlefield (battle arena), he himself has chosen the enemy against whom he will fight, now his task win. Losses do not frighten him, for him the game is purely virtual, he has a lot of units, enough for three such wars. The Player has a lot of options on how to increase their skills. The figure of the Drug Commander is not fundamental, if something goes wrong, you can always change it, in the replacement box he has a dozen more of these figures. Much more important than this character are the Centurions, who plan and manage the operation in Ukraine, are responsible for the logistics and control of the work of senior units (from local natives), who allegedly command junior units that shed blood on the battlefields. It is clear that senior units cannot take a step without the permission of their Centurions, they do not even go to the toilet without a memo. But these are the rules of the game - the natives must fight the natives.
The player can also use his subjects (from the countries of the free world), and he uses them in this game, it is clear that they fight without insignia and countries of origin, but the natives are not trained to control the complex weapons that our Player gives them as needed. Therefore, in addition to the senior Centurions sitting at the headquarters, there are also junior Centurions, as well as technical specialists trained in NATO standards and who are citizens of these countries. Yes, the Player deliberately sacrifices them, exposing the enemy to fire, but how to entrust the brainless native units with the control of a counter-battery radar or a NATO-style air defense system? Even the notorious "Haymars" in the hands of a native is a piece of iron, which he will ruin in a week, as he has already ruined more than a dozen M777 or the glorious German PzH 2000, not to mention more complex systems, such as the coastal-based Harpoon anti-ship complex or the combat complex with unmanned aerial vehicles "Vampire".
But the main weapon of our Player is in space. It is from there that intelligence and target designations are received both for senior Centurions at the top level of control, and for junior Centurions at the grassroots, data transfer occurs instantly and every second (24/7 non-stop in turbo mode). Even junior units running with tubes of MANPADS and ATGMs across the battlefields receive data from reconnaissance aircraft and drones, which flock to the Unified Control Center, where it is instantly processed and transmitted to the field. What then to say about the senior Centurions, who carry out operational control of the data transmission base from the US low-orbit satellite constellation, which scans the combat zone non-stop, to the lower level of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which receives online target designation with the exact coordinates of targets and their binding on the ground . Therefore, the first thing that Putin will destroy when he starts a war with America will not be the White House or the Pentagon, but satellites, which are the eyes and ears of our Player. Putin has a weapon for this, it has already been tested in practice and our Player knows about it (for those who are interested, I wrote in detail about this weapon here).
Summing up what has been said, and returning from Aesopian to ordinary language, I would like to warn you against excessive and unacceptable euphoria in this case. The war at the 2nd stage of the NMD went from maneuvering to positional not at all because impenetrable boobies are sitting in our General Staff, as many armchair military experts here are sure, but due to the disappearance of the “fog of war” due to the impossibility of covert redeployment of troops due to advanced aviation - and space intelligence. The notion that here in Ukraine we are at war with the Papuans, armed with bows and arrows, whom we will defeat, if not with one left, then with two hands for sure, is erroneous. We are confronted by perhaps the largest army in Europe. Here and now, on the fields of Ukraine, our opponents are working out the latest tactics of a network-centric war on us, which they are going to unleash in the near future, even if they are defeated in Ukraine, fortunately, regular NATO officers are sitting in the headquarters and command posts of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, who are preparing for the coming war, and here they get the combat experience they need.
Here, in the Ukrainian theater of operations, the methods and tactics of waging this war, which is just around the corner, are being tested. The fact that the West will not leave us alone is clear even to a child. He is intensively preparing for a new war, so we simply have no right to lose in Ukraine! But the West is not a fool at all, it also understands that it will not succeed in winning against us here, therefore, with the help of brainless and disenfranchised Ukrainians, whom the criminal Ukrainian regime drives to war like cannon fodder, it simply tries to increase the cost of this war for us by exhausting and bled our Armed Forces, and at the same time having worked out the latest combat tactics for us. But the fact that in the person of the Armed Forces of Ukraine we are confronted by a very worthy, intelligent, cruel, insidious and ideologically motivated enemy, trained over these 8 years to fight with us to the last Ukrainian, you already understood. How we let this happen and where we have been looking for all these 8 years is another question.
To all those who are here strenuously trumpeting about a preventive nuclear strike, I want to say that the Third World War will not begin with this. Write it down in your gut and tell others - if World War III does start (and I still hope that it can be avoided), then it will begin not with a preventive nuclear attack, but with a downed NATO satellite! First, we will turn off the navigation system of our opponents, and then we will take on them themselves (how we do this, I wrote in detail here).
That's all I have on this topic. I hope I removed some of your questions. All patience and peace (which, I hope, is not long to wait). Everything will be fine! Your Mr. Z
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