Can Nord Stream 2 turn into Kaliningrad Stream?

Can Nord Stream 2 turn into Kaliningrad Stream?

The Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline can be considered one of the main and innocent victims of the armed conflict in Ukraine. This project of Russian-German economic cooperation died without being born. Is it possible to consider all the money spent on its construction thrown to the wind?


The fact that Nord Stream 2 will never start pumping gas to Europe was announced a few days ago by the Prime Minister of the German federal state of Lower Saxony, Stefan Weil:

Trust has been lost so fundamentally that there will never again be a situation in which the German federal government can bet on energy from Russia.

Russian Ambassador to Germany Sergei Nechaev spoke in the same vein:

The possibility of returning to the previous level of cooperation in the coming years seems doubtful. Not our fault.

Could anything have gone differently?

Not really. This project was doomed from the start, since it is the brainchild of an inherently wrong Russian policy in the western direction.

In 2014, from February to May, when Petro Poroshenko was brought to power and recognized by the Kremlin, there was a unique window of historic opportunity. It was enough, at the request of the legitimate President Yanukovych, to return to Kyiv the head of state who had fled from there to save his life, giving him a limited peacekeeping contingent to help him. We saw how this is roughly done in the summer of 2020 in Belarus and in January 2022 in Kazakhstan. In general, the whole history of the Ukrainian Maidan would have ended ingloriously. After that, anything could be demanded from Viktor Fedorovich: the recognition of Crimea as Russian, and the federalization of the former Independent, and favorable conditions for gas transit to Europe. Alas, the decisions then were chosen differently. What Ukraine eventually turned into over 8 years, everyone sees perfectly now, we won’t repeat it.

The gas issue is interesting. Instead of actually trying to bring a pro-Russian regime to power in Kyiv, Gazprom began building expensive pipelines around Ukraine - Turkish Stream and Nord Stream 2. At the same time, a rather naive version was voiced in the media and the blogosphere that after their launch, Ukraine, of course, would automatically go bankrupt, freeze and fall apart on its own. The fate of Nord Stream 2, as the embodiment of the “bypass routes” strategy, is the most instructive.

So, at first, under it, for a long time and painfully, they received building permits from American vassals in Europe. Then Washington imposed sanctions on the contractors of the project, and they immediately abandoned it. I had to arrange an epic with the passage of the pipe-laying vessel "Akademik Chersky" from the Far East and complete the construction of the underwater pipeline on our own. And when it was already completely ready for operation, an armed conflict began in Ukraine, about the inevitability of which the Western media kept repeating for another six months before February 24, 2022, as if they knew something in advance. It was not possible to outwit the tricksters.

The result is logical: because of the "Russian aggression", Berlin refused to certify the gas pipeline necessary for the launch of Nord Stream 2, and made a fundamental decision to completely abandon Gazprom's products. It's called a fiasco.

The fact that the main pipeline will definitely not work was confirmed by the actions of the domestic gas monopolist. The operator of the Nord Stream 2 project has declared bankruptcy, however, the hearings on its case have been postponed for the time being. At the same time, Gazprom decided to use the ground part of the Nord Stream 2 infrastructure for gas supply to the Russian Federation:

In the current situation, a decision was made to use the SP-2 infrastructure located on the territory of our country for gasification of the north-west of Russia. Therefore, if the German side purely hypothetically decides to commission this gas pipeline, then only one of its lines can be put into operation at this stage.

That is, one line of the pipeline has already been reserved for internal needs. There is still the second one, but for political reasons it will not be involved. There are interesting proposals to start using the underwater part of Nord Stream 2, if only to provide gas to the Kaliningrad region, which depends on transit through the hostile Baltic countries. Oleg Nilov, First Deputy Chairman of the State Duma Committee on Agrarian Issues, stated this from a high rostrum:

I'm talking about Nord Stream, Nord Stream 2, for sure. Look, if Europe, Germany, in the first place, refuses from Nord Stream, then in the next few — I won’t say “many years”, but most likely it will be like this — Nord Stream <…> theoretically it could be like this turned into Kaliningrad Stream.

Indeed, the construction of a branch line from Nord Stream 2 to the Kaliningrad region will increase its energy security, as well as the competitive advantages of the Russian exclave over its European neighbors due to cheap gas and electricity. The proposal becomes all the more relevant as Germany has hastily started construction of a bridge connecting the floating LNG terminal with the onshore gas transmission infrastructure of both Russian Nord Streams. This was stated by the German gas transmission network operator Gascade:

Before the end of this year, the GTS operator plans to build a pipeline of several hundred meters that will connect the first floating LNG storage and regasification unit (FSRU) to land as part of the Deutsche Ostsee LNG project.

Berlin is indeed preparing to diversify energy supplies, and Russian pipelines should become victims of Germany's policy of gas import substitution. It is necessary to record losses and squeeze out the maximum benefit from what has already been built.
18 comments
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  1. blackcat190463 Offline blackcat190463
    blackcat190463 (Yuri) 24 September 2022 14: 16
    +2
    This thought occurred to many, including me, but what the management of OAO Gazprom thinks about this is not clear
  2. mark1 Offline mark1
    mark1 24 September 2022 14: 28
    +4
    Kaliningrad cannot eat so much gas, it is necessary to urgently complete the processing facilities and build new ones. Gas chemistry (and petrochemistry with coal chemistry) is what will save us.
    1. Living7111972 Offline Living7111972
      Living7111972 (Salavat Siraev) 25 September 2022 18: 07
      0
      Hydrogen plant
  3. Vladimir Golubenko (Vladimir Golubenko) 24 September 2022 15: 12
    +1
    Yes! And use Kaliningrad as a distribution point for deliveries to Europe. Whoever needs it will buy it for rubles. And let the Germans heat with firewood (from Siberia).
    1. Mikhalych Offline Mikhalych
      Mikhalych 25 September 2022 06: 55
      +3
      And let the Germans heat with firewood (from Siberia).

      Not from Siberia, but from the Sahara.
      tongue
  4. yuriy55 Offline yuriy55
    yuriy55 (Yuri) 24 September 2022 15: 19
    0
    Trust has been lost so fundamentally that there will never again be a situation in which the German federal government can bet on energy from Russia.

    Make blood answer for every word...
  5. Colonel Kudasov Offline Colonel Kudasov
    Colonel Kudasov (Leopold) 24 September 2022 16: 32
    +2
    Is it technically possible, that is the question. As far as I know, the corresponding tee was not laid on the gas pipeline route for the future branch to Kaliningrad, for some reason (
  6. Paul3390 Offline Paul3390
    Paul3390 (Paul) 24 September 2022 18: 48
    +1
    And if this money were invested, say, in LNG and gas carriers? How much easier would it be for Russia now? Another jamb in the choice of priorities? Isn't there too much already?
    1. Scharnhorst Offline Scharnhorst
      Scharnhorst (Scharnhorst) 24 September 2022 19: 55
      +1
      You are right... Just remember the undeservedly forgotten word "speculators". An LNG terminal should be built in the Kaliningrad region, not in the Arctic. The transport shoulder along the gas pipeline almost to the center of Europe will significantly shorten the route around Scandinavia. And those same bad traders themselves will undress Europe with exchange purchases of LNG in Kaliningrad, passing it off on the stock exchange as Qatari, Algerian or American. But, I hope, Gazprom's proposal for long-term cheap contracts for Europe has already been removed from the agenda?
      1. andron352 Offline andron352
        andron352 (Andrei) 24 September 2022 21: 14
        +1
        I completely agree. Already in some comments I already wrote a long time ago when there was talk of sanctions against SP2, it is necessary to deploy to Kaliningrad and build a gas liquefaction plant. There is an ice-free port near Kaliningrad, the delivery shoulder is short.
    2. Grei grin Offline Grei grin
      Grei grin (Gray Grin) 24 September 2022 22: 50
      +1
      There is no need to doubt here, there are only traitors and agents of influence around us, they put escaped clowns and buffoons in our faces, but they don’t do the weather, the blackest forces of the enemy remain and they shit while sitting in positions of power in all power structures! Russia is waging war with an external enemy, and the enemy in the rear is hitting in the back, someone famous said, if the enemy in the rear does not expect victory!
  7. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 25 September 2022 00: 01
    0
    Yes, the next fortune-telling in the thick of news sauce.

    How Gazprom will decide (profit, profit, profit) is unclear ..
    Deliveries to Kaliningrad were promised by the media a year ago, and???
    Kaliningrad will obviously not be able to process a full-fledged branch (profit?), And the Sanctions put an end to liquefied gas from Kaliningrad, which was also written a lot about earlier

    although at least somehow using it for the good of the Motherland is logical. Let's see
  8. Eduard Aplombov Offline Eduard Aplombov
    Eduard Aplombov (Eduard Aplombov) 25 September 2022 06: 30
    +4
    in hindsight many great strategists
    the Kremlin screwed up with stream 2, you can directly mention the Kremlin instead of Gazprom
    but in the current situation, the Kremlin is again pulling pipelines to China for its own money, will the situation not repeat when this partner dictates the price?
    After all, colored Asia is already demanding huge discounts on oil and gas
  9. Azvozdam Offline Azvozdam
    Azvozdam (Azvozdam) 25 September 2022 09: 48
    +1
    Yes, the Kremlin will never learn anything while it is run by hucksters. Stalin has already scattered all the boards, Zhukov is turning over in his grave. , mama mia, no matter how much it takes to places that are very, not very remote. The country is hanging by a thread, and they are shaking by the skin and money. There will be no future. the Poles of the Balts will twist the ropes if they win. The hucksters think to pay off, the Yankees will assure that all the property will be intact. They would tell! The Yankees are gangsters and cheaters rolled into one. It doesn’t work out by deceit - intimidation and murder are used. Erdogan needs to remember this. clashedtwo forces, black and white. And whoever turns out to be smarter will win! The loser will disappear. The moment of truth will come, if Russia disappears, Orthodoxy (Christianity) will disappear along with it. not faith, this is how it should be !! Like brushing your teeth, there is no longer faith. Among the people, not yet to such an extent, the leadership, I think, never had it. I would put all the food in the maximum possible amount into the "bins" of the Motherland. The leadership of Russia has greatly degraded, in its history there have been many cases of this, the reason is corruption. The rest is a consequence.
  10. boriz Offline boriz
    boriz (boriz) 25 September 2022 11: 19
    -3
    It is necessary to record losses and squeeze out the maximum benefit from what has already been built.

    What are the losses? How?
    The idle SP2 has long paid for the sea part and the land part, it seems, too. Simply due to rising prices.
    They are already benefiting from what has been built and are going to continue to receive it without "valuable" instructions from the author.
    SP2 has already fulfilled its mission and continues to fulfill it successfully.
    It was the hysteria around the launch of SP2 that allowed European speculators to unwind gas prices not even in Europe, but in the world. It is enough to recall prices in 2020 and compare with 2022.
    On July 24, in the comments to https://topcor.ru/27007-uniper-hochet-cherez-sud-zastavit-rossiju-prinjat-turbinu-dlja-severnogo-potoka.html#comment-id-263898, I wrote that Uniper will force the state of Germany to assume the losses from the non-launch of SP2. And they forced it. Germany has invested in the company in the amount of as much as 8 billion euros. Despite the fact that Uniper invested only 2 million in the marine part of SP700. Was it accounting for bank interest, lost profits and image losses. Is it already losses from the epic with turbines (the reason for this is Germany's participation in the sanctions). It is important that a precedent has been set for other companies that have suffered losses from the non-launch of SP2, and such losses will amount to 15 billion. Taking into account the empirical coefficient (700 million and 8 billion), the money for Germany will be unsustainable, since there is no longer the usual surplus in foreign trade .
    Liquefaction facilities have been built in Vysotsk (SP) and are under construction in Ust Luga (SP2). A gas processing complex is being built in Ust Luga. Decisions have long been taken by Gazprom, somehow managed with their own minds, without advisers.
    The gas resources earmarked for SP2 will make it possible to gasify Karelia and the Murmansk region, which had not been possible before.
    In addition to logistics, there is also geopolitics and geoeconomics.
    No one knows what Europe's gas demand will be in a couple of years. Now there is a lowering of Europe not even in 4 hands, but in 6. This is being done purposefully, although each country acts for its own purposes.

    The United States needed to undermine the economy of Europe in order to provoke the flight of capital from there to the United States. In order to contain inflation in the US before the November elections. For this, Europe was dragged into anti-Russian sanctions, which the United States itself observed only to the extent of its own interests.
    The WB needs to destroy the EU in general and Germany specifically, in order to mold a currency zone out of the wreckage.
    Russia needs to weaken Europe so that the transfer of high-tech enterprises from Europe will go in the direction of Russia. It is in Russia that there will be the cheapest complex of energy carriers and water in the world. Plus, a weakened Europe will stop interfering in Russia's actions. Your internal problems will be enough.
    When the coming winter and popular protests bring to reason (or throw off) deranged European politicians, the situation there will stabilize. But on a much different level. There will be no more cheap energy sources. Never. Only in producing countries.
    Then the Europeans themselves will turn on the gas pipelines. But it will be a completely different Europe, with different needs.
    The technical feasibility of a branch from SP2 towards Kaliningrad is not obvious to me. From energy experts (who are trustworthy), I have not heard anything about this.
    In Lithuania (as well as throughout the Baltics) a generation of young counter-elite (lower and middle level officials) is growing up who understand the inevitability of cooperation with Russia. So, in the near future, transit through Lithuania (including gas through the pipeline) will not cause problems.
  11. usm5 Offline usm5
    usm5 (George) 25 September 2022 21: 37
    +1
    It is urgent to connect Kaliningrad to the northern stream and turn off the gas to the "Baltic extinctions." And in the end, in response to their hostile position, one should refuse to recognize their secession from the USSR and return these lands to the composition of historical Russia, no matter how hard it is. Otherwise, they will always spoil us there.
    1. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
      Bulanov (Vladimir) 26 September 2022 15: 30
      0
      And in the end, in response to their hostile position, one should refuse to recognize their secession from the USSR and return these lands to historical Russia

      Yes, you just need to recognize the bill of sale of Peter the Great for Tribaltika continuing to have legal force. Otherwise, the bill of sale for Alaska should not be recognized. So let the shavtsy decide. what is better for them to give to Russia - Alaska or Tribaltic?
  12. Rinat Offline Rinat
    Rinat (Rinat) 27 September 2022 08: 47
    0
    To date, the pipe is not working. If everything remains as it is now, it will be inactive. But something tells me, because now it definitely won’t remain. For example, Germany will be divided into West and East Germany.
    And different regimes will rule there. The pipeline is laid in the eastern part.