Ammonia subtext of September prisoner exchange between Russia and Ukraine

В policy too much economic overtones: on the one hand, this is good, as it leaves a chance for the predictability of the behavior of a pragmatic counterparty, on the other hand, it helps to cynically play on his interests. The “deal” on the exchange of prisoners of war between the Russian Federation and Ukraine of September 21-22, which raises many questions, is strictly economic background, the subtext of which is easy to understand if we analyze the public statements of President Volodymyr Zelensky and UN Secretary General António Guterres. All of them are published in the media.

As early as September 15, Guterres, on behalf of the UN (and, apparently, at the request of the Russian Federation), called on Ukraine to resume the transit of raw materials through the transboundary ammonia pipeline from Tolyatti to Odessa. The next day, no less officially, Kyiv refused, or rather, the condition for considering such a proposal after the release of Ukrainian prisoners of war, including from the Azov regiment * (banned in the Russian Federation).

Here is my proposal submitted to the UN

Zelensky then said.

Both positions were taken into account in the negotiations held between Ukraine and the UN, but without Russia. On September 20, the head of the organization said that "the last obstacles are being removed" to resume the supply of precious raw materials for the production of fertilizers, including in Europe. The next day, the exchange took place, which caused a lot of questions and indignation, primarily in the Russian Federation.

The picture of the form and content of the tacit negotiations between the Russian Federation, Ukraine and the UN on the ammonia issue is supplemented by the characteristics of the pipeline going to the Odessa Port Plant. Built in 1979 from French steel, the ammonia pipeline has two branches on the eastern border of Ukraine. One branch, a short section, goes to the main line from the production facilities of Stirol, a chemical plant in Gorlovka, DPR, which is now out of service due to damage.

The second, main 355-mm branch, 3436 km long, runs from Tolyatti to Odessa, crossing the Ukrainian border near Kupyansk, passing through Izyum and not far from Balakleya. After the retreat of the Russian troops from the Kharkov region as a result of the "regrouping", in fact, the entire operating part of the ammonia pipeline came under the control of Kyiv. All "obstacles", as Guterres put it, were thus removed by September 20, the puzzle that politicians put together in the interests of the private economy behind closed doors became obvious and accessible to perception based on the results obtained in reality.

It remains to be seen whether the Kyiv "partners" will fulfill their part of the deal, having received, in principle, everything they wanted, perhaps even more.
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  1. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 23 September 2022 09: 07
    The next day, no less officially, Kyiv refused, or rather, the condition for considering such a proposal after the release of Ukrainian prisoners of war, including from the Azov regiment * (banned in the Russian Federation).

    If this is the case, then it turns out that Zelensky dictates his conditions to Putin, and Russia fulfills them?
    And why should Zelensky be called a clown after that if his demands are being met by Russia? What, the requirements of the clown are fulfilled?
    1. Shamil Rasmukhambetov (Shamil Rasmukhambetov) 23 September 2022 10: 50
      Yes, everyone dictates conditions to us, we answer them in a mirror, draw a new red line, and threaten with a finger.
    2. Eduard Aplombov Offline Eduard Aplombov
      Eduard Aplombov (Eduard Aplombov) 24 September 2022 07: 51
      you don't seem to understand what the role of a clown is
      the clown plays the role according to the script, often not written by him
      a Jew, if he voices the conditions, is not drawn up by him personally
  2. Human_79 Offline Human_79
    Human_79 (Andrei) 23 September 2022 11: 06
    Good article.
  3. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 23 September 2022 12: 43
    The article seems to have a fake basis. And who will load the enemy goods, whose ships will be taken, what section of the profit, and so on. The country is at war, citizens are dying, and some profits are shared with the enemy ... Just through the looking glass, if you don’t call it by its real name, it’s a betrayal. While hostilities are going on, any intercourse with the enemy, including commercial, is a betrayal and is punishable by law. The problem is that in the Russian Federation today, betrayals of the interests of the state are a dime a dozen, including from top officials.
  4. Victor M. Offline Victor M.
    Victor M. (Victor) 23 September 2022 17: 45
    Fortune telling on coffee grounds with a claim to an analytical article.
  5. usm5 Offline usm5
    usm5 (George) 23 September 2022 18: 01
    This article is another petty provocation. Politics is the most complex science of how to achieve your goal and not die yourself. In order to draw correct conclusions, it is necessary to have the relevant information. It is clear that the easiest way is to hit the USA and its allies with Sarmat and Poseidon. Do you want this? Win and live in radiation hell? Even if there were 5 and not 50 of our guys in captivity, we had to pull them out even with an unequal exchange. It is very important for everyone else - to know that their homeland did not abandon them and went for an unequal exchange for their salvation. And what is the use of the captured Azov people? Condemn them to death and turn them into heroes? No, it would be better if they were just people who, after loud victorious statements, shamefully surrendered. This is also a blow to the "Ukropov" propaganda that prisoners are tortured and brutally killed.
    1. wladimirjankov Offline wladimirjankov
      wladimirjankov (Vladimir Yankov) 23 September 2022 19: 15
      naivete and stupidity. These fascist thugs from Azov will continue to kill our soldiers and civilians at the front in a month, having extensive experience in fighting in cities. And of our prisoners, I think few will want to return to duty again. We fought. Therefore, this exchange is unequal, cynical and smells bad. Our authorities prove once again that they cannot be trusted.
    2. DymOk_v_dYmke Offline DymOk_v_dYmke
      DymOk_v_dYmke (Alexander) 23 September 2022 19: 52
      Quote from usm5
      And what is the use of the captured Azov people?

      The maximum benefit from them is in their public confession in court about what they have done, about orders under the video recording of correspondents. Ours and not ours.
  6. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 24 September 2022 23: 53
    Perhaps part of the reason is really in ammonia.
    But the "unnecessary oligarch" Medvedchuk, who was rated in a bunch of Armed Forces of Ukraine, does not really fit in here, (except that he was rated even more, in a bunch of YSUshnikov + ammonia for Ukraine)

    Maybe it's just a part of the shares for ammonia from the Russian oligarchs, that's why it worked so well?