In the US, they again began to discuss the gloomy scenarios of a nuclear war with Russia


In the United States, the grim scenario of a full-scale nuclear exchange between the United States and Russia, in which the death toll in the first hours of the conflict alone is estimated at "more than 90 million", has become the subject of active discussion at the suggestion of such a still quite significant publication as Newsweek. For this purpose, citing the “current tensions” in the situation around Ukraine, Newsweek pulled from a dusty shelf and presented to the public a four-minute video called “Plan A”, developed by researchers associated with the Princeton University Science and Global Security (SGS) Program several years ago. .


Western media speculation politicians and even those who are especially eager for trade… let’s say, the “face” of high-ranking military officials on the topic of whether Russian President Vladimir Putin will ever use nuclear weapons in the escalation of the conflict in Ukraine has not stopped since the very beginning of the Russian special military operation. And now this issue is experiencing another "aggravation" (autumn?) in the increased frequency of rhetoric about the possible start of a nuclear war.

As far as one can tell, this is the worst crisis with a potential nuclear dimension that Russia and the US/NATO have been involved in since the end of the Cold War, even if the risk of nuclear war is still considered low, although many analysts are already objecting to this. A crisis like the one we are facing now often leads to misunderstandings between the parties, exacerbated by the fact that very few active channels of communication remain between Russia and the US/NATO

Alex Glazer, an assistant professor at Princeton University and one of the creators of the script, which has been designated Plan A, told Newsweek.

It should also be taken into account, he said, that over the past few years, Russia and the United States have abandoned long-standing nuclear arms control treaties, started developing new types of nuclear weapons and expanded the range of circumstances in which these weapons can be used.

The "Plan A" modeling was originally prepared for an exhibition at Princeton's Bernstein Gallery in 2017 and made available to the public as a YouTube video two years later. Its stated goal is to highlight the "potentially catastrophic" consequences of a nuclear war between Russia and NATO. After the initial surge of interest in the video, the number of views did not increase much until the end of February 2022, but the simulation has since gained over a million views.

Plan A outlines how a local nuclear exchange can quickly escalate into a global catastrophe. The scenario presented in the material was considered "plausible enough" by many experts. But that didn't stop it from being any less creepy.

The simulation was supported by datasets of currently deployed nuclear weapons, weapon yields and possible targets for certain weapons, as well as estimates of the order of battle of weapons moving towards targets to show the development of a nuclear conflict. Of course, we did not have access to classified information, and we often used "simple" rules when assigning targets for the use of weapons.

Glaser noted.
  • Photos used: National Museum of the US Navy
3 comments
Information
Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must sign in.
  1. gorenina91 Offline gorenina91
    gorenina91 (Irina) 20 September 2022 19: 09
    0
    In the US, they again began to discuss the gloomy scenarios of a nuclear war with Russia

    - Well, let them discuss! - And what are we ... here ... here to discuss! - Here it is - how it will turn out - it will turn out! - What discussions can there be!
  2. Siegfried Offline Siegfried
    Siegfried (Gennady) 20 September 2022 20: 46
    0
    now, after the referendums, the scenarios of a major war are quite realistic.

    The topic of negotiations is now closed. Negotiations can only be about the surrender of Kyiv. Thus, the West no longer has a scenario of "forcing" Zelensky to negotiate. The West can drain Ukraine by reducing the supply of weapons and money, or try to achieve a military victory. But a military victory is now difficult for the West to achieve, because Russia will not be able to "cede" part of the territory of the Russian Federation. A military victory for the West is now only a complete military defeat for Russia, which Ukraine is unable to achieve on its own.

    If the diplomatic scenario is dead, Ukraine's military defeat remains as the only way out of the situation. Perhaps Moscow has decided that it makes little sense to expect compromises from the EU. After all the calls from the Macrons with proposals to "withdraw the troops", after the statements of all sorts of Burbocks and Ursuls about the fight to the end, Russia has changed the situation dramatically. Now the army knows what it is fighting for. The population of Kherson and Zaporozhye regions also knows what will happen next.

    From a military perspective, as many note, this is a challenge to the Armed Forces of Ukraine. They will have to advance in order to disrupt the referendums.

    After the referendums, in addition to the fact that the war is going on for the territory of the Russian Federation, the world will see that the population of these territories wants to live with Russia, which will greatly complicate such false information companies as Bucha and Izyum. NATO will supply weapons to kill people who do not want to live under the Kyiv regime.

    We can say that the Cold War has begun. The confrontation in Ukraine can only end with the change of the Kyiv regime, one way or another.

    It seems that the strategy of deterrence and a slow offensive with the maximum possible fire damage is not enough to destroy enough forces and means to prevent the accumulation of reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Although who knows how much Ukraine accumulated those forces that are advancing now.

    Inviting North Koreans will bring many disadvantages - Russia will take on part of the image of this country (two pair of boots will talk, Russia in desperation clutches at any straw, fakes like North Koreans massacre civilians, kill children, etc.). But within the framework of the foreign legion, units can be represented, including North Koreans, if you can focus on the international of volunteers, where there are many different nationalities. North Korea has very large special forces that have no combat experience - the NWO could be a baptism of fire for them.

    For some reason, Russia still does not pay money to foreigners, so only ideological ones fight. If Russia paid 3-5 thousand dollars, many would want to fight on our side, instead of the Ukrainian one. It could be a separate brigade (not PMCs, not ideological volunteers in the ranks of the LDNR), for example, under the flag of Che Guevara.
  3. Nicu Offline Nicu
    Nicu (Nicu) 21 September 2022 15: 18
    0
    The United States has not experienced in its own skin, in a nuclear confrontation with Russia, what a nuclear war is; suffer much more than Russia!
    The advantage of Russia in the vast territory, plus the population is not as concentrated in cities as in the United States.
    Just a few Russian nuclear missiles will devastate American urban and economic centers!