19FortyFive: Claims of Ukraine and the West for a “breakthrough” in the course of the NWO are overstated


As events unfold after the start of two Ukrainian “offensive operations” (in Kherson and Kharkiv regions), it becomes possible to get a clearer picture of both Ukraine’s strategy and the reasons for Russia’s losses, writes in the American online publication “1945” (19FortyFive) military Fox News columnist Daniel L. Davis, former US Army Lieutenant Colonel.


Previous post in Topcor, based on Davis' opinion, touched on the reasons why Zelensky actually had to resort to an adventurous "double counteroffensive" with no clear strategic prospects - which quite fits the definition of "failure". But besides this, the analysis of a very well-known military expert in the United States contains a number of other, also important points.

What and how exactly was reported about the "Ukrainian offensive"


According to Davis, Zelensky and the Western mass media are “inviting” this to be presented as a kind of “struggle of equal forces”, allegedly showing Ukraine’s ability to “launch an offensive across the country” in order to oust Russian and allied forces. Nevertheless, when considering the actual results of the hostilities, it becomes obvious that such claims are greatly exaggerated.

The truth, however, is that while the Kharkiv operation was well thought out and effectively executed, exceeding all Kyiv's expectations, it involved relatively few Russian soldiers. But even in this victory, the Ukrainian side suffered significant losses and combat machinery

Davis notes.

Features of the Kherson and Kharkov operations


Kyiv has concentrated the best of Western equipment it has received, including T-72 tanks from the Czech Republic and Poland, self-propelled howitzers from Germany, multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS) from the UK, armored personnel carriers and M777 howitzers from the US, and the most trained troops in two counterattacks. groups: Kherson and Kharkov.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces (UAF) have lost a significant amount of equipment to Russian attacks over the past six months, and the total amount of all the equipment provided or promised by the West is not even a fraction of what is needed for an offensive operation in the theater of war that can actually drive Russia out. from the territory of Ukraine. However, this turned out to be enough to conduct a local counterattack, when the equipment could be concentrated in limited geographical locations.

Davis states.

Now, he says, there is mounting evidence that Russian troops in Kherson have largely held their ground. The Ukrainian "attack on Kherson" had only limited progress in three directions, and their troops, having gone beyond the lines of their defensive positions, suffered really heavy losses.

In the Kharkiv region, “the Russians have generally restored a stable line in the Krasny Liman area and along the Oskol River,” and the allied group continues its earlier offensive in the west of Donbass, gradually moving towards Bakhmut and Soledar.

Ukraine has regained control of a large tract of territory...While this is a great achievement, it is necessary to put these things in perspective, especially in terms of what this means for the rest of the theater of operations and the future of the entire conflict

Davis clarifies and sums it up as follows:

In the short term, neither side can claim victory. However, the longer the fighting continues, the more likely it is that Russia will emerge victorious, if only because it has the most resources and personnel, which in the history of wars often determines the ultimate success.
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  1. Corsair Offline Corsair
    Corsair (DNR) 18 September 2022 14: 14
    +1
    Claims of Ukraine and the West for a “breakthrough” in the course of the NWO are overstated

    However, if you fight, like this - "with windows" (Quote below), you and we will not see victory No. ...

    What are "breaks"? Or was there no "extra" plane in all of Russia to plug these shameful hole-windows?

    At war, like at a resort, with relaxation ???

    amaze with laxity yes

    Blocking the advancement of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kherson region. Details

    After the X-101 cruise missiles hit the Karachunskaya dam in Krivoy Rog and the level of the Ingulets River rose, the supply of the battalion tactical groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine at the Andreevsky bridgehead was successfully minimized. In the area of ​​​​the “fire bag” Andreevka - Sukhoi Stavok, through which the Armed Forces of Ukraine wanted to attack Berislav, units of the 57th Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and paratroopers from the 46th Airmobile Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were partially blocked.

    The destruction of the SSO company of Ukraine and the death of the Ukrainian landing force on the Kinburn Spit, sent to probe the defense of the RF Armed Forces on the southwestern flank of the Kherson fortified area, put an end to the distraction strike, which was supposed to pull our forces and means from the Andreevsky bridgehead sector. As a result, the artillery and anti-tank units of the Airborne Forces and Marine Corps of the Russian Navy continue to remain in their previous positions and provide fire resistance to the mechanized reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, pulling up to the Andreevsky bridgehead from the western coast of Ingulets. After all, the latter expect a decrease in the level of the river and the speed of the current for a second attempt to force the Ingulets and strengthen the offensive potential of the Andreevsky bridgehead.

    Nevertheless, tactical landing, mortar crews and crews of the Stugna-P ATGM, although sporadically, continue to saturate the still remaining backbone of the Andreevsky bridgehead. This transfer is carried out through episodic flights of Mi-8 military transport helicopters of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which arrive on the eastern bank of the Ingulets at the time of the temporary windows of absence of combat duty of the Russian Su-35S.
  2. zzdimk Offline zzdimk
    zzdimk 19 September 2022 13: 27
    0
    the sum of all the equipment provided or promised by the West is not even a fraction of what is needed for an offensive operation in the theater of operations, capable of actually ousting Russia from the territory of Ukraine

    If a military expert measures everything in sums, then the cost of such an expert tends to zero its face value.