They sensed weakness: the West is trying to drive Russia into a corner with its special operation in Ukraine
I am sure that all concerned people, who are anxiously watching the events unfolding before their eyes in the Ukrainian theater of operations, are better aware of the current state of affairs than I am. It is not even surprising that Ukraine managed to win the first military victory on the battlefields, forcing us to leave the previously liberated part of the Kharkiv region and for the first time during the NMD move from attack to defense along the Seversky Donets and Oskol rivers, but the speed with which it did it . It is clear that it could not have done without external participation. The hand of the “elder brother” is visible in everything. For six months, while we were storming the Donbass fortified area head-on, he was preparing the reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, training them at his bases in Great Britain, Poland, Romania and Germany (now Spain and Denmark are also ready to join them, and Bulgaria is ready to provide repair facilities), equipping this a reserve of NATO weapons, pursuing the main goal - to make a turning point in the course of hostilities and force the Russian Federation to retreat. And that day came on August 29 - with the beginning of the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kherson direction, I won’t tell what happened next, you know it better than me.
Where our command looked and who is to blame for this, I will not discuss here either. Least of all, I see the fault of the General Staff of the Armed Forces and the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, personally Generals Shoigu and Gerasimov, as well as the intrigues of the "moles" working in the depths of these departments for the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Even less, I suspect the closest Kremlin entourage, which did not report something to the Supreme, and I consider it completely impossible that Putin could not know or not take into account something. All these events were the result of the understaffing of the group of troops of the Russian Federation, conducting military operations in Ukraine, with personnel.
I consider all these moans that have now rushed from all irons about changing the status of the NWO and declaring general mobilization stupid and inappropriate, because the people who voice these demands do not quite understand what they are talking about. The change in the status of the NMD and the declaration of a full-scale war on Ukraine only bring additional difficulties for us, without actually changing anything. If Putin can still stop the SVO with a stroke of the pen on his own initiative, then it will not be so easy to get out of the declared war, this is a whole procedure, and you don’t want to carry it out with a “gang of drug addicts and neo-Nazis”. At the same time, cutting off the supply of the remaining blue fuel through the Ukrainian pipeline to our allies in the EU (Hungary and Serbia) and using these supplies to put pressure on our European enemies, who are now pressing their ears in horror in anticipation of the approaching fierce winter, will be another consequence of this fact. In addition, by declaring war, we ourselves will secure the status of an “aggressor”, which our enemies have been stubbornly clinging to us since 2014, which will finally untie the hands of the collective West, although even now it is not shy about choosing means.
As for the general military mobilization, because the Fatherland is in danger, then, believe me, it is already underway, only hidden. There is no need for us to announce this openly and blow all the trumpets, since this can cause a backlash from society, and we have neither physical nor actual capabilities to arm, shoe, clothe and prepare for combat operations such an abyss of personnel, because we were not preparing for such a war (unless, of course, we are going, like our enemy, to throw cannon fodder at the front). The contract professional army that we have through the efforts of the past Minister of Defense is not intended for conducting this kind of military operations, in a theater of such length and with an enemy of such strength. It was sharpened for conducting local regional conflicts, in all other cases we relied on our strategic nuclear weapons and tactical nuclear weapons. But in Ukraine, their application is impossible for many reasons, where the factor of the "fraternal people" is the last, not the first.
The West, sensing our weakness, is just waiting for a reason to unleash all the dogs on us. Finishing mode turned on. Events will develop rapidly, there is no talk of any quiet departure to “winter apartments”. He will not wait for the next round to finish us off, he will try to do it in the current round. To this end, all databases in the Ukrainian theater will be intensified as much as possible, all the reserves currently available to Ukraine will be thrown into the furnace of war, the main stake will be placed on battles in the Donetsk, Luhansk and Zaporozhye directions in order to solve the task before the New Year. The fall of Donetsk and Lugansk, and the return of the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant to Kyiv's control, will mean the end of the war and the total defeat of Russia, even if we manage to keep Kherson. This will lead to a political crisis in Russia, because our population, which until then was kept in a relaxed state, without overloading its consciousness with excessive information about the course of the database, is simply not ready for such an outcome. It does not know how and is not used to losing and is not going to get used to it. As a result, the chair under Putin will begin to shake, and it’s not a fact that it will be possible to stop it, the lid may be torn off. Namely, this is what our enemies are trying to achieve, realizing that they cannot defeat the Russian Federation in open confrontation, we can only be destroyed from within.
Diplomatic behind the scenes
Parallel to this behind the scenes, unnoticed by the general public, there were political processes. They began at the beginning of summer and intensified by the end of August. For many of you, these events have gone unnoticed because they have passed behind the scenes of your attention. I myself noticed them only on 16 August. On this day, Zelensky and his “think tank” Yermak met with ex-NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen, ex-President of Colombia Juan Manuel Santos Calderon and other exes, including ex-UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon. All these respected exes are part of the group of world leaders The Elders, a kind of shadow cabinet of US influence (as you can see, Washington's tentacles extend far from its borders). These brilliant gentlemen discussed with the Drug Commander and his regent the possibility of ending the war in Ukraine and providing guarantees for its security by the collective West. A working group was even created for this, where Zelensky's regent, the head of his office, Yermak, and ex-NATO Secretary General Rasmussen were co-chairs. A good goal, you say, we are also for peace with both hands. But the whole trouble is that these gentlemen consider the world on the terms of the total defeat of Russia and its complete surrender, with the withdrawal of the RF Armed Forces from the territory of Ukraine as of 1991, i.e., including Crimea and Donbass. How do you like this perspective?
Appetites grow with food, if in March at the Istanbul negotiations a gang of gopniks in tracksuits was ready to discuss with the Medinsky team the neutral status of Ukraine with the withdrawal of Crimea and Donbass from the negotiations, now there is no talk of any neutral status (although, what do we this status, when the entire North Atlantic bloc is already fighting for Ukraine even without this status). But now they have gone even further, now we are talking about guarantees of its security, which should be provided by a number of countries (there, in addition to NATO member countries, there are a number of states such as Japan and Australia, in total about forty subjects of international law). The document received the working title "Kyiv Security Treaty" (Kyiv Security Compact), and it will differ significantly from the 1994 Budapest Memorandum. According to Fogh Rasmussen, commenting on this document, the adoption of these recommendations "will send a powerful signal to Vladimir Putin and demonstrate that our loyalty to Ukraine will not be shaken, that his war is useless." For those who did not understand, he explained:
This is not about an obligation to refrain from any action, but on the contrary - to provide everything that Ukraine needs to ensure its protection.
I don't know what Colombia is supplying our heroes with (maybe it's all rumors), but I can already see with my own eyes that this potion is working. But, seriously, the outlines of the document are as follows (this is still a working version of it):
- The strongest guarantee of security for Ukraine is its ability to defend itself against an aggressor in accordance with Article 51 of the UN Charter. This requires resources to maintain a powerful army capable of resisting the army and other paramilitary formations of the Russian Federation;
- long-term stable investments in the defense industry of Ukraine, large-scale transfer of weapons and intelligence support of allies, intensive training and joint exercises under the auspices of the EU and NATO;
– security assurances should be affirmative and clearly articulated; they will define a number of commitments made by the group of guarantors together with Ukraine. Guarantees should be politically and legally binding on the basis of bilateral agreements, but consolidated within the framework of this joint strategic partnership document;
- the agreement will unite the main group of allied countries and Ukraine; this group of guarantor states may consist of the USA, Great Britain, Canada, Poland, Italy, Germany, France, Australia, Turkey, as well as the countries of Northern Europe and the Baltic States, Central and Eastern Europe;
- the package of guarantees contains both preventive measures of a military, financial, infrastructural, technical, informational nature in order to avoid new aggression, as well as measures that must be taken without delay in the event of a new encroachment on the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine. In addition, the structure of the treaty provides for full-fledged sanctions against the aggressor, and may also contain additional components, for example, agreements on providing Ukraine with modern air defense / missile defense systems, regional agreements on security in the Black Sea, etc.;
– Security guarantees do not replace Ukraine's desire to join NATO and the EU. By acquiring membership in the alliance, she will be able to use the provisions on mutual defense. The guarantees do not undermine this goal in any way, but are aimed at providing Ukraine with the ability to deter an armed attack or act of aggression, and in the event of an attack, to protect sovereignty, territorial integrity and security under any circumstances.
- long-term stable investments in the defense industry of Ukraine, large-scale transfer of weapons and intelligence support of allies, intensive training and joint exercises under the auspices of the EU and NATO;
– security assurances should be affirmative and clearly articulated; they will define a number of commitments made by the group of guarantors together with Ukraine. Guarantees should be politically and legally binding on the basis of bilateral agreements, but consolidated within the framework of this joint strategic partnership document;
- the agreement will unite the main group of allied countries and Ukraine; this group of guarantor states may consist of the USA, Great Britain, Canada, Poland, Italy, Germany, France, Australia, Turkey, as well as the countries of Northern Europe and the Baltic States, Central and Eastern Europe;
- the package of guarantees contains both preventive measures of a military, financial, infrastructural, technical, informational nature in order to avoid new aggression, as well as measures that must be taken without delay in the event of a new encroachment on the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine. In addition, the structure of the treaty provides for full-fledged sanctions against the aggressor, and may also contain additional components, for example, agreements on providing Ukraine with modern air defense / missile defense systems, regional agreements on security in the Black Sea, etc.;
– Security guarantees do not replace Ukraine's desire to join NATO and the EU. By acquiring membership in the alliance, she will be able to use the provisions on mutual defense. The guarantees do not undermine this goal in any way, but are aimed at providing Ukraine with the ability to deter an armed attack or act of aggression, and in the event of an attack, to protect sovereignty, territorial integrity and security under any circumstances.
For those who do not understand the draft document and the seriousness of the intentions of Ukraine's partners, I will briefly summarize - this document is about a strategic partnership that will unite Ukraine and the guarantor states. The document provides for providing it with such military power as to discourage Russia from any desire to repeat the invasion. To do this, the main group of allies assumes clear obligations to support the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and a wider group of countries will have to provide non-military guarantees based on sanctions. That is, sanctions against Russia will never be lifted, even if it leaves Ukraine, including Crimea. Will pay reparations to Independent life, rebuilding its war-torn the economy. That is, according to the plan of the collective West, Ukraine will no longer have to be supported by him, but by the side that lost the war, that is, we. You have already understood where the $360 billion stolen from us from our gold reserves will go. No one is going to return them to us, even if we fulfill all their conditions. This agreement does not cancel Ukraine's accession to NATO, but, most likely, will be valid until the moment of its entry as a safety net.
The ex-NATO Secretary General, commenting on this document, stressed: if such guarantees are not accepted, "this will mean an aggravation of the crisis on European soil." Help to create and maintain such an army "needs the loyalty of Ukraine's allies for decades." That is, we are talking about decades, as you can see, the guys have long-term ambitious plans! Zelensky’s regent, under the impression of the document or something else from the Colombian supplies, agreed that the Ukrainians should make it so that “the slogan “We can repeat” causes Russians only panic attacks and bad memories, and that they respond to it only "Never Again".
secret visitors
But that's not all. I'm telling you, events began to develop rapidly, no one will leave you alone - they will finish you off! You haven't forgotten about US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken's unexpected, previously unannounced visit to Kyiv on September 10 this year, when he brought Zelensky a package of another $2 billion in military assistance from the US government on top of the $675 million in additional military assistance from the Pentagon allocated the day before ? Haven't forgotten? Congratulations, the door had not yet closed behind Blinken, when a day later the German colleague of the American, German Foreign Minister Frau Annalena Berbock, also arrived there on an unscheduled visit. True, what she whispered with Zelensky is still unknown to anyone. What a disaster, you say. What did they frequent in Kyiv? Them that there, smeared with honey? What is smeared there, I will say below, but for now I will tell who else is preparing to pleasantly surprise you, after which the picture will finally close for you. On September 16, he also arrives in Berlin with an unplanned visit, guess who? Just don't fall - Speaker of the Lower House of the US Congress Nancy Pelosi in person for a meeting with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz. Here the picture is closed.
How exactly it closes, it became clear from the telephone conversations between the German Chancellor and the President of the Russian Federation, which took place on September 13 and lasted a total of almost 1,5 hours. This was the first communication between the first persons of the two states in the last four months. Two days earlier, for the first time after a month of silence, a man from the Champs Elysees also called Putin. I don’t know what Putin and Macron talked about, but according to the report of his press service, they discussed a number of issues on the international and domestic agenda with the German Chancellor. I will not cite the words “liver sausage” that they will survive this winter without Russian gas (he, however, did not say anything about the next winter), but I would like to focus your attention on external issues. I was struck by the tone of "liver sausage". He has clearly changed. Scholz urged Putin to find a diplomatic solution as soon as possible, based on a ceasefire, the complete withdrawal of Russian troops and respect for the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Ukraine. He emphasized that any further Russian moves towards annexation would not go unanswered and would not be recognized under any circumstances. In addition, Scholz urged Moscow to ensure the safety of the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant, strictly follow the measures prescribed by the IAEA, and avoid any escalation steps.
It just seemed to me, or did the “liver sausage” really get so bold that it is already presenting an ultimatum to Putin? And this is the same “offended sausage”, mired in sexual scandals, the chair under which sways more and more as the cold winter approaches? I do not believe in such metamorphoses. He didn’t call for four months, then he suddenly dialed first. Why such courage? I don't think the potion shipments from Colombia go through Berlin. So the reason is different. I think that the situation in Ukraine is to blame, which has changed dramatically these days, and grown-up boys from across the ocean sent "liver sausage" as a truce, so that he would throw a "presentation" to the Kremlin "godfather" and designate the edges and time for reflection. I won’t be surprised at all if after that, in order to be convincing and indicate the seriousness of their intentions, the “partners” do not light up German Leopards and US F-15s and F-16s above them on the fields of Ukraine. And American tactical missiles ATACMS with a range of 300-310 km, I think, are already there and are just waiting in the wings to hit the Crimean bridge. Autumn promises to be hot!
That's all I have on this topic. I don't say goodbye, your Mr. Z.
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