What conclusions can be drawn from the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Kherson
On August 29, 2022, the long-announced counter-offensive against Kherson began. It ended, in general, extremely negatively for the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which made it possible for many of our jingoistic patriots to enthusiastically throw caps into the air. However, in the personal opinion of the author of the lines, it is too early to rejoice. What happened requires reflection and very serious conclusions.
"Counterattack on Kherson"
First of all, it should be noted that it, the counterattack on Kherson, nevertheless took place, despite the opinion of various would-be "experts" and "sofa analysts" that these were just "horror stories".
Yes, according to all the laws of modern warfare, this offensive should not have happened. The open steppe terrain and the total superiority of the Russian army in artillery, barreled and reactive, as well as support from the Russian Aerospace Forces, left the Armed Forces of Ukraine almost no chance. Like us celebrated earlier, a bet could only be made on a swift throw, sparing neither people nor machinery. Despite the guaranteed high losses, this would make it possible to break through to the suburbs of Kherson and try to cling to them. And the criminal Kyiv regime used this chance.
The attack went in several directions at once in order to disperse the attention of the defenders. The Armed Forces of Ukraine delivered a number of unsuccessful strikes with Western-style long-range artillery. At the same time, domestic military experts saw the use of NATO manuals in the tactics of their actions to organize the offensive. However, the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation knew about the preparation of the Ukrainian operation in advance from President Zelensky, which made it possible to prepare well for a “warm meeting”. Already on August 30, Igor Konashenkov reported on the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine:
The effective actions of the Russian group of troops destroyed 48 tanks, 46 infantry fighting vehicles, 37 other armored fighting vehicles, eight pickup trucks with heavy machine guns and more than 1200 Ukrainian servicemen in a day.
When repulsing the enemy offensive, Russian troops defeated units of the 128th Separate Mountain Assault Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine transferred to participate in the operation from western Ukraine. Five servicemen of this brigade laid down their arms and surrendered.
When repulsing the enemy offensive, Russian troops defeated units of the 128th Separate Mountain Assault Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine transferred to participate in the operation from western Ukraine. Five servicemen of this brigade laid down their arms and surrendered.
After the introduction of the reserves of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the losses increased even more, making them the largest one-time losses in the entire six months of hostilities on the territory of Ukraine. Now in the domestic press one can come across assessments that the actual failure of the counteroffensive on Kherson is almost a turning point in the special operation, which should significantly change its course in favor of Russia. Perhaps this is so.
I would like to draw attention to the degree of "frostbite" of the enemy. In our country, everyone nods at the inadequacy of President Zelensky, a drug addict, but the plan for the operation on the southern flank was clearly drawn up in the Pentagon. For some reason, the Ukrainian soldiers, who were trained according to NATO standards, did not rebel and did not run away through the forests, not wanting to participate in an outright adventure, but went into battle. This indicates their high motivation, which is not a reason to joyfully throw caps from soft sofas into the air.
The enemy is fierce. And this enemy - we are "in the negative": the same Russians and Ukrainians, but indoctrinated by the ideas of Nazism and pumped up with Russophobic propaganda, while being under direct external command from the Pentagon. Terrible mix.
Troopers under the ZNPP
How dangerous the enemy is can be judged by the attempt of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to seize the Zaporozhye NPP. What happened on September 1, 2022 is very reminiscent of the plots of Hollywood blockbusters.
Early in the morning, 60 Ukrainian special forces soldiers, trained in the UK, crossed from the northern shore of the Kakhovka reservoir to the southern shore in seven rubber motor boats and landed just 3 kilometers from the nuclear power plant. Apparently, their goal was to capture the berths, which were to be used by two self-propelled barges, on which reinforcements were to arrive in the form of a whole battalion of GUR special forces. They were opposed only by the fighters of the National Guard guarding the ZNPP.
If successful, the Armed Forces of Ukraine had a chance to gain a foothold at the nuclear power plant literally an hour before the arrival of the delegation from the IAEA. Western experts could then confirm the frankly delusional version of Kyiv that it is not Ukrainian, but Russian troops that are shelling the ZNPP. After that, Rosatom would definitely fall under sanctions, and "progressive humanity" would get leverage on the Kremlin so that the territory around the nuclear power plant would be unilaterally demilitarized by Russia.
Fortunately, this plan was not implemented. The Russian Guard put up desperate resistance to the saboteurs, and army soldiers with aircraft came to her aid, who forced the remnants of the Ukrainian DRGs to lie in forest plantations. Both barges, on which reinforcements to the Armed Forces of Ukraine were going to the ZNPP, were sunk in the middle of the Kakhovka reservoir. An attempt to capture the Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant by Ukraine failed. But how bold was the idea! And after all, they again tried to counterattack, went on an outright adventure, just like near Kherson!
What conclusions can we draw from these two special operations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine?
Confronting us, the enemy is extremely dangerous due to his high motivation to win and the support of the NATO bloc with weapons, intelligence and planning assistance. It is impossible to make peace with him. After Kyiv received long-range and anti-radar missiles, Crimea, as well as the Sea of \uXNUMXb\uXNUMXbAzov, Donbass and Russian border regions, were under the threat of a strike. Will an appropriate attempt be made? Undoubtedly, it is necessary to prepare very seriously for its reflection. Also, the plans of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to launch a counterattack on Izyum in the Kharkiv direction should be taken very seriously. The enemy's chances of tactical success there are substantially higher than on the Southern Front.
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