View from the West: with hopes for a new Gorbachev and the "split of Russia"


NATO will not listen to the opinion of Russia and will continue to expand on the European continent. Moscow is again invited to reconcile and fully accept the Western order. However, calculations that the Kremlin will do just that may turn out to be wrong. The hopes of Western countries for a new Gorbachev are also untenable.


This is evidenced by a new article by George Beebe (George Beebe), posted on the website of the Quincy Institute.
The publication notes that all Western assumptions are based on a key assumption: Putin's successor, like Gorbachev in the final days of the Cold War, will seek to democratize Russia and make concessions to the West.

But this is unlikely. However, in contrast to the late Soviet and early post-Cold War period, a significant number of people in Russia are now quite disappointed with the West, which they see as degrading and less and less liberal.

And after the fiasco of pro-Western reforms in the 1990s, even many of those who would like to see Russia even more democratic believe that its form of government should evolve gradually in accordance with Russian traditions, culture and history, and not by imitating American or Western European ones. models. Russians across the political spectrum agree that NATO expansion poses a threat to Russia's security, as Gorbachev himself believed, by the way.

- noted in an analytical article.

It is emphasized that Putin's successor, whoever he may be, will not return to policy Mikhail Gorbachev with "glasnost" and "new thinking". This means that the confrontation with the Russian Federation will continue.

In response to the deployment of new forces all along the borders of the North Atlantic bloc, from Romania to Finland, Russia, as predicted in the text, is likely to respond by targeting new groupings of elements of tactical nuclear weapons. The difference between the new cold war and the previous one will be that no "detente" can be expected in the foreseeable future.

There are other serious dangers associated with believing that the West must crush Putin's power - or perhaps even break up Russia itself - in order to unite Europe into a community of like-minded, pro- NATO democracies

- noted in the publication.

However, the confrontation also hits the West itself, where the workers and middle class do not really understand why they should lower their standard of living in the name of the “liberal order” - which is exactly what the elites want.

The Global South also did not support the West in its anti-Russian policy. In addition, Russia was unwittingly pushed towards an alliance with China.
  • Photos used: United States Department of State
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  1. viktor goblin Offline viktor goblin
    viktor goblin (viktor goblin) 20 August 2022 12: 40
    +4
    ..workers and the middle class don't really understand why they should belittle their level..

    - Yeah - the German proletariat will not shoot at the "brothers" .... . What ended? Sorry, of course - the people will obey any authority! And he will go to the slaughter \ his own suicide. Propaganda and a barrel in the back will do their job! Or are there few examples?
    1. Michael L. Offline Michael L.
      Michael L. 20 August 2022 13: 30
      +5
      There is an example.
      If you already dig this period: A. Hitler considered the British to be Aryans - a brotherly people - and therefore ... stopped the tanks - let them out from under Dunkirk.
      And then ... he bombed England - he imposed ... his Union on the "English proletariat"!

      In the West, dreams are not in vain.
      Gorbachev's "democratization" was based on...begging in the West.
      At present, we have a similar "give-democracy" in Ukraine.
      What does it lead?
      Surely the Russians have not realized their own and other people's historical experience, and for the most part agree on such "prospects"?
  2. Jacques sekavar Offline Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 20 August 2022 13: 39
    +2
    There is no doubt that NATO will not listen to the opinion of Russia and will continue its expansion on the European continent, as well as that Moscow will do its best to ask for “respect”, consideration of interests and “equal” cooperation, because:

    The NATO market, which includes North America, Europe, associated and dependent regions, is the largest market in the world, and Russian big business receives the lion's share of income not in the domestic market where the state regulates Pricing, Lending, Taxation, Entrepreneurship (the public sector in all without exclusion of areas from industry and agriculture to the education system, health care, culture and agitation industry)

    The hopes of Western state formations for the new Gorbachev may be untenable, but for the new Yeltsin, who destroyed the USSR, plunged the post-Soviet state formations into conflicts, and the Russian Federation into a civil war, are quite real.
    The absence of a party and the dictatorship of the proletariat and the intra-class contradictions of big business will initially require a political solution, which means that each grouping of big business will need its own media and political parties, which will be extremely difficult, if not impossible, to agree on.
    In such a situation, each RSPP singer, for example, will try to gain support not only within, but also for foreign colleagues and partners who have their own interests and, in exchange for support, will fuss to throw kerosene in the cause of “democratization” and “decolonization” of the Russian Federation.

    The confrontation also hits the West itself, where the workers and the middle class - the proletarians, do not really delve into what is happening, because public opinion is shaped by the agitation industry, and the decline in their standard of living causes only aggression and Russophobia.
  3. Expert_Analyst_Forecaster 20 August 2022 14: 23
    +2
    Russia, as predicted in the text, is likely to respond by targeting new groupings of elements of tactical nuclear weapons.

    Optimists. We have enough strategic nuclear weapons for all NATO members.
    So in vain they hope that they are lucky and only a dozen tactical warheads will arrive.
  4. Alex D Online Alex D
    Alex D (Alex D) 20 August 2022 14: 36
    +2
    Rather, a split and an analogue of our "Perestroika" will happen in America. Moreover, Trump is very much loved there. The less freedom in the West, the more totalitarianism there. We need to break the order, but the globalists hold on to the last.
  5. Neville Stator Offline Neville Stator
    Neville Stator (Neville Stator) 20 August 2022 21: 34
    -2
    The Fifth Column is working tirelessly to achieve this goal.
  6. GIS Offline GIS
    GIS (Ildus) 21 August 2022 07: 32
    0
    Quote from Mikhail L.
    There is an example.
    Surely the Russians have not realized their own and other people's historical experience, and for the most part agree on such "prospects"?

    I think many have realized (those who are from generations 30+, but young people ... xs