In Ukraine, they called the period when sanctions are guaranteed to "hit" the Russian economy


Unlike political and the military economic Europe made bets in relation to the Russian Federation, it is time to wait for the result. It is in him that there are great doubts. The financial and economic system of the EU is in some kind of recession, so Brussels is in anticipation of a negative rather for itself than for Moscow. In Ukraine, they preferred to obsequiously try to make a forecast. According to local analysts, the greatest impact of Western sanctions imposed on the Russian economy can be expected no earlier than the end of 2023, provided there are no new restrictions. Each new round will bring closer the worst for the macroeconomic indicators of the Russian Federation. This is reported in a new study by the Kyiv School of Economics, whose article is published by Evropeiska Pravda.


Analysts note that the impact of sanctions on the Russian economy in the long term will increase, as it is predicted that energy exports will be limited even to countries friendly to Moscow. Currently, the study notes that the fall of the Russian economy in 2022 has undergone an adjustment from 10-30% to 6-9,5%. And the level of annual inflation decreased from the projected 20% to 12-15%. The School of Economics explains that the main reason for such changes was the high prices in the energy market. These positive developments were forced to recognize even Ukrainian researchers.

Nevertheless, neighbors continue to study the impact of sanctions on Russia. According to Ukrainians, sanctions pressure has already led to serious changes in the domestic economy. In order to somehow cheer up, Ukrainian experts selectively selected areas with problems. Thus, the reduction in the production of cars in Russia in June amounted to 62% compared to the same period last year. And industrial production fell 1,8% in June compared to the same period in 2021.

The researchers note that the main sanctions relating to the Russian energy sector have not yet entered into force. They are only expected (especially the oil and gas embargo). Consequently, on December 5, sanctions on the export of Russian offshore oil to the European Union will come into force, and on February 5, 2023, Russian oil products. At the same time, Russian gas sales to Europe are a third of last year's level and are likely to decline from now on, and in fact will stop no later than 2024, when Germany expects to be completely independent of Russian gas, Ukrainian scientists concluded.
  • Photos used: pixabay.com
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  1. Paul3390 Offline Paul3390
    Paul3390 (Paul) 11 August 2022 10: 29
    +6
    "The adjective 'Ukrainian' deprives any meaning of any noun it defines"
  2. kalita Offline kalita
    kalita (Alexander) 11 August 2022 11: 00
    +4
    Probably at that time Ukraine will no longer be on the world map at all.
  3. vdr5 Offline vdr5
    vdr5 (Elephant) 11 August 2022 11: 10
    -2
    There is no doubt that the Russian Federation is being squeezed out and squeezed out of the EU market, the decision on this has been made politically and no economic consequences will prevent it, and it is clear that other suppliers will occupy the vacating market.
    1. Luca Chrome Offline Luca Chrome
      Luca Chrome (Peter) 17 August 2022 15: 27
      0
      This has been declared for a very long time. 5 years ago they started, this is what is on the rumor + funny initiatives about the carbon tax. Therefore, there are no surprises in this.
      They planned it for a long time, they just started a little earlier, due to force majeure.
  4. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 11 August 2022 11: 43
    +3
    It would be happiness, unfortunately it helped

    With the sanctions of the NATO countries, it is natural to switch to economic cooperation with non-NATO countries with satellites. There is a huge Asian continent, African countries, huge Latin America. And do not think that the third world is very backward. Over the past twenty years, many of these countries have developed quite strongly. For example, Iran, Pakistan, India, Brazil, Argentina, Chile, etc., not to mention the PRC and the southeastern states of Asia. Perhaps it is economically powerful to enter there just right. With such a turn of vectors, the sanctions will turn out to be some kind of boon, because Europe is gradually beginning to "breathe its last" ....
  5. zuuukoo Offline zuuukoo
    zuuukoo (Sergei) 11 August 2022 11: 47
    -7
    Watching what is happening again, I regret that I didn’t have the luck to be born a US citizen and willpower to get an education suitable for moving there for permanent residence.
    For many times over the past 100+ years, the US government puts everyone around in an interesting position (in this case, Russia and Europe) and calculates profits.
    They were smart enough to wage war with the hands of Ukrainians and EU money.
    But we could not start the Ukrainian-Polish war with Chinese money.
    They work, what more can I say.
    1. Smilodon terribilis nimis 11 August 2022 13: 22
      +6
      The US will also collapse. So you need to appreciate what is, and not chase jeans and cola, as the Russians did in the late 80s. Paradise exists only for a narrow handful of the elect. For the rest - everyday life.
    2. guest Offline guest
      guest 11 August 2022 14: 05
      +8
      Quote from: zuuukoo
      education suitable for moving there for permanent residence.

      You have the education of a national traitor and it is precisely this that qualifies you for moving there for permanent residence.
    3. Degrin Offline Degrin
      Degrin (Alexander) 16 August 2022 12: 58
      0
      So not a problem. LGBT marriages are prohibited in Russia. Go to America. Marry a nigga
  6. The comment was deleted.