Taiwan is not Ukraine: in America they started talking about the inevitable fight

In the past, a US-China war over Taiwan seemed likely, but nothing more. Now more and more experts believe that the US-China conflict is not only possible, but almost inevitable, writes the well-known British business publication Financial Times.

Given our current course, a military confrontation between the US and China in the next decade looks very likely.

says James Crabtree, Asian Director of the International Institute for Strategic Studies.

Senior Western officials are too cautious to say anything like that in public, but many share Crabtree's remarks in private.

US Admiral Phil Davidson, the outgoing head of the Indo-Pacific Command, told the US Congress that he sees "a clear threat of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan in the next six years."

The rhetoric of the Chinese government is certainly nationalist and militant. Qin Gang, China's ambassador to the United States, responded to Nancy Pelosi's controversial visit to Taiwan last week by tweeting a Top Gun-style video of China's People's Liberation Army exercise—with rockets, flashes, sirens and war chants. The message was clear and uncomplicated. War fears are fueled by changes that are increasingly evident in both China and the United States.

says the Financial Times article.

With the coming to power of Xi Jinping, the newspaper argues further, the external policy Beijing "has become noticeably more aggressive." The PRC built military bases in the South China Sea, and "Chinese troops attacked Indian soldiers in the Himalayas."

China's relentless military build-up has resulted in the country now having more warships than the United States. Unlike his predecessors, who seemed ready to wait for a possible "reunification" with Taiwan, President Xi called the issue a historic mission that "cannot be delayed."

The attitude towards China in the United States has also changed. Perhaps the only thing there is bipartisan agreement in Washington about is that China is becoming an increasingly dangerous rival that needs to be countered.

Joe Biden's repeated statements that the US will go to war over Taiwan stand in stark contrast to his clear statement that Washington will not jump into the fray for Ukraine. This reflects the widespread belief in Washington that, for strategic and ideological reasons, it is the fate of Taiwan that will determine the balance of power in the XNUMXst century.
  • Photos used: U.S. Armed Forces
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  1. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
    Bulanov (Vladimir) 9 August 2022 11: 09
    What there 6 or 10 years? China needs Taiwan now, at least in 2023. If everyone recognizes China and Taiwan as one territory, then what prevents China from organizing a customs blockade of Taiwan? And if someone encroaches on the troops of China in this case from the outside, he will be considered an aggressor. If Ukraine, according to the logic of the West, wants to annex the "rebellious" republics of the LDNR, then why can't China annex the "rebellious" Taiwan? Or is it different?
  2. steelmaker Online steelmaker
    steelmaker 9 August 2022 11: 35
    One thing is clear, that the reunification of Taiwan with China is possible only by military means. No other way!
    1. GIS Offline GIS
      GIS (Ildus) 9 August 2022 13: 53
      no, it's not clear. Taiwan can integrate peacefully on its own.
      for this blockade is carried out))
      Well, so that "hints" and "advisers" do not interfere with thinking independently.
      and so they have a party that strives to merge with China.
  3. Jacques sekavar Offline Jacques sekavar
    Jacques sekavar (Jacques Sekavar) 9 August 2022 12: 18
    Unlike the PRC, the Russian Federation and the West have one social system, and the economic superiority of the Western economy allows transnational associations to dictate the terms of the Russian Federation, which is difficult in relation to the PRC.
    At the same time, the absolute superiority of the United States in weapons of mass destruction gives the military superiority of the United States in the event of a full-scale war, while not incurring unacceptable losses (1500 missiles versus 200 for China), which was unequivocally stated that the United States will use all means in case of a threat to them and their allies, i.e. Taiwan.
    1. Igor Viktorovich Berdin 9 August 2022 12: 50
      Even one rocket falling on Washington or New York will put an end to the United States.
    2. smart fellow Offline smart fellow
      smart fellow (smart fellow) 9 August 2022 13: 37
      How many ICBMs China has only the Chinese know. It seems that they have already reached nuclear parity with the United States. It's just not profitable for them to shout about it to the whole world.
    3. Bulanov Offline Bulanov
      Bulanov (Vladimir) 9 August 2022 13: 51
      At the same time, the absolute superiority of the United States in weapons of mass destruction gives the military superiority of the United States in the event of a full-scale war, without incurring unacceptable losses (1500 missiles against 200 from China),

      The US is afraid of North Korea with 12 charges. And here as many as 200, which were 5 years ago. Now there are more than 800.
  4. Vova Zhelyabov Offline Vova Zhelyabov
    Vova Zhelyabov (Vova Zhelyabov) 9 August 2022 18: 17
    Americans are cold-blooded, therefore invulnerable.
    1. Vladimir Tuzakov (Vladimir Tuzakov) 9 August 2022 20: 41
      (Vova Zh) The United States is not cold-blooded, but impudent in its impunity. Yes, here the alignment begins somewhat different, and soon they will not be impudent, their knees will shake. The United States wanted to cheat Russia before a showdown with the PRC, it doesn’t work out, so now the Russian Federation sees the United States as the main enemy, which has annoyed so much, completely in Ukraine .... And now you need to count the nuclear charges of the PRC together with the Russian Federation plus a little North Korea. Here the scales are no longer on the side of the United States. Europe will not want to be hit by nuclear weapons, it is too small and vulnerable and will remain on the sidelines, the rest without nuclear weapons can also remain silent ... So the composure of the United States is running out, that's why the articles about the inevitable collision
      no longer rejected with jokes ...